Wednesday, April 8, 2009

Crude Oil Closes Higher On Short Covering and Rally In Stocks


May crude oil closed higher due to short covering on Wednesday as it consolidates some of this week's decline. The mid range close sets the stage for a steady opening on Thursday.

Stochastics and the RSI are bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are
possible near term. Closes below last Wednesday's low crossing at 47.26 would confirm that a short term top has been posted.

If May renews last week's rally, March's high crossing at 54.66 is the next upside target.

First resistance is last Friday's high crossing at 53.90.
Second resistance is March's high crossing at 54.66.

First support is today's low crossing at 47.37.
Second support is last Wednesday's low crossing at 47.26.

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The June Dollar closed higher on Wednesday and above the 20 day moving average crossing at 85.53 signaling that a short term low has been posted. The mid range close sets the stage for a steady opening on Thursday.

Stochastics and the RSI are bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near term. Multiple closes above the 20 day moving average crossing at 85.53 are needed to confirm that a short term low has been posted.

If June resumes last week's decline, March's low crossing at 83.14 is the next downside target.

First resistance is today's high crossing at 86.13.
Second resistance is last Monday's high crossing at 86.61.

First support is Monday's low crossing at 84.10.
Second support is March's low crossing at 83.14.

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The June S&P 500 index closed higher on Wednesday and above the 10 day moving average crossing at 817.04 as it consolidated some of Tuesday's decline. The high range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening on Thursday.

Stochastics and the RSI are overbought, diverging and are turning bearish hinting that a short term top might be in or is near. Closes below the 20 day moving average crossing at 798.30 are needed to confirm that a short term top has been posted.

If June renews the rally off March's low, the reaction high crossing at 867.50 is the next upside target.

First resistance is Monday's high crossing at 847.90.
Second resistance is the reaction high crossing at 867.50.

First support is today's low crossing at 802.60.
Second support is the 20 day moving average crossing at 798.30.

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