Monday, April 6, 2009

Crude Oil Opens Sharply Lower Monday Morning


May crude oil was higher overnight, above the 10 day moving average crossing at 51.81 but has opened sharply lower this morning.

Stochastics and the RSI have turned bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near term. Near term is the key here, we still see crude falling back to the $45 dollar area.

If May extends last week's rally, March's high crossing at 54.66 then January's high crossing at 58.31 are the next upside targets.

Closes below last Wednesday's low crossing at 47.26 would confirm that a short term top has been posted.

First resistance is last Friday's high crossing at 53.90.
Second resistance is March's high crossing at 54.66.

First support is the 10 day moving average crossing at 51.81.
Second support is the 20 day moving average crossing at 50.45.

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The June Dollar was steady to slightly lower overnight as it extends last Thursday's decline below the 10 day moving average crossing at 85.09. Stochastics and the RSI are bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near term.

If June extends the decline off last week's high, March's low crossing at 83.15 is the next downside target. Closes above the 20 day moving average crossing at 85.82 are needed to confirm that a short term low has been posted.

First resistance is the 10 day moving average crossing at 85.09.
Second resistance is the 20 day moving average crossing at 85.82.

First support is the overnight low crossing at 84.10.
Second support is March's low crossing at 83.14.

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