Thursday, July 30, 2009

Crude Closes Higher, Stochastics and RSI Remain Bearish

Crude oil closed sharply higher due to short covering on Thursday as it consolidated some of Wednesday's decline. The high range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening on Friday. Despite today's rally, stochastics and the RSI remain bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near term.

Multiple closes below the 20 day moving average crossing at 64.38 are needed to confirm that a short term top has been posted. If September renews this month's rally, the reaction high crossing at 74.25 is the next upside target.

First resistance is Monday's high crossing at 68.99
Second resistance is the reaction high crossing at 74.25

First support is Wednesday's low crossing at 62.70
Second support is this month's low crossing at 59.30

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Natural gas closed higher due to short covering on Thursday as it consolidated some of this week's decline. The high range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening on Friday. Despite today's rally, stochastics and the RSI remain bearish hinting that additional weakness is possible near term.

If September renews the rally off this month's low, the reaction high crossing at 4.261 is the next upside target.

First resistance is the 10 day moving average crossing at 3.78
Second resistance is last Wednesday's high crossing at 4.05

First support is Thursday's low crossing at 3.61
Second support is this month's low crossing at 3.23

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