Monday, December 28, 2009

Crude Oil Closes Higher, Fourth Day in a Row!


Crude oil closed higher for the fourth day in a row on Monday as it extends last week's rally above the 20 day moving average. The high range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening on Tuesday. Stochastics and the RSI remain bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near term.

If February extends today's rally, the reaction high crossing at 80.40 is the next upside target. Closes below last Tuesday's low crossing at 72.72 would confirm that a short term top has been posted.

First resistance is today's high crossing at 79.12
Second resistance is the reaction high crossing 80.40

First support is the 20 day moving average crossing at 75.41
Second support is the 10 day moving average crossing at 74.89

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Natural gas closed higher on Monday as it extends this month's rally. The high range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening on Tuesday. Stochastics and the RSI are overbought but are neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near term.

If February extends this month's rally, the 87% retracement level of this fall's decline crossing at 6.077 is the next upside target. Closes below the 20 day moving average crossing at 5.328 would temper the near term friendly outlook in the market.

First resistance is today's high crossing at 6.011
Second resistance is the 87% retracement level of this fall's decline crossing at 6.077

First support is the 10 day moving average crossing at 5.715
Second support is the 20 day moving average crossing at 5.328

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The U.S. Dollar closed lower due to profit taking on Monday as it consolidated some of this month's rally. The low range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening on Tuesday. Stochastics and the RSI are overbought and are turning bearish hinting that a short term top might be in or is near.

Closes below the 10 day moving average crossing at 77.91 would signal that a short term top has likely been posted. Closes below the 20 day moving average crossing at 76.90 would confirm that a short term top has been posted. If March extends its current rally, the 38% retracement level of the 2008-2009 decline crossing at 79.72 is the next upside target.

First resistance is last Tuesday's high crossing at 78.77
Second resistance is the 38% retracement level of the 2008-2009 decline crossing at 79.72

First support is the 10 day moving average crossing at 77.91
Second support is the 20 day moving average crossing at 76.90

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