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Wednesday, September 22, 2010

BOE may Ease Further, Conforming to Our View on Low Rate Environment

Crude oil recovered modestly but remained hovering around 75 level as the market awaits the oil inventory report. Stock markets were mixed in Asian and European session so crude failed to benefit much despite its strong correlation with equities. Gold resumed the uptrend after profit taking sent price to 1274 yesterday. Currently trading at 1294, the benchmark contract for gold has gained in 5 out of the past 7 days due to macroeconomic uncertainty and the Fed’s move closer to additional easing.

Stocks gained in Asian session as driven by Australia and Hong Kong shares. Just 2 days after RBA governor Glenn Stevens saying that Australia’s economy will growth above trend in 2011, Westpac Leading Index unexpectedly rose +0.4% m/m in July, following a contraction of -0.1% in the prior month. Australia’s S&P/ASX Index added +0.21%. In Hong Kong, the Monetary Authority said the city will grow at a moderate rate through the end of the year. This lifted the Hang Send Index by +0.21%.

In Europe, equities were generally lower with benchmark indices losing 0.5-0.9%. Eurozone’s industrial new orders surprisingly fell -2.4% m/m in July from a downwardly revised +2.4% growth in June. The market had anticipated a milder drop of -1.4%. As stated in the minutes for BOE’s September meeting, economic data released in the past month has showed a ‘reduction in growth prospects’. The minutes also revealed.....Read the entire article.

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