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Thursday, September 2, 2010

Phil Flynn: ISM Into The Wild Blue Yonder Flying High Into The Sky

Where the heck did that come from? The Institute for Supply Management gave the market just what the doctor ordered with a shocking good reading on manufacturing. Why was it so shocking? Well some of the regional manufacturing reports like the Philly Fed and the Empire State numbers were so lousy. Maybe the Chicago Purchasing Manger report should have given a clue but instead of lousy we go the first increase in four months with an expansive jump to 56.3, up from 55.5 in July.

That was much higher than the expected 53.2 expectations and came ohm the heels of a strong PMI number in China! And what was probably even more important was that the ISM Employment Index part of the report that registered 60.4 percent in August, which is 1.8 percentage points higher than the 58.6 percent reported in July. According to ISM this is the ninth consecutive month of growth in manufacturing employment. An Employment Index above 49.8 percent, over time, is generally consistent with an increase in the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) data on manufacturing employment and should also beef up the expectations on Fridays whopping large monthly jobs report. It should also booster oil demand expectations as well as.....Read the entire article.

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