Monday, November 28, 2011

Where is Crude Oil, Natural Gas and Gold Headed on Tuesday?

January crude oil closed higher on Monday as it consolidated some of the decline off this month's high but remains below the 10 day moving average crossing at 98.24. The low range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening on Tuesday. Stochastics and the RSI remain bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near term. Closes below the 20 day moving average crossing at 96.62 are needed to confirm that a short term top has been posted. If January renews the rally off this month's low, the 75% retracement level of the May-October decline crossing at 105.42 is the next upside target. First resistance is the 75% retracement level of the May-October decline crossing at 105.42. Second resistance is the 87% retracement level of the May-October decline crossing at 110.46. First support is the 20 day moving average crossing at 96.62. Second support is the reaction low crossing at 89.05.

December natural gas posted a key reversal down on Monday after failing to overcome resistance marked by the 20 day moving average crossing at 3.573. Stochastics and the RSI have turned bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near term. Closes above the 20 day moving average crossing at 3.573 are needed to confirm that a short term low has been posted. If December renews this year's decline, monthly support crossing at 3.225 is the next downside target. First resistance is the 20 day moving average crossing at 3.573. Second resistance is the 25% retracement level of the June-November decline crossing at 3.786. First support is last week's low crossing at 3.285. Second support is monthly support crossing at 3.225.

Gold closed higher on Monday as it consolidated some of this month's decline but remains below the 20 day moving average crossing at 1743.50. The high range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening on Tuesday. Stochastics and the RSI are oversold but remain neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near term. If December extends this month's decline, the reaction low crossing at 1604.70 is the next downside target. Closes above the 20 day moving average crossing at 1743.50 would confirm that a short term low has been posted. First resistance is the 10 day moving average crossing at 1725.20. Second resistance is the 20 day moving average crossing at 1743.50. First support is last week's low crossing at 1667.10. Second support is the reaction low crossing at 1604.70.


Is This December Similar to 2007 & 2008 for Gold & Stocks?

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