Thursday, April 5, 2012

Has Gold Embraced it’s Fibonacci Number and Began to Base Out?

Is it safe to start buying Gold Stocks yet?

Yesterday the gold market pulled back into a perfect 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. We expect this market to begin to regroup around current levels between $1600 and $1620. With a trading score of -90 the gold market is in a strong downward trend. Look for resistance to come in between $1680 and the $1700 level. With all three of our Trade Triangles negative for gold we expect this market to remain on the defensive. Long term and intermediate term traders should be in short positions in gold with appropriate money management

But despite that gold [April contract] posted an inside day with a higher close on Thursday as it consolidated some of the decline off February's high. The high range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening on Friday. Stochastics and the RSI are turning bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near term.

If April extends the decline off February's high, the 75% retracement level of the December-February rally crossing at 1592.70 is the next downside target. Closes above Monday's high crossing at 1682.80 would confirm that a short term low has been posted.

First resistance is Monday's high crossing at 1682.80. Second resistance is the reaction high crossing at 1696.90. First support is Wednesday's low crossing at 1612.30. Second support is the 75% retracement level of the December-February rally crossing at 1592.70.

We show you where we think this precious metal is headed in today’s video.

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