Tuesday, October 8, 2013

COT Market Summary for Tuesday October 8th - Crude Oil, Natural Gas, SP 500, Gold and Coffee

November crude oil closed higher on Tuesday as it consolidates above the 10 day moving average crossing at 103.07. The mid range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when Wednesday's night session begins. Stochastics and the RSI are bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near term. Closes above the 20 day moving average crossing at 104.41 are needed to confirm that a low has been posted. If November renews the decline off August's high, the 50% retracement level of the April-August rally crossing at 98.71 is the next downside target. First resistance is the 20 day moving average crossing at 104.41. Second resistance is the reaction high crossing at 108.15. First support is the 38% retracement level of the April-August rally crossing at 102.43. Second support is the 50% retracement level of the April-August rally crossing at 98.71.

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November Henry natural gas closed higher on Tuesday and above the 20 day moving average crossing at 3.654 confirming that a short term low has been posted. The high range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening on Wednesday. Stochastics and the RSI are turning bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near term. If November extends today's rally, September's high crossing at 3.892 is the next upside target. If November renews the decline off September's high, the 75% retracement level of the August-September rally crossing at 3.436 is the next downside target. First resistance is today's high crossing at 3.730. Second resistance is September's high crossing at 3.892. First support is the reaction low crossing at 3.450. Second support is the 75% retracement level of the August-September rally crossing at 3.436.

The December S&P 500 closed lower on Tuesday as it extended the decline off this month's high. Today's low range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when Wednesday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI remain neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near term. If December extends the decline off this month's high, August's low crossing at 1621.00 is the next downside target. Closes above the 20 day moving average crossing at 1687.11 would confirm that a short term low has been posted. First resistance is the 20 day moving average crossing at 1687.11. Second resistance is August's high crossing at 1726.50. First support is today's low crossing at 1651.00. Second support is August's low crossing at 1621.00.

December gold closed lower on Tuesday and the high-range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when Wednesday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near term. Closes above the 20 day moving average crossing at 1324.30 are needed to confirm that a short term low has been posted. If December renews the decline off August's high, August's low crossing at 1271.80 is the next downside target. First resistance is the 20 day moving average crossing at 1324.30. Second resistance is the reaction high crossing at 1353.80. First support is the reaction low crossing at 1276.90. Second resistance is August's low crossing at 1271.80.

December coffee closed higher on Tuesday. The high-range close set the stage for a steady to higher opening on Wednesday. Stochastics and the RSI are turning bullish signaling that a low might be in or is near. Closes above the reaction high crossing at 11.92 are needed to confirm that a low has been posted. If December extends this summer's decline, monthly support crossing at 10.21 is the next downside target.

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