Tuesday, April 25, 2017

Free Webinar: Mysterious “Growth Windows” in Coca Cola, Corn Futures, British Pound & More


Growth Window Anomaly 
Our trading partners at Trademiner Elite are back with another great free webinar. These events fill fast and to capacity every time they offer one so don't delay in getting your reserved seat.

In this training you'll discover.....

  • A set of mysterious price patterns that’ve been repeating - every year - in major stocks,commodity futures AND forex pairs
  • Why Williams Companies (WMB) has been up 9% on average between March 23rd and April 27th - every year since 2006
  • Why Coca Cola (KO) has been up an average of 3% over the same mysterious 14 day window dating back to 2007
  • Why Deere & Company (DE) has been up 9% on average over its 35 day “growth window” for the last 14 years
  • The secret to identifying and trading these hidden patterns - with the convenience of a simply Google search

Spots On These Webinar Events Are Strictly Limited

With the quality of the information we’re giving out - there’s a good chance it will fill up. Please register now while there are still spots available. You'll have three times and days to choose from....Pick from one of the following!

Tuesday April 25th 2017 at 2:45 pm
Wednesday April 26th 2017 at 3:00 pm
Thursday April 27th 2017 at 3:00 pm


Visit Here to Register Today!






Sunday, April 23, 2017

Mike Seery's Weekly Futures Recap - Gold, Silver, Copper, Sugar and More

Trading for the week of April 17th through April 21st ended with the 3 major indexes closing lower. This is a tough market to call right now as the different markets are giving mixed signals on the general direction of the economy and each individual market.

So as we like to say....no better time than right now to get the a heads up from our trading partner Michael Seery. We've asked him to give our readers a recap of the this weeks futures markets and give us some insight on where he sees these markets headed. Mike has been a senior analyst for close to 15 years and has extensive knowledge of all of the commodity and option markets.

Gold futures in the June contract are currently trading at 1,286 an ounce after settling last Friday in New York at 1,288 basically unchanged for the trading week as I am not involved in the gold market as prices remain right near contract highs due to tensions between North Korea and the United States coupled with the fact of a weaker U.S dollar in recent weeks. Gold prices are still trading above their 20 and 100 day moving average telling you that the short term trend is higher as we are ending the week on a positive note up about $4 as 1,300 is the main resistance and if that is broken I think we could go to levels before the U. S. election around 1,330 an ounce. At the current time I don't have any precious metal recommendations as silver is right near a 2 week low, but there is demand for gold as there is so much uncertainty in the world at this time and if you are bullish a futures position I would place the stop loss under the 10 day low standing at 1,248 which is still $40 away as the chart structure is not solid at the present time, as I do expect volatility to increase in the coming weeks as well.
Trend: Higher
Chart Structure: Improving

Get Chris Vermeulen's Short & Long Term Gold Projections

Silver futures in the July contract settled last Friday in New York at 18.58 an ounce while currently trading at 17.98 down about $0.60 for the trading week as I've been discussing the May contract, but that is near expiration so I will focus on the July contract going forward as I'm not involved in this market at present. Silver prices are trading lower for the 5th consecutive day and if you are long futures contracts I would still place the stop under the 10 day low standing at 17.80 which is just an eyelash way as this market remains very choppy in my opinion. Silver prices are trading under their 20 day but still above their 100 day moving average really going nowhere over the last several months as I do not have any trade recommendations in the precious metals at the current time. The U.S dollar continues to flip flop up and down on a daily basis and that's why you're seeing the choppy commodity markets as gold prices have also stalled out around the 1,300 level as the precious metals had been rallying due to a possible conflict with North Korea & the United States which now seems to be diminishing on a daily basis.
Trend: Mixed
Chart Structure: Excellent

Copper futures in the July contract settled last Friday in New York at 2.5860 a pound while currently trading at 2.5470 down about 400 points for the trading week right near a 3 month low. At present I'm not involved in this market, but I do think lower prices are ahead and if you are short place the stop at the 10 day high which in Monday's trade stands at 2.66 as the chart structure will start to improve in next week's trade, therefore, the monetary risk will be lowered as I'm still looking at a short position on any type of rally. Copper prices are trading under their 20 and 100 day moving average telling you that the short term trend is lower as there is major support at the 2.50 level and if that is broken, I think we could head substantially lower as the commodity markets are having a hard time sustaining any real bullish momentum. Copper prices were trading around the 2.10 level just let last October but with the Trump administration's possible stimulus plan sending copper prices to around the 2.80 level around quickly as now were kind of a no man's land, but the trend is lower so stay short.
Trend: Lower
Chart Structure: Improving

Sugar futures in the July contract settled last Friday in New York at 16.57 a pound while currently trading at 16.38 down about 20 points for the trading week still stuck in a 2 week consolidation as prices are still right near a one year low. I'm not currently involved in sugar ,but if you are short as I do have clients who are involved in this marketplace your stop loss above the 10 day high at 17.13 as the next major level of support is the contract low which was hit on April 5th around 16.20 & if that is broken I think prices could head down to the low 15's rather quickly. Sugar prices are still trading below their 20 and 100 day moving average is telling you that the trend is to the downside as overproduction and lack of demand continue to keep a lid on prices as the soft commodities still look weak except for cotton prices. At present, I only have one soft recommendation & that is a bearish trade in the orange juice market, but I am bearish sugar as I do think lower prices are ahead as the chart structure is excellent at present, therefore, allowing you to place a tight stop loss.
Trend: Lower
Chart Structure: Excellent

For more calls on this week's commodity trades like Soybean, Corn, Lean Hog, Cattle, Cotton and more....Just Click Here!



Monday, April 17, 2017

Crude Oil Seasonality, Inventory Rebalancing and Production Cuts

The historical stock build from December 2014 through July 2016, and subsequent decline from August through December has led some to conclude that global stocks had started to rebalance. Instead, the normal seasonality in stocks had been masked by the high overproduction of OPEC, but then normal seasonality kicked in.

Global OECD inventories from past years demonstrate the normal seasonal patterns, with some variability. As shown in this graph, stocks normal build early in the year and peak around August. Stocks normally drop from September through December. But in 2015, the oversupply was so excessive that stock just kept building through the year. They finally peaked in July 2016, then dropped off due to normal seasonal demand. This normal pattern led to a false conclusion that the rebalancing of stocks had begun.
But according to Energy Department data, OECD stocks in March 2017 are 13 million barrels higher than December. And it projects that stocks are likely to peak in May this year, earlier than normal, but to end 2017 with stocks just 14 million lower than a year ago. This is based on the Energy Information Administration ((EIA)) assumption that OPEC does not hold production to its March level. Furthermore, the EIA projects global stocks to set new record highs in 2018, after the OPEC non OPEC cuts presumably end.

Effect of Production Cuts

Some argue that the 285 million barrel excess above the 5 year average as of the end of December should disappear in five to six months by dividing 285 million by 1.8 million barrels per day, the agreed upon size of the daily cut. But that math first assumes that supply was in balance with demand, makes no allowance for rising supplies, such as in the U.S., and it does not take into account the seasonality.
According to OPEC’s figures, global OECD stocks are likely to build both in the first and second quarters, and then decline in the second half of the year, assuming OPEC production remains at the March level.
There was one development last week, if true, did shift the inventory trend lower. The EIA revised its December estimate of OECD stocks down 105 million barrels, a major revision. That reduced the size of the glut to 201 million above its five year average.

Conclusions

The market dropped sharply in early March as a result of the continued rise in stocks. The market has falsely expected to see inventories to soon decline as a result of the production cuts. But seasonal factors need to be taken into account. We should see global stocks decline in the second half of 2017, assuming OPEC extends its cuts. And the decline may start earlier than normal because U.S. refinery utilization is ramping up faster and earlier than usual, thereby requiring more crude oil.
Best,
Robert Boslego
INO.com Contributor - Energies




Stock & ETF Trading Signals

Saturday, April 15, 2017

Mike Seery's Weekly Futures Recap - Silver, Copper, Coffee, Sugar and More

Trading for the week of April 10th through April 14th ended with the Dow leading indexes closing lower as markets volatility rears it's ugly head due to fed spooked financials and weaker transports.

So no better time than right now to get the a heads up from our trading partner Michael Seery. We've asked him to give our readers a recap of the this weeks futures markets and give us some insight on where he sees these markets headed. Mike has been a senior analyst for close to 15 years and has extensive knowledge of all of the commodity and option markets.

Silver futures in the May contract are up 27 cents at 18.55 an ounce trading higher for the 3rd consecutive trading session breaking major resistance as I will be recommending a bullish position if prices close above 18.50 while then placing the stop loss under the 10-day low which was also Monday's low around 17.73 risking around $800 per mini contract plus slippage and commission. The chart structure is relatively solid at present as the next major level of resistance is last November's high around $19 an ounce as gold and silver prices have broken out to the upside. The 10 year note is significantly higher once again hitting a 6 month high as interest rates have been heading lower in recent weeks, and that is bullish the precious metals and commodities in general as there seems to be what they call a flight to quality which affects the bond and precious metals market as investors park their money as a so called safe haven. Silver prices are trading above their 20 and 100 day moving average telling you that the short term trend is higher so let's look at playing this to the upside as the risk/reward are in your favor in my opinion.
Trend: Higher
Chart Structure: Solid

Get Chris Vermeulen's Short & Long Term Gold Projections

Copper futures in the May contract are higher by 250 points this Thursday in New York currently trading at 2.5700 a pound after hitting a 3 month low in yesterday's trade as I'm looking at a short position, however the chart structure is poor as the 10 day high stands around 2.71 as the risk/reward is not in your favor at present. However, I am certainly not recommending any type of bullish trade as the trend clearly is to the downside. I will wait for the chart structure to improve which could take a couple more days as prices are now trading under their 20 and 100 day moving average telling you that the trend has turned negative in the short term with the next major level of support down to 2.50 which was tested back in December 2016 on multiple occasions only to rally every single time. This is a unique situation in the precious metals as bullish trends continue in gold and silver, however we have a bearish trend in copper and that can happen at certain times due to the fact that gold and silver are used as a flight to quality where copper is an industrial metal so keep a close eye on this market for a short position.
Trend: Lower
Chart Structure: Poor

Coffee futures in the July contract are trading higher by 100 points at 141.25 in the July contract up in a slow manner with low volatility over the last several months as it looks to me that coffee prices are bottoming out in the short term. I have written about coffee many times in the past as I'm currently not involved in this market and haven't been for several months as I think prices are limited to the downside as it looks to me that the 138 level has held as prices are now at a 3 week high. Coffee prices are now trading above their 20 day but still below their 100 day moving average which stands at 148 as that is the critical level for the bullish momentum to continue in my opinion so keep a close eye on this market to the upside. At present, I am recommending a short position in orange juice and in cotton and I am also bearish sugar. However, coffee prices are starting enter to enter the month of May with the chance of a frost occurring in Brazil, so there could be a price premium put into this market to the upside and if a frost does occur prices move substantially higher & extremely quickly like they did in 1994.
Trend: Lower
Chart Structure: Excellent

Sugar futures in the May contract settled last Friday in New York at 16.77 a pound while currently trading at 16.83 in a lackluster holiday trading week as tomorrow is Good Friday as the markets will be closed. I have not been involved in the sugar market, but I have remained bearish over quite some time. I have clients that are short and if you are in this market to the downside place your stop loss above the 10 day high standing at 17.18 which is just an eyelash away as prices actually traded as high as 17.16 earlier in the trading session. Many of the commodity markets have reacted to the positive side over the last several days due to the fact that bond interest rates in the United States have been going lower and that is supporting prices, however if you're short, continue to place the proper stop and don't 2nd guess as I think that's the kiss of death over the course of time. Sugar futures are still trading under their 20 and 100 day moving average telling you the trend is lower, but for this market to resume its bearish trend the 16 level has to be breached in my opinion.
Trend: Lower
Chart Structure: Excellent

For more calls on this week's commodity trades like Soybean, Wheat, Lean Hogs, Cotton and more....Just Click Here!



Friday, April 7, 2017

Surviving and Thriving During an Economic Collapse

By Nick Giambruno 

In just over a century, the international monetary system has collapsed three times: in 1914, in 1939, and in 1971, when Nixon severed the dollar’s last ties to gold. We are due for another major breakdown soon.

This time, the US dollar will lose its status as the world’s premier reserve currency. And the ramifications of that happening are hard to overstate. It will likely be the tipping point at which the US government becomes desperate enough to officially restrict the movement of people and their money… desperate enough to nationalize retirement savings… and desperate enough to make other forms of overt wealth confiscation routine.

For decades, countries around the world have conducted most of their international trade in US dollars. If they want to play in the international sandbox, most have to buy US dollars on the currency market first. This creates a (frequently artificial) demand for dollars, which makes those dollars more valuable.

Imagine the overall boost this arrangement gives to the dollar’s value. It’s enormous.

This system allows the US government and US citizens to live way beyond their means. It also gives the US government immense geopolitical leverage. It can pick and choose which countries can participate in the US-dollar-based financial system—and, by extension, the vast majority of international trade.

All of these unique benefits will disappear when the dollar loses its premier status. No one knows exactly when that will happen, but we’re quickly moving in that direction. Russia, China, Brazil, and India are all making serious moves to dump the dollar and trade in their own currencies. The momentum is quickly gaining critical mass.

I believe it won’t be long before the US government will be desperate enough to enact the restrictive measures we all fear. It’s important to prepare for the economic and financial consequences now. However, you also need to prepare for the sociopolitical consequences of the next economic collapse. It’s probably not going to happen tomorrow, but the direction the bankrupt US government is headed is clear.

Once the dollar loses its status as the world’s premier currency, your options for protecting your savings will have likely narrowed significantly, if not disappeared altogether. It’s important to act before that happens.

P.S. New York Times best-selling author Doug Casey and I think that a crisis for the record books is coming soon. We think your savings are highly vulnerable. There’s a good chance you could be wiped out.

That’s why we released an urgent new video on surviving and thriving during the next financial crisis. 

Click here to watch it now.




Stock & ETF Trading Signals

Tuesday, April 4, 2017

Can You Spot the Pattern That Sent Facebook Soaring?

In the final months of 2016 Facebook stock was all over the place. It traded up, down and sideways. Beneath the surface two primal market forces were at work, fighting to control the stock’s direction. On December 30th these forces collided. What happened next was shocking, Facebook popped 8.32% by January 10th.

Facebook call options were up 235.06% in just 11 days. A $1,000 investment would have paid you $2,350 in less than two weeks. And the crazy thing? These events happen all the time, you just need to know where to find them.

Get The Facts Here

Very few traders know about this phenomenon. Even fewer can spot it at work in a stock before an explosive 196%, 228% or 339% move happens. Now you can find out how it works BEFORE the next event strikes.

Watch Right Now

Ray @ the Crude Oil Trader

Sunday, April 2, 2017

Mike Seery's Weekly Futures Recap - Gold, Coffee, Sugar, Copper and More

Trading for the week of March 27th through March 31st ended with the SP500 and Dow indexes closing slightly lower as markets consolidated this week's rally. This leaves markets neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near term and the same goes for the NASDAQ 100.

So no better time than right now to get the a heads up from our trading partner Michael Seery. We've asked him to give our readers a recap of the this weeks futures markets and give us some insight on where he sees these markets headed. Mike has been a senior analyst for close to 15 years and has extensive knowledge of all of the commodity and option markets.

Gold futures in the June contract settled last Friday at 1,251 an ounce while currently trading at 1,247 in a very nonvolatile trading week right near major resistance as prices are still trading above their 20 and 100 day moving average telling you the short term trend is higher. At present, I am not, involved in the precious metals as the U.S dollar continues to flip flop which had made the commodity markets basically go sideways over the last several months. For the gold rally to continue in my opinion prices, have to break major resistance around 1,268 which is still about $20 away as the U.S stock market continues to hover near all time highs which generally is a negative towards gold prices. Gold prices bottomed out last month around the 1,200 level as that's when the Federal Reserve stated that they might slow down on raising interest rates sending prices back up towards the upper end of the trading range, however prices still remain choppy over the last several months so wait for a true trend to develop as there are very few markets that have strong trends at the current time.
Trend: Mixed - Higher
Chart Structure: Improving

Get Chris Vermeulen's Short & Long Term Gold Projections

Coffee futures in the May contract settled last Friday in New York at 137.60 a pound while currently trading at 138.50 in a very nonvolatile trading week as I am not involved in coffee at present as I'm waiting for a breakout to occur as the chart structure has improved tremendously due to the fact that prices continue to go nowhere. Coffee prices continue to trade under their 20 day moving average as the 100 day stands at 147 as I'm very surprised at how low the volatility is as historically speaking coffee is one of the most explosive commodities in the world with huge price swings and huge risk as I don't see this continuing for much longer. Ideal weather conditions in the country of Brazil continue to keep a lid on prices as Brazil is the largest producer in the world and also the largest producer of many commodities in the world as we are starting to enter the frost season which is about 5 weeks away & certainly will send volatility back into this market, but at the present time look at other markets. In my opinion, I do believe prices are limited to the downside as eventually I do think higher prices are ahead, but there is very little fundamental news to push prices in either direction.
Trend: Mixed - Lower
Chart Structure: Improving

Sugar futures in the May contract settled last Friday in New York at 17.71 a pound while currently trading at 16.78 down nearly 100 points for the trading week continuing its bearish momentum as I am not involved in this commodity at present, but do have clients who are short a futures position and if that is the case place your stop above the 10 day high which now stands at 18.17. Sugar prices are trading well below their 20 and 100 day moving average telling you that the short term trend is lower as prices are retesting the May 2016 lows and I do think there's a possibility that we could even go as low as 12.50 which was hit in February 2016 as this market remains bearish in my opinion so stay short. The chart structure will not improve for another week so you're going to have to accept the monetary risk as overproduction and lack of demand continue to put pressure on sugar prices here in the short term as I still do believe lower prices are ahead, however, if you have missed the trade like I did move on and look at other markets that are beginning to trend as the risk/reward is not in your favor.
Trend: Lower
Chart Structure: Poor

Copper futures in the May contract settled last Friday in New York at 2.63 a pound while currently trading at 2.65 as I was recommending a bearish position from around 2.61 getting stopped out in Thursday's trade around the 2.70 level taking the loss and moving on as this market remains choppy. Copper prices are trading right at their 20 day but still above their 100 day moving average telling you that the trend is mixed as prices hit a 3 week high following the stock market which is hovering right near at all time highs as the NASDAQ 100 did hit all time highs as I was also stopped out of that trade as I have no precious metal recommendations at the current time. The chart structure in copper is relatively solid as we could be involved once again in the next couple of weeks so keep a close eye on this market as it still looks expensive.
Trend: Mixed
Chart Structure: Solid

For more calls on this week's commodity trades like Soybean, Cocoa, Lean Hogs, Corn and more....Just Click Here!



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