Sunday, July 17, 2011

Prepare Yourself For Increased Volatility Ahead Next Week

The precious metals markets continue to be on fire with silver jumping another 7% on top of a 8.35% gain the previous week. Gold closed the week on an all time high on Friday. Both gold and silver are reflecting the general fear that is prevalent in the markets. For the week gold put in a solid + 3.19% performance. You should be long one trading unit of gold based on our 52 week, weekend trading rule. We’re expecting this market to open higher on Sunday in the Far East, and also on Monday when the markets open here in the States.

The S&P 500 was not blessed with gains for the past week and dropped just over 2% for the week. We now have very clear battle lines drawn between the Bulls and the Bears. The 1276 level on the S&P 500 is where the 200 day moving average comes in this week. In addition to the 200 day moving average, we also have a long term trend line going all the way back to March of 2009. These are two key levels to watch this coming week.

In other markets the CRB and dollar index showed very little movement as they continue to be range bound. Crude oil appears to be treading water at the moment and has significant resistance overhead at $99.50 basis the August contract.
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So here’s what happened last week in the major markets....

S&P500 move for the week: -2.05%

Monthly Trade Triangles for Long-Term Trends = Positive
Weekly Trade Triangles for Intermediate Term Trends = Positive
Daily Trade Triangles for Short-Term Trends = Negative
Combined Strength of Trend Score = + 85

Silver move for the week: +7.06%

Monthly Trade Triangles for Long-Term Trends = Positive
Weekly Trade Triangles for Intermediate Term Trends = Positive
Daily Trade Triangles for Short-Term Trends = Positive
Combined Strength of Trend Score = + 100

Gold move for the week: +3.19%

Monthly Trade Triangles for Long-Term Trends = Positive
Weekly Trade Triangles for Intermediate Term Trends = Positive
Daily Trade Triangles for Short-Term Trends = Positive
Combined Strength of Trend Score = + 100

Crude Oil move for the week: +.78%

Monthly Trade Triangles for Long Term Trends = Negative
Weekly Trade Triangles for Intermediate Term Trends = Negative
Daily Trade Triangles for Short Term Trends = Positive
Combined Strength of Trend Score = – 55

Dollar Index move for the week: +.06%

Monthly Trade Triangles for Long-Term Trends = Positive
Weekly Trade Triangles for Intermediate Term Trends = Positive
Daily Trade Triangles for Short-Term Trends = Negative
Combined Strength of Trend Score = + 75

CRB Index move for the week: +.84%

Monthly Trade Triangles for Long Term Trends = Negative
Weekly Trade Triangles for Intermediate Term Trends = Positive
Daily Trade Triangles for Short-Term Trends = Positive
Combined Strength of Trend Score = + 60

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