Monday, January 28, 2019

Will Crude Oil Find Support Above $50 Dollars?

Recent global news regarding Venezuela, China, and global oil supply/production have resulted in the price of crude oil pausing over the past few weeks near $53 to $55 ppb. We believe the continued supply glut and uncertainty will result in oil prices falling, briefly, back below $50 ppb before any new price rally begins. Our researchers at The Technical Traders believe historical resistance near $54 - $55 is strong enough to drive prices lower before new momentum picks up for a renewed price rally.


Eventually, yes, oil will rally above $55 and attempt to target the $65+ price level. Yet we don’t believe that move is going to happen right now. We believe the global uncertainty, the slowing Chinese economy and the global supply glut will result in a fundamental price decrease before any momentum for an upside price move begins. Our analysis suggests a price move back below $50 ppb, likely targeting the $46 - $47 level, where basing may occur.

Uncertainty in Venezuela and other oil producing nations may result in a disruption in supply at some point in the future. We must be cautious of unknown situations that could result in dramatic price shifts. Yet, overall, with supply levels still high and slowing global economic expectations, it makes sense that oil would attempt to base and find support near recent lows – between $46 - $48.

Visit The Technical Traders here to learn how we can help you find and execute better trades in 2019. Learn how our proprietary predictive modeling systems have called these moves in the past and how our research team can assist you in finding great opportunities in the future.

Chris Vermeulen



Stock & ETF Trading Signals

Monday, January 21, 2019

Why You Should Be Paying Attention to the Russell and Financial Sectors

For those that still believe the U.S. markets are weak and poised for a total collapse, we want to bring something to your attention. Throughout weeks of uncertainty about China trade deals, the US government shutdown, continued Brexit issues and who knows what else… oh yeah US Q4 Earnings data, guess what has been taking place in some US sectors?

That’s right, a rather solid price recovery.

Two of our favorite sectors to watch for signs of strength and weakness have been rocketing higher over the past few weeks after setting up a very deep price low near Christmas 2018. The Russell 2000 ETF (IWM) and the Financial Sector ETF (XLF). While the ES, NQ, and others are still waffling around trying to find the momentum to break out to the upside, pay attention to the other sectors that could be leading the way.

Weekly IWM (Russell 2000) Chart

This first Weekly IWM (Russell 2000) chart clearly shows the support zone that was set up in early 2018 after the February 2018 price collapse. Yes, the recent October 2018 price collapse drove price below that support level, but it appears this is a “wash out” low price reversal where traders panicked on the news and other events. The fact that this recovery has taken place may cause some to consider this a “dead cat bounce”, but we’re not seeing that in our research. This could/should be the start of something that pushes prices sideways/higher for a few months, at which time we will need to see to these sectors and the rest of the markets are performing to determine if the overall market is still I a bull market or about to drop into its first bear market leg down.



Weekly XLF (Financial Sector) Chart

This next chart is a Weekly XLF (Financial Sector) ETF showing our Fibonacci price modeling system and a similar Support Zone. One thing that is rather interesting about these charts is that they are both moving substantially higher this week while recently breaking above our Fibonacci bullish trigger level (shown near the right side of the chart as a GREEN LINE). The XLF chart also shows that the current price is well above the BLUE and CYAN Fibonacci projected target levels. This indicates that price may be attempting to move back into the earlier Fibonacci price range (retracement range) to establish more rotation. This new price rotation will set up new Fibonacci modeling system trigger points and tell us where the next move is likely to target.



Yes, we do expect some downside rotation near current levels. We don’t expect this rotation to be very deep or concerning. Price must move in waves, up and down, to support future momentum higher or lower. Our Fibonacci modeling system is suggesting any current downside rotation will likely result in a new momentum move to the upside. Still, these sectors are on fire right now and we urge traders to be cautious of any longs because we are expecting some downside price rotation over the next week or two before the next rally.

Pay attention to these markets moves. 2019 is poised to be a very exciting and profitable year for skilled traders and wise investors. Visit The Technical Traders to get our daily and weekly analysis forecast complete with long term investing swing trading, and index day trade signals.

53 years experience in researching and trading makes analyzing the complex and ever changing financial markets a natural process. We have a simple and highly effective way to provide our customers with the most convenient, accurate, and timely market forecasts available today.

Our index, stock and ETF trading alerts are readily available through our exclusive membership service via email and SMS text. Our newsletter, Technical Trading Mastery book, and 3 Hour Trading Video Course are designed for both traders and investors. Also, some of our strategies have been fully automated for the ultimate trading experience.

Chris Vermeulen



Stock & ETF Trading Signals

Friday, January 18, 2019

Crude Oil Will Find Strong Resistance Between $52 - $55

Our Adaptive Fibonacci modeling system is suggesting Crude Oil may have already reached very strong resistance levels just above $50 ppb. It is our opinion that a failed rally above $55 ppb will result in another downward price move where prices could retest the $42 low – or lower.

You can see from this Daily Crude oil chart that price has formed a consolidated price channel between $50 and $53 ppb. This price channel aligns with a November 2018 price consolidation zone. It is our belief that any advance above $55-56 ppb, will result in a new upward price move to $64-65 ppb.



This Weekly crude oil chart highlights the Fibonacci projected price zones that represent the incredibly strong resistance level currently setup in Crude. The Weekly chart shows a zone between $50-56 as a critical resistance zone. One key element of Fibonacci price theory is that price must always attempt to seek out new highs or new lows as it rotates. Thus, if this current upside move fails to establish new highs above this resistance zone, then it must move lower to attempt to establish new lows. This means the $40 price target is a very viable immediate objective.



Global demand for oil, as well as global economic data, could be key to understand the future demand and price for oil. At this point, a new upper fractal top formation will generate new Fibonacci price targets to the downside. If our opinion proves to be correct, we will learn of these new price targets within a few weeks.

Want to learn how we called the move in Oil from $76 to $43?

Visit The Technical Traders Free Research Right Here to read all of our recent research posts.

We help traders find and execute better trade by using our proprietary tools to keep them informed and to alert them to new trade opportunities. Visit The Technical Traders to learn how we can help you make 2019 a fantastic year.

Chris Vermeulen



Stock & ETF Trading Signals

Monday, January 14, 2019

How We Will Play this Potentially Massive Short Squeeze in Natural Gas

Our proprietary Fibonacci predictive modeling system is suggesting Natural Gas is about to break down below the $4.30 level and move aggressively toward the $3.05 - 3.25 level. This could be an incredible move for energy traders and a complete bust for existing longs.

This Weekly Natural Gas chart is showing our Fibonacci Predictive modeling system and highlighting the lower support price targets just above $3.00. We believe price weakness will break the $4.30 level very quickly and drive prices well below the $3.40 level – very likely towards support near $3.25 over the next few weeks.



Our Advanced Adaptive Dynamic Learning predictive price modeling system is showing similar results. It suggests a major price anomaly is setting up in Natural Gas that will prompt a massive downside price move over the next 2 - 3 weeks before an equally incredible price recovery takes place. The total of this predicted price swing is nearly $2.00 ($1.00 down and then $0.85 back to the upside). If this move takes place as our modeling systems are suggesting, this will drive a massive “washout move” pushing the long traders out of their positions on the way down and then pushing a massive short squeeze on the way back up to near $4.00.



This is the type of price swing that makes for incredible success stories if traders can play this move properly. Pay attention to the fact that the lower predicted levels of our ADL system (shown near $3.20) may not be reached in this downward price swing. Our predictive modeling system is suggesting these are the highest probability price outcome based on its internal price and technical analysis. Still, when one takes a good hard look at this chart, it is easy to see the “price anomaly” setup where the current price of Natural Gas is nearly $0.80 above the currently predicted price levels (shown as YELLOW DASHES) and how the ADL Predictive modeling system is suggesting a big downward move is about to unfold.

Want to keep receiving incredible trade setups like this one and learn how our research team and specialized price modeling systems can help you find and execute better trades? Then please visit Technical Traders Ltd. to learn more about our services and tools. We have been helping traders find and execute better educated trading decisions with our specialized tools and research for years. Visit The Technical Traders Free Research to read all of our most recent public research posts and to see how we’ve been calling these market moves over the past few months.

Chris Vermeulen



Stock & ETF Trading Signals

Friday, January 11, 2019

How To Consistently Make Money Day/Swing Trading

This has been the best week in a long time for intraday trades. The last 4 days the SP500 gave us 8 trades and all 8 turned into winners. Each days turning generating between $300 a $1250 per ES mini contract, although these can be traded using the SPY or 3X index ETFs.

Subscribers who day trade are taking this pre-market analysis and setups and making a weeks wage within 1 – 3 hours in the morning before lunch.

What makes these trade triggers is that they are the BROAD market SP500 so if you day trade other stocks knowing the short term market direction each morning add so much power to your other day trades for timing entries and exits.


This chart focuses on today’s spike higher and gap lower. both these played out once again and are based strictly on technical analysis and statistical analysis.







Stock & ETF Trading Signals

Simple Day Trades - Gap Windows and Price Spikes

IMPORTANT NOTE: Pre-market trades like these are posted in our morning update and video only. We don’t want to blanket all our longer term traders with day trades. So if you are an active trader be sure you read our morning update and watch the video with your morning coffee.

The morning gap has filled and our spike targets are being reached as well. Keep in mind, these are short term trade setup which will be implemented into our member’s area in the near future that auto update and post for those of you who want to take advantage of early day trades and be done by 11 am most trading sessions. Once we have things implemented there will be a detailed PDF on how trading these along with a video.




For you longer term traders we are also working on having our swing trade charts and signal post and update automatically in the member’s area as well. Each trading strategy, chart, and signals will run in a separate member’s area page and you will be able to follow and trade the strategies that fit your personality and trading style.

This is going to take us 30 - 60+ days to get things fully set up and running and it’s going to add a lot of value and opportunities for you – Subscribe Now!

Chris Vermeulen
Chief Investment Strategist



Stock & ETF Trading Signals

Wednesday, January 9, 2019

How to Spot a Tradable Market Top

If you are a long term investor, swing trader, or day trader, then you could find one or all of the charts below interesting. What I am going to briefly cover and show you could make you think twice about how you are investing and trading your money. I will be the first to admit you should not, and cannot, always pick market tops or bottoms, but there are certain times when it’s worth betting on one.

Below I have shared three charts, each with a different time frame using daily, 30 minutes, and a 10-minute chart. Each chart also has a different technical analysis technique and strategy applied. Each shorter time frame chart as we work down the page zooms in closer to more imminent price action that should take place over the next few days.

DAILY CHART SIGNALS MARKET TOP – INVESTING/SWING TRADING

The daily chart below shows a clear overall trend which is to the downside. Trends are more likely to continue than they are to reverse, hence the saying “The Trend Is Your Friend.”

A key piece of data on this chart is the blue investing cycle line at the bottom. If this is trending down or below the 50 level, then money should be focused on profiting from falling prices via inverse ETF’s, short selling, or put options.

Equally important are the yellow and baby blue cycle lines at the bottom. When these enter the upper reversal zone, we should expect sellers to step into the market and for the price to fall.



30 MINUTE CHART SIGNALS MARKET TOP – SWING/MOMENTUM TRADING

I apologize for the noisy chart below, a lot is going on there, but if you focus on the yellow text and drawings, it will help keep things simple. This chart shows several reasons why we expect the price to fall. Based on technical and statistical analysis this chart points weakness over the next 1 - 3 trading days.



10-MINUTE CHART SIGNALS MARKET TOP – MOMENTUM/DAY TRADING

Monday night (Jan 7th) after the closing bell the SPY ETF chart generated a sizable price spike to the downside. Those of you who follow our spikes and or at least know about these setups then you know we expect the price to reach at least one if not all spike targets which are 30%, 50%, and 100% of the spike within 36 hours.

So far in 2019 we have has six price spikes five winners, one loser which is an 83% win rate thus far. Today’s spike is abnormally large not sure what that means regarding this one being a success but it is another spike signal, and the odds favor a move down once you see the other analysis supporting this setup.



CONCLUSION

If you are boring long term investor and have been stuck having to ride the stock market roller coaster with your life savings my trading newsletter can help you with your long term portfolio to not only avoid losses but profit from the collapse with one simple inverse exchange traded fund which trades like a stock and you buy and sell it at anytime! Knowing when you put your nest egg to work, and when to back away and protect it is crucial if you want to become wealthy or become wealthy.

On the flip side, if you are an active trader looking for monthly trades then be sure to join the Wealth Building Newsletter today and receive my daily pre-market video analysis, so you understand what took place yesterday, during overnight trading, and what to expect when the market opens.

Subscribe today and become part of our trading community and prosper from the coming market correction and real estate downturn.

Sign Up for Chris Vermeulen's Wealth Building Newsletter Here > The Technical Traders


Stock & ETF Trading Signals

Tuesday, January 8, 2019

Gold Hits Our $1,300 Price Target - What’s Next?

Early trading on January 4, 2019 saw Gold trade just above $1300 per ounce. Confirming our price target from our research and posts on November 24, 2018. The importance of this move cannot be underestimated. Traders and investors need to understand the recent rally in the metals markets are attempting to alert us that FEAR is starting to re-enter the market and that 2019 could start the year off with some extended volatility.

Our research has shown that Gold will likely rotate between $1270 - $1315 over the next 30 - 60 days before attempting to begin another rally. Our next upside price target is near $1500. We will continue to post articles to help everyone understand when and how this move will happen. We expect Gold to rotate near the $1300 level for at least another 30 days before attempting another price rally.

Pay attention to the Support Zone on this Daily Gold chart and understand that price rotation is very healthy for the metals markets at this point. A reprieve in this recent Gold rally would allow the start of 2019 to prompt a moderate rally in the U.S. stock market as well as allow a continued capital shift to take place. As capital re-enters the global equities markets, investors will be seeking the best investment opportunities and safest environments for their capital. Our belief is that the U.S. stock market will become the top tier solution for many of these investments.



This Weekly Gold chart shows our Adaptive Fibonacci price modeling system and why price rotation is important at this time. The highlighted GREEN Fibonacci price target levels on the right side of this chart are projecting upside price objectives for the move that started near mid-November. We can see that $1325 (or so) is the highest target level and that $1273 to $1288 are the lower levels. This suggests that we have already reached the upper resistance range and a mild price rotation would allow for the price to establish a new fractal low rotation that would establish NEW upside Fibonacci price targets. In other words, we much have some price rotation to support the next leg higher in the Metals markets



If you’ve been following our research and comments on the past 90+ days. You’ll already know that we’ve nailed many of these market moves. The SPY, Natural Gas, Oil, Gold, Small Caps and so many more. We’ve been calling for a massive price bottom in the U.S. stock market since well before the November 6th U.S. Elections. Our proprietary predictive modeling systems called the huge moves in Oil, Natural Gas, Gold/Silver, and many others. If you were not profiting from these moves, then you need to visit The Technical Traders to learn how we can help you in 2019. Our memberships are very inexpensive and the support we provide you is incredible for skilled traders.

 Want a team to help you create success in 2019, then visit The Technical Traders and get started creating success.

Chris Vermeulen



Stock & ETF Trading Signals

Monday, January 7, 2019

Natural Gas Trades Through Our $3.20 Target – What Next?

Our trading partner Chris Vermeulen and his research team at the Technical Traders have been nailing the market moves with their proprietary price modeling tools. Our December 12, 2018 call that Natural Gas would collapse nearly 30% after reaching a price peak was a very bold call. Who would have thought that predictive price modeling could be so accurate and could identify a move like this – or call for what is expected to happen next?

Back when Natural Gas breached the $4.60 - 4.80 range, our ADL predictive modeling system was suggesting a massive price anomaly was setting up. These types of triggers are becoming more common as volatility in the general markets increases. The ADL system suggested that a massive -30% downside price move would happen before the end of February 2019.

Now, as that trade has completed and our targets have been reached, we are alerting our followers that natural gas should begin to consolidate between $2.80 and $3.30 before attempting to rocket back above $4.00 near April or May 2019. Read our original analysis of Natural Gas to learn why these moves provide an incredible opportunity for traders and visit The Technical Traders Free Research page to read up on our early 2019 market predictions.



Join our other members in making 2019 an incredibly successful year. We believe 2019 will provide exceptional opportunities for skilled traders and we’ll be happy to share our proprietary research and analysis with you as a member of Technical Traders Ltd. You really don’t want to miss these moves and this incredible opportunity. Think about it, one trade like this with a -30% selloff followed by a 24% price rally could make your entire year. Imagine being able to find trades like this every week or month for success. Visit The Technical Traders and get ready to make 2019 a fantastic year of success no matter if we have a bull market or bear market.

Chris Vermeulen


Stock & ETF Trading Signals

Wednesday, January 2, 2019

What to Expect Within the First 3 to 5 Months of 2019

As we put an end to 2018 we watched the incredible price rotation in the U.S. stock market. Now it is time for traders to take stock of the incredible opportunities that are set up for early 2019 and beyond. Our research team, at The Technical Traders, has put together some truly incredible longer term Adaptive Dynamic Learning (ADL) predictive price modeling system charts that will help you understand and identify incredible opportunities that should play out in early 2019. We know you will not find this type of analysis anywhere else on the planet and we know just how valuable these charts are too skilled traders. So, get ready for some incredible moves – as impossible as they may seem.

Let’s get started with crude oil. This Monthly chart of Crude showing our ADL price modeling system is clearly indicating the first few months of 2019 will include increased price volatility. One thing to pay attention to as we review these charts are the BLUE TRIANGLES, which is where we asked the ADL predictive modeling system for a detailed analysis, and the CYAN, YELLOW, and WHITE DASHED LINES, which is where the ADL system is showing us the highest probability price outcome into the future. On this chart, we can see that the predicted price levels of the past have been relatively close to where the price has closed on each monthly price bar.

Going into the future, we can see 3 to 4 months of price volatility between $50 and $65 (roughly) with rotating higher/lower price objectives. We interpret this as greatly increased price volatility with the potential of supply events disrupting global expectations in oil. These could be intermediate term price rotations that keep the price within our $50-65 price range, or they could be large range, very dramatic price rotations as a result of massive global supply events.

What we can suggest to you, today, is that early 2019 should provide some very interesting short to intermediate term price triggers in oil before price settles back below $50 near June or July 2019.



Next, the Financials/Banks appear to be setting up a very deep “price anomaly” pattern that could become one of the biggest price reversals of early 2019. It is not very often that a 90%+ price move sets up in the markets and this could be just such an event. The ADL predictive price modeling system identifies the highest probability price outcomes by mapping and tracking price and technical setups. You can see from this chart we are asking the ADL modeling system to show us what to expect from the February 2018 price bar.

This price bar is critical because it was a wide range price rotation setup that should be very unique in the ADL DNA mapping. This bar only had 5 similar DNA markers and projected some of the predicted price level, the ones drawn in WHITE, as 50/50 outcomes. The last few outcomes, drawn in YELLOW, reported as 100% probabilities for these predicted target price levels. Therefore, we consider this a very high probability outcome of a very deep “price anomaly” setup that should result in some incredible upside opportunities for skilled traders.

Additionally, if this analysis is correct, the U.S. stock market may, very quickly, rally to attempt to establish new all time highs again in early 2019. This move could happen well before May or June 2019. Be prepared for this move because, currently, there are a bunch of shorts that are predicting a 1929 style market crash. Those shorts are going to get crushed in a massive short squeeze if our ADL predictive modeling results are accurate.



Next, we’ll review the SPY Monthly chart. And, as you can likely see, this chart is similar to the FAS chart above with a very deep price anomaly setup. In fact, you are going to see a few of these types of price anomaly trigger setups in this research post because the very deep downside price move, recently, has prompted these types of price triggers. One thing to consider about price rotation and the recent downside price move is that these types of price swings are very healthy for the overall markets. They act as a method of re-confirming value, support and future expectations by devaluing/deleveraging over extended price levels and shaking up the markets. We think of these types of moves as a “healthy price rotation” that allows the markets to re-establish value and future expectations vs. a type of crisis event.

In addition to this being a very healthy price rotation, we also believe, fundamentally, very little has changed in the past 4+ months in regards to global market events. Europe and China/Asia are still working through their own issues. Credit cycles and global market valuations have been decreasing since early 2018. Overall, the global markets have decreased in value by over 27% since January 2018.

What many traders have failed to understand is that the U.S. markets broke lower on a reaction to the U.S. Fed’s recent rate raises while the rest of the global markets had already experienced a 24% valuation decline. In other words, the U.S. markets broke lower in “capitulation” of expectations that the U.S. Fed may have pushed rates beyond expected boundaries. Now that the U.S. markets have revalued near these recent lows and 2019 is about to start, new expectations are settling into traders minds regarding the current market values and future expectations.

Back to our ADL chart of the SPY, you can see the predicted levels of the ADL system matching with price bars fairly accurately. The current bar, the big red one, is reported as a “neutral probability” (WHITE) target price level which means the ADL system could not determine any viable probability for this price target. The following YELLOW price targets range from 57% probability to 94% probability going out 8+ months. Our interpretation of this is that the current price bar, being a neutral price target near $279.60 reports as a “basis price” in the range of previous price rotation. We believe this level, $279.60, will quickly be recovered in early 2019 before a continued rally pushes prices above $300 sometime around April or May 2019.



Next, one of our favorite charts to gauge the markets and the future expectations of market sectors, the Transportation Index. And, again, you can see a similar price anomaly setup on this chart. The one thing that is very interesting on this chart is that the current price target level for the December 2018 bar has a relatively high ADL probability (68.373%) and the next targeted price level (Jan 2019, near 11,210) has a very high 88.25% probability.

It is our opinion that the Transportation Index will rocket higher in early 2019 and reach levels above 10,800 before the end of March 2019 (possibly much earlier). The ADL predictive modeling system is suggesting that the Transportation Index will stay near 11,500 for much of 2019 and we believe the U.S. stock market and major indexes will reach new all time highs near the start of Q2 2019 and continue to push a bit higher through the middle of 2019.

It is very likely that the U.S. market continues to outperform many other global markets throughout much of 2019 and beyond. We’ve read many expectations that the U.S. markets may fall into some level of “complacency” in 2019, but we are not seeing that in our research. We are seeing the US markets continue to report pricing strength in comparison to other global markets and we believe the US economy will continue to stay strong throughout at least the first 2 to 3 quarters of 2019 – possibly much longer.

Again, this incredible opportunity for skilled traders is showing a potential +23% upside rally that should start in early 2019. Be prepared for some great trades in 2019.



Lastly, the US Dollar. With so many people expecting the US markets to push lower in 2019 and the resulting pressures on the U.S. Dollar (as some analysts expect the Yuan to strengthen while the US Dollar weakens), our ADL predictive modeling systems is suggesting that the US Dollar is currently undervalued by nearly 8%. The early 2019 ADL price targets are near or above $27.50 with the current price being near $25.50. This represents a 7.8% to 8.3% upside price anomaly if our ADL predictive price targets are accurate. This ADL trigger bar, where the BLUE TRIANGLES are on this chart, was a fairly rare price/technical pattern, or DNA marker. It is predicting a 100% probability of these price levels being accurate based on this rare DNA marker. We interpret that outcome as a breakout above $26 in UUP would help to confirm this ADL analysis and the potential that $27.50 to $28.00 is a viable longer term price objective.

Overall, we don’t see any reason to be bearish the U.S. Dollar at the moment. Our ADL predictive modeling system is suggesting the U.S. Dollar is currently undervalued by about 8% and is predicting early 2019 upside potential which indicates the potential for greater global currency volatility in the Euro, the Yuan, and other widely held currencies. If out ADL predictive pricing levels are accurate, it would indicate that we are going to see global currency pricing pressures hit many global currencies fairly early in 2019. Possibly, this could be related to some geopolitical event or some type of isolated credit market event (Italy, Spain, EU, China, Asia). Again, we don’t know what the event will be, but we can assure you that our ADL predictive modeling system is suggesting the U.S. Dollar will increase in value by about 8% in early 2019.



These incredible setups and opportunities for skilled traders can only be found with our proprietary Adaptive Dynamic Learning (ADL) predictive modeling tool. Call it a New Year’s gift or whatever you want to call it. Within this research article, we’ve shown you what we believe are some of the most incredible trading setups to start 2019 and we’re confident in our model’s ability to accurately find and call these moves. Want to learn what other setups our predictive cycle, Fibonacci and ADL systems are showing us? Want to know what the metals are going to do in 2019? Want to know which sectors are going to move and when? Visit The Technical Traders to learn how we help our members find and execute better trades.

Visit The Technical Traders Free Research to review some of our earlier research posts and to see how we’ve been calling these moves accurately for months.

Want to make 2019 a great year with incredible opportunities for success? Join our other members at The Technical Traders today and make 2019 an incredibly successful year.

Chris Vermeulen


Stock & ETF Trading Signals
Stock & ETF Trading Signals