Will a Massive Correction Follow The Recent Stock Market Rally Toward New All Time Highs?

Tune into the January installment as David and Chris talk about the stock market, investor sentiment, the likelihood of a prolonged rally or impending correction, and real estate on The David Lin Report.

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Key questions and topics David asked me include:

1. Is the momentum for the S&P 500 still on the upswing or is a major correction imminent?
2. How is the stock market so good at enticing people to bet on the wrong side?
3. What technical analysis indicators are the best to use to gain insight into investor sentiment and where the markets may go next?
4. What does it mean to be a technical analyst? Why aren’t you an event-driven trader?
5. Do you have open trades with your Technical Investor (TTI), Consistent Growth (CGS), and Best Asset Now (BAN) strategies at the moment?
6. Are we still in the Stage Three topping complacency phase? How long could this last?
7. How are you long in the market but with a bearish outlook? Is there any upside to jumping into the market now?
8. Why do you think the US dollar will do well this year? When the dollar moves, what other assets will be affected?
9. Is gold trading in an aligned fashion with the stock market? Will there be much volatility in the gold or gold miners this year?
10. Has your outlook on investing in residential or commercial real estate changed? Why or why not?

                                                    Watch The Free Interview Here

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Financial Reset In 2024: ‘Everything Will Sell Off’ Except This

Here is the December installment of Chris and David talking all things stock market on The David Lin Report!

Also, stay tuned to learn more about an exciting project that Chris is working on that involves climate science and how this information can be shared via entertainment learning.

Watch The Free Interview Here

Key Questions Asked:

1. The S&P 500 looks like it may end 2023 at a year to date high. Do you think a Santa Claus rally will continue to push the S&P 500 higher?
2. As a chartist, how do you trade with regard to seasonality?
3. Why are whole number prices important to trading?
4. Was there anything surprising over the past year?
5. Is the Russell 2000 heading toward a double top along with the S&P 500?
6. Is hedging a good idea when there is conflicting data concerning short and long-term views/projections/opinions?
7. What is the difference between small and large-cap stocks?
8. If someone handed you a billion dollars, interest-free, and due back in five years, would you take it?
9. How has gold been moving within the trading day and what does this indicate for future direction? Why are miners and silver struggling to break out to the upside? Is silver overdue for a rocketship-style move?
10. Will oil recover from the highs earlier in the year?
11. What are the technicals of the US dollar showing may happen? Will it rip higher and head toward the highs of 2000? What would this mean for precious metals?
12. What are your least and favourite assets for 2024?
13. What is Asset Revesting?
14. Tell us about the Goldilocks Mission you are working on!

Watch The Free Interview Here

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Trading Doesn't Have To Be Complicated If You Have Systems In Place

Chris joins Etienne Crete on the Desire To Trade Podcast to discuss why he believes you don’t need to trade every day to make a living from trading.

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The discussion includes the following questions:

• Chris’ background from his introduction to trading in high school to evolving into the technical trader that he is today.

• Treat trading like a business. How to become a consistently profitable trader. Why blowing up your account can be one of the hardest and best lessons to learn from on the journey to becoming the trader you want to be.

• Chris’ trading style, Asset Revesting, rests between active trading and passive investing. How is this different than what most people do.

• Why following price is so important when deciding what to trade.

• How the market moves in wave-like patterns.

• What an asset hierarchy is.

• Why taking profits during a trade is so important.

• What the Consistent Growth Strategy (CGS) is all about.

• Setting the proper expectations is an important mindset to cultivate.

• ‘Money Protection Mode’ – deploying risk management and position sizing tools.

• What are the indications that the market is about to reverse?

• Chris’ thoughts on fully trusting and following a system and strategy.

        Listen To The Free Podcast Here

Understanding Market Dynamics To Identify Changing Trends

Chris sits down with Craig Hemke of Sprott Money to talk about where the markets may be going. Topics and questions we cover include the following:

• What are the best assets to be in as we move into September and the coming Fall season? 
• If Crude and Gold are holding their value, what does this indicate may happen to the overall markets next?
• What does it mean if Copper continues to decline?
• As yields go higher, is there potential for Bonds (TLT) to test new lows?
• Should investors who have the buy and hold strategy being deployed in their portfolios begin to consider a different strategy?
• What will turn a fear of missing out (FOMO) into outright fear in the market?
• Looking at the Gold chart, what levels should we be watching now for support and resistance?

          Watch Todays Free Video Here

Chris Joins Mark Yegge on Wealth Architect Podcast to Delve Deep Into Technical Trading And Asset Reinvesting

Topics and questions discussed include:

• The history of how Chris came to trade the way he does now.
• Fundamental vs Technical analysis.
• Why controlling emotions, setting proper expectations, and using risk management tools are so important to trading and investing results.
• What trading the ‘waves,’ including using a cash position, can do for your account balances.
• The sweet spot between passive investing and active trading.
• The truth behind why we always think we ‘have’ to be in the market.
• Why blocking out the ‘noise’ is so important when sticking to your trading and investing game plan.
• Moving averages and volume – are these good indicator tools to help gauge where the markets may go next or whether you should buy or sell?

Watch Today's Free Video Here

Should You Hedge Your Investments In Case The U.S. Defaults On Its Debt?

Get ready for a stellar interview as Chris Vermeulen gets down to business with David Lin on his new channel, The David Lin Report! Watch Today's Free Video Here

Six Key Topics Covered:

What is the stock market waiting for before finally picking a direction? Will the consolidation move to the upside? What is a short squeeze? Do news based events, such as the possibility of a US Debt Default, factor into your trades? Will a black swan event happen?

Is there a way to hedge against a potential U.S. Debt default, and is this a viable plan? How should investors work to protect their capital? Is cash a good position to take during market volatility?

At what point in Chris’ career did he settle on the style of trading he believes in and practices now? What other strategies or trading styles did he try, and what happened? When risk management is the main priority (protecting capital), and the stock market outperforms, will Chris change his strategy?

What is the price chart of bonds indicating may happen? Is it possible that they can break down as fast as they recently climbed? If people are moving out of traditional safe havens like bonds, where are they investing?

The disconnect between gold and gold miners persists. Why is this? Will it take a financial reset to align precious metals and miners again?

Do you share personal anecdotes do you share in your newly published books Asset Revesting or the Second Edition of Technical Trading Mastery? And what is Asset Revesting?

Watch Today's Free Video Here

Gold and Silver Outlook - What's The Good, The Bad, And The Ugly?

Chris sits down with Charlotte McLeod of Investing News Network, who kickstarts the session with a high level look at gold. to talk about where the markets were and where they may be going next. 

Through the lens of technical analysis, Chris & Craig discuss the answers to the following questions....Watch Here.

Setting Proper Expectations While Learning How To Trade/Invest For Growth Using ETFs

Continuing with our sneak peek week, welcome to an example of the Monday video report our CGS subscribers receive. Typically I will cover market movements from a high level perspective, going over the pops and drops, market sentiment, ETF trends, and market phases of the preceding week and then looking at where the markets may be headed next. 

I will often also include my thoughts on a frequently asked question – and the main topic of last week’s emails was why our CGS strategy is out of the market and protecting our capital at the moment….Watch The Video Here.

Applying Trend Momentum and Panic Buying & Selling Indicators to the S&P 500 $SPY

Quite often we are asked about two of the indicators we use in my pre-market report videos. One is proprietary, and one is not. The proprietary trend momentum indicator runs on the 30 minute chart of regular trading hours only. For those of you who don’t know, that’ll be the green, red, and orange bar chart on the left side of the video screen. 

This indicator helps to filter out the noise of futures or after hours trading and allows me to more accurately gauge the direction the market may go next. For example, if an overbought zone (shaded red bars) appears, it can be a hint that the market is about to change directions....Continue Reading Here.

Why Gold And Oil Falling In Value Are A Bad Sign For 2023

In the past two weeks, stocks have struggled to break through resistance and extend the holiday rally. I wrote about it in the post Stock Indexes Rejected At Resistance Signal Another Correction. But what is a more bearish sign is seeing commodity prices starting to fall. There are a couple of reasons this is a warning signal for traders and investors, and I will show you exactly what they are....Continue Reading Here.

Gold Starting Stage 4 Decline: What Does This Mean For Investors?

It has been an interesting year, with stocks down nearly 25% and the bond ETF TLT down over 40% since the 2020 highs. 

The passive buy and hold investor is becoming panicked, and we can see this in the stock market through the mass selling of utility stocks, dividend stocks, and bonds. 

When the masses become fearful, they liquidate nearly all assets in their portfolios which is why we see the Big Blue chip stocks selling off along with precious metals. 

As investors liquidate around the world, they focus on where their money can still be preserved. With most currencies falling in value, there is a flood toward the U.S. dollar index as the safety play....Continue Reading Here.

Where The SP500 Is Headed Next Week

Everyone wishes they knew where the stock market was going to go next. What sector is going to rally? When is the subsequent market sell off? When and where to put your money to work are the questions strive to figure out. Nothing is perfect. You cannot predict the future, but if you follow something close enough, you can get a good feeling of where it’s headed next, based on what it has recently been doing.

There are two moving averages here, the 50 day and the 20 day moving average. When the price is above these moving averages in general, and they’re sloping upwards, this means the market is most likely going to continue to trend higher.

When the price is sloping down, the price is below the moving average, and the 20 day moving average is below the 50 day, just what the market is doing this week; this tells us that there’s actually a mixed market signal. The market is struggling and in a new. As the saying goes, “the trend is your friend,” so it’s always best to trade with the market trend for the chart time frame you are following....Continue Reading Here

How To Trade When There Is Panic Selling In The Market

Straight from me to you – what you should do when panic selling hits the market. Should you follow the pack or hold firm?

As technical traders when all indicators are saying to get out of the market, then this is exactly what should be done. We do not fight a downward trend that is more likely to continue in that direction than it is to reverse. Do I like selling at a loss, of course not. But holding positions when all indicators are saying to sell is not a smart move – it’s an emotional one.

When fear hits the market and panic selling commences, yet all indicators show that the overall market remains in an uptrend, it’s best to hold on through the wave. The market will shake out those who caved to emotion and gave the sell orders to their brokers. To learn more about what to look for and how to trade when there is panic and fear....Listen to the Report Here.

Learn How to Take Advantage of Volatility And Profit From It

Volatility is the most common way to measure risk in the financial markets. While there are a plethora of methods, calculations, and derivatives to calculate volatility, they are all trying to accomplish the same goal: what is the price of a security going to do in the future? Without a crystal ball, there’s no perfect answer, but let’s go through a few common ways that we can estimate future volatility.

Let’s Talk Volatility

Generally speaking, there are two types of volatility that traders and investors use in an effort to understand risk – historical volatility and implied volatility....Continue Reading Here.

 

Utilities Continues To Rally – Is It Sending A Warning Signal Yet?

We have experienced an incredible rally in many sectors over the past 5+ months. My research team has been pouring over the charts trying to identify how the next few weeks and months may play out in terms of continued trending or risks of some price volatility setting up. We believe the Utilities Sector may hold the key to understanding how and when the US markets will reach some level of stronger resistance as many sector ETFs are trading in new all time high price ranges.

Utilities Sector Resistance at $71.10 Should Not Be Ignored

The Utilities Sector has continued to rally since setting up a unique bottom in late February 2021. A recent double top setup, near $68, suggests resistance exists just above current trading levels. Any continuation of this uptrend over the next few weeks, targeting the $70 Fibonacci 100% Measured Move, would place the XLU price just below the previous pre COVID19 highs near $71.10 (the MAGENTA Line).

My research suggests the momentum up this recent uptrend may continue to push prices higher into early May, quite possibly setting up the Utilities ETF for a rally above $70. Yet, we believe the resistance near $71.10 will likely act as a strong barrier for price and may prompt a downward price correction after the completion of the Fibonacci 100% Measured Price Move. In other words, the recent rally across many sectors will likely continue for a bit longer before key resistance levels begin to push many sectors into some sideways trading ranges....Continue Reading Here.

Latest Price Targets for Gold, Silver and Platinum

Join Chris Vermeulen as he provides an overview, chart patterns, and projected trends for the gold, silver, and platinum markets for the upcoming quarter.

Patterns always repeat. Sometimes they take months or years but they always repeat. Gold’s 8 months consolidation is nothing new when we look at 2008 where we lost 34% before bouncing off the .382 and .5 Fibonacci retracement area between $741-$650. 

We then found its next resistance at the .618 ext around $1153 before it began to scream higher to the 1 ext at over $1900 an ounce. As Rick Rule President and CEO of Sprott says, “if past is prologue” and we pull back to the same fib level as 2008, we are there right now or could go as low as $1560. But how high will it go?

Silver blasted out of its multi-year basing formation last year to around $30 an ounce before falling to a low around $22, between the .382 and .5 Fibonacci extensions. We have strong support between $20 and $21, but it is still in a strong bull flag pattern. Where will this bull flag pattern take us?

Not as many people are interested in Platinum as it has been pretty dormant after crashing in 2008, when it was at a premium to gold. The chart looks very different from Gold with more of a “random” feel. Platinum just tested its recent high in 2016 around $1200 an ounce which is bullish, however it still has a long way to go before it tests support like gold around the .382/.5 Fibonacci retracement levels.

Overall, we never know if gold, silver, platinum, or palladium will go ballistic first so it can be a good strategy to own a basket of all of them in a balanced, diversified portfolio....Read More Here.

Find Out Which ETFs Will Benefit From as a Stronger U.S. Dollar Reacts to Global Market Concerns

The recent news of Hedge Fund and other institutional crisis events has opened many eyes as investors and traders realize the post 2008-09 global market credit bubble has extended well beyond what many people may realize. 

Recent news that China offered a “deferment” for Chinese corporations and state run enterprises content with shadow banking credit/debt issues at a time when China is tightening monetary policy shows that a process, like the 2008 Lehman incident, may be setting up where institutional level credit/debt liabilities ripple through the global markets as global central banks attempt to reign in monetary policies.

This process is not likely to happen suddenly though. If this type of contraction in global monetary policy takes place, resulting in increased pressures to contain excessive credit/debt functions in the markets, then we believe the process may result in an extended 9 to 16+ months of “hit-and-miss” events leading up to a potentially bigger event. 

The Archegos Fund forced unwinding of trades hit the markets recently as a wake-up call. Prior to the Archegos event, the Greensill Capital collapse shocked the global markets because of the size and scope of this failure. Now, we see Credit Suisse issuing warnings that Q1 earnings may have taken a big hit because of exposure to the Greensill and Archegos assets – which is leading to Credit Suisse attempting to put the Gupta Trading Unit into insolvency....Read More Here.

How to Spot Boom and Bust Cycles

One of the most important aspects of trading is being able to properly identify major market cycles and trends. The markets will typically move between four separate stages: Bottoming/Basing, Rallying, Topping/Distribution, and Bearish Trending. Each of these phases of market trends is often associated with various degrees of market segment trending as well. 

 For example, one of the most telling phrases of when the stock market is nearing an eventual Topping/Distribution phase is when the housing market gets super-heated. Yet, one of the most difficult aspects of this Excess Phase rally trend is that it can last many months or years, and usually longer than many people expect.

When an Excess Phase rally is taking place in the stock market, we expect to see the Lumber vs. Gold ratio moving higher and typically see the RSI indicator stay above 50. Demand for lumber, a commodity necessary for building, remodeling, and other consumer essential spending, translates well as an economic barometer for big ticket consumer spending. 

Extreme peaks in this ratio can often warn of a pending shift in consumer spending and how the stock market reacts to an Excess Phase Peak. Let’s take a look at some of the historical reference points on this longer term Weekly Lumber vs. Gold chart....Read More Here.

Are The U.S. Markets Sending a Warning Sign?

After an incredible rally phase that initiated just one day before the US elections in November 2020, we’ve seen certain sectors rally extensively. Are the markets starting to warn us that this rally phase may be stalling? We noticed very early that some of the strongest sectors appear to be moderately weaker on the first day of trading this week. Is it because of Triple-Witching this week (Friday, March 19, 2021)? Or is it because the Treasury Yields continue to move slowly higher? What’s really happening right now and should traders/investors be cautious?

The following XLF Weekly chart shows how the Financial sector rallied above the upper YELLOW price channel, which was set from the 2018 and pre COVID-19 2020 highs. Early 2021 was very good for the financial sector overall, we saw a 40%+ rally in this over just 6 months on expectations that the US economy would transition into a growth phase as the new COVID vaccines are introduced.

We are also concerned about an early TWEEZERS TOP pattern that has set up early this week. If price continues to move lower as we progress through futures contract expiration week, FOMC, and other data this week, then we may see some strong resistance setting up near $35.25. Have the markets gotten ahead of themselves recently? Could we be setting up for a moderately deeper pullback in price soon?....Read More Here.

Platinum Begins Big Breakout Rally....What Does That Mean for Investors & Traders?

If you were not paying attention, Platinum began to rally much higher over the past 3+ days – initiating a new breakout rally and pushing well above the $1250 level. What you may not have noticed with this breakout move is that commodities are hot – and inflation is starting to heat up. What does that mean for investors/traders?

Daily Platinum Chart Shows Clear Breakout Trend

First, Platinum is used in various forms for industrial and manufacturing, as well as jewelry and numismatic functions (minting/collecting). This move in Platinum is more likely related to the increasing inflationary pressures we’ve seen in the Commodity sector coupled with the increasing demand from the surging global economy (nearing a post-COVID-19 recovery). The most important aspect of this move is the upward pricing pressure that will translate into Gold, Silver, and Palladium.

We’ve long suggested that Platinum would likely lead a rally in precious metals and that a breakout move in platinum could prompt a broader uptrend in other precious metals. Now, the combination of this type of rally in Platinum combined with the Commodity rally and the inflationary pressures suggests the global markets could be in for a wild ride over the next 12 to 24+ months....Read More Here.