How Much Upward Momentum Is Left In The Stock Market and Economy?

 What Danny and Chris talk about in this free video....

• How I went from a high school investing project to where I am today.

• What my high level view of the market is right now.

• Of the eleven key sectors in the market, which are outperforming the SP500?

• Any insights on timing for a trader?

• What should be on the radar screen for investors and traders?

• Do I short-sell at all? If not, what do you do instead when the stock market enters a stage 4 decline?

• How deep do I see the impending correction going?

• What do I see for precious metals and commodities?

• What ratios do I look at for money flow?

• What I use as criteria for entering and exiting trades.

• A question from Danny’s previous guest – “What asset would you buy today that you plan to hold for 100 years?”

• What question do I want to ask Danny’s next guest – “Is Tesla a buy at this stage for insane growth?”

• What I want to leave the audience with.

Watch The Free Interview Here

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Will a Massive Correction Follow The Recent Stock Market Rally Toward New All Time Highs?

Tune into the January installment as David and Chris talk about the stock market, investor sentiment, the likelihood of a prolonged rally or impending correction, and real estate on The David Lin Report.

Watch The Free Interview Here

Key questions and topics David asked me include:

1. Is the momentum for the S&P 500 still on the upswing or is a major correction imminent?
2. How is the stock market so good at enticing people to bet on the wrong side?
3. What technical analysis indicators are the best to use to gain insight into investor sentiment and where the markets may go next?
4. What does it mean to be a technical analyst? Why aren’t you an event-driven trader?
5. Do you have open trades with your Technical Investor (TTI), Consistent Growth (CGS), and Best Asset Now (BAN) strategies at the moment?
6. Are we still in the Stage Three topping complacency phase? How long could this last?
7. How are you long in the market but with a bearish outlook? Is there any upside to jumping into the market now?
8. Why do you think the US dollar will do well this year? When the dollar moves, what other assets will be affected?
9. Is gold trading in an aligned fashion with the stock market? Will there be much volatility in the gold or gold miners this year?
10. Has your outlook on investing in residential or commercial real estate changed? Why or why not?

                                                    Watch The Free Interview Here

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Understanding Market Dynamics To Identify Changing Trends

Chris sits down with Craig Hemke of Sprott Money to talk about where the markets may be going. Topics and questions we cover include the following:

• What are the best assets to be in as we move into September and the coming Fall season? 
• If Crude and Gold are holding their value, what does this indicate may happen to the overall markets next?
• What does it mean if Copper continues to decline?
• As yields go higher, is there potential for Bonds (TLT) to test new lows?
• Should investors who have the buy and hold strategy being deployed in their portfolios begin to consider a different strategy?
• What will turn a fear of missing out (FOMO) into outright fear in the market?
• Looking at the Gold chart, what levels should we be watching now for support and resistance?

          Watch Todays Free Video Here

Has A New Super Cycle For Gold Already Begun?

Chris sits down with Craig Hemke of Sprott Money to talk about where the markets were and where they may be going next. Through the lens of technical analysis, Chris & Craig discuss the answers to the following questions:

Is there a potential triple top coming for Gold? 

Will a pause and pivot from the Fed, the ongoing regional banking crisis, a massive yield curve inversion, and/or other news based moves have any effect on this?

With the size of the Gold pattern, what chart is better to glean information from – daily, weekly, or monthly?

Though lagging behind gold, Silver is starting a short term move up. Is now the time when it will begin to catch up?

Typically miners outperform precious metals, but right now, they are way off the highs. What does this mean for the upside potential of metals?

The financial/banking sector continues to be under pressure. What will happen if the lows of 2020 are broken?

Are dividends worth holding onto an asset that is falling in value?

Watch Today's Free Video Here

 

What Influence Does The Market Actually Have On Gold And Silver Prices?

Chris sits down with Craig Hemke of Sprott Money to talk about where the markets were and where they may be going next. Through the lens of technical analysis, Chris & Craig discuss the answers to the following questions:

* Will the gold and silver miners continue to test the 5 DMA and

   keep to their strong uptrend? And for how long?

* The daily chart of the QQQ shows that after the SVB collapse and subsequent bailout, the tech sector

   ripped to the upside. So why is the Russell 2000 going in the opposite direction? What is the disconnect?

* What are indicators, for example, Fibonacci extensions, candles & wicks, cups & handles, etc., showing

   may happen to the markets overall and to individual sectors?

* Why are metals and miners still heading in the opposite direction? Does this have any correlation to what

   is happening in the banking sector?

* What are the upside projections for gold and silver?

* And finally, at the end of the day, which do you think will ultimately produce a bigger return – high risk &

   high reward OR low risk & medium reward?

Watch Today's Free Video Here

Gold’s Momentum and Underperforming Gold Miners – Is A Breakout Rally Imminent?

In the video, we discuss the recent momentum in gold prices and the underperformance of gold miners. Gold is trading near its highs, while gold miners are still down by around 30%. 

The mismatch in performance between gold and gold miners raises concerns and suggests caution, as it may indicate a temporary rise in gold prices. Gold miners may not catch up with gold prices until the stock market experiences a sustained rally. 

The current situation in the gold market remains convoluted and confusing, and the next major super cycle rally may not happen until later this year or next year….Watch Here.

Metals and Market Teetering On The Brink Of A Big Move

Chris sits down with Craig Hemke of Sprott Money to talk about how much longer the stage three complacency phase for stocks may last. The previous two stage four declines were in 2001 and 2008. Being that we have now gone 14 years since the last major correction, now may just be the time to shift focus from pulling in huge returns to protecting the capital we already have....Watch The Free Video Here.

Are You Ready For When Opportunity Knocks? Sprott PM Projections

Chris sits down with Craig Hemke of Sprott Money to talk about current opportunities and where the market may go next through the lens of technical analysis. By focussing on the price charts only, all additional news based noise falls away, and a clearer picture emerges about where an opportunity to invest exists....Continue Reading Here.

Is A Full Fledged Bear Market On The Horizon and The Rally In Precious Metals?

Chris Vermeulen sits down with David Lin of Kitco News to discuss the current market and asset class cycles – a very important concept to understand when positioning investments. Looking at the stages of the market and the emotions of investors and trades, the question comes up of whether we are about to start a new bull market or are hovering on the edge of a complacency phase, about to tip into a full-fledged bear market....Continue Reading Here.

Monthly Outlook For Precious Metals Super Cycle - Today’s Free Video

Chris Vermeulen discusses the current state of various markets, including the stock market, and suggests that there may be a bear market on the horizon. 

He also discusses the potential for a “supercycle” in precious metals, specifically gold and silver, and suggests that there may be opportunities for investment in these areas....Watch Video Here.

New Gold Apex Pattern - How Will The U.S. Fed Rate Decision Affect This?

My research shows a new Gold Apex pattern is set up for September 11th - 15th. Around September 11th or after, Gold will attempt to reach this new Apex level near $1766. This price pattern is important because the US Fed rate decision date is September 20th - 21st, and a host of economic data reporting comes out the week before the Fed decision.

My educated guess is Gold & Silver will begin a volatile breakout move, possibly rolling lower to retest support near $1672, before attempting to move higher as global fear starts to elevate. I believe the current lower support level is critical to understanding the opportunities in Gold. If the $1672 level is breached to the downside, it means that Gold has lost a critical support level and will likely trend lower....Continue Reading Here.

Utilities Rising & Transporters Sinking - Sector Rotation Is Providing Clues

Historically, investors gravitate toward more defensive and commodity focused sectors, such as precious metals, energy, commodities, and utilities, in late cycle bull markets. Recently, the stock market is beginning to show us signs that the bull market may be coming to an end. 

Commodities such as energy, grains, and precious metals have all experienced nice rallies. Price action also confirms money flow coming out of transports and into utilities....Continue Reading Here.

How to Spot Boom and Bust Cycles

One of the most important aspects of trading is being able to properly identify major market cycles and trends. The markets will typically move between four separate stages: Bottoming/Basing, Rallying, Topping/Distribution, and Bearish Trending. Each of these phases of market trends is often associated with various degrees of market segment trending as well. 

 For example, one of the most telling phrases of when the stock market is nearing an eventual Topping/Distribution phase is when the housing market gets super-heated. Yet, one of the most difficult aspects of this Excess Phase rally trend is that it can last many months or years, and usually longer than many people expect.

When an Excess Phase rally is taking place in the stock market, we expect to see the Lumber vs. Gold ratio moving higher and typically see the RSI indicator stay above 50. Demand for lumber, a commodity necessary for building, remodeling, and other consumer essential spending, translates well as an economic barometer for big ticket consumer spending. 

Extreme peaks in this ratio can often warn of a pending shift in consumer spending and how the stock market reacts to an Excess Phase Peak. Let’s take a look at some of the historical reference points on this longer term Weekly Lumber vs. Gold chart....Read More Here.

Bonds And Stimulus Are Driving Big Sector Trends And Shifting Capital

Falling Bonds and rising yields are creating a condition in the global markets where capital is shifting away from Technology, Communication Services and Discretionary stocks have suddenly fallen out of favor, and Financials, Energy, Real Estate, and Metals/Miners are gaining strength. The rise in yields presents an opportunity for Banks and Lenders to profit from increased yield rates. In addition, historically low interest rates have pushed the Real Estate sector, including commodities towards new highs.

We also note Miners and Metals have shown strong support recently as the US Dollar and Bonds continue to collapse. The way the markets are shifting right now is suggesting that we may be close to a technology peak, similar to the DOT COM peak, where capital rushes away from recently high flying technology firms into other sectors (such as Banks, Financials, Real Estate, and Energy).

The deep dive in Bonds and the US Dollar aligns with the research we conducted near the end of 2020, which suggested a market peak may set up in late February. We also suggested the markets may continue to trade in a sideways (rounded top) type of structure until late March or early April 2021. Our tools and research help us to make these predictions nearly 4 to 5+ months before the markets attempt to make these moves....You Can Read This Research Here.

Gold Setting Up Major Bottom So Could We See A Breakout Rally Begin Soon?

There has been quite a bit of chatter related to precious metals lately. The rally in Cryptos, particularly Bitcoin, and various other stocks have raised expectations that Gold and Silver have been overlooked as a true hedging instrument. As these rallies continue in various other stocks and sectors, Gold and Silver have continued to trade sideways over the past 6+ months – when and how will it end?

Gold Support Near $1765 May Become a New Launchpad

My research team and I believe the recent downside trend in Gold has reached a support level, near $1765, that will act as a launching pad for a potentially big upside price trend. This support level aligns with previous price highs (May 2020 through June 2020) after the Covid-19 price collapse, which we believe is an indication of a strong support level. As you can see from the Gold Futures Weekly chart below, if Gold price levels hold above $1765 then we feel the next upside rally in metals could prompt a move targeting $2160, then $2400....Read More Here.

Platinum Begins Big Breakout Rally....What Does That Mean for Investors & Traders?

If you were not paying attention, Platinum began to rally much higher over the past 3+ days – initiating a new breakout rally and pushing well above the $1250 level. What you may not have noticed with this breakout move is that commodities are hot – and inflation is starting to heat up. What does that mean for investors/traders?

Daily Platinum Chart Shows Clear Breakout Trend

First, Platinum is used in various forms for industrial and manufacturing, as well as jewelry and numismatic functions (minting/collecting). This move in Platinum is more likely related to the increasing inflationary pressures we’ve seen in the Commodity sector coupled with the increasing demand from the surging global economy (nearing a post-COVID-19 recovery). The most important aspect of this move is the upward pricing pressure that will translate into Gold, Silver, and Palladium.

We’ve long suggested that Platinum would likely lead a rally in precious metals and that a breakout move in platinum could prompt a broader uptrend in other precious metals. Now, the combination of this type of rally in Platinum combined with the Commodity rally and the inflationary pressures suggests the global markets could be in for a wild ride over the next 12 to 24+ months....Read More Here.

Our Custom Valuations Index Suggests Precious Metals Will Decline Before Their Next Attempt to Rally

My team prepares Custom Valuations Index charts to understand how capital is being deployed in the global markets alongside U.S. Dollar and Treasury Yields. The purpose of the Custom Index charts in this article is to provide better insight into and understanding of underlying capital movements in various market conditions. 

 Recently, we discovered the Custom Index chart shares a keen alignment with Gold (and likely the general precious metals sector). Let’s explore our recent analysis to help readers understand what to expect next in precious metals.

Weekly Custom Valuations Index Chart

The first thing that caught my attention was the very clear decline in the weekly Custom Valuations Index recently, as can be seen in the chart below. The second peak on the Custom Valuations Index chart occurred on the week of August 3, 2020. Gold also peaked at this very same time. This alignment started an exploratory analysis of the Custom Valuations Index and the potential alignment with the precious metals sector....Read More Here.

Review of our recent BAN trade in SILJ

After recently closing our SILJ BAN trade, I want to take this opportunity to dissect our trade, including the process of selecting the proper exit targets and protecting capital within a trade. The BAN Trader Pro strategy incorporates these same techniques automatically within the decision making process of generating signals and taking trades.

With our recent SILJ trade, we initiated the entry on the upside breakout in price on November 5, 2020 – near $15.50. This upside breakout move prompted a new BAN trade trigger with SILJ near the top of the BAN Hotlist, suggesting further upside trending would continue.

Of course, nothing ever happens 100% as expected... like the announcement of Pfizer's vaccine being 90% effective coming out only days after making the trade! The immediate downturn in price activity resulted in our SILJ trade staying below our entry price for more than 30 days. Read on to see how we still made money on the trade....Read More Here.

Gold Wave Forecast - Is Gold Going to $3,750 or Higher?

Watching gold fall to recent lows over the past few weeks has been heartbreaking for gold bugs. We know the real value of precious metals has continued to be under appreciated over the past 24+ months – even though gold has rallied from $1165 to over $2085 (an incredible 79%). The recent 15% decline in gold has shaken some investors away from the longer term opportunities, so we wanted to share our research and highlight some simple Elliot Wave structures with you.

My research team and I believe the recent downward price trend in gold is an ideal setup for an intermediate wave 4 pullback of a broader wave 3 advance. In other words, we believe gold is in the midst of a broad advance cycle that may eventually push price levels to $5000 and above. But, we’ll focus on right now and what we believe is setting up from a technical analysis perspective.

The first thing to remember about Elliot Wave Analysis is that we must consider the broad market trends, the intermediate market trends, and the short term wave formations. With almost all types of technical analysis, we focus on different time perspectives of price trends and setups to help us better determine opportunities and outcomes....Continue Reading Here.

Gold and Silver Supercycles Explored

Heading into what will likely become one of the biggest events in American political history on November 3, the US stock markets are holding up quite well on Monday, November 2. My team and I have published a number of articles recently suggesting we believe wild price swings and increased volatility is to be expected before and after the US elections. 

We have even suggested a couple of stock trades that we believe should do fairly well 60+ days after the elections are complete. Right now, we want to bring your attention to the Silver Junior Miners ETF (SILJ).

The current Pennant/Flag formation that is setting up in SILJ on the following Monthly chart has peaked our attention. Diminishing volume and moderately strong support above the $12 price level suggest key resistance near $15.05 will likely be retested as metals and miners continue to attract safe-haven capital after the elections. The Apex of the Pennant/Flag formation appears to be nearly complete – a breakout or breakdown move is pending. We believe the uncertainty of the elections will prompt a possible breakout (upside) price trend in the near future....Continue Reading Here.