Showing posts with label trading. Show all posts
Showing posts with label trading. Show all posts

Thursday, April 24, 2025

The High Cost Of Timing The Markets Or Buy And Hold

 Protecting Capital Should Come Before Growing Wealth 

In the world of investing, three distinct styles of trading dominate: active trading (ex., timing the markets), passive investing (ex., buy and hold investing), and asset revesting (ex., tactical position management). Each has its own logic, approach, emotional response, and result. But as history shows time and again, only one of these paths consistently protects your hard earned capital and gives you the ability to grow wealth without being at the mercy of market chaos. 


Understanding the implications of each, especially during volatile periods, is crucial for investors aiming to protect and grow their wealth. Let’s break down the dangers, behaviors, and long term projections of each and show why tactical technical strategies like Asset Revesting offer a smarter, safer, and more empowering way to invest. 

Timing The Markets: “This Has to Be the Bottom… Right?” 

Bottom pickers, for example, try to time market reversals by “buying the dip,” believing they’re entering at rock-bottom prices. The idea seems seductive: buy low, sell high. But more often than not, bottom picking becomes bottom guessing — and the cost is staggering. 


The Emotional Rollercoaster: 

  • Fear when the market keeps dropping after they buy. 
  • Hope as they convince themselves it will bounce back. 
  • Desperation when losses grow and they freeze, unsure whether to sell or double down. 
  • Shame and regret when they realize they’ve been trying to catch a falling knife. 


Real World Consequences: 

  • Portfolio drawdowns of 30%, 40%, and even 60% are common. 
  • Capital destruction makes recovery extremely hard. A 50% loss requires a 100% gain to break even. 
  • Lost confidence as investors exit at the worst possible time — locking in losses. 


If They Don’t Change: 

They’ll remain stuck in a boom-bust cycle, chasing bottoms, constantly fighting uphill battles to recover. Their wealth shrinks, and emotionally, investing becomes painful and discouraging. Is this you? 

The Buy and Hold Investor: “I’m In It for the Long Run” 

Buy and hold investors ride out every wave. They buy broad market indexes or quality stocks and hold through thick and thin, trusting markets to recover over time. 


The Emotional Drain: 

  • Anxiety during market crashes as account values plummet. 
  • Frustration during long sideways markets where little to no growth happens. 
  • FOMO when other strategies seem to outperform in short bursts. 
  • Resignation as they accept the market will “eventually” recover — even if it takes years. 


Long-Term Risks: 

  • Endure bear markets and corrections with no protection. 
  • Time becomes the biggest variable. Many investors can’t emotionally (or financially) afford to wait 5–10 years to recover losses. 
  • Risk retiring at the wrong time — right after a major market drop, locking in losses forever. 


If They Don’t Change: 

They’ll likely achieve average returns with above-average stress. The strategy works mathematically, but emotionally and practically, many investors bail out before the benefits materialize — especially after watching their portfolios drop 30–50%. Is this you? 

The Technical Strategy Follower: “Protect First, Grow Second” 

Strategies like Asset Revesting are based on reading the market’s behavior using price, volume, and trend indicators. This tactical approach doesn’t predict tops or bottoms or blindly hold through crashes. Instead, it dynamically adjusts, moving to defensive assets or cash during danger zones and re-entering only when conditions are favorable. 


The Emotional Experience: 

  • Confidence from knowing risk is actively managed. 
  • Calm from avoiding steep drawdowns during bear markets. 
  • Discipline replacing emotion-driven decisions. 
  • Empowerment because the strategy adapts to what the market is doing, not what someone hopes it will do. 


Real World Benefits: 

  • Smaller drawdowns mean faster recoveries and less emotional damage. 
  • More consistent growth, without the deep valleys of traditional approaches.
  • Cash isn’t seen as dead weight — it’s a protective asset that buys opportunity later.


If They Stick With It: 

They’ll avoid major bear market pain, grow wealth steadily, and maintain peace of mind. Over time, compounding consistent gains with minimal drawdowns outperforms both bottom pickers and most buy-and-hold portfolios — especially when the next bear market inevitably hits. Or is this you? 

Projecting the Future: Choose Your Path 

If you answered yes to either of the top two strategies, consider the following strategic adjustments: 

  • Market Timers: Shifting to a more disciplined strategy, such as asset revesting, can mitigate emotional decision-making and enhance capital preservation.   
  • Buy-and-Hold Investors: Incorporating tactical adjustments based on technical analysis may improve risk management without abandoning the core long-term perspective. 
Strategy Emotional Toll Typical Outcome If Continued If Switched to Technical 
Timing the Market High stress, regret Repeated losses Wealth erosion Recovery + protection 
Buy-and-Hold Moderate to high stress Average returns Long recoveries Smoother ride, better growth 
Tactical Strategy Low stress, high clarity Above-average returns Compounded growth, calm Stay the course 

The Bottom Line 

You can’t grow your wealth if you’re constantly repairing damage. And you can’t stay confident in your plan if every market pop or drop sends your emotions spiraling. 

Timing the markets is gambling. Buy and hold is passive faith. Tactical technical revesting is intelligent action. 


If you want to not only survive the market but thrive in it — through all conditions — then it’s time to prioritize capital protection over blind growth. Wealth builds faster when it’s not constantly being repaired. 


👉 Change your strategy. Change your future. Click Here.


Chris Vermeulen 
Chief Investment Officer 
TheTechnicalTraders.com 


Monday, July 8, 2024

How Much Upward Momentum Is Left In The Stock Market and Economy?

 What Danny and Chris talk about in this free video....

  • How I went from a high school investing project to where I am today.

  • What my high level view of the market is right now.

  • Of the eleven key sectors in the market, which are outperforming the SP500?

  • Any insights on timing for a trader?

  • What should be on the radar screen for investors and traders?

  • Do I short-sell at all? If not, what do you do instead when the stock market enters a stage 4 decline?

  • How deep do I see the impending correction going?

  • What do I see for precious metals and commodities?

  • What ratios do I look at for money flow?

  • What I use as criteria for entering and exiting trades.

  • A question from Danny’s previous guest – “What asset would you buy today that you plan to hold for 100 years?”

  • What question do I want to ask Danny’s next guest – “Is Tesla a buy at this stage for insane growth?”

  • What I want to leave the audience with.


Watch The Free Interview Here



The Trumpinator Bobblehead Is Back In Stock....Get It Here


Thursday, November 2, 2023

Trading Doesn't Have To Be Complicated If You Have Systems In Place

Chris joins Etienne Crete on the Desire To Trade Podcast to discuss why he believes you don’t need to trade every day to make a living from trading.

Sign up for the Technical Traders Investing newsletter here

The discussion includes the following questions:

  • Chris’ background from his introduction to trading in high school to evolving into the technical trader that he is today.
  • Treat trading like a business. How to become a consistently profitable trader. Why blowing up your account can be one of the hardest and best lessons to learn from on the journey to becoming the trader you want to be.
  • Chris’ trading style, Asset Revesting, rests between active trading and passive investing. How is this different than what most people do.
  • Why following price is so important when deciding what to trade.
  • How the market moves in wave-like patterns.
  • What an asset hierarchy is.
  • Why taking profits during a trade is so important.
  • What the Consistent Growth Strategy (CGS) is all about.
  • Setting the proper expectations is an important mindset to cultivate.
  • ‘Money Protection Mode’ – deploying risk management and position sizing tools.
  • What are the indications that the market is about to reverse?
  • Chris’ thoughts on fully trusting and following a system and strategy.

Wednesday, August 2, 2023

Chris Joins Mark Yegge on Wealth Architect Podcast to Delve Deep Into Technical Trading And Asset Reinvesting

Topics and questions discussed include:
  • The history of how Chris came to trade the way he does now.
  • Fundamental vs Technical analysis.
  • Why controlling emotions, setting proper expectations, and using risk management tools are so important to trading and investing results.
  • What trading the ‘waves,’ including using a cash position, can do for your account balances.
  • The sweet spot between passive investing and active trading.
  • The truth behind why we always think we ‘have’ to be in the market.
  • Why blocking out the ‘noise’ is so important when sticking to your trading and investing game plan.
  • Moving averages and volume – are these good indicator tools to help gauge where the markets may go next or whether you should buy or sell?
Watch Today's Free Video Here




Friday, May 19, 2023

Gold and Silver Outlook - What's The Good, The Bad, And The Ugly?

Chris sits down with Charlotte McLeod of Investing News Network, who kickstarts the session with a high level look at gold. to talk about where the markets were and where they may be going next. 

Through the lens of technical analysis, Chris & Craig discuss the answers to the following questions....Watch Here.

Wednesday, April 19, 2023

What Influence Does The Market Actually Have On Gold And Silver Prices?

Chris sits down with Craig Hemke of Sprott Money to talk about where the markets were and where they may be going next. Through the lens of technical analysis, Chris & Craig discuss the answers to the following questions:

* Will the gold and silver miners continue to test the 5 DMA and
   keep to their strong uptrend? And for how long?

* The daily chart of the QQQ shows that after the SVB collapse and subsequent bailout, the tech sector
   ripped to the upside. So why is the Russell 2000 going in the opposite direction? What is the disconnect?

* What are indicators, for example, Fibonacci extensions, candles & wicks, cups & handles, etc., showing
   may happen to the markets overall and to individual sectors?

* Why are metals and miners still heading in the opposite direction? Does this have any correlation to what
   is happening in the banking sector?

* What are the upside projections for gold and silver?

* And finally, at the end of the day, which do you think will ultimately produce a bigger return – high risk &
   high reward OR low risk & medium reward?

Watch Today's Free Video Here

Thursday, March 16, 2023

Is The Stock Market Setting Up For A 2008 Style Crater?

Which way is the market going to go? The technicals on the SP500 show a weakening trend that, should it break through the channel support, could begin a serious leg to the downside. Having said that, the market is also testing the 200 day moving average, and if it finds support, could actually swing to the upside....Watch Today's Free Video Here.

Tuesday, February 28, 2023

Pilots, Professionals, and Entrepreneurs Should Reduce Their Portfolio Risk

I believe in conservative strategies. Our best customers are the ones who want to ensure they’ll not run out of money in the end, meaning they want to preserve their capital and generate returns to live on during retirement. They don’t care about making the highest returns in the shortest amount of time possible.

They care about having the best advice that will make their money last and ensure they’ll be okay in retirement. My investing strategy is different. I don’t believe in huge diversification, nor do I believe in holding assets that are falling in value. Because of this, investors using my conservative high-growth strategy not only reach retirement, they thrive like never before....Read More Here.

Saturday, May 14, 2022

Trading Crude Oil With USO

Crude oil, like most commodities, is not priced as a single data point like a stock. Instead, commodities, like oil, trade via futures contracts. A futures contract is an agreement to buy or sell a particular commodity or security at a predetermined price at a specified time in the future. Futures contracts are standardized for quantity and quality specifications to facilitate trading on a futures exchange....Continue Reading Here.

Tuesday, September 24, 2019

Is Silver About to Become the Super Hero of Precious Metals?

If you’ve been following our research, you already know how accurately we’ve been nailing the precious metals price moves. We’ve been calling Gold and Silver accurately since early 2018 and continue to focus a good portion of our efforts in studying these incredible setups. Let’s have a little fun and start with two charts from near July 20, 2019, to help our followers understand what we’ve been expecting, but first, be sure to opt-in to our free market research newsletter.

This first Monthly Silver chart highlights what we believed would be the approximate wave structure of the silver price advance going forward. We did not attempt to accurately time these peaks of valleys, we simply used our Fibonacci Price Amplitude Arcs to allow price to tell us where these peaks may form. From those levels, we used our best “guess” to identify the trough bottoms.

You can see a “Started Here” line near the bottom of this chart. This highlights where we created this chart and where the price was when we first posted it in our research (near $16.39). As of today, the price of Silver is near $18.75 and climbing. We’ve drawn in the missing data on this chart and highlighted the endpoint with a “NOW Here!” message. Once the price of silver breaks above that BLUE Fibonacci Price Amplitude Arc, it should rally up to $23 to $25 before finding new resistance.



SILVER WEEKLY CHART

This next Silver Weekly chart was shared with our members near July 25, 2019. Pay very close attention to the arrows we drew on the chart at that time. Guess what the price of Silver actually did after this chart was shared with our readers? Yup, Silver shot up to $19.75 in early September, rotated back to the $17.50 level near the middle of September, and is starting a new rally towards the $23 to $25+ level right now. Does that look familiar to you on this chart (below)?



If this seems amazing to you because we were able to see these moves so accurately into the future and had such a keen insight into the future metals price rotation – don’t be alarmed. Our proprietary research tools are second to none. Our team of researchers have more than 54 years of experience in the markets and have studied almost all types of price theory, technical analysis, and other types of market price, technical, and fundamental analysis techniques. We put our skills to the test every day in order to help our clients find and execute the best trades. If you want to see more of our trading indicators and tools click here.

WHAT NEXT?

What next? Well, the charts above actually show you what’s next. The new charts, below, highlight new charts and new triggers that we believe will drive the current rally in Silver even higher.

Take notice of the HEAVY MAGENTA Fibonacci Price Amplitude Arc. The reason we highlight this MAGENTA level and the GREEN level in heavier line drawn is because these levels tend to become the major price inflection points within the arcs. In other words, these levels are where the price will either stall/reverse or breakout of a trend and possibly explode into a bigger price trend. The current Magenta line has just been crossed and the price is already exploding to the upside. If this continues as we expect, this Weekly Custom Metals Index could rally another 25% higher – which would put Gold well above $1800 per ounce and Silver well above $24 per ounce.



SILVER DAILY CHART

This last Silver Daily chart is our Silver Cycle chart. It shows that we expect Silver to reach levels above $23 to $25 before early November 2019. That means Silver could rally 20~25% from current levels within the next 30+ days to reach our current upside targets. Are you ready?



If you’ve missed any of our past analysis, please take a minute to visit our site to learn how our team of skilled researchers can help you find and execute better trades. This move in the metals markets is going to be an incredible opportunity. We’ve been alerting our members of this opportunity for months. If you are not prepared for this move and/or want to learn how we can help you, please review our trade signal Wealth Building Newsletter today.

Chris Vermeulen
The Technical Traders

NOTICE : Our free research does not constitute a trade recommendation, or solicitation for our readers to take any action regarding this research. It is provided for educational purposes only. Our research team produces these research articles to share information with our followers/readers in an effort to try to keep you well informed. Visit our website (The Technical Traders) to learn how to take advantage of our members-only research and trading signals.


Stock & ETF Trading Signals

Wednesday, July 3, 2019

Our SPX Index Momentum & Trend Signal

Last week was a great week for trading as we locked in profits on a trade and raised our stops to protect the rest of our open positions.

Take a look at how my trading system identifies trends, trades and targets in the chart below. I target 1 - 3% gains within a few days with this strategy. It happens a few times each month. If you trade a 2x ETF or 3x ETF you can make 3 - 6% repeatedly with minimal effort and risk.


Example of Trending Market Results
Momentum and Trend Signals Combined



FUN FACTS
FIFTEEN 5% WINNERS = 107% ROI
$500 PROFIT PER/MONTH = 30% ROI WITH $25K ANNUALLY
POSITION SIZING = TRADING SUCCESS

If you want to become profitable technical traders join my educational trading newsletter and trade alerts complete with entry, targets, and stop pricing.

This week we already closed two winning trades, and entered a NEW trade.

Join me with the 1 or 2 year subscription to lock in the lowest rate possible, get a FREE BAR OF GOLD and ride my coattails as I navigate these financial markets and build wealth while others lose nearly everything they own during the next set of crisis’.



Soon I will be adding this trading system chart in the member's area where it updates through the day for you to follow alone and trade with me. I should mention that the newsletter pricing will be going up in a few days. If you subscribe before the price increase you are grandfathered in at the old/lower rate.



Chris Vermeulen
The Technical Traders



Stock & ETF Trading Signals

Thursday, February 21, 2019

Has Gold Reached Upside Resistance Near $1340 - 1360?

Our research has indicated that precious metals should be setting up for a period of rotation and sideways trading over the next 20-30 days. We issued a research post on January 28, 2019 warning that precious metals would be consolidated over a 30-45 day period before setting up for a massive upside price move, here. This research was based on our Adaptive Dynamic Learning price modeling system and from our Adaptive Learning Cycles system. We believe this research is still very valid and want to alert metals traders that resistance in GOLD can be easily identified near $1340-1360.

The Weekly gold chart, below, highlights the resistance channel that originates in 2016 and continues with multiple peaks in 2017, 2018 and now. We believe this resistance will act as a price ceiling over the next few weeks before metals prices attempt an upside breakout as we suggested in our January 28 research post.

Pay attention to the Fibonacci downside projected price targets near $1270-1295. These levels are very likely to be retested if the current resistance level holds. In other words, gold prices rotate back to below $1300 on moderate price rotation over the next 30 days before attempting to break resistance and move higher. Be prepared for a potential “washout high” price pattern setting up early this week.



We are still actively seeking a deeper price rotation/retracement in Gold/Silver before we initiate any new trades. We believe the upside pricing pressure has reached a level that will prompt a move back to below $1300 on healthy price rotation. If we are wrong, we will know soon enough. If we are right, then the momentum rally setup that will occur near or below $1300 will be a great trading opportunity for all investors. Follow our research to stay informed of this future price movement.

We believe 2019 and 2020 will be incredible years for skilled traders and we are executing at the highest level we can to assist our members. In fact, we are about to launch our newest technology solution to better assist our members in creating future success.

Visit The Technical Traders to learn more.

Chris Vermeulen
Technical Traders Ltd.



Stock & ETF Trading Signals

Wednesday, February 13, 2019

Gold Prices Continue to Breakdown

On January 28, 2019, our research team issued a research post indicating we believed that Precious Metals would rotate lower over the next 45+ days in preparation for a momentum base/breakout that would initiate sometime near the end of April or early May. Recent price weakness in Gold has begun to confirm our analysis and we believe this price weakness will continue for the next 2~4 weeks while traders identify a price bottom and hammer out a momentum base/support level.

Gold is currently down another -1% this week and testing the $1307 level after rotating back to near $1320. Our analysis continues to suggest price weakness in the Precious Metals markets going forward for at least 2~3 more weeks. We are expecting the price of Gold to fall below $1290 and ultimately, potentially, test the $1260 level where we believe true support will be found.

If you’ve been following our analysis, you were alerted the day of when we signaled the top as it formed near $1330 and to close out our GDXJ position for a quick 10.5% profit as we had been preparing for this top and rotation for a couple weeks.

This 240 minute Gold chart highlights our Adaptive Fibonacci price modeling system and suggests the $1295~1302 could become immediate support for this current downside price move.



Please take a minute to review some of our most recent research by visiting The Technical Traders Free Research and to learn why our team of researchers, software developers, and traders provide insight and knowledge that you just can’t get anywhere else on the planet.

The link to our research post, above, highlights our ADL predictive modeling system that is capable of identifying price moves many months in advance. Our most recent U.S. stock market forecast highlights the power and capabilities of our proprietary price modeling tools. As a member of our newsletter, you gain insights, training, daily market videos and many more resources that will help you identify and execute for greater success in 2019.

Chris Vermeulen
Technical Traders Ltd.



Stock & ETF Trading Signals

Sunday, September 23, 2018

Is Gold and the Miners About to Explode Upward?

After many weeks of pricing pressure as the U.S. Dollar extended a rally delivering nearly unending devaluation pricing in most commodities, Gold is setting up for a big upside rally and is likely to extend beyond $1240 in this initial run higher. We believe the immediate bottom has formed in Gold and we believe the upside move will consist of two unique legs higher. The first leg is likely to run to near $1240 - 1250 and end near the middle of November 2018. The second leg of this move will likely run to near $1310 and end near May 2019.

This move is the precious metals and miners will likely coincide with some moderate U.S. Dollar weakness as well as extended global market concerns related to the trade war with China, economic factors originating from China and the EU as well as concerns stemming from the existing emerging market issues. The bottom line is that all of these global concerns are setting up a nearly perfect storm for Gold, Silver and the mining sector to see some extended rallies over the next 6+ month – possibly longer.

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This Weekly Gold chart shows our proprietary Fibonacci price modeling system and we’ve highlighted key price points that are currently being predicted as targets. The CYAN colored line on this chart (near $1245) shows a number of key Fibonacci projected price levels align near this level. These coordinated price targets usually result in key price levels that price will target. So, $1240 - 1250 is setting up as our first upside target.

The second key level is the MAGENTA level near $1300. This lone target well above the other aligns with historical support going back to October/November 2017.



Ultimately, our Fibonacci price modeling system is showing projected price targets as high as $1435 and $1570 – see the YELLOW ARROWS on the chart below. These levels are valid targets given the current price rotation and the potential for these levels to be reached, eventually, should not be discounted. Our Fibonacci price modeling systems are adaptive and learns from price activity as it operates. It identifies these levels based on price activity, relational modeling and active learning of Fibonacci price structure and price theory. We believe these levels will become strong upside targets over the next 12+ months which indicates we have a potential for a massive 18% to 30% upside potential in Gold.



Please take a moment to read some of our other research posts at The Technical Traders to learn how we keep our members keenly aware of these market moves before they happen and help our members find profits with strategic trading signals. Our most recent trade has already gained over 8% in less than 2 days.

Our team of researchers are dedicated to helping you find and execute greater success and our advanced proprietary price modeling solutions are some of the best in the industry. Isn’t it time you decided to invest in your future by finding a solid team of professionals to help you create greater success?

Tuesday, June 26, 2018

Why Gold Miners Should Rally as U.S. Equities Fall on Fear

The US Equities markets rotated over 1.35% lower on Monday, June 25, after a very eventful weekend full of news and global political concerns. Much of this fear results from unknowns resulting from Europe, Asia, China, Mexico and the US. Currently, there are so many “contagion factors” at play, we don’t know how all of it will eventually play out in the long run.

Europe is in the midst of a moderate political revolt regarding refugee/immigration issues/costs and political turmoil originating from the European Union leadership. How they resolve these issues will likely be counter to the populist demands from the people of Europe.

Asia is in the midst of a political and economic cycle rotation. Malaysia has recently elected Prime Minister Dr. Mahathir Mohamad, the 92 year old previous prime minister (1981-2003) as a populist revolt against the Najib Razak administration. In the process, Mahathir has opened new and old corruption and legal issues while attempting to clean up the corruption and nepotism that has run rampant in Malaysia. Most recently, Mahathir has begun to question the established relationship with Singapore and the high speed rail system that was proposed to link the two countries.

China is experiencing a host of issues at the moment. Trade concerns, capital market concerns, corporate debt concerns and an overall economic downturn cycle that started near the beginning of 2018. What will it take to push China over the edge in terms of a credit/consumer market crash is anyone’s guess? Our assumption is that continued inward and outward pressures will not abate quickly – so more unknowns exist.

Mexico will have new Presidential elections on July 1, 2018. What hangs in the balance of this election cycle is just about everything in terms of North American economic cooperation and future success. It is being reported that a populist “anti-neoliberal” movement is well underway in Mexico and the newly elected leader may begin a broader pushback against President Trump regarding NAFTA, immigration, US corporations operating in Mexico and more. We won’t know the full outcome of this election till well after July 2018.

Meanwhile, back in the USA, our political leaders in Congress and the House of Representatives seem hell bent on opposing everything President Trump and many Americans seem to want – clean up the mess in our government and get a handle on the pressing issues before us. The U.S. has a growing and robust economy. The last thing anyone wants right now is anything to disrupt this growth. Yet, it seems the political divide in the U.S. is so strong that it may take some crisis event to push any resolution forward.

What does this mean for investors and traders? Fear typically appears in one place before it appears anywhere else – the Metals markets (Gold, Silver, Platinum, and Palladium). This Daily Gold Chart shows our predictive cycle analysis pointing to a near term bottom formation as well as a strong likelihood of immediate upside price action. These cycles do not represent price levels. So the cycle peak does not represent where price will go – it simply indicates future cycle trends and direction.

Given this information, it is very likely that Gold will recover to near 1320 within the next couple weeks and possibly push higher on global concerns. For traders, this means we are sitting near an ultimate bottom in the metals and this could be an excellent buying opportunity.



The Gold Miners ETF shows a similar cycle pattern but notice how prices in the Miners ETF have diverged from the Gold chart, above, by not resorting to a new price low as deep as seen above. This could be interpreted as the Gold market reacting to global concerns in an exaggerated way while the miners ETF is showing a more muted reaction. Additionally, notice how the ADL cycle analysis is pointing to similar price peaks in the future with near term bottoms forming. This is key to understanding what we should be expecting over the next few weeks in Gold.



Our interpretation is that the global fear will manifest as a renewed upside trend in Gold and Gold Miners over the next few weeks with the potential for a 5 to 8% rally in Gold. The long term upside is incredible for these trades but that is if you look years into the future.

As these fear components and unknowns continue to evolve, the metals markets should find support and push higher as fear continues to manifest and global markets continue to weaken.

As we have been stating since the beginning of this year, 2018 is setting up to be a trader’s dream. Bigger volatility. Bigger swings. Bigger profits if you are on the right side of these moves. Our proprietary predictive modeling systems and price analysis tools help us to stay ahead of the markets.

We help our members understand the risks and navigate the future trends by issuing research posts, providing Daily video analysis complete with cycle projections and by delivering clear trading signals that assist all of our members in finding profits each year. We are showing you one of our proprietary tools right now, our ADL Predictive Cycle tool and what we believe will be the start of a potential upside move in the metals markets.

 Get ready for some great trading over the next few months!





Stock & ETF Trading Signals

Monday, June 18, 2018

Natural Gas Setup for 32% Move Using UGAZ Fund

As we all know a picture says 1000 words, which is one of the reasons why I gravitated to trading using technical analysis. I can look at a chart and in seconds understand what price has done and is likely to do in the near future, without knowing a single thing about the company, index, or commodity. Why spend time reading news, financial statements, and other opinions when you can fast track the entire process with a chart.

So, let’s just jump into the 30 minute chart of natural gas which shows the regular trading hours 9:30am – 4pm ET.

Natural Gas 30 Minute Chart with Oversold and Trend Analysis

This chart could not be any more simple. Green bars and green line mean price is in an uptrend and you should only look to buy oversold dips. We got long a 3x natural gas ETN on May 3rd right near the dead low. After a few weeks, price action and longer term charts started to signal potential weakness, so we closed out the position for a simple 32% profit.



UGAZ 3X Leveraged Natural Gas Fund

Here is 240 minute (4 hour) candlestick chart of the natural gas fund.



53 years experience in researching and trading makes analyzing the complex and ever changing financial markets a natural process. We have a simple and highly effective way to provide our customers with the most convenient, accurate, and timely market forecasts available today. Our stock and ETF trading alerts are readily available through our exclusive membership service via email and SMS text.

Our newsletter, Technical Trading Mastery book, and 3 Hour Trading Video Course are designed for both traders and investors. Also, some of our strategies have been fully automated for the ultimate trading experience.

See you in the markets!
Chris Vermeulen





Stock & ETF Trading Signals

Thursday, May 24, 2018

Technical Analysis Confirms Support Level on the SPX

This week presented some interesting price rotation after an early upside breakout Sunday night. The Asian markets opened up Sunday night with the ES, NQ and YM nearly 1% higher this week. This upside breakout resulted in a clear upside trend channel breakout that our researchers believe will continue to prompt higher price legs overall. Our researchers, at Technical Traders Ltd., have issued a number of research posts over the past few weeks showing our analysis and the upside potential in the markets that should take place over the next few weeks.

We expected a broad market rally this week, yet it has not materialized as we expected this week. We consider this a stalled upside base for a new price leg higher. Take a look at this Daily SPY chart to illustrate what we believe the markets are likely to do over the next few weeks. There are two downside price channels that have recently been broken by price (RED & YELLOW lines). Additionally, there is clear price support just below $272.00 that was recently breached. These upside price channel breakouts present a very clear picture that price is attempting to push higher and breakout from these price channels.

Current price rotation has tested and retested the price support level near $272.00 and we believe this recent “stalled price base” will launch a new upside price rally driving price well above the $280.00 level.



With the holiday weekend setting up in the U.S. and the early Summer trading levels setting up, it is not uncommon for broader market moves to execute after basing/staging has executed. This current upside price action has clearly breached previous resistance channels, so we continue to believe our earlier research is correct and the US majors will mount a broad range price advance in the near future.

The VIX, on the other hand, appears poised to break lower – back to levels below $10 as the US major price advance executes. The VIX, as a measure of volatility that is quantified by historical price trend and volatility, should continue to fall if our price predictions are correct. If the US major markets continue to climb/rally, the VIX will likely fall to levels well below $10.00 and continue to establish a low volatility basing level – just as it did before the February 2018 price correction.



A holiday weekend, the start of lighter Summer trading and the recent upside breakout of these downward price channels leads us to believe the market will continue to push higher over time with the possibility of a massive upside “melt up” playing out over the next 2 - 6+ weeks. We believe this move will drive prices to new all time price highs for the US majors and will surprise many traders that believe the recent price rotation is a major market top formation.

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