Over the past few months, our research team has nailed many of the recent moves in the Metals market thanks to our advanced price modeling systems and detailed research. Recently, we’ve been watching a setup play out in Gold that has excited us. The potential for a massive upside rally that should originate as early as March 19 (only a few weeks away). The reason this is so exciting is that a breakout move in the gold market would indicate a global rush into a protective market because of fears originating from other market sectors.
This first chart is a Weekly Gold chart highlighting our Adaptive Dynamic Learning (ADL) price modeling system. This price modeling system is capable of identifying and mapping historical price and technical patterns as well as ranking and evaluating future price moves – showing only the highest probable outcomes. This analysis is designed to teach us exactly what price should be doing based on a current price pattern. Please notice the two highlighted areas, a high price level near April 15 (near $1450) and a high price level near the end of April or early May (near $1550). Both of these moves represent massive upside legs in Gold. The first being nearly 8.5% and the second being nearly 18% advancements.
This second chart illustrates our Adaptive Fibonacci price modeling system on a Gold Weekly chart. This price modeling system tracks price rotation and uses a unique form of AI to apply Fibonacci price rotation price models showing us where price rotation is happening and what to expect in future moves. Please note the similarities in the projected future price levels in addition to the moderately tight price flag that is setting up on the right side of this chart. With higher lows and a multiple top formations near $1365, this new analysis plays perfectly with our most recent analysis.
Over the past few weeks, we alerted our members to a breakdown in price which we traded DUST inverse gold miners ETF, followed by a recent price basing/bottoming zone and breakout. We have been warning our members that the US major markets would experience weakness over from February 20 till about March 2 where a new price rally/breakout would begin. We’ve recently called a basing level in the NQ near $6500 that should happen within the next few days where support should be found before a price rally/breakout happens to create a peak near March 15. Everything we have been warning our clients about has played out almost perfectly.
Now, our price modeling systems are warning of a metals market breakout/rally originating near March 26th. Why is this so important to us and why do we believe this could be an ominous signal? The answer is simple, for the metals markets to experience this type of breakout move, some global concern must be driving a fear component and driving global investment into the metals market in a protectionist move. So, we are expecting some market event to play out near the middle of March 2018 that generates a bit of fear, resulting is a massive increase in the price of Gold and Silver. This move appears to peak near May 21-28, 2018 before weakening a bit.
We can’t stress enough that you should not worry about the overall market implications of a crisis event at this time. Our analysis of the US majors shows that the remainder of this year should continue to be relatively positive in price activity with overall higher than average price volatility after the recent surge in volatility. In other words, this crisis event appears to be an external event – not a US event.
If you want to know how you can profit from these types of move and how our research team can assist you, visit The Technical Traders Here to learn more.
Trade ideas, analysis and low risk set ups for commodities, Bitcoin, gold, silver, coffee, the indexes, options and your retirement. We'll help you keep your emotions out of your trading.
Showing posts with label dust. Show all posts
Showing posts with label dust. Show all posts
Sunday, February 25, 2018
Gold is Setting Up for a Massive Upside Rally
Labels:
ADL,
Chris Vermeulen,
dust,
gld,
gold,
investing,
Silver,
slv,
The Technical Traders,
trading
Wednesday, February 7, 2018
Three Trades for This Wild Market
It has been an emotional ride for most traders since stocks started to sell off last Friday in a big way. This crash we just experienced is VERY much like the Aug 2015 crash. Price and volatility both have parabolic price movements that could either make you a lot of money or lose a bundle depending on where your money was positioned.
This post is to quickly share three recent trades we have taken one of them (REALLY BAD) and what to expect in the markets moving forward.
On Monday while the markets were under serious pressure cascading lower our only open position at the time was DUST. This is an inverse gold miners fund that allows us to profit when gold stocks fall in value. We had been expecting gold stocks to fall for a couple weeks and got into the position on Jan 26th. Gold stocks fell quickly and we took partial profits at 11% within 3 days.
We continued to hold the balance of DUST in anticipation of a second leg down in gold stocks which our technical analysis was showing should happen within a couple days which it did. On Monday, Feb 5th while stocks were under more selling pressure money rotated into the gold stocks as a safe haven and that is we decided to close the position with a 20% profit it 7 days. This was a good trade, but the next one isn’t.
Also, on February 5th we were anticipating the panic selling and looking for a washout low to be put in place Monday/Tuesday of this week. Thus far everything has played out exactly as we expected in terms of price action. What I love about technical analysis is that if done correctly you can predict, or at least have a very good idea of what price should do next, and because we knew panic selling was coming we were not totally caught off guard. But I will admit, I expected half the price movement and volatility that actually took place this time around.
* I always short UVXY when the vix is high, and fade the fear. But no shares were available to short Monday.
* The only other way to do this was to buy XIV and inverse VIX fund which works in most cases but not nearly as good as short selling UVXY.
* Volatility jumped 100% Monday, XIV fund imploded and lost 98% of its value catching hedge funds, professional traders, and us off guard.
* XIV is still trading, it will take many months to regain and reduce some of its draw down.
During extreme situations like XIV position dropping 98% there are two ways to deal with it. Take the loss and move on, or use the extreme market conditions to get back into a trade and catch the next big move to help minimize XIV draw down. So we took a short sell trade on UVXY Tuesday at the open. The VIX was set to gap sharply higher into a level it has only ever reached a few times in before. By shorting the VIX it means we profit when the VIX falls in value which it did.
We opened the trade right at the opening bell and the VIX when into free fall hitting our first profit target within 18 minutes for a 36% profit. We still hold half the position expecting a larger gain over the next few days. Currently, this short UVXY position is up over 50% and we are looking for roughly 70% before we close it out.
Take a listen to my audio Squawk Box broadcast today to subscribers to get a feel for the XIV, volatility, and the stock market.....Visit Here
CONCLUSION
In short, February has been exciting, to say the least. I feel this price action is a major warning and signal that the bull market is coming to an end. What I feel is going to unfold is similar price action we say from Aug 2015 crash – Feb 2016. Big price rotation, and elevated volatility. And this time, stocks may not find support at the lows created this week and trigger the first leg down in a new bear market.
It’s likely going to take most of 2018 to form and unfold, but we aware…
Join us at Technical Traders Ltd. Wealth Building Newsletter and take advantage of the next major trend changes and profit.
Chris Vermeulen
The Technical Traders Team
This post is to quickly share three recent trades we have taken one of them (REALLY BAD) and what to expect in the markets moving forward.
On Monday while the markets were under serious pressure cascading lower our only open position at the time was DUST. This is an inverse gold miners fund that allows us to profit when gold stocks fall in value. We had been expecting gold stocks to fall for a couple weeks and got into the position on Jan 26th. Gold stocks fell quickly and we took partial profits at 11% within 3 days.
We continued to hold the balance of DUST in anticipation of a second leg down in gold stocks which our technical analysis was showing should happen within a couple days which it did. On Monday, Feb 5th while stocks were under more selling pressure money rotated into the gold stocks as a safe haven and that is we decided to close the position with a 20% profit it 7 days. This was a good trade, but the next one isn’t.
Also, on February 5th we were anticipating the panic selling and looking for a washout low to be put in place Monday/Tuesday of this week. Thus far everything has played out exactly as we expected in terms of price action. What I love about technical analysis is that if done correctly you can predict, or at least have a very good idea of what price should do next, and because we knew panic selling was coming we were not totally caught off guard. But I will admit, I expected half the price movement and volatility that actually took place this time around.
Terribly Unfortunate Trade
* I always short UVXY when the vix is high, and fade the fear. But no shares were available to short Monday.
* The only other way to do this was to buy XIV and inverse VIX fund which works in most cases but not nearly as good as short selling UVXY.
* Volatility jumped 100% Monday, XIV fund imploded and lost 98% of its value catching hedge funds, professional traders, and us off guard.
* XIV is still trading, it will take many months to regain and reduce some of its draw down.
Tuesday's Clawback Trade
During extreme situations like XIV position dropping 98% there are two ways to deal with it. Take the loss and move on, or use the extreme market conditions to get back into a trade and catch the next big move to help minimize XIV draw down. So we took a short sell trade on UVXY Tuesday at the open. The VIX was set to gap sharply higher into a level it has only ever reached a few times in before. By shorting the VIX it means we profit when the VIX falls in value which it did.
We opened the trade right at the opening bell and the VIX when into free fall hitting our first profit target within 18 minutes for a 36% profit. We still hold half the position expecting a larger gain over the next few days. Currently, this short UVXY position is up over 50% and we are looking for roughly 70% before we close it out.
Take a listen to my audio Squawk Box broadcast today to subscribers to get a feel for the XIV, volatility, and the stock market.....Visit Here
CONCLUSION
In short, February has been exciting, to say the least. I feel this price action is a major warning and signal that the bull market is coming to an end. What I feel is going to unfold is similar price action we say from Aug 2015 crash – Feb 2016. Big price rotation, and elevated volatility. And this time, stocks may not find support at the lows created this week and trigger the first leg down in a new bear market.
It’s likely going to take most of 2018 to form and unfold, but we aware…
Join us at Technical Traders Ltd. Wealth Building Newsletter and take advantage of the next major trend changes and profit.
Chris Vermeulen
The Technical Traders Team
Labels:
Chris Vermeulen,
dust,
Gas,
gold,
Oil,
panic selling,
profit,
Technical Traders,
traders,
UVXY,
VIX,
volatility,
XIV
Friday, February 2, 2018
Gold And Gold Miners Preparing for Big Move
Just a few days ago we alerted our members and followers to a massive setup in the Palladium market that had not been seen in years. This chart formation provides an incredible opportunity for a trader to take advantage of and profit from the expected price decline. We alerted our members and followers on January 24th of this move.
As of today, Palladium has rotated downward by over 9% from the recent highs and should continue to move lower as this multi-month rotation extends. Even though this initial move lower (-9%) reaches our initial predicted target levels, we still believe support won’t be found till prices reach near the $1000 price level. If that support fails to hold, the price of Palladium could fall to the $900. This total move could be over -20% by the time this downward swing ends.
As an additional bonus, the other metals and Miner ETFs are starting a move in correlation with this massive rotation in Palladium. The aggressive move in Palladium may become a catalyst for the other metals and miners to sell off further.
We warned weeks ago about this cycle top in gold and how it should rotate lower and move to near $1300 before finding support. This move has just started really and would equate to a -3.8~4.2% downward price correction.
The ability to see these moves and act on them provides our members with the ability to take a single trading signal and deploy multiple successful trades from it. We got our member’s long DUST near the very bottom of the market in anticipation of this move in the metals markets. Knowing that this move was set up and that it could be somewhat aggressive, we simply waited for the proper setup and trigger to alert our members.
The overall potential from our DUST trade remains substantial. Currently, we have already locked in +11% for our members and we believe the final move could be much larger.
The reason we are alerting you, today, of the progress of our calls, is that the market conditions are changing, and these types of trade setups are going to happen every month and a lot of money can be made by taking advantage of them each month. Join our Wealth Building Newsletter here at The Technical Traders and let us boost your trading returns with our daily analysis video, market updates, and trade alerts.
We just closed out another winning trade and members locked in a quick 9.1% profit with falling price of natural gas.
Our articles, Technical Trading Mastery book, and 3 Hour Trading Video Course are designed for both traders and investors to explore the tools and techniques that discretionary and algorithmic traders need to profit in today’s competitive markets. Created with the serious trader and investor in mind – whether beginner or professional – our approach will put you on the path to win. Understanding market structure, trend identification, cycle analysis, volatility, volume, when and when to trade, position management, and how to put it all together so that you have a winning edge.
Chris Vermeulen
Founder Technical Traders Ltd.
As of today, Palladium has rotated downward by over 9% from the recent highs and should continue to move lower as this multi-month rotation extends. Even though this initial move lower (-9%) reaches our initial predicted target levels, we still believe support won’t be found till prices reach near the $1000 price level. If that support fails to hold, the price of Palladium could fall to the $900. This total move could be over -20% by the time this downward swing ends.
As an additional bonus, the other metals and Miner ETFs are starting a move in correlation with this massive rotation in Palladium. The aggressive move in Palladium may become a catalyst for the other metals and miners to sell off further.
We warned weeks ago about this cycle top in gold and how it should rotate lower and move to near $1300 before finding support. This move has just started really and would equate to a -3.8~4.2% downward price correction.
The ability to see these moves and act on them provides our members with the ability to take a single trading signal and deploy multiple successful trades from it. We got our member’s long DUST near the very bottom of the market in anticipation of this move in the metals markets. Knowing that this move was set up and that it could be somewhat aggressive, we simply waited for the proper setup and trigger to alert our members.
The overall potential from our DUST trade remains substantial. Currently, we have already locked in +11% for our members and we believe the final move could be much larger.
The reason we are alerting you, today, of the progress of our calls, is that the market conditions are changing, and these types of trade setups are going to happen every month and a lot of money can be made by taking advantage of them each month. Join our Wealth Building Newsletter here at The Technical Traders and let us boost your trading returns with our daily analysis video, market updates, and trade alerts.
We just closed out another winning trade and members locked in a quick 9.1% profit with falling price of natural gas.
Our articles, Technical Trading Mastery book, and 3 Hour Trading Video Course are designed for both traders and investors to explore the tools and techniques that discretionary and algorithmic traders need to profit in today’s competitive markets. Created with the serious trader and investor in mind – whether beginner or professional – our approach will put you on the path to win. Understanding market structure, trend identification, cycle analysis, volatility, volume, when and when to trade, position management, and how to put it all together so that you have a winning edge.
Chris Vermeulen
Founder Technical Traders Ltd.
Subscribe to:
Posts (Atom)