Sunday, December 18, 2011

ONG: Crude Oil Weekly Technical Outlook For Sunday Dec. 18th

Crude oil dropped to as low as 92.52 last week as correction from 103.37 resumed. Further decline is expected this week as long as 95.99 minor resistance holds. Current fall should extend to 138.2% projection of 103.37 to 94.99 from 102.44 at 90.86. On the upside, above 95.99 will indicate that a temporary low is at least formed and should flip bias back to the upside for rebound back to 100 psychological level and above.

In the bigger picture, fall from 114.83 has finished at 74.95 already. The structure suggests it's merely a correction or part of a consolidation pattern. Hence, rise from 33.2 is not finished yet. As long as 89.16/17 support holds, we'd favor a break of 114.83 resistance to resume the rally from 33.2. However, break of 89.16/17 will indicate that rebound from 74.95 has completed and whole fall from 114.83 is possibly resuming for another low below 74.95.

In the long term picture, crude oil is in a long term consolidation pattern from 147.27, with first wave completed at 33.2. The corrective structure of the rise from 33.2 indicates that it's second wave of the consolidation pattern. While it could make another high above 114.83, we'd anticipate strong resistance ahead of 147.24 to bring reversal for the third leg of the consolidation pattern.

ONG Nymex Crude Oil Continuous Contract 4 Hour, Daily, Weekly and Monthly Charts

Precious Metals, Equities and Crude Oil Long Term Outlook

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