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Thursday, March 19, 2009
Crude Oil Moves Higher, Is The Reflation Trade On?
April crude oil has opened higher and was higher overnight as it extends this week's rally. Is the reflation trade on?
Stochastics and the RSI are overbought but remain bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near term.
If April extends the rally off February's low, the reaction high crossing at $50.88 is the next upside target.
Closes below the 20 day moving average crossing at $44.51 are needed to confirm that a short term top has been posted.
First resistance is the overnight high crossing at $50.00.
Second resistance is the reaction high crossing at $50.88.
First support is the 10 day moving average crossing at $46.86.
Second support is the 20 day moving average crossing at $44.51.
I still need two closing days above $50.88 to confirm the mid term low is in.
Labels:
Crude Oil,
Exxon,
inventories,
OPEC,
Petrobras,
Stochastics
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