Wednesday, November 25, 2009

Bloomberg Analyst: Oil to Extend Drop, Test Channel Below $74


Crude oil, declining since touching a one-year high of $82 a barrel Oct. 21, is poised to test the bottom of a downtrend channel below $74, according to an analysis of price charts by Societe Generale SA. Oil, trading lower today for the fourth day in five, could extend its drop as traders pull out in the absence of profit opportunities, according to Stephanie Aymes, a London based commodity technical analyst at France’s second largest bank by market value. “We are in a range, a descending channel,” Aymes said in an e-mail. “It looks like the one in August, but that was deeper. This range is very long and the daily indicators are breaking supports.”

Crude oil has pared its gains for this year from as high as 84 percent to 70 percent amid concern weaker growth in the U.S., the world’s largest energy consumer, may slow the recovery in demand. Futures for January delivery on the New York Mercantile Exchange was at $76.01 a barrel in electronic trading, down 1 cent, at 11:57 a.m. Singapore time. Prices, which fell yesterday after the Commerce Department said the U.S. economy expanded less than estimated in the third quarter, are approaching a technical support area and may soon test its resilience, Aymes said.....Read the entire article.

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