Thursday, September 5, 2013

Crude Oil Bulls Gain Momentum Despite "Weak" Washington News on Syria

October crude oil closed higher on Thursday and poised to extend the rally off Tuesday's low. The high range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when Friday's night session begins. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bearish hinting that a short term top might be in or is near. Closes below the 20 day moving average crossing at 106.69 are needed to confirm that a short term top has been posted. If October renews this summer's rally, weekly resistance crossing at 114.83 is the next upside target. First resistance is last Wednesday's high crossing at 112.24. Second resistance is weekly resistance crossing at 114.83. First support is the 20 day moving average crossing at 106.69. Second support is the reaction low crossing at 103.50.

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October Henry natural gas posted a key reversal down on Thursday and closed below the 10 day moving average crossing at 3.591 signaling that a short term top might be in or is near. The low range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening on Friday. Stochastics and the RSI are overbought but remain neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near term. If October extends the rally off August's low, the 50% retracement level of the May-August decline crossing at 3.842 is the next upside target. Closes below the 20 day moving average crossing at 3.489 would confirm that a short term top has been posted. First resistance is the 38% retracement level of the May-August decline crossing at 3.680. Second resistance is the 50% retracement level of the May-August decline crossing at 3.842. First support is the 20 day moving average crossing at 3.489. Second support is August's low crossing at 3.154.

How to Trade Small Cap Stocks and 3x ETF's Current

The September S&P 500 closed higher on Thursday and above the 20 day moving average crossing at 1656.33 confirming that a short term low has been posted. The high range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when Friday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near term. If September extends the rally off August's low, the reaction high crossing at 1667.00 is the next upside target. If September renews the decline off August's high, the 62% retracement level of the June-August rally crossing at 1611.47 is the next downside target. First resistance is today's high crossing at 1658.00. Second resistance is the reaction high crossing at 1667.00. First support is August's low crossing at 1625.00. Second support is the 62% retracement level of the June-August rally crossing at 1611.47.

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October gold closed lower on Thursday and below the 20 day moving average crossing at 1367.20 confirming that a short term top has been posted. The low range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when Friday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near term. If October extends today's decline, the reaction low crossing at 1351.60 is the next downside target. Closes above the 10 day moving average crossing at 1397.50 would temper the near-term bearish outlook. First resistance is last Wednesday's high crossing at 1432.90. Second resistance is May's high crossing at 1489.00. First support is the reaction low crossing at 1351.60. Second resistance is August's low crossing at 1272.10.

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