Phil Flynn: Italy Inverts

Crude oil prices are starting to pullback as the situation in Italy goes from bad to worse. The Italy bond yield curve has gone inverted suggesting that the recent Italian Prime Minister Berlusconi show has taken away Italian confidence and could drive the country into a recession. While Berlusconi is promising to go somehow that is not giving the market the same solace that it seemed to yesterday.

Yesterday Iran fears helped drive the market higher but today it is the concern of economic slowing and the fear of contagion. Maybe because the market is not convinced that the bombing of Iran is not going to happen anytime soon. That makes the news on Chinese inflation data sort of a double edge sword. Yes China inflation hit a five month low and that will allow China some slack to stimulate the economy. Yet at the same time the Chinese economy might be slowing reflecting a great European recession .

President Obama 5 year plan for offshore drilling is a five year plan to economic disaster. President Obama trying to provide political cover for his politically motivated drilling moratorium that has cost this nation thousands of good paying jobs and has intensified the impact of the recession across the south is now proposing a five-year plan to open up six areas for oil and gas drilling, including unleased portions of the Gulf of Mexico and along Alaska's coast which they say is a cautious approach that "will help us continue to reduce our dependence on foreign oil and create jobs here at home."

The problem is that it is too little too late. The Interior Department is proposing just 15 potential lease sales in 2012-2017, with five annual lease sales in the western Gulf beginning next fall, and lease sales in the central Gulf starting in spring 2013. according to reports Two of the lease sales will be held in 2014 and 2016 for tracts in the eastern Gulf. Those that are not currently under a congressionally mandated leasing moratorium, set to expire in 2022, and three more sales would be scheduled in "frontier areas" off Alaska's coast, including the Beaufort and Chukchi seas, and the Cook Inlet.

Also the jobs lost because of the resistance to the Keystone pipeline is it any wonder that the President's approval rating is abysmal?

Email Phil to get a trial of his must have trade levels at pflynn@pfgbest.com

Shell Prepares for Start of Offshore Alaska Drilling

Royal Dutch Shell (RDSA) is currently deploying some workers and infrastructure in Alaska to start drilling for oil and gas in the Arctic next summer as the oil giant is "optimistic" that new legal challenges won't derail an exploration plan on which it has spent $4 billion, a senior executive said Monday.

"We are already spending money building resources, putting people in place to be ready to drill in the summer of 2012," Marvin Odum, president of Shell Oil Co., the U.S. unit of the Anglo-Dutch giant, told Dow Jones Newswires in an interview. "Because the buildup time to have all the resources on time, it's a fairly long runway we have to start working [on] now to be ready next summer. Spending is going to ramp up after the end of year, in the first months of next year."

The remarks came after some environmental groups filed this month a formal challenge to air quality permits that Shell needs to drill in the Arctic. The permits under question were approved by the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency in September and they allow Shell to use the drillship "Discoverer" and a fleet of icebreakers and other vessels in the Chukchi and Beaufort Seas. In September, other environmental groups also sued the Interior Department for approving the company's exploration proposal for the Beaufort.

"We expect legal challenges every step of the way. But we are cautiously optimistic that we will be in a position to drill next year," Odum said.....Read the entire article.


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U.S. Interior Dept Gets Green Light for GOM Leasing Plan

Today, U.S. Department of the Interior Secretary Ken Salazar issued the following statement regarding the U.S. Court of Appeals for the District of Columbia Circuit ruling on DOI's request for clarification of the Court's earlier decision to vacate the 2007-2012 Outer Continental Shelf oil and natural gas leasing program.... "I am pleased with the Court's decision. Consistent with the Department's request, the Court clarified that its prior ruling only applies to the Chukchi, Beaufort and Bering Seas. We are moving forward with the planned August 19th Gulf of Mexico lease sale".....Complete Story

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