Obama’s Secret Pipeline

By Marin Katusa, Chief Energy Investment Strategist

Isn’t it odd that an 800 mile pipeline that runs across environmentally sensitive land has been permitted without any mention in the media? Not a word about it from President Obama either.

Obama’s Secret Pipeline will be built over land that’s much more sensitive than that of the Keystone XL pipeline, which gets nothing but front page coverage. It will actually be 17% (six inches) larger in diameter than Keystone XL (36 inches) and it will transport natural gas, not oil.

Bill 138

The Senate of Alaska, the state in which the pipeline will be built, has just passed Bill 138, which makes the state a partner of three of the world’s largest oil companies, including one that has a horrible environmental track record on U.S. soil. In a nutshell, Alaska’s government is now partners with BP, ExxonMobil, and ConocoPhillips.

Only one more signature is required—Governor Sean Parnell’s—and it’s expected that he will sign the deal.

Not Even the US Government Wants US Dollars

For more than 100 years, the U.S. government has been receiving a royalty and tax revenue paid on the amount of oil or natural gas produced on American soil—a fee that is paid in U.S. dollars. Bill 138 has changed this forever.

Instead of Alaska receiving its dues in U.S. dollars, the state legislature has decreed through Bill 138 that the state will be paid “in kind.” In other words, the state will be getting its share of royalty and tax revenue in natural gas instead of U.S. dollars.

For the record, this is the first time ever that a US state has entered into a partnership like this. Essentially, Alaska is now a 25% equity partner with BP, ExxonMobil, and ConocoPhillips—which also requires the state to cough up cold, hard cash to build the entire project, including the 800 mile long, 42 inch wide pipeline.

Overall, the project is currently estimated to cost north of U.S. $50 billion, and we expect that when all the capital expense overruns and government inefficiencies are accounted for, the whole project will come in at more than U.S. $75 billion, using the total costs of similar projects for comparison.

But it will be 2015 before the final negotiations and the specific details of the partnership are agreed on, and remember, the devil is in the details. Who do you think will get the better end of the deal—a bunch of government bureaucrats with zero oil and gas experience, or the world’s top oil and gas producing companies? I know whom I’m betting on.

Which leads us to the point of this weekly missive.

And the Winner of Obama’s Secret Pipeline Is…

We already know which company will be building and operating Obama’s Secret Pipeline. The company I’m talking about has a lower price to earnings (P/E) ratio and a better yield than all of its peers. That’s good, because shareholders get paid a monthly yield for owning the stock while sitting back and watching the share price rise as well.

The Ultimate Oil Toll Booth

Think of it this way: this company charges the world’s most powerful oil and gas producers for every barrel of oil that passes through its “road network,” and now it can also charge the state of Alaska. Regardless of the price of oil or natural gas, this company gets its fee.

It’s a low-risk way to benefit from a high risk enterprise. This company is a current Buy in our Casey Energy Dividends portfolio. The Energy team is currently working hard on the upcoming issue, which will in detail cover the company that’s bound to gain big from Obama’s Secret Pipeline.

I know you haven’t heard about this pipeline yet, but you will soon enough.

That’s what we do here at the Energy Division of Casey Research: We’re the first to uncover breakthrough stories, and the first to uncover the best energy investment opportunities in the world. Doug Casey and I just got back from a whirlwind European tour, where we visited many of Europe’s most promising energy projects.

Here’s a picture of Doug Casey and me at Europe’s largest onshore drill site. This drill rig is 15 stories high and uses about 16,000 liters of diesel a day to turn the drills—which Doug and I are holding in this picture. As a side note, just the crank shaft that we’re holding costs U.S. $2 million—this rig is expensive and gigantic.

For you to get a better perspective on the true size of Europe’s largest onshore drill rig, here is a picture of Doug Casey and me with our friends Frank Holmes, Frank Giustra, and Matt Smith.

(From far left to right: Frank Holmes, Doug Casey, Marin Katusa, Frank Giustra, Matt Smith)

 

Do Your Portfolio a Favor and Try Out the Casey Energy Report

Doug Casey and I have done all the hard work for you. The current issue of the Casey Energy Report is a compilation of our Europe trip, including in-depth descriptions of our site visits and a new recommendation with a hugely promising project in an out-of-the-way European country that we personally checked out. The company is backed by mining giant Frank Giustra, and you bet he knows what he’s doing.

The Casey Energy Report comes with a free one year subscription to Casey Energy Dividends (a $79 value), including, of course, the upcoming May issue with our “Obama’s Secret Pipeline” pick.

There’s no risk in trying it: You have 90 days to find out if it’s right for you—love it or cancel for a full refund. You don’t have to travel 300+ days a year (as we do) to discover the best energy investments in the world—we do it for you.

If you don’t like the Casey Energy Report or don’t make any money within your first three months, just cancel within that time for a full, prompt refund. Even if you miss the cutoff, you can cancel anytime for a prorated refund on the unused part of your subscription. Click here to get started.

The article Obama’s Secret Pipeline was originally published at Casey Research

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ConocoPhillips Suspends 2014 Alaska Drilling Plans

ConocoPhillips [COP] will place on hold its 2014 drilling plans for Alaska's Chukchi Sea due to the uncertainties of evolving federal regulatory requirements and operational permitting standards.

While the company is confident in its expertise and ability to safely conduct offshore Arctic operations, ConocoPhillips believes it needs more time to ensure that all regulatory stakeholders are aligned, said ConocoPhillips Alaska President Trond-Erik Johansen in a statement.

"We welcome the opportunity to work with the federal government and other leaseholders to further define and clarify the requirements for drilling offshore Alaska," Johansen commented. "Once those requirements are understood, we will reevaluate our Chukchi Sea drilling plans. We believe this is a reasonable and responsible approach given the huge investments required to operate offshore in the Arctic."

ConocoPhillips in 1998 was awarded 98 exploration lease tracts in the Chukchi Sea Outer Continental Shelf. The company is Alaska's largest oil producer and is operator of the Kuparuk and Alpine fields. ConocoPhillips' leases will expire in 2019. As of year end 2012, the company had invested $650 million net in its Chukchi Sea operations, including leases, seismic, biological studies and well planning, a ConocoPhillips spokesperson told Rigzone in an email.

Royal Dutch Shell plc in February suspended its 2014 offshore Alaska drilling plans, saying it needed more time to ensure the readiness of its equipment and employees for future drilling.

Last month, the U.S. Department of the Interior (DOI) concluded that Shell failed to finalize key components of its 2012 Alaska Arctic drilling program. DOI called on the industry and government to collaborate to develop an Arctic specific model for offshore Alaska oil and gas exploration.

DOI Secretary Ken Salazar said the agency would proceed with ConocoPhillips using the same regime it did with Shell. While the Obama administration is interested in pursuing Arctic resources, Salazar said they wouldn't allow shortcuts in terms of requirements, and that exploration would only be carried out with the "utmost safety."

Greenpeace International called decisions by ConocoPhillips and Norway-based Statoil ASA to shelve Arctic drilling plans on admission that the oil industry is still not capable of meeting the enormous challenges posed by operating in the world's most extreme environment.

"The time has come for governments around the world to call for a permanent halt to the reckless exploitation of the far north," said Greenpeace International Arctic campaigner Ben Wycliffe in a statement.

Posted courtesy of the staff at Rigzone


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EIA: Rail Deliveries of Crude Oil and Petroleum Products up 38% in First Half of 2012

How To Position Yourself for a 10 Year Pattern Breakout

Railroads are playing a more important role in transporting U.S. crude oil to refineries, especially oil production from North Dakota's Bakken formation where there is limited pipeline infrastructure to move supplies. The amount of crude oil and petroleum products transported by U.S. railways during the first half of 2012 increased 38% from the same period in 2011, according to industry data.

The number of rail tanker cars hauling crude oil and petroleum products totaled close to 241,000 during January-June 2012 compared to 174,000 over the same period in 2011, according to the Association of American Railroads (AAR). Rail deliveries of crude oil and petroleum products in June alone jumped 51% to 42,000 tanker cars from a year earlier to an average weekly record high of 10,500 tanker cars for the month.

One rail tanker car holds about 700 barrels. This would be equivalent to about 927,000 barrels per day (bbl/d) of oil and petroleum products shipped, on average, during the first half of 2012 versus 673,000 bbl/d in the same period in 2011, and June 2012 shipments were almost 980,000 bbl/d.

Source: U.S. Energy Information Administration, based on Association of American Railroads.
Note: Crude oil and petroleum products rail shipments do not include ethanol. 

In 2009, crude oil accounted for 3% of the combined deliveries in the oil and petroleum products category tracked by AAR. The trade group estimates crude oil now accounts for almost 30% of the rail deliveries in this category, and says that crude oil is responsible for nearly all of the recent growth.

Much of the growth in shipping oil by rail is due to the rise in North Dakota's oil production, which has more than tripled in the last three years. North Dakota surpassed California in December 2011 to become the third biggest oil producing state and took over the number two spot from Alaska in March 2012.

Most crude oil is moved in the United States by pipeline. However, because of limited pipeline infrastructure in North Dakota's Bakken region, oil producing companies there rely on rail to move their barrels. Shipping oil by rail costs an average $10 per barrel to $15 per barrel nationwide, up to three times more expensive than the $5 per barrel it costs to move oil by pipeline, according to estimates from Wolfe Trahan, a New York City based research firm that focuses on freight transportation costs. Wolfe Trahan also notes that using rail tank cars allows oil producers to separate grades of crude more easily and ensure their purity than when different oils are mixed in a pipeline.

Argus Media reports that rail rates for unit trains moving Bakken oil to major refining centers on the Gulf Coast are about $12.75 per barrel to St. James, Louisiana and $12.25 per barrel to Port Arthur, Texas. The unit train delivery rate to New York Harbor is around $15 per barrel.
BNSF is the biggest railway mover of U.S. crude, transporting one-third of Bakken oil production alone with unit trains carrying up to 85,000 barrels of oil. The company's carloadings of crude oil and petroleum products increased 60% during the first six months of 2012.

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Rigzone: ANWR Bill Boosts Jobs, Domestic Energy Production

Citing an increase in domestic energy production and job creation, the House Natural Resources Committee proposed legislation Friday that would open up the Arctic National Wildlife Refuge for oil and natural gas production.

Committee Chairman Doc Hastings, of Washington, and Alaska Rep. Don Young announced plans to introduce the Alaskan Energy for American Jobs Act, which is part of the energy and infrastructure jobs bill announced by Ohio Rep. John Boehner in early November.

Officials said the act would open less than 3 percent of ANWR's 19 million acres in the North Slope, which the U.S. Geological Survey estimates contains at least 10.4 billion barrels of oil and at peak production can yield nearly 1.5 million barrels of oil per day -- more than the current daily U.S. imports from Saudi Arabia. The area was specifically set aside for energy production by Congress and President Jimmy Carter.

"ANWR is a site that is easily accessible, has great potential and is one of America's most highly concentrated areas of energy resources," Hastings said. "An investment in America's energy security is an investment job creation and infrastructure projects that will benefit every American without job destroying tax increases."

The committee held an oversight hearing in September with local Alaskans vocalizing their support for the bill, saying the plan "benefits local communities, tribes, businesses, Alaska and the nation."

Young said the Highway Trust Fund is struggling "to stay in the black" and believes the Alaskan Energy for American Jobs Act will provide new sources of revenue to fund infrastructure projects.

"This is a common sense plan; the revenue generated from drilling in ANWR will help keep the Highway Trust Fund from defaulting and will create jobs at the same time," Young said.

Carey Hall, an Ice Road Truck Drive with Carlile Transportation Systems believes the plan will keep the Trans-Alaska Pipeline from shutting down, securing jobs for decades to come.

"ANWR is not a band aid for our debt and economy; it is a long term sustainable solution," Ice Hall said during the oversight hearing.

Environmentalists aren't sold on the plan though, saying the benefits are exaggerated. In an interview with the Associated Press on Nov. 11, Pamela Miller said the "legislation is dead on arrival" and it proposes a "false solution to a real crisis." Sierra Club Alaska community organizer Lindsey Hajduk told the AP the connection to jobs is "weak".

Technological advancements have improved the safety of energy production while also lessening environmental impacts of drilling, such as using one drilling platform to cover a 28,000 foot radius -- larger than the size of Washington D.C.

"ANWR would be a great opportunity for the environmental community and the oil industry to work closely together and show what American technology and ingenuity could do," Alaska District Council of Laborers (ADCL) Tim Sharp said in the oversight hearing. ADCL represents approximately 5,000 Alaskan union members.

Fenton Okomailak Rexford, Tribal Administrator for the Native Village of Katovik, said development of the North Slope will keep his community alive by sustaining a local school and continuing to provide search and rescue, police and fire protection.

"We would not favor development of the Coastal Plain unless we were confident that development can occur without jeopardizing our way of life. Responsible development of ANWR is a matter of self determination for my people," Rexford said. "Development of the Coastal Plain of ANWR is a win-win situation for the American people, particularly for those of us who call this area home."

The bill is expected to move through the House in the coming weeks. The Subcommittee on Energy and Mineral Resources is set to hear testimony Nov. 18.


Posted courtesy of Rigzone.Com

Shell Prepares for Start of Offshore Alaska Drilling

Royal Dutch Shell (RDSA) is currently deploying some workers and infrastructure in Alaska to start drilling for oil and gas in the Arctic next summer as the oil giant is "optimistic" that new legal challenges won't derail an exploration plan on which it has spent $4 billion, a senior executive said Monday.

"We are already spending money building resources, putting people in place to be ready to drill in the summer of 2012," Marvin Odum, president of Shell Oil Co., the U.S. unit of the Anglo-Dutch giant, told Dow Jones Newswires in an interview. "Because the buildup time to have all the resources on time, it's a fairly long runway we have to start working [on] now to be ready next summer. Spending is going to ramp up after the end of year, in the first months of next year."

The remarks came after some environmental groups filed this month a formal challenge to air quality permits that Shell needs to drill in the Arctic. The permits under question were approved by the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency in September and they allow Shell to use the drillship "Discoverer" and a fleet of icebreakers and other vessels in the Chukchi and Beaufort Seas. In September, other environmental groups also sued the Interior Department for approving the company's exploration proposal for the Beaufort.

"We expect legal challenges every step of the way. But we are cautiously optimistic that we will be in a position to drill next year," Odum said.....Read the entire article.


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U.S. to Sell New Onshore Alaska Oil Leases "Late This Year"

The U.S. government plans to sell oil leases on public land in Alaska's national petroleum reserve "late this year," the Bureau of Land Management said Tuesday.

The BLM said it plans to sell leases on tracts of land in the northeast and northwest areas of the reserve. In preparing for the sale, the agency issued a draft "determination of adequacy" showing that the leases meet the requirements of the National Environmental Policy Act.

The lease sale is part of an effort by the Obama administration to conduct annual oil and natural gas lease sales in the reserve, the agency said.


Posted courtesy of Rigzone.Com

Companies Say Alaska Gas Pipeline Could Cost $41Billion

Companies working with the state of Alaska to develop a major natural gas pipeline estimated Friday that the project would cost $20 billion to $41 billion, depending on the route. The Alaska Pipeline Project seeks to move natural gas from the harsh North Slope to market in Alaska, through Canada and to the Lower 48.

The high end of the estimate is at least a billion more than earlier thought, but project officials believe the pipeline is economically viable and could start carrying gas in about 2020. More details of the plan came in a filing Friday with federal regulators, the first step toward an "open season," when companies behind the project will court gas producers and try to secure commitments for shipping deals.

TransCanada Corp., based in Calgary, Alberta, is working with Irving, Texas based Exxon Mobil Corp. to advance the project. The state of Alaska has promised to reimburse up to $500 million of eligible costs. A rival project by Britain's BP PLC and Houston-based ConocoPhillips is also moving ahead, though its difficult for many, given the economics involved, to see more than one project going forward.

Tony Palmer, TransCanada vice president of Alaska Development, told reporters Friday that he believes the best and most effective way to bring the project forward is to form an alliance between the state, TransCanada and the North Slope's current major players, Exxon Mobil, BP and ConocoPhillips. It's during open season when shippers interested in moving gas to markets in Alaska and outside the state indicate which their preferred route.....Read the entire article.

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ExxonMobil Sees Alaska as Major Natural Gas Supplier

With large North Slope resources, Alaska has the opportunity to be a major supplier of natural gas to North America, Rich Kruger, president of ExxonMobil Production Company, said today in a keynote address at the 2010 Meet Alaska Conference in Anchorage.

The development of natural gas at Point Thomson stands out as a great example of the opportunity. Kruger said, "It is currently one of Alaska's largest active North Slope projects in execution phase, providing new jobs and investment in the state. ExxonMobil wants to see Point Thomson developed. We believe it underpins the success of the Alaska Pipeline Project. The owners' commitment to achieving progress at Point Thomson is demonstrated by investments which have now topped $1 billion."

Kruger also emphasized ExxonMobil's readiness to work with the state to resolve the Point Thomson Unit dispute and put in place predictable and durable fiscal terms necessary to underpin the pipeline.....Read the entire article.

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ExxonMobil May Strike Deal for $1B Arctic Rig With Transocean [RIG]

Exxon Mobil Corp. is reportedly mulling over a deal with leading offshore rig contractor Transocean to construct a drilling rig capable of operating in extreme Arctic conditions for as much as $1 billion, according to Reuters.

Citing a person familiar with the matter, Reuters reported Friday that ExxonMobil may deploy the rig offshore Greenland, Iceland or Alaska at a dayrate close to record level contracts in the $650,000 range, such as those signed for ultra deepwater rigs by Seadrill and Transocean near the peak of the market in 2008.

In November, Transocean Chief Executive Bob Long stated that the company expected to unveil a new Arctic class newbuild rig order, along with a contract, by the close of the year.

Chief Operating Officer Steven Newman, who will take the helm as Transocean's next chief executive in the first quarter of 2010, also commented during a recent conference call: "We have progressed [the rig's] design fairly far along [and] are in very developed discussions with a customer." Newman was hopeful that the contract would be finalized by the end of 2009, although Transocean had confirmed neither the contract nor the customer as 2009 drew to a close.....Read the entire article.

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Uncertain Future For Alaskan Gas

New technologies to unlock gas from shale deposits from the Lower 48 and declining prices make predictions on Alaska's potential uncertain, analysts say. Technological advancements for the extraction of gas from shale deposits make the resource more attractive. The sagging economy, however, has suppressed energy demand, making commercial extraction questionable for the time being. Meanwhile, Alaska hopes to build an ambitious gas pipeline network from the North Slope to markets in the Lower 48 by 2018.....Complete Story

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Oil Tops $73, ExxonMobil Discussing TransCanada Pipeline, BP Exec. "Gas Has Peaked"

"Oil Tops $73, Gasoline Rises to 8 Month High, on Demand Outlook"
Crude oil climbed above $73 a barrel and gasoline jumped to an eight month high after the International Energy Agency raised its global demand forecast. The IEA, adviser to 28 nations, increased its consumption outlook for the first time since August amid signs the recession is bottoming out. Nouriel Roubini, the New York University professor who predicted the financial crisis, said crude will likely rise to $100 a barrel next year. Oil also advanced as equities rose on lower jobless claims in the U.S. “Futures are forward looking and the market is discounting any present difficulties,” said Jim Ritterbusch, president of Ritterbusch & Associates, a Galena, Illinois, energy consultant.....Complete Story

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"ExxonMobil Enters Talks to Help Build Alaska Gas Pipeline"
ExxonMobil is in discussions with TransCanada to help it build a massive pipeline to move natural gas from the North Slope of Alaska to U.S. markets, according to a source familiar with the deal. The move could undermine a competing effort by ConocoPhillips and BP. Irving based Exxon would not be just a passive customer of the pipeline, which could cost as much as $30 billion and run 1,700 miles, but would likely be involved in the design and construction, according to the source. Exxon has deep expertise with large construction projects, including in harsh climates like Alaska.....Complete Story

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"BP Says Demand for Oil in U.S. Gasoline Market Peaked"
BP Plc Chief Executive Officer Tony Hayward said demand for oil coming from the U.S. gasoline market “has probably peaked” as ethanol blending gains ground and Congress works on enforcing fuel efficiency. The U.S. has the potential to offset future higher energy demand with efficiency measures over the next 10 years, Hayward said at a presentation of BP’s Statistical Review of World Energy yesterday in London. At the same time, investment in more biofuel production and the possible end of ethanol import restrictions.....Complete Story

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Oil Hits Highest Prices In 5 Weeks, Alaska Projects Revving Up, Oil Execs On Energy Independence

"Oil Rises to Highest in 5 Weeks as Pending Home Sales Increase"
Crude oil rose to a five week high as the number of Americans signing contracts to buy previously owned homes jumped along with spending on U.S. construction projects, signaling energy demand may improve with the economy.

Oil climbed as much as 1.4 percent and the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index came within 1 percent of erasing its 2009 loss as the National Association of Realtors said the index of signed purchase agreements jumped 3.2 percent in March, compared with a 2 percent gain in February.....Complete Story

"Two New Projects Revving Up in Alaska's Oil Patch"
Oil prices are down and some oil-patch work is being throttled back, but North Slope producers are going full steam ahead on two large projects. Several hundred people have been put to work and the numbers will increase as the work continues, the companies involved say. One project underway is at Point Thomson, 60 miles east of Prudhoe Bay, where ExxonMobil Corp. is rigging up to begin drilling a large undeveloped gas and condensate field.

The company has completed the move of a large drill rig and other equipment to the site over 50 miles of ice road. Nabors Rig 19-E, one of the largest in Alaska, is now being reassembled. Plans are to start drilling in early May and continue operations through the summer.....Complete Story

"U.S. Energy Independence? Get Real, Oil Execs Say in Survey"
Most oil industry executives scoff at the idea that the U.S. can wean itself off foreign crude in the next couple of decades, a survey showed. Only 16 percent of oil and natural gas executives said that by 2030 the U.S. will be able to depend solely on its own energy supplies, according to a survey by KPMG LLP’s Global Energy Institute. A majority said it will be after 2015 before it’s “viable” to mass produce alternative energy.

“The executives’ perceptions of energy independence mirror their views on the viability of alternatives in the near term,” Bill Kimble, executive director of the institute, said in a statement. KPMG surveyed 382 U.S. financial executives in the oil and gas business last month.....Complete Story


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Oil Chart Signals A Bounce Needed For Rally, Oil Jumps Up More Than $2 Dollars

"Oil Rises More Than $2 as Equity Gains Signal Demand May Climb"
Crude oil rose more than $2 a barrel as equities gained, signaling that some investors expect economies to stabilize, bolstering energy demand. Oil climbed as much as 6.2 percent after stocks increased on better than estimated earnings at Wells Fargo & Co. and speculation banks will pass government stress tests....Complete Story

"Alaska Oil Regulators Deny Exxon Petition"
The state of Alaska has denied a petition from Exxon Mobil seeking permission from regulators to form a new oil and gas unit at Point Thomson. Exxon this week asked the Alaska Oil and Gas Conservation Commission to unite the leases of different companies within the Point Thomson oil and gas field....Complete Story

"Oil Chart Signals a Bounce Needed for Rally: Technical Analysis"
Crude oil futures for May delivery are testing key support levels and an “immediate bounce” is needed for the contract to return to recent highs, according to technical analysis by Newedge Group. If prices break through support at the $47.50 to $48, a barrel level, the contract....Complete Story

"Mexico, U.S. Energy Ministers Meet on Cross-Border Oil Fields"
Mexican Secretary of Energy Georgina Kessel Martinez and her U.S. counterpart Steven Chu met on cross-border oil fields and renewable energy, said a statement of the Mexican government. The two ministers met during Kessel's visit to the United States.
The statement said that Kessel....Complete Story