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Byron Wien, the 79 year old chairman of Blackstone Group LP’s advisory services unit, is forecasting an annual drop in oil prices for the first time in his career as swelling production pushes global inventories higher.
Wien, who joined the world’s biggest private equity firm in 2009, said the U.S. will extract more crude by fracking rocks and expects the furor over a potential conflict with Iran to dissipate. Brent crude lost 2.8 percent last month after surging 14 percent in the first quarter on concern Iran may disrupt Middle East exports in retaliation for a European oil embargo.
Russia and Saudi Arabia, the biggest crude producers, are pumping near record levels, helping push February inventories in developed nations to the equivalent of 59.6 days of demand, the most since 2009, according to the International Energy Agency.
“The Iran premium is going to come out of the price of Brent,” Wien, who was previously a chief strategist at Morgan Stanley, said in an April 26 television interview on “Bloomberg Surveillance” with Tom Keene. “There’s an Iran premium in the price of oil, thinking that Israel will strike Iran, and I don’t think Israel will”.......Read the entire Bloomberg article.
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Showing posts with label Morgan Stanley. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Morgan Stanley. Show all posts
Wednesday, May 2, 2012
Wednesday, May 20, 2009
Oil Prices Rise On Supply Decline, Morgan Stanley Trader Banned
"Oil Rises Above $62 on Larger Than Forecast U.S. Supply Decline"
Crude oil rose above $62 a barrel for the first time in six months after a government report showed that U.S. inventories declined more than forecast. Stockpiles dropped 2.11 million barrels to 368.5 million in the week ended May 15, the Energy Department said today. A 400,000-barrel decline was forecast, according to a Bloomberg News survey. Prices also climbed after refinery fires and unrest in Nigeria threatened supplies and the falling dollar spurred investors to purchase raw materials.
“We’re off to the races,” said Rick Mueller, a director of oil markets at Energy Security Analysis Inc. in Wakefield, Massachusetts. “The crude and gasoline inventory drops are very supportive to the market. The problems in Nigeria and refinery disruptions are contributing to the rally.....Complete Story
"Valero Energy Agrees to Acquire Interest in European Refining Assets"
Valero Energy Corporation has entered into an agreement to acquire The Dow Chemical Company's 45% interest in the Total Raffinaderij Nederland N.V. (TRN) for an enterprise value expected to be approximately $725 million, including working capital and inventories. TRN owns a crude oil refinery located in the Zeeland region of The Netherlands on the river Scheldt and has total throughput capacity of 190,000 barrels per day.
The transaction is subject to regulatory approval as well as a right-of-first refusal held by Total S.A., the refinery operator and owner of the remaining 55% interest in TRN. The transaction is expected to close in the third quarter of 2009.
Originally built in 1973, TRN's refinery received major upgrades in the mid-1980s, mid-1990s, and.....Complete Story
"Ex Morgan Stanley Trader Banned for Hiding Position"
A former oil trader at Morgan Stanley in London, who shorted oil futures without permission after an alcohol-fuelled lunch, has been banned by Britain’s financial regulator for trying to conceal his trades, the second time in a week it took action against one of the bank’s employees.
The Financial Services Authority banned David Connor Redmond, a former trader on the freight desk of Morgan Stanley’s commodities division, the regulator said today in a statement. Redmond built a “substantial” short position in WTI Futures on the ICE Futures Web-based trading platform in February 2008, concealing the position overnight and exposing Morgan Stanley to “the risk of incurring a significant loss,” the FSA said.....Complete Story
Labels:
bullish,
Crude Oil,
inventories,
Morgan Stanley,
rally,
Stochastics
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