Tuesday, April 7, 2009

Crude Oil Close Lower On Tuesday, Continues Lower In After Market Trading


May crude oil closed lower on Tuesday due to profit taking as it extends Monday's decline. The low range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening on Wednesday.

Stochastics and the RSI are turning neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near term. Closes below last Wednesday's low crossing at 47.26 would confirm that a short term top has been posted.

If May renews last week's rally, March's high crossing at 54.66 is the next upside target.

First resistance is last Friday's high crossing at 53.90.
Second resistance is March's high crossing at 54.66.

Wednesday's pivot point, our line in the sand is 49.79, we will look to go short if we open below 49.79.

First support is today's low crossing at 48.89.
Second support is last Wednesday's low crossing at 47.26.

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The June Dollar closed higher on Tuesday as it extends Monday's rally. Today's close above the 10 day moving average crossing at 85.28 tempers the near term bearish outlook. The high range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening on Wednesday.

Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near term. Closes above the 20 day moving average crossing at 85.66 would confirm that a short term low has been posted.

If June resumes last week's decline, March's low crossing at 83.14 is the next downside target.

First resistance is the 20 day moving average crossing at 85.66.
Second resistance is last Monday's high crossing at 86.61.

First support is Monday's low crossing at 84.10.
Second support is March's low crossing at 83.14.

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The June S&P 500 index closed lower on Tuesday and below the 10 day moving average crossing at 815.14 signaling that a short term top has been posted. The low range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening on Wednesday.

Stochastics and the RSI are overbought, diverging and are turning neutral to bearish hinting that a short term top might be in or is near. Closes below the 20 day moving average crossing at 793.37 are needed to confirm that a short term top has been posted.

If June extends the rally off March's low, the reaction high crossing at 867.50 is the next upside target.

First resistance is Monday's high crossing at 847.90.
Second resistance is the reaction high crossing at 867.50.

First support is today's low crossing at 812.00.
Second support is the 20 day moving average crossing at 793.37.

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