Wednesday, September 23, 2009

Crude Oil Trading Choppy Ahead of FOMC Statement

Crude oil prices are near steady early today. Trading has turned choppy. In November crude, look for buy stops to reside just above resistance at $72.00 and then just above resistance at Monday's high of $72.65. Look for sell stops just below technical support at $71.00 and then more sell stops just below support at $70.00. Pivot point for crude oil today is 71.18. Today's key near term Fibonacci support/resistance level: $70.65. Wyckoff's Intra Day Market Rating: 5.0

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The December U.S. dollar index is slightly lower in early trading today, and hit yet another fresh contract low overnight. Bears still have the solid overall near term technical advantage. Slow stochastics for the dollar index are neutral early today. The dollar index finds shorter term technical resistance at 76.50 and then at Tuesday's high of 76.95. Shorter term support is seen at the overnight contract low of 76.11 and then at 76.00. Today's key near term Fibonacci support/resistance level: 77.32. Wyckoff's Intra Day Market Rating: 4.0

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December S&P 500: The shorter term moving averages (4, 9 and 18 day) are bullish early today. The 4 day moving average is above the 9 day and 18 day. The 9 day is above the 18 day moving average. Short term oscillators (RSI, slow stochastics) are neutral to bullish early today. Today, shorter term technical support comes in at the overnight low of 1,064.00 and then at Tuesday's low of 1,059.50. Sell stops likely reside just under those levels. Upside resistance for active traders today is located at last week's and the overnight high of 1,070.50 and then at 1,080.00. Buy stops are likely located just above those levels. Wyckoff's Intra day Market Rating: 5.5 Today's key near term Fibonacci support/resistance level: 1,039.00.

Pivot point--------- 1,065.35
1st Support:-------- 1,061.50
2nd Support:-------- 1,055.65
1st Resistance:----- 1,071.20
2nd Resistance:----- 1,075.05

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