Oil, Natural Gas Lower Heading Into Tuesday's Trading

Crude oil was lower due to profit taking overnight as it consolidates some of the rally off July's low. Stochastics and the RSI are diverging but are bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near term.

If September extends the rally, the reaction high crossing at 74.25 is the next upside target. Closes below the 20 day moving average crossing at 65.18 would confirm that a short term top has been posted.

Tuesday's daily pivot point, our line in the sand is 70.88. Our weekly pivot point is 67.31.

First resistance is Monday's high crossing at 72.20
Second resistance is the reaction high crossing at 74.25

First support is the 10 day moving average crossing at 67.81
Second support is the 20 day moving average crossing at 65.18

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Natural gas was lower due to profit taking overnight as it consolidates some of Monday's rally. Stochastics and the RSI have turned bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near term. Closes above the reaction high crossing at 4.045 are needed to confirm that a low has been posted while opening the door for a larger degree rebound during the first half of August.

If September renews last week's decline, July's low crossing at 3.366 is the next downside target.

The natural gas pivot point for Tuesday is 3.92 with the weekly pivot point at 3.68.

First resistance is Monday's high crossing at 4.16
Second resistance is the reaction high crossing at 4.72

First support is the 10 day moving average crossing at 3.79
Second support is last Wednesday's low crossing at 3.46

Where is Oil Headed For Tuesday

CNBC's Sharon Epperson discusses they day's activity in the commodities markets, and looks ahead to where oil is likely headed tomorrow.

Crude Oil, Natural Gas Show Near Term Strength

Crude oil closed higher on Monday as it extends the rally off July's low. The high range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening on Tuesday. Today's rally has turned stochastics and the RSI neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near term.

If September extends today's rally, the reaction high crossing at 74.25 is the next upside target. Closes below last Wednesday's low crossing at 62.70 would confirm that a short term top has been posted.

First resistance is today's high crossing at 72.20
Second resistance is the reaction high crossing at 74.25

First support is the 10 day moving average crossing at 67.30
Second support is the 20 day moving average crossing at 64.84

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Natural gas closed sharply higher on Monday as it extends last Thursday's rally. The high range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening on Tuesday. Stochastics and the RSI are turning neutral to bullish signaling that additional strength is possible near term.

If September extends the rally off July's low, June's high crossing at 4.716 is the next upside target.

First resistance is today's high crossing at 4.16
Second resistance is June's high crossing at 4.72

First support is last Wednesday's low crossing at 3.46
Second support is July's low crossing at 3.23

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Oil Climbs Above $72, Gasoline Jumps on Prospect of Demand Gain

Crude oil rose above $72 a barrel for the first time in a month and gasoline surged as increasing industrial activity bolstered optimism that fuel consumption will rebound. Oil gained as much as 3.9 percent after reports showed that U.S. manufacturing shrank at the slowest pace in 11 months and factory output in China advanced to the highest level in almost a year. The Standard & Poor’s 500 Index climbed above 1,000 for the first time since November, also bolstering optimism that raw material demand and prices will increase.....Complete Story

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Crude Oil Daily Technical Outlook from Oil N' Gold

Crude oil's rise from 62.70 extends further today and breaches 70 level. At this point, intraday bias remains on the upside as long as 68.79 minor support holds. Whole rise from 58.32 is expected to continue to key cluster level at 73.38 with 100% projection of 58.32 to 68.99 from 62.7 at 73.36. On the downside, below 68.79 will indicate that an intraday top is in place and bring consolidation. But break of 62.70 support is needed to indicate that rise from 58.32 has completed. Otherwise, short term outlook will remain bullish....Complete Story

Marathon Oil Profit Falls 47% as Energy Prices Drop

Marathon Oil Corp., the fourth largest U.S. energy company, said second quarter profit fell 47 percent after the recession sapped fuel demand, spurring a collapse in petroleum prices. Net income dropped to $413 million, or 58 cents a share, from $774 million, or $1.08, a year earlier, Houston based Marathon said today in a statement. Excluding such items as gains on asset sales, per share profit was 35 cents, 18 cents below the average of 17 analyst estimates compiled by Bloomberg. Marathon was paid an average of $55.49 per barrel of oil, down by more than half from a year earlier, and its average natural gas price tumbled 57 percent. Marathon follows Exxon Mobil Corp., Chevron Corp. and ConocoPhillips, the biggest U.S. oil companies, in reporting declines in second-quarter profits.....Complete Story

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The mathematical findings by this thirteenth century Italian man has yielded a useful technical analysis tool which is used in technical analysis and by scientists in a large array of fields. Born Leonardo of Piza, he is better known in the trading community as Fibonacci. Fibonacci’s best known work is Liber Abaci which is generally credited as having introduced the Arabic number system which we use today.

Fibonacci introduced a number sequence in Liber Abaci which is said to be a reflection of human nature. The series is as follows: 1, 1, 2, 3, 5, 8, 13, 21, 34, 55, 89, 144 and on to infinity. The series is derived by adding each number to the previous. For example, 1+1=2 , 2+1=3, 3+2=5, 5+3=8, 8+5=13, and so on.

We use the Fibonacci series mainly for retracements (see today’s video) and to show us where support and resistance might come into the market. We also use this tool to enter or add onto a position.
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Oil, Gasoline Surge as Second Quarter U.S. GDP Tops Projections

Crude oil rose to a one month high and gasoline surged after a report that the U.S. gross domestic product shrank less than estimated bolstered speculation that the economy is recovering from the recession. Oil climbed 3.7 percent after the Commerce Department said that GDP fell at a 1 percent annual pace during the April through June period. The U.S. economy was forecast to shrink at a 1.5 percent pace, according to the median estimate of 78 economists surveyed by Bloomberg News. Prices also gained because of a drop in the dollar against the euro.....Complete Story

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Crude Oil Closes Above Reaction High Crossing

Crude oil closed higher on Friday and above the previous reaction high crossing at 68.99 thereby renewing the rally off this month's low. The high range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening on Monday. Despite today's rally, stochastics and the RSI remain neutral to bearish hinting that this rally is a corrective rebound.

If September extends this week's rally, the reaction high crossing at 74.25 is the next upside target. Closes below Wednesday's low crossing at 62.70 are needed to confirm that a short term top has been posted.

First resistance is today's high crossing at 69.74
Second resistance is the reaction high crossing at 74.25

First support is the 10 day moving average crossing at 66.65
Second support is the 20 day moving average crossing at 64.50

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Natural gas closed lower due to profit taking on Friday as it consolidates some of Thursday's rally. The mid range close sets the stage for a steady opening on Monday. Stochastics and the RSI remain bearish hinting that additional weakness is possible near term.

If September renews the rally off this month's low, the reaction high crossing at 4.261 is the next upside target. Closes above the reaction high crossing at 4.045 are needed to renew the rally off this month's low.

First resistance is the 10 day moving average crossing at 3.76
Second resistance is the reaction high crossing at 4.05

First support is Wednesday's low crossing at 3.46
Second support is this month's low crossing at 3.23

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Can Exxon Find Future Growth?

ExxonMobil, suffering like the rest of its Big Oil peers from lower oil and natural gas prices, reported plunging earnings this morning. Net income for the second quarter came in at $3.95 billion, a 62% drop over the same quarter last year. At 81 cents a share, Exxon's results undershot analyst expectations. Yet shareholders received their usual largesse from Exxon: $7 billion in dividends and stock buybacks even while the company suffered a 4% decline in oil and gas production to a current 3.7 million barrels a day.....Complete Story