Natural Gas Ready To Rebound

Kent Croft, co-manager of the Croft Value Fund, says natural gas is too cheap to ignore. His favorite stocks include Southwestern Energy, Ultra Petroleum and Williams Cos.



New Video: UNG, An ETF That Closely Tracks Natural Gas

Oil Gains for 5th Day, Natural Gas Sees Potential

After choppy trading Tuesday, crude oil was able to make gains again on the New York Mercantile Exchange. With intra-day trading topping $65, oil prices eventually settled just below that. Crude oil settled at $64.72 a barrel in trading on the NYMEX Tuesday, a bump of 74 cents from Monday's close. Despite some volatile trading during the day and the expiration of the August deliveries, crude oil was able to continue its recent rally for the fifth day in a row."It seesawed pretty dramatically, and then the market did rebound strongly as we went into the last half-hour for expiration; and I think that helped boost oil prices to its fifth consecutive day gains,".....Complete Story

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Profit Taking Tempers Early Gains in Crude Oil, Natural Gas Closes Higher

Crude oil closed higher on Tuesday and above the 20 day moving average crossing at 64.67. Profit taking tempered early gains and the mid range close sets the stage for a steady opening on Wednesday. Stochastics and the RSI are bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near term.

Multiple closes above the 20 day moving average crossing at 64.67 would confirm that a short term low has been posted while opening the door for a larger degree rebound during the last half of July. Closes below the 10 day moving average crossing at 61.54 would temper the near term friendly outlook in the market.

First resistance is today's high crossing at 65.53
Second resistance is the reaction high crossing at 73.38

First support is the 10 day moving average crossing at 61.54
Second support is last Monday's low crossing at 58.32

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Natural gas closed higher on Tuesday as it consolidates above the 20 day moving average crossing at 3.627. The high range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening on Wednesday. Stochastics and the RSI remain bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near term.

If August extends the rally off last week's low, the reaction high crossing at 4.138 is the next upside target. Closes below the 10 day moving average crossing at 3.483 would temper the near term friendly outlook.

First resistance is last Friday's high crossing at 3.79
Second resistance is the reaction high crossing at 4.14

First support is the 10 day moving average crossing at 3.48
Second support is last Monday's low crossing at 3.23

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Crude Oil, Gasoline Rise as Earnings Signal Recession Is Easing

Crude oil rose and gasoline climbed a sixth day, the longest stretch since January, as better than expected earnings at Caterpillar Inc. signaled the recession may be easing in the world’s biggest fuel consuming country. Oil increased as stimulus programs and improved credit markets bolstered profits at the biggest maker of earth moving equipment. Per share earnings beat projections by an average of 14 percent for the 70 companies in the S&P 500 that reported quarterly results since July 8. U.S. crude oil supplies probably fell last week.....Complete Story

New Video: UNG, An ETF That Closely Tracks Natural Gas

In today’s video we will be looking at an ETF that closely tracks the natural gas market. The United States Natural Gas Fund (PACF_UNG) is one of the more popular energy ETFs and a could be a great market to add to your portfolio as the “Trade Triangles” are catching profits from the spectacular moves.

In this short video I’m going to show you how our “Trade Triangle” Technology outperformed one of the smartest investors on the planet. I am of course referring to the legendary oilman T. Boone Pickens. I’m using his own results for his hedge fund BP Capital Management LP.

Check out his results here. Starting from March of 2008 with our results starting at the same time. I will let you draw your own conclusions on this one.

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Crude Oil Higher Overnight, Testing 20 Day Moving Average

Crude oil was higher overnight as it extends last week's rally but remains below the 20 day moving average crossing at 64.65. Stochastics and the RSI are bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near term.

Closes above the 20 day moving average crossing at 64.65 are needed to confirm that a short term low has been posted. If August renews the decline off June's high, the 62% retracement level of the February-June rally crossing at 54.97 is the next downside target.

Crude oil's pivot point for Tuesday is 65.17

First resistance is the 20 day moving average crossing at 64.65
Second resistance is Monday's high crossing at 64.90

First support is the 10 day moving average crossing at 61.49
Second support is the reaction low crossing at 58.32



Natural gas was lower due to profit taking overnight as it consolidates some of its recent gains but remains above the 20 day moving average crossing at 36.23. Stochastics and the RSI remain bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near term.

If August extends the rally off this month's low, the reaction high crossing at 4.138 is the next upside target. Closes below the 10 day moving average crossing at 3.476 would temper the near term friendly outlook in the market.

Tuesday's pivot point for natural gas is 3.65

First resistance is last Friday's high crossing at 3.79
Second resistance is the reaction high crossing at 4.14

First support is the 10 day moving average crossing at 3.48
Second support is last Monday's low crossing at 3.23

Oil to Rise Above $65 After Support Holds

Crude oil may extend gains above $65 a barrel as an indicator of technical momentum suggests the market has rebounded after failing to break support levels last week, according to National Australia Bank Ltd. The Moving Average Convergence-Divergence oscillator on the weekly continuation chart is “a whisker away” from turning positive, said Gordon Manning, a Sydney based technical analyst. Technical buyers usually step in when the MACD rises above its signal line, a so called bullish crossover.....Complete Story

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Halliburton 2Q Earnings Plummet, Beat Expectations

Halliburton said Monday its second quarter profit tumbled 48 percent as sluggish exploration and production activity, particularly in North America, crimped results. Its earnings beat Wall Street forecasts, though the company offered little hope for an uptick in drilling before year's end. The oilfield services company, which has corporate headquarters in Houston and Dubai, said net income for the April-June period fell to $262 million, or 29 cents per share. That compared with $504 million, or 55 cents a share, a year ago.....Complete Story

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Profit Taking Tempers Early Gains in Crude Oil

Crude oil closed higher on Monday and tested the 20 day moving average crossing at 64.90. Profit taking tempered early gains and the mid range close sets the stage for a steady opening on Tuesday. Stochastics and the RSI are bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near term.

Closes above the 20 day moving average crossing at 64.90 would confirm that a short term low has been posted while opening the door for a larger degree rebound during the last half of July. Closes below the 10 day moving average crossing at 61.38 would temper the near term friendly outlook in the market.

First resistance is today's high crossing at 64.90
Second resistance is the reaction high crossing at 73.38

First support is the 10 day moving average crossing at 61.38
Second support is last Monday's low crossing at 58.32

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Natural gas closed slightly higher on Monday and above the 20 day moving average crossing at 3.641 signaling that a short term low might be in or is near. Profit taking tempered early gains and the mid range close sets the stage for a steady opening on Tuesday.

Stochastics and the RSI are bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near term. If August extends the rally off last week's low, the reaction high crossing at 4.138 is the next upside target. Closes below the 10 day moving average crossing at 3.454 would temper the near term friendly outlook.

First resistance is last Friday's high crossing at 3.79
Second resistance is the reaction high crossing at 4.14

First support is the 10 day moving average crossing at 3.45
Second support is last Monday's low crossing at 3.23

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Fundamental Analysis For Energy Market

Friday, oil prices climbed as the U.S. economy released its housing data showing that it came in better than market expectations which aroused speculations back in the markets that the housing sector is finding its bottom. Investors focus on any U.S. housing data as this was the reason behind the global financial turmoil, so an improvement of data, means that the economy will start enhancing therefore increased demand on energy products especially as the U.S. is known as the world's biggest energy consumer.....Complete Story

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Natural Gas Market Seeks Sign

Four consecutive weeks of smaller than expected injections of natural gas into US storage triggered a 12% price jump for the front month contract on the New York Mercantile Exchange in mid-July in what some hoped might be the first sign that well shut ins and reduced drilling may be decreasing supply. The August contract bumped up to $3.67/MMbtu on July 16 after the Energy Information Administration reported the injection of 90 bcf of gas into US storage in the week ended July 10. Still, the price of the front month gas contract.....Complete Story

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Crude Oil Price Collapse Portends of Larger Monumental Rise

There is little known or written about the reason why crude oil was required to undergo a monumental collapse similar to a huge dive. This monumental collapse portends an even bigger and more monumental rise. In jest i would like to call this reason “the rule of rosen.” However, i know better than to usurp in any way those forces that are far more powerful than any mortal or collection of mortals.....Complete Story

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Crude Oil Higher Challenging 20 Day Moving Average

Crude oil was higher overnight as it extends last week's rally and is challenging the 20 day moving average crossing at 64.94. Stochastics and the RSI have turned bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near term.

Closes above the 20 day moving average crossing at 64.94 are needed to confirm that a short term low has been posted. If August renews the decline off June's high, the 62% retracement level of the February-June rally crossing at 54.97 is the next downside target.

Monday's pivot point, our line in the sand is 63.94

First resistance is the overnight high crossing at 64.90
Second resistance is the 20 day moving average crossing at 64.94

First support is the 10 day moving average crossing at 61.44
Second support is the reaction low crossing at 58.32

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Natural gas was higher overnight as it extends last week's rally above the 20 day moving average crossing at 36.45. Stochastics and the RSI are bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near term.

Closes above the 20 day moving average crossing at 3.645 would confirm that a short-term low has been posted while opening the door for a possible test of the reaction high crossing at 4.138 later this month. Closes below the 10 day moving average crossing at 3.461 would temper the near term friendly outlook in the market.

Natural Gas pivot point for Monday is 3.67

First resistance is last Friday's high crossing at 3.785
Second resistance is the reaction high crossing at 4.138

First support is the 10 day moving average crossing at 3.461
Second support is last Monday's low crossing at 3.225

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Natural Gas ETF Plunges More Than Fuel Even as Shares Sell Out

The largest exchange traded fund for natural gas, so popular that it ran out of shares two weeks ago, has lost 43 percent this year and probably will keep falling until winter, trailing the fuel it’s supposed to track. The United States Natural Gas Fund will suffer from record high gas inventories and seasonal prices hitting the ETF harder than the fuel, said Teri Viswanath, the director of commodities research at Credit Suisse Securities USA in Houston. Investors piled into the fund this year, driving up its number of outstanding shares 11-fold.....Complete Story

Iraqi Parliament Declares it Can Halt Oil Contracts

Iraq's parliament has the authority to block a contentious oil deal with BP and China's CNPC, despite the oil ministry's insistence lawmakers can do nothing to derail the agreement, a top lawmaker said. "The government believes that such a subject is included in its authorities, according to existing law, but if parliament finds these contracts or this (bidding) round ... are not beneficial, parliament can prevent the government," parliament speaker Ayad al-Samarai said in an interview on Sunday.....Complete Story

U.S. LNG Surge May Have Been Overstated.

Earlier this year there were predictions for a large surge in LNG imports. While the shipments have started to come in, it's hasn't yet been the torrent some had expected.
U.S. daily LNG usage averaged 1.44 Bcf in Q2, according to Pritchard Capital Partners "well short of the earlier estimates that called for 3-5 Bcf a day." According to the Energy Information Administration the U.S. consumed 23.2 Tcf of natural gas in 2008, and is on track to consume around 22.5 Tcf in 2009. With reports of overseas liquefaction plants running..... Complete Story

Cuba Begins Expansion of JV Refinery with Venezuela

The Cuban authorities have begun the expansion of the storage capacity of a Cuban-Venezuelan refinery, local media reported Thursday. Cuban Basic Industry Minister Yadira Garcia hailed the advance of the work, including the installation of four tanks, each one with a capacity of 20,000 cubic meters, reports said. During a tour of these facilities Wednesday, Garcia said expanding the storage capacity of the refinery is "strategic" work.....Complete Story

Sabic Net Tumbles 76% on Plastics, Fertilizer Demand

Saudi Basic Industries Corp., the world’s largest petrochemical maker, said second-quarter profit fell 76 percent, missing analysts’ estimates, as the economic slump hurt prices and demand for plastics and fertilizers. Net income declined to 1.81 billion riyals ($483 million) from 7.55 billion riyals a year earlier, Riyadh based Sabic said today in a statement on the Saudi bourse Web site. The average estimate of four analysts surveyed by Bloomberg was 2 billion riyals.....Complete Story

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Survey Shows, Oil May Rise on Slumped Earnings

Crude oil may rise as better than expected second quarter earnings bolster the outlook for a recovery in demand, a survey of analysts showed. Seventeen of 37 analysts surveyed by Bloomberg News, or 46 percent, said futures will climb through July 24. Ten respondents, or 27 percent, forecast that prices will be little changed, and 10 expected a decline. Last week, 46 percent of analysts said oil would fall. Futures will increase as second quarter earnings beat analyst expectations, said Bill O’Grady, the chief market strategist for Confluence Investment Management in St. Louis. Prices may also increase as equity markets rise.....Complete Story

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The Father Of Shale Gas, An Interview With George Mitchell

Drawn by impressive initial production rates, unconventional shale natural gas plays have been developed at a fever pitch in recent years by independent exploration and production companies like Devon Energy, Goodrich Petroleum and XTO Energy. But it's costly. First they drill down several thousand feet and bank the bit horizontally through the shale. Then they send a 2 million to 4 million gallon mixture of water, sand and chemicals down to break open the rock and release the gas. George Mitchell and his engineers developed the techniques to exploit shale in the Barnett Shale formation in North Texas.....Complete Interview

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