Friday, May 1, 2009

Crude Oil Closes Higher, Higher Prices Possible Near Term


June crude oil closed sharply higher on Friday and above the 20 day moving average crossing at 51.54 confirming that a short term low has been posted. The high range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening on Monday. Stochastics and the RSI remain neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near term.

If June extends this week's rally, the reaction high crossing at 54.81 is the next upside target. Closes below the 10 day moving average crossing at 50.21 are needed to confirm that a short term low has been posted.

First resistance is today's high crossing at 53.65.
Second resistance is the reaction high crossing at 54.81.

First support is the 10 day moving average crossing at 50.21.
Second support is Monday's low crossing at 48.01.

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The June Dollar closed slightly lower on Friday as consolidates some of Thursday rally. The mid range close sets the stage for a steady opening on Monday. Stochastics and the RSI remain bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near term.

If June extends the decline, March's low crossing at 83.14 is the next downside target. Multiple closes above the 10 day moving average crossing at 85.64 are needed to confirm that a short term low has been posted.

First resistance is the 20 day moving average crossing at 85.53.
Second resistance is the 10 day moving average crossing at 85.64.

First support is Thursday's low crossing at 84.03.
Second support is March's low crossing at 83.14.

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The June S&P 500 index closed higher on Friday as it extended the rally off March's low. The high range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening on Monday. Stochastics and the RSI are diverging but remain neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near term.

If June extends the rally off March's low, January's high crossing at 937.00 is the next upside target. Closes below the 20 day moving average crossing at 849.22 are needed to confirm that a short term top has been posted.

First resistance is Friday's high crossing at 887.10.
Second resistance is January's high crossing at 937.00.

First support is the 10 day moving average crossing at 855.31.
Second support is the 20 day moving average crossing at 849.22.


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