Crude Oil Wants To Go Higher, Remains Overbought

June crude oil was higher overnight and remains poised to extend the rally off April's low. Stochastics and the RSI are overbought but remain bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near term.

If June extends last week's rally, April's high crossing at 55.85 is the next upside target. Closes below the 20 day moving average crossing at 51.67 are needed to confirm that a short term top has been posted.

Wednesday's pivot point is 54.16

First resistance is Tuesday's high crossing at 54.83.
Second resistance is April's high crossing at 55.85.

First support is the 10 day moving average crossing at 51.90.
Second support is the 2 day moving average crossing at 51.67.

Today’s Stock Market Club Trading Triangles


The June Dollar was slightly lower overnight as it consolidates some of Tuesday's decline. Stochastics and the RSI are becoming oversold but remain bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term.

If June extends the decline off April's high, March's low crossing at 83.14 is the next downside target. Closes above the 20 day moving average crossing at 85.39 would temper the near term bearish outlook in the market.

First resistance is the 10 day moving average crossing at 84.87.
Second resistance is the 20 day moving average crossing at 85.39.

First support is Tuesday's low crossing at 83.62.
Second support is March's low crossing at 83.14.

Today’s Stock Market Club Trading Triangles


The June S&P 500 index was lower overnight due to profit taking as it consolidates some of this week's rally. Stochastics and the RSI are overbought but remain bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near term.

If June extends the rally off March's low, January's high crossing at 937.00 is the next upside target. Closes below the 20 day moving average crossing at 860.33 are needed to confirm that a short term top has been posted.

Wednesday's pivot point, our line in the sand is 901

First resistance is Tuesday's high crossing at 908
Second resistance is January's high crossing at 912.5

First support is the 10 day moving average crossing at 896.75
Second support is the 20 day moving average crossing at 889.75

The June S&P 500 Index was down 5.80 points. at 897.60 as of 5:37 AM CST. Overnight action sets the stage for a lower opening by the June S&P 500 index when the day session begins later this morning.

Key Market Events To Watch......

10:30 AM ET. May 1

US Energy Dept Oil Inventories

Crude Oil Stocks (previous 374.7M)

Crude Oil Stocks (Net Change) (expected +2M; previous +4.1M)

Gasoline Stocks (previous 212.6M)

Gasoline Stocks (Net Change) (expected +500K; previous -4.7M)

Distillate Stocks (previous 144.1M)

Distillate Stocks (Net Change) (Expected +1M; previous +1.8M)

Refinery Usage (expected 82.9%; previous 82.7%)


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