Monday, June 29, 2009

Crude Oil Hints at Sideways Trading This Week

August crude oil was higher overnight due to light short covering but remains below the 20 day moving average crossing at 70.20. Stochastics and the RSI are turning bullish hinting that sideways to higher prices are possible near term.

Closes above the 20 day moving average crossing at 70.20 are needed to confirm that a short term low has been posted. If August renews last Monday's decline, the 38% retracement of this spring's rally crossing at 62.25 is the next downside target.

Mondays' pivot point, our line in the sand is 69.75

First resistance is the 20 day moving average crossing at 70.20
Second resistance is the reaction high crossing at 71.29

First support is last Tuesday's low crossing at 66.37
Second support is the 38% retracement level at 62.25


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