Thursday, June 11, 2009

Natural Gas Closes Above 20 Day, Short Term Low Is Posted

Crude oil closed higher on Thursday as it extends this spring's rally. The high range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening on Friday. Stochastics and the RSI are overbought, diverging but are bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near term.

If July extends the rally off April's low, the 38% retracement level of the 2008-2009 decline crossing at 82.38 is the next upside target. Closes below the 20 day moving average crossing at 65.03 would confirm that a short term top has been posted.

First resistance is today's high crossing at 73.23
Second resistance is the 38% retracement level crossing at 82.38

First support is the 10 day moving average crossing at 68.89
Second support is the 20 day moving average crossing at 65.03

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Natural Gas closed higher on Thursday and above the 20 day moving average crossing at 3.919 confirming that a short term low has been posted. The high range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening on Friday.

Stochastics and the RSI are turning neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near term. If July extends today's rally, the reaction high crossing at 4.284 is the next upside target.

If July extends the decline off May's high, April's low crossing at 3.395 is the next downside target.

First resistance is today's high crossing at 4.07
Second resistance is the reaction high crossing at 4.29

First support is last Thursday's low crossing at 3.56
Second support is the reaction low crossing at 3.50

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The U.S. Dollar closed lower on Thursday and below support marked by the 10 day moving average crossing at 79.74. The low range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening on Friday. Stochastics and the RSI are turning neutral hinting that sideways to lower prices are possible near term.

If June extends this week's decline, the reaction low crossing at 78.18 is the next downside target. If June renews the rally off last week's low, the reaction high crossing at 83.33 is the next upside target.

First resistance is Monday's high crossing at 81.53
Second resistance is the reaction high crossing at 83.33

First support is today's low crossing at 79.20
Second support is last Tuesday's low crossing at 78.18


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