Oil Hints Short Term Low Might be In, Natural Gas Looks to go Lower

Crude oil closed lower due to profit taking on Friday and the low range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening on Monday. Stochastics and the RSI have turned neutral hinting that a short term low might be in or is near.

Closes above last Friday's high crossing at 72.85 are needed to confirm that a short term low has been posted.

If August renews this week's decline, the 38% retracement level of this spring's rally crossing at 62.25 is the next downside target.

First resistance is today's high crossing at 71.29
Second resistance is last Friday's high crossing at 72.85

First support is Tuesday's low crossing at 66.37
Second support is the 38% retracement level at 62.25

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Natural gas closed higher due to short covering on Friday as it consolidated some of this week's decline. The high range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening on Monday. Stochastics and the RSI remain bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near term.

If August extends this week's decline, the reaction low crossing at 3.71 is the next downside target. From a broad perspective, August needs to close above 4.82 or below 3.52 to confirm a breakout of this spring's trading range and point the direction of the next trending move.

First resistance is the 10 day moving average crossing at 4.17
Second resistance is the reaction high crossing at 4.57

First support is Wednesday's low crossing at 3.87
Second support is the reaction low crossing at 3.71

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The U.S. Dollar closed lower on Friday as it extends this month's trading range. The low range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening on Monday. Stochastics and the RSI remain bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near term. Closes above 81.97 or below 79.62 are needed to clear up near term direction in the market.

First resistance is the reaction high crossing at 81.97
Second resistance is the reaction high crossing at 83.69

First support is Wednesday's low crossing at 79.90
Second support is the reaction low crossing at 79.62

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