Crude Oil High Range Close Brings Out The Over Confident Bulls

Crude oil closed higher due to short covering on Monday as it consolidated some of the decline off January's high. The high range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening on Tuesday. Stochastics and the RSI are oversold but remain neutral to bearish signal that sideways to lower prices are possible near term.

If March extends the decline off January's high, the 75% retracement level of the September-January rally crossing at 71.70 is the next downside target. Closes above the 20 day moving average crossing at 78.47 are needed to confirm that a short term low has been posted.

Crude oil Pivot point for Monday evening is 74.16

First resistance is the 10 day moving average crossing at 75.23
Second resistance is the 20 day moving average crossing at 78.47

First support is last Friday's low crossing at 72.43
Second support is the 75% retracement level of the September-January rally crossing at 71.70

Just click here for your FREE trend analysis of crude oil ETF USO

Natural gas closed higher on Monday as it rebounds off the 62% retracement level of the December-January rally crossing at 5.114. The high range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening on Tuesday. Stochastics and the RSI are oversold and are turning neutral to bullish hinting that a low might be in or is near.

Closes above the 20 day moving average crossing at 5.555 are needed to confirm that a low has been posted. If March extends the decline off January's high, the 75% retracement level of the December-January rally crossing at 4.919 is the next downside target.

Natural gas pivot point for Monday evening is 5.377

First resistance is the 10 day moving average crossing at 5.434
Second resistance is the 20 day moving average crossing at 5.555

First support is last Thursday's low crossing at 5.060
Second support is the 75% retracement level of the December-January rally crossing at 4.919

Just click here for your FREE trend analysis of natural gas ETF UNG

The U.S. Dollar closed lower due to profit taking on Monday after testing resistance marked by the 38% retracement level of the 2009-2010 decline crossing at 79.71. The low range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening on Tuesday. Stochastics and the RSI are overbought but remain neutral to bullish signaling that sideways prices are possible near term.

If March extends this winter's rally, the 50% retracement level of the 2009-2010 decline crossing at 81.32 is the next upside target. Closes below the 20 day moving average crossing at 78.06 would confirm that a short-term top has been posted.

First resistance is today's high crossing at 79.76
Second resistance is the 50% retracement level of the 2009-2010 decline crossing at 81.32

First support is the 10 day moving average crossing at 78.71
Second support is the 20 day moving average crossing at 78.06

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