Rigzone: Obama Orders Expansion of Oil Drilling

Nine months after the end of the nation's worst oil spill, President Obama is ordering the Interior Department to expand drilling in the Gulf of Mexico, hold annual lease sales in Alaska's National Petroleum Reserve and speed up geological research of exploration prospects off the south and mid Atlantic coasts.

The moves, announced in the president's Saturday radio address, are not so much a reversal as a return to the policy stance Obama adopted in March 2010, shortly before the Deepwater Horizon drilling rig exploded in flames and BP's Macondo well began gushing millions of barrels of oil into the Gulf of Mexico.

In his four minute address, Obama touched on the hardship caused by $4 a gallon gasoline, but made no mention of last year's spill, an environmental disaster that temporarily derailed new wells and set off political sparring over drilling permits that Republicans and oil executives say have been needlessly delayed.

Instead, the president said he would increase access to the Alaskan reserve, an area four times the size of New Jersey. He said that he was also ordering Interior to hold a Gulf of Mexico lease sale this year and two in 2012, thus completing the department's five year plan for the area. And he said that seismic work off the Atlantic coast would map out new areas for future lease sales.....Read the entire article.


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High Oil Prices Have Fund Managers Moving Into "Risk Off" Mode

Let's ask ourselves "what is the true cost of oil". Economists are furiously downsizing their economic growth forecasts for 2011 in the wake of the oil price spike, both for the US and for the world at large. Since last week, West Texas crude prices have soared $12 from $86 to $98. Each $1 increase in the price of oil jumps gasoline prices by 2.5 cents. Each one cent rise in the cost of gasoline takes $1 billion out of the pockets of consumers.

If oil stays at this price, it removes $30 billion from the pockets of consumers. At $110 a barrel, it short changes them by $60 billion, or 4.1% of GDP. Subtract this out from even the most optimistic GDP forecasts for this year, and you end up with negative numbers. That, my friends, is what they call a recession. If you wonder why hedge fund managers have lurched into an aggressive "RISK OFF" mode, are throwing their babies out with the bathwater, and why the volatility index is spiking to three month highs, this is why.

Posted courtesy of our partner John Thomas, "The Mad Hedge Fund Trader"


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Commodity Corner: Crude Oil Rallies to 2 Year High on Economic Optimism

Crude rallied Thursday to a two year high on rising equities and an increase in economic optimism. Oil for January delivery gained $1.25, settling at $88.00 a barrel Thursday. Oil prices peaked at $88.13 during Thursday's trading session and bottomed out at $86.27. According to the U.S. Department of Labor, initial unemployment benefit claims increased by 26,000 to 436,000 from the previous week. However, the four week moving average decreased by 5,750 a two year low.

In addition, reports on an increase in retail and the housing market sales also boosted the U.S. economy. The National Association of Realtors reported a 10 percent increase in pending home sales for the month of October after dropping 1.8% in September. The greenback fell Thursday against the euro on news that the European Central Bank will delay its withdrawal of stimulus measures and keep its interest rate at a record low of 1 percent. A weaker dollar increases oil prices making it cheaper for buyers with foreign currencies.

Likewise, gasoline futures rose to a six month high Thursday, closing the trading session at $2.36 a gallon. The nearly six cent increase came as East Coast supplies declined. Investors fear that imports may decline on tightening supply conditions in the New York harbor. RBOB gasoline fluctuated between $2.29 and $2.36 Thursday.

Front month natural gas futures continued to climb higher Thursday for the eleventh straight day. Natural gas lost earlier rebounds, gained from cooler weather, after inventories fell below market expectation. The Energy Information Administration reported a 23 billion cubic feet drop for the week ended Nov. 23. Natural gas prices settled at $4.34 per thousand cubic feet, up 7.4 cents from the previous day. The intraday range for natural gas was $4.20 to $4.38.

Posted courtesy of Rigzone.Com



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Commodity Corner: Crude Oil Up 3%

Crude oil rebounded Wednesday on positive manufacturing data from China, encouraging U.S. employment data, and word that the United States may join a European bailout program. Oil for January delivery rose $2.64 to settle at $86.75 a barrel. One factor providing momentum for oil was a monthly update of the China Purchasing Managers Index (PMI).

According to the China Federation of Logistics and Purchasing, the PMI increased by 0.9 percent in November. Also benefiting oil was an ADP Employer Services report indicating that private sector employers in the U.S. added 93,000 jobs last month. The finding was above expectations.

In addition, the prospect of U.S. backing for faltering banks in European Union countries proved bullish for oil. Citing an unnamed U.S. official, Reuters reported Wednesday that the U.S. might augment a $980 billion dollar fund to bail out heavily indebted EU region banks using money from the International Monetary Fund (IMF). Other news reports, however, quoted a Treasury Department official who denied that talks were underway to contribute funds to the so called European Financial Stability Facility. January crude traded from $83.63 to $86.62.

Bullish sentiment also was evident in the natural gas futures price. January natural gas increased nine cents to settle at $4.27 per thousand cubic feet. Projections of below normal temperatures through next week in the Northeast and Midwest provided an impetus for Wednesday's increase. The natural gas futures price fluctuated from $4.16 to $4.32.

Gasoline for January delivery also ended the day higher, gaining 13 cents to settle at $2.30 a gallon. It peaked at $2.31 and bottomed out at $2.18. The December gasoline contract, which expired Tuesday, finished at $2.27.

Posted courtesy of Rigzone.Com


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Debt Contagion Spreads to Italy, Belgium. Global Markets Tumble

Financial markets remained under pressure with Wall Street tumbling and the dollar soaring to a 2 1/2 month high against the euro. Debt contagion accelerated further in the European periphery. In bond markets, US Treasuries and German bunds strengthened while Spanish and Italian yield spreads widened to record highs. In the commodity sector, oil prices plummeted as bourses weakened. Moreover, industry report showed that oil inventories rose last week. The front month contract for WTI crude oil slipped to as low as 83.55 before closing at 84.11, down -1.89%. Precious metals rose across the board with the benchmark gold contract surging +1.47% to settle at 1386.1. Benchmark contracts for silver, platinum and palladium also gained +3.91%, 1.33% and 1.17% respectively.

Sovereign concerns about debt-ridden European countries remained elevated even though a bailout program of 85B euro for Ireland has been approved. The rescue program's impacts on easing worries were short-lived and the market soon began speculating Portugal as the next country following Ireland to seek help from EU/IMF. Look at bond markets, yield spreads between peripheral European bonds and German bunds continued to widen. While Greek and Irish spreads were the widest, Spanish and Italian spreads accelerated and reached record highs. A similar picture was seen in CDS spreads and we find it particularly interesting that Italian and Belgium spreads were widening fast.

In Asia, China reported the Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) expanded to 55.2 in November from 54.7 a month ago. This is the strongest reading in 7 months and signaled the country's manufacturing activities have been growing robustly despite the government measures. Asian shares fluctuated after the report. While investors were encouraged by the strong growth, it also fueled tightening concerns as the government may accelerate measures to control inflation.

Gauges for manufacturing activities will also be released in Europe and the US later. In the US, ISM manufacturing index probably eased to 56.5 in November from 56.9 a month ago. We will also get some employment data in the NY session. ADP will probably report +65K addition of payrolls last month while Challenger's estimates for job cuts may have been lowered from 31.8% in October.

We will also get EIA's weekly oil inventory report. The market forecasts crude and distillate inventories fell while gasoline stockpiles gained in the week ended November 26. The industry-sponsored API estimated crude inventory drew -1.4 mmb while both gasoline and distillate recorded stock builds.

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Commodity Corner: Crude Oil Tumbles on Lingering Debt Concerns

Light, sweet crude futures fell Tuesday as concern over the European debt crisis resurfaced after the euro plummeted to its lowest level in 10 weeks. Led by declines in heating oil and gasoline futures [which expired at close] and crude oil tumbled more than a dollar a barrel in the last half hour of Tuesday's trading session. Oil prices for January delivery settled at $84.11 a barrel, 1.9 percent lower than Monday.

Fear lingers as investors worry that other countries, such as Spain, Portugal, or Italy, might also need financial assistance after Ireland’s massive bailout package earlier this week. The euro lost 0.9 percent Tuesday, hitting a two month low against the dollar. The greenback rose 0.5 percent on the U.S. dollar index, which gauges the dollar to an array of six other currencies. As the dollar strengthens, crude becomes more expensive for foreign buyers and dollar denominated commodities lose their appeal.

The intraday range for crude futures was $83.55 to $85.90 Tuesday. Front month December gasoline settled nearly two cents lower at $2.26 a gallon on the New York Mercantile Exchange. The December contract for gasoline expired at Tuesday's settlement. In spite of the global economic crisis, gasoline gained 6.3 percent this month the largest since September. Gasoline fluctuated between $2.23 and $2.28 Tuesday.

Natural gas futures also tumbled Tuesday, as stockpiles exceeded expectations of an increase in heating demand due to the forecasted colder than normal temperatures. Although natural gas prices typically correlate with heating demand in the winter, analysts predict that the surplus in supplies has limited rallies; however, they remain uncertain about long term predictions. January Natural gas traded lower for the second consecutive session at $4.18 per thousand cubic feet. It peaked at $4.25 and bottomed out at $4.13 Tuesday.

Posted courtesy of Rigzone.Com

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Commodity Corner: Crude Oil Begins Week Much Higher

A weaker equities market and a stronger dollar failed to place downward pressure on crude oil Monday. Crude oil for January delivery gained $1.97 to settle at $85.75 a barrel during a trading day influenced by factors ranging from oil products demand to the release of politically sensitive information attributed to U.S. State Department officials. In the latter case, ongoing fallout from the widespread leaks has heightened perceived geopolitical risks.

Exacerbating the geopolitical situation have been escalating tensions between North and South Korea as well as continued speculation about Europe's debt crises. Although the European Union approved a EUR85 billion bailout for Ireland over the weekend, there are fears that other heavily indebted countries such as Spain and Portugal will be next in line for massive financial aid packages. In addition, tightening inventories of gasoline contributed to oil's rally Monday. December gasoline ended the day seven cents higher at $2.28 a gallon

Oil traded within a range from $83.59 to $85.54. Gasoline, meanwhile, peaked at $2.29 and bottomed out at $2.21. Despite a chillier than normal forecast for the Northeast, January natural gas fell 19 cents to settle at $4.21 per thousand cubic feet. The natural gas futures price fluctuated from $4.17 to $4.49.

Posted courtesy of Rigzone.Com


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Commodity Corner: Crude Oil Ends Lower on Stronger Dollar

Crude oil lost ground Friday, dogged by a weaker euro resulting from continued fears that Europe's spate of debt crises will spread from Ireland to Portugal and Spain.

Oil for January delivery fell 10 cents to end the day at $83.76 a barrel. The euro declined 0.9 percent against the greenback Friday. Thanks to Ireland's debt woes, along with those elsewhere in the bloc, the EU currency has slipped by more than seven percent in less than a month. A stronger dollar makes oil less of a value for those holding other currencies. Oil traded from $82.78 to $83.87 Friday.

Buoyed by predictions of colder temperatures in December for much of the country, January natural gas rose by a penny Friday to settle at $4.40 per thousand cubic feet. The December contract, which expired Wednesday, settled at $4.27.

The January natural gas futures price fluctuated from $4.35 to $4.48 Friday. December gasoline was unchanged Friday, again settling at $2.21. It traded within a range from $2.20 to $2.23.

Posted Courtesy of Rigzone.Com

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Commodity Corner: Crude Oil Up 3.2%

Positive economic data and a lower than expected build in U.S. crude oil inventories resulted in a pre holiday boost for January oil futures.

The front month futures price settled at $83.86 a barrel Wednesday, a $2.61 gain from the previous day, after trading within a range from $80.97 to $83.75. Supporting oil were statistics released Wednesday indicating some glimmers of hope for the U.S. economy. According to the U.S. Department of Commerce, personal income increased 0.5 percent in October above private sector expectations. In addition, the agency stated that real consumer spending rose by 0.3 percent during the same period.

Also benefiting oil was an economic indicator in the Thomson Reuters/University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers, a monthly publication that was released Wednesday. The latest findings observe a 5.8% increase in consumer sentiment, from 67.7 in October to 71.6 in November. Nevertheless, the survey's authors caution that the significant increase does not necessarily mark a "turning point" in consumers' personal financial prospects. Indeed, they note that many consumers continue to report worsening personal finances.

"While consumers clearly believe that the recovery has gained some traction, most still think that the economic gains will be too small to improve their own job and income position anytime soon," stated Richard Curtin, Surveys of Consumers Chief Economist.

In its weekly report on the country's crude oil stocks, the U.S. Department of Energy's Energy Information Administration (EIA) reported that inventories rose to 358.6 million barrels as of November 19, 2010. Last week's 1 million barrel gain reverses a sharp decline reported for the week of November 12, but the gain was lower than analysts had anticipated.

Natural gas for December delivery showed very little movement Wednesday, ending the day a penny higher at $4.27 per thousand cubic feet. Expectations of milder weather in the Northeast, along with very high storage volumes, prevented gas from increasing further. Front month natural gas peaked at $4.38 and bottomed out at $4.18.

December gasoline settled at $2.21 a gallon Wednesday, representing an eight cent gain from the previous session. Gasoline traded from $2.13 to $2.21.

Posted courtesy of Rigzone.Com


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Crude Oil Rallies Above 83 Despite Inventory Gains

Total crude oil and petroleum products stocks declined for the 4th week, by -0.26 mmb to 1106.15 mmb in the week ended November 19. Crude oil inventory unexpectedly gained +1.03 mmb, compared with consensus of a -1.03 mmb drop, to 358.63 mmb with stock rising in 3 out 5 PADDs. Cushing stock also rose +0.56 mmb to 33.63 mmb. Utilization rate climbed +1.5% to 85.5%.

Gasoline inventory increased +1.91 mmb to 209.59 mmb while that for distillate dipped -0.54 mmb to 158.25 mmb. Gasoline demand slipped -1.37% to 8.83M bpd. Imports and production rose +39.50% and +0.12% respectively. Distillate demand claimed +0.63% to 3.80M bpd. Both imports and production soared, by 49.43% and +1.46% respectively.

WTI crude oil jumped to as high as 83.05 after the report, despite stock builds in crude oil and gasoline. A Strong rebound in the stock markets was probably the main reason driving oil prices higher.

Here is a Comparison Between API and EIA Reports


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Commodity Corner: Crude Oil Falls on Europe, Korea Concerns

Crude dropped for the third day Tuesday amid a backdrop of lingering concerns about the European debt crises and the two Koreas' shelling exchange.

Light, sweet crude futures fell 49 cents, settling at $81.25 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange. Oil tumbled 0.6 percent Tuesday, a day after Ireland sought a financial bailout from the European Union and International Monetary Fund. German Chancellor Angela Merkel's comments that the euro is in an "exceptionally serious" situation added to the European debt fears, sending the dollar up against the euro. A stronger dollar curbs commodities' appeal for buyers with foreign currencies.

Escalating tensions between North and South Korea also contributed to decreasing prices. North and South Korea's exchange of artillery fire early Tuesday drove investors to seek refuge from riskier assets, according to analysts. The intraday range for crude prices was $80.28 to $82.10 Tuesday.

Natural gas for December delivery fell by less than a penny Tuesday to settle at $4.26 per thousand cubic feet. The decline came as forecasts showed milder weather in the U.S. The National Weather Service now expects normal to above normal temperatures in the Northeast for the next six to 10 days. The December contract for natural gas expires Wednesday, along with the release of this week's inventory report. It will be released a day earlier due to the U.S. Thanksgiving holiday on Thursday. Henry Hub natural gas peaked at $4.29 and bottomed out at $4.115.

Front month December gasoline also settled lower, falling 1.77 cents to end Tuesday's trading session at $2.13 a gallon. RBOB gasoline fluctuated between $2.10 and $2.15 Tuesday.


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Commodity Corner: Crude Oil Settles Lower on Weaker Euro

Crude oil on the January contract ended the day at $81.74, a .24 cent decline from Friday, as the euro slipped 0.4 percent against the greenback. Although Ireland has agreed to a bailout plan from the European Union to shore up its banks amid a serious debt crisis, lingering concerns that Portugal and Spain are the next EU countries in line for bailouts were bearish for the euro. Because oil is priced in dollars, a stronger dollar makes it less attractive to buyers holding other currencies.

January crude traded within a range from $80.68 to $82.87 Monday. Oil settled at $81.51 Friday on the December contract, which has expired.

The National Weather Service expects the Midwest and Northeast to experience colder than normal temperatures through next week. Given the regions' anticipated greater electricity demand during this period, December natural gas settled 11 cents higher at $4.27 per thousand cubic feet. It traded from $4.125 to $4.28.

Although the American Automobile Association expects more motorists to be on the road for this year's Thanksgiving holiday, December gasoline ended the day a nickel lower at $2.15 per gallon. The front month gasoline price fluctuated Monday from $2.13 to $2.215.

Posted courtesy of Rigzone.Com

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Commodity Corner: Crude Oil Declines Despite Lower Inventories

Concerns about global oil demand on Wednesday trumped a U.S. Department of Energy report that stockpiles of oil and gasoline were down last week.

Crude oil for December delivery fell $1.90 to settle at $80.44 Wednesday as traders anticipated China's pending actions to rein in inflation. China is expected to raise interest rates to in an effort to stabilize rising prices, and the country's government on Wednesday emphasized its focus on boosting the availability of oil and other commodities.

The DOE's Energy Information Administration reported Wednesday that U.S. commercial crude oil stocks fell by 2 percent as of November 12, 2010, to 357.6 million barrels. Last week's 7.3 million-barrel decline marked the second straight week of lower oil inventories as reported by the EIA.

December crude oil traded from $80.06 to $82.67 Wednesday.

The EIA also reported that gasoline stocks fell 1.2 percent last week. However, front-month gasoline settled flat at $2.16 a gallon Wednesday. According to the DOE agency, total U.S. gasoline inventories stood at 207.7 million barrels as of November 12.

The gasoline futures price ranged from $2.16 to $2.18 during Wednesday's trading.

Thanks to cooler weather, coupled with speculation that the DOE will report a drop in inventories Thursday, December natural gas settled at $4.03 per thousand cubic feet a .21 cent day on day increase. Natural gas traded from 3.80 to 4.04 Wednesday.


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Commodity Corner: Crude Oil Largely Unchanged on Mixed Data

Thanks to positive retail sales data from the U.S. Department of Commerce and lackluster figures from the Federal Reserve Bank of New York, the price of crude oil for December delivery remained largely unchanged Monday. Oil settled at $84.86 a barrel, a two cent drop from Friday, after trading within a range from $84.48 to $85.77. The Commerce Department's Census Bureau announced that U.S. retail sales increased by 1.2 percent in October, exceeding private sector expectations and the strongest increase since March 2010. Also, the bureau announced that motor vehicle sales rose by 5 percent last month.

Countering the news from the Census Bureau, however, was a New York Fed report observing deteriorating conditions in November for manufacturers in New York State. The Fed's Empire State Manufacturing Survey found a steep decline in general business conditions, plummeting new orders, and a decrease in shipments. December natural gas received a boost from the Census Bureau's retail sales statistics, however. Gas settled nearly a nickel higher to end the day at $3.845 per thousand cubic feet. Natural gas peaked at $3.87 and bottomed out at $3.71.

Despite the positive motor vehicle sales numbers, front month gasoline fell nearly two cents to settle at $2.195 a gallon. December gasoline traded from $2.21 to $2.25.

Courtesy of Rigzone.Com

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Commodity Corner: Crude Oil Ends 6 Day Rally

Tuesday's crude futures ended a six day rally Tuesday, as the dollar strengthened against the euro. Crude reached a two year high of $87.63 earlier in the day, before ending Tuesday's trading session at $86.72 a barrel, a 34 cent drop. Oil bottomed out at $85.48. The euro strengthened and the dollar weakened earlier Tuesday following the sale of Greek Treasury bills. The greenback later rebounded amid concerns of European governments struggling to pay their debt. A stronger dollar causes dollar-denominated commodities to be more expensive for countries with other currencies.

Led by financial and consumer companies, the Standard & Poor's 500 Index declined 4.17 points, or 0.3 percent, while the ICE Dollar Index rose to 77.03 from 77.44. Meanwhile, front month natural gas prices increased to its highest levels since August 19, as heating fuel demand rose on cold weather anticipation. Forecasts showed below average temperatures across the U.S. from Nov. 14 to Nov. 22, as reported by the National Weather Service. Henry Hub natural gas rose 12.2 cents to settle at $4.21 per thousand cubic feet on the New York Mercantile Exchange.

According to the Energy Information Administration's (EIA) report, 2010 U.S. natural gas production should increase 2.5 percent from 2009 levels and 0.2 bcf a day for October's marketed natural gas production. The intraday range for natural gas was $4.06 to $4.23. RBOB gasoline for December contract also settled up Tuesday, adding 0.65 cent, to $2.19 a gallon the highest since Aug. 3. Gasoline prices fluctuated between $2.16 and $2.20 Tuesday.

Courtesy of Rigzone.Com

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Commodity Corner: Crude Oil, Natural Gas, Gasoline End the Week Higher

The price of a barrel of crude oil continued its ascent for the fifth straight day Friday, settling 36 cents higher at $86.85.

Oil for December delivery, which had received a boost during the week from the U.S. midterm elections and the Federal Reserve's "Quantitative Easing 2" policy to stimulate the economy, got a boost Friday from new U.S. Department of Labor jobs figures. According to the Labor Department, nonfarm payroll private-sector employment increased by 151,000 jobs in October. However, the unemployment rate remained unchanged at 9.6 percent.

Crude oil traded from $85.96 to $87.22 Friday. Compared to Monday's settlement price, it is up 4.7 percent for the week.

December natural gas futures also ended the day higher, settling eight cents higher at $3.94 per thousand cubic feet. Colder weather forecasts have provided a boost to natural gas, countering the effect of high inventories. Friday's gas price, which ranged from $3.85 to $3.95 during trading, marks a 2.9 percent increase for the week.

Despite a steady string of increases throughout the week, gasoline for December delivery ended the day flat at $2.18 a gallon on Friday. Front month gasoline, which peaked at $2.19 and bottomed out at $2.16 during the day's session, finished the week up 4.3 percent.


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Commodity Corner: Crude Rallies Ahead of Fed's Stimulus Move

Crude futures rallied to a near six month high Tuesday as the dollar fell ahead of the U.S. Federal Reserve's anticipated decision to implement another stimulus plan. Light, sweet crude for December delivery rose 95 cents, settling at $83.90 a barrel. Analysts expect the Fed to announce a plan to purchase $500 billion of long term securities during its meeting this week. The plan is intended to accelerate growth, decrease unemployment, increase inflation, and boost flagging economic recovery. Economic growth or a weaker dollar contributes to an increase in oil prices.

Meanwhile, the ICE Dollar Index, which measures the dollar against six major currencies, slid to its lowest level in two weeks at $76.74. A weaker dollar increases the commodity's appeal, making it cheaper for foreign currencies to purchase. Crude futures fluctuated Tuesday between $82.83 and $84.34.

Due to cooler temperatures, natural gas for December delivery climbed up 3.8 cents to settle at $3.87 per thousand cubic feet. Analysts hope the colder weather will drive demand because U.S. inventory levels are nearing record levels this month. U.S. natural gas stockpiles at the end of last week were at 3.75 trillion cubic feet; the record high was reached in November at 3.84 trillion cubic feet. Natural gas traded between $3.75 and $3.93 Tuesday. Reformulated gasoline blendstock also settled higher, gaining 1.67 cents to reach $2.11 a gallon Tuesday. RBOB gasoline peaked at $2.12 and bottomed out at $2.09.

Courtesy of Rigzone.Com


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Phil Flynn: Crude Surge!

Let’s forget all that quantitative easing stuff for a moment and focus on some of that old time supply and demand stuff. The Energy Information Agency reported that crude oil supplies hit the highest level ever, in this county, for this time of year. Well at least since the EIA has been tracking monthly data. After a whopper build of 5.0 million barrels, we see supply hit a hefty 366.2 million barrels which according to Dow Jones newswires is the highest level of supply at this time of year since 1931. To put that in perspective, that was a year when the “Model A” was the car of choice for many Americans and Herbert Hoover was President.

Of course this bounty of crude supply did not translate to gasoline supply which according to the EIA fell 4. 4million barrels last week and probably kept the entire petroleum complex from falling totally apart. Gas exports were a contributing factor as the strike in France created an increased demand for our supply. Gasoline production increased last week, averaging 9.2 million barrels per day while imports a mere 1.0 million barrels per day. Over the last four weeks, motor gasoline demand has averaged 9.0 million barrels per day, down by 0.8 percent from the same period last year.

Distillates, according the EIA, fell by 1.6 million barrels. If the French had not been siphoning off supply, that number might have been larger. The impact of the strike influenced our demand numbers which averaged 3.9 million barrels per day over the last four weeks, up by 8.7 percent from the same period last year. Distillate fuel demand has averaged 3.9 million barrels per day over the last four weeks, up by 8.7 percent from the same period last year.

The EIA reported that refineries operated at 83.7 percent of their operable capacity last week and over all oil use hit the lowest level since December. Demand is still weak over all and may be restricted somewhat by the price spike caused by the QE2 threat! With oil trading in a tight trading range for the majority of this year it is time to get Phil's daily buy and sell points. Just call him at 800-935-6487 or email him at pflynn@pfgbest.com. You can also catch him every day on the Fox Business Network!


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Commodity Corner: Crude Oil Rises on Dollar Decline

The price of a barrel of crude oil for December delivery settled at $82.52 Monday, a 83 cent increase from the previous session. The increase stems largely from the weakening of the U.S. Dollar, which fell 0.34% against the euro Monday. Pending Federal Reserve action to increase the U.S. money supply in order to buy more federal government debt has placed downward pressure on the dollar. A weaker dollar tends to boost demand for oil from buyers holding other currencies.

Contributing to the bullish sentiment for oil was a report showing that existing home sales in the U.S. increased 10% last month. According to the National Association of Realtors, a housing recovery is occurring albeit in the early stages. An official with the trade group said the duration and impact of a foreclosure moratorium will influence how "choppy" the recovery will be. December crude traded from $81.45 to $83.28 Monday.

Milder than normal temperatures in typically heating depending U.S. regions such as the Northeast and Midwest have quashed demand for natural gas recently. Monday was no exception to this trend, with November natural gas settling a penny lower at $3.32 per thousand cubic feet. The front month gas price fluctuated between $3.29 and $3.40.

Labor unrest at French refineries and fuel depots is expected to reduce gasoline exports to the U.S. market. As a result, November gasoline futures rose two cents to settle at $2.08 a gallon. Gasoline peaked at $2.10 and bottomed out at $2.05.

Coutesy of Rigzone.Com


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Commodity Corner: China Increases Rate, Crude Falls

Light, sweet crude futures plummeted Tuesday after China raised interest rates, sparking concerns that demand for raw materials could decrease and sending the dollar higher against the euro. Oil for November delivery fell 4.32 percent, or $3.59, settling at $79.49 a barrel, the lowest in eight months. The November contract expires Wednesday.

In an effort to slowdown China's rapid growth, the People's Bank of China Tuesday increased its lending and deposit rates by 25 basis points each for the first time since 2007. China's oil imports reached record highs in September. Investors fear that China's decision could hinder global growth and decrease its demand for oil and other commodities. Amid increasing U.S. stockpiles, traders turn to global demand; China, the second largest consumer of oil after the U.S., has become an important channel for oil supplies.

The dollar rose 1.8 percent against an index of foreign currencies, indicating wariness that the Chinese move may reduce economic growth. As the greenback gained momentum, demand for oil decreased. Oil prices fluctuated between $79.39 and $83.21 a barrel Tuesday. Meanwhile, Henry Hub natural gas futures rose Tuesday as traders sensed a buying opportunity after oil prices plunged. Front month natural gas settled up at $3.51 per thousand cubic feet, after plunging to a 13 month low of $3.40. In earlier trading, natural gas posted a session high of $3.53.

November reformulated gasoline blendstock, or RBOB, settled at $2.05 a gallon after declining 4.98 percent the biggest one day percentage fall in more than a year. The intraday range for gasoline was $2.04 to $2.15 a gallon.

Courtesy  of  Rigzone.Com

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