In the bigger picture, the stronger than expected rebound from 64.24 dampened our bearish view and we'll stay neutral first. But still, rise from 64.24 looks corrective in nature and favors another fall after completion. A break of 69.51 support will indicate that rebound from 64.24 is finished and revive the bearish case. That is, whole medium term rise from 33.2 is finished at 87.15, just ahead of 50% retracement of 147.27 to 33.2 at 90.24. In such case, we'd see another fall to 50% retracement of 33.2 to 87.15 at 60.18 at least.
In the long term picture, current development suggests that rebound from 33.2 is finished at 87.15, inside 76.77/90.24 fibo resistance zone as expected. Our view is that fall fro 87.15 would develop into the third falling leg of the whole correction from 147.27 and hence, we'd anticipate an eventual break of 33.2 low in the long term as such correction extends.....Nymex Crude Oil Continuous Contract 4 Hours Chart.
The "Super Cycle" in Gold and How It Will Affect Your Pocketbook in 2010
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