Top Dividend Plays – Profit in a Bull Market, Protect Yourself in a Bear Market and Collect Dividends Along the Way!

When your babysitter knows that the market is on a roll, there is no question it’s a bull market! It may also be time to keep an eye out for a correction. No one knows when a correction will take place and you don’t want to miss gains in a bull market.

So what do you do?

Easy! Continue buying good companies with outstanding fundamentals, but look for “defensive” sectors and throw in some outstanding dividend payouts for good measure.

In this complimentary INO.com special report they reveal an ETF that’s loaded with the best and most consistent dividend paying companies. And here’s the best part: all of the companies listed in this ETF have to boast a record of increasing dividends for at least 20 consecutive years (not a typo).

As an added bonus, you’ll also receive their favorite dividend stock. This stock boasts a mind blowing dividend record backed by some of the strongest fundamentals around.

Don’t miss out, just click here to view this complimentary report today!

See you in the markets!

Ray C. Parrish
aka The Crude Oil Trader

Time to Buy Out of Favor ETF’s for 2014?

From our trading partner David A. Banister of Active Trading Partners.....

The best time to buy cheap is when you are afraid to bring up your ideas around the water cooler at work for fear of the peer laughter. Our work centers on looking for oversold conditions and crowd behavioral anomalies that can give us better low risk entries with good upside potential. A combination of fundamentals and technical, combined with Elliott Wave Theory patterns can lead to nice profits with low risk.

For just a few quick ideas that would make sense in this area, we point out 3 ETF’s that you could look at entering now as they are way out of favor and very oversold.

Gold Stocks: GDXJ The Junior Miners index is high risk, high reward. However, if you time the entry right at the opportune moment the upside is very high with low downside risk. With GOLD out of favor, we have been pounding the table the last 10 days or so that there are only 4-5 weeks left to buy quality miner names. Instead of picking through them one at a time, you can pick up the high beta play GDJX ETF.




How about Brazil? Everyone hates Brazil stocks now, but they have some of the most valuable natural resources in the world, and Brazil almost always bounces back strong off bear cycle lows. Here is a way to play the commodity rebound we see in 2014: EWZ ETF




It’s not too late to eat some Turkey: The country TURKEY also often is a very volatile play to invest, but going in during very oversold conditions often plays out to the upside for gains later on. ETF TUR is beat up, it’s time to buy.




Join us at The Active Trading Partners.com to use crowd behavioral dynamics, fundamentals, and technical’s to smash the market. Check out our track record online and sign up today!

Join Before January 1st and Get Both Our Stock AndETF trade alerts for one low price!
 

CME: Crude Oil Steady Ahead of EIA Inventory Report

Crude oil prices have been steady over the last twenty four hours after a short covering rally driven by a recovery in the euro and equity markets in Europe and the US after Monday's post Spanish bailout sell off. We are now entering the major event period for the month of June with the OPEC meeting kicking off tomorrow and the Greek elections on Sunday. Also since yesterday the EIA, IEA and OPEC have all released their oil forecasts while today the EIA will release its weekly oil inventory report. Last night the API data showed a surprise build in crude oil and decline in gasoline stocks (see below for more details on all of the fundamental reports.

I am still expecting a rollover with no production cuts from the OPEC meeting. I am still of the view that the Saudi's will keep oil production high even if oil prices continue to decline. I believe part of the strategy is to add pressure on Iran with lower oil prices and thus hope that it motivates Iran and the West to eventually negotiate a deal over Iran's nuclear issues. The next Iran/West meeting is in Moscow early next week.

At the moment most risk asset markets are still in a downtrend even after a short covering rally yesterday. The technicals for all of the markets are also suggesting lower values going forward. However, event risk will take over as the main price driver for all of the risk asset markets including the oil complex as the macro correlations remain very tightly linked. I believe there is a lot of trading and investing dollars sitting on the sidelines which is likely to remain parked in bonds and money markets until more clarity emerges from the major market headwinds. Following are just some of the main questions clouding all of the markets

Who will win the Greek elections?

Will the Spanish bank bailout actually go forward?

Is Italy next on the agenda?

Will the EU move to eurobonds?

Will contagion spread around to other EU countries as well as outside the EU?

Will the EU slip back into recession?

Will the US economy continue to slow?

Will China's easing result in a growth spurt for this meteoric economy?

Will the US Fed announce another quantitative easing program at their June meeting?

What will be the outcome of the OPEC meeting...production cut or status quo?

Will any progress be made at the next round of talks between Iran and the West?

If no progress is made does it quickly increase the likelihood of military action in the region?

There are more but I trust you all get the point as to the magnitude of the event risk to all of the markets over the next two to three weeks. All of the above have implications for the market and are likely to impact the direction of the markets...at least for the short term. In addition to all of the normal technical and fundamentals approaches you use for trading and investing for the next two to three weeks you must pay close attention to not only the outcome of all of the events but the 30 second news snippets hitting the media airwaves leading up to all of the events. The only guarantee is markets will remain volatile with sudden price reversals as we saw during Monday's US trading session.....

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What do you follow, the fundamentals....the charts....or both?

Why is it that the fundamentals don’t match the charts? The stock market is a forward looking instrument. It forecasts how businesses are going to be months into the future. You only have to look back in the first quarter of 2009 to see how the fundamentals looked terrible, yet the charts pointed to better days ahead. What do you follow, the fundamentals or the charts, or both?

And what do both tell us when looking at this crude oil market. We believe the low seen yesterday on the May contract around the $102 area is going to be an important support level for this market. We are looking for the May contract to continue to consolidate around current levels and eventually move up to the $108 area, where it should find resistance.

We continue to like the long term chart formation which we believe will eventually push this market higher. We are still looking for crude oil to make its lows probably somewhere in the April-May period and then we expect that the downside pressure in this market to come to an end. Long term traders should remain long this market with appropriate money management stops.

Tuesdays action finished up with crude oil [May contract] closing lower due to profit taking as it consolidated some of Monday's rally. The low range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening on Wednesday. Stochastics and the RSI are turning neutral hinting that a low might be in or is near.

Closes above the reaction high crossing at 108.70 are needed to confirm that a short term low has been posted. If May renews last week's decline, the 38% retracement level of the October-March rally crossing at 97.84 is the next downside target.

First resistance is the broken October-February uptrend line crossing near 106.27. Second resistance is the reaction high crossing at 108.70. First support is Monday's low crossing at 102.06. Second support is the 38% retracement level of the October-March rally crossing at 97.84.

Check out our latest Video, Market Analysis and Forecast for the Dollar, Crude Oil, Gold, Silver, and the SP500

John Woods: Crude Oil Prices Not Trading on Fundamentals

John Woods of JJ Woods & Associates explains why oil prices are not taking into account supply and demand fundamentals but are being dominated by traders.



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New Video: Looking At Silver for All the Wrong Reasons

Late in 2009 a lot of folks began asking us about buying silver instead of gold. At the time, we stated exactly how we felt, in that, why would you try to buy something that is not in the same league as gold? The two markets are completely different and are driven by a different set of emotions and fundamentals.

This is the first video that we have done on silver in quite some time, but we think it's an important one for you to see.

One of the standout features that I noticed was the fact that when gold was making new all time highs in early December, silver failed to take out the March 2008 high. I consider this to be a negative.

In this short video you will very quickly see how we feel about silver and how you can benefit from looking at this market from a different perspective.

As always our videos are free to watch and there are no registration requirements. We hope you find this video both informative, educational, and enjoyable and that you have time to leave a comment.


Good trading,
The Crude Oil Trader




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Crude Oil, Gasoline Tumble After U.S. Supplies Climb, Demand Drops

Crude oil and gasoline tumbled after a government report showed that inventories climbed last week as consumption declined. Supplies of crude oil rose 2.09 million barrels to 339.9 million, the highest level since August, the Energy Department said today. Gasoline supplies surged 4 million barrels to 214.1 million. Fuel demand slipped 2.6 percent as refineries reduced operating rates for the fourth time in five weeks.

“Prices should be much lower given how high inventories are,” said Chip Hodge, who oversees a $9 billion natural resource bond portfolio as senior managing director at MFC Global Investment Management in Boston. “There’s certainly no lack of oil. If I were an oil producer, I would be very happy because the fundamentals don’t justify these prices.” Crude oil for January delivery fell $1.69, or 2.2 percent, to $76.68 a barrel at 11:54 a.m. on the New York Mercantile Exchange. Oil traded at $77.70 before the release of the report at 10:30 a.m. in Washington.

Gasoline for January delivery declined 4.71 cents, or 2.3 percent, to $1.9952 a gallon in New York. Heating oil for January delivery slipped 3.25 cents, or 1.6 percent, to $2.0455 a gallon.....Read the entire article.

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Are You Laughing or Crying About The Markets?

There’s no question about it, the markets can be very difficult at times. On the other hand, you can laugh all the way to the bank if you approach the markets in a systematic way.

I was looking once again at the S&P 500 and many people have said the market has gone up, not on the fundamentals, but on the perception that things are going to be better. Perception is one of the most powerful elements of the market. I would say that perception trumps both the fundamental and technical.

So what’s going to happen to the S&P 500? Is it going to continue going higher for the rest of the year, or are we close to a turning point?

In our new short video, we outline several key areas that this market is fast approaching. These levels could be the Achilles heel for this market and potentially set the direction for the rest of the year.

Just Click Here to watch the video and as always, the videos are free to watch and there is no need to register.

Please take a minute to leave a comment and let us know what you think of the video and the direction of the SP 500.

Crude's Rally Derailed from Fundamentals Again

Strength in stock markets and decline in USD were the major reasons for the rises in commodities. In the US, Dow Jones Industrial Average climbed +2.2% to settle at 9820 while S&P 500 Index surged +2.6% to 1068.3 as driven by better-than-expected housing market (housing starts), employment situation (jobless claims) and improvements in manufacturing activities (Empire State and Philly Fed Index). The dollar weakened further with every rebound being treated an opportunity to sell as investors' risk appetite increases. In the coming week, the FOMC meeting will be market's focus. While the Fed will likely announce to keep its policy rate at 0-0.25% for an extended period of time, it may talk more about plans for exiting from the current stimulus policies.

Crude Oil
Crude oil price retreated to -0.6% to settle 72.04 Friday, the second consecutive day of fall as USD recovered after substantially weakened against major currencies in the past week. On weekly basis, the October contract reached 73.16 the highest and gained +4%. Recent rally in crude oil has been determined by movements in USD and stock markets, rather than fundamentals....Read the entire article

What are you waiting for....Here is 10 FREE Trading Lessons!

Oil Is Little Changed on Forecast U.S. Inventories Expanded

Crude oil traded little changed below $70 a barrel before a report forecast to show that crude inventories expanded last week in the U.S., the world’s largest energy consumer. Oil pared earlier losses after the International Energy Agency raised its oil demand outlook for this year and next on accelerating Chinese industrial activity. The country processed a record volume of crude in July. U.S. oil inventories probably rose 1 million barrels last week as refiners handled less crude, a Bloomberg survey of 12 analysts showed. “Fundamentals are still sluggish,” David Fyfe, head of the IEA’s oil industry and markets division, said by telephone from Paris.....Complete Story

Daily Oil Prices From Master The Markets

The positive correlation between the price of crude and equity markets continues apace with the Dow finally breaching and holding above the 9000 level for the first time since January. This mutual admiration seems determined to ignore the weak oil market fundamentals which has seen gasoline and distillate stocks in the US increasing for a straight sixth week and with unemployment in the US still rising it is difficult to see how quickly this surplus is likely to be consumed. From a technical perspective yesterday's candle on the daily oil prices chart.....Complete Story

A Good Trading Education = a Good Trader = Good Profits….Watch INO TV

The Trade Triangle - Trade The Market, Not The Economy

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What do we mean when we say... trade the market and not the economy? It may sound like we are saying to trade the same thing... but in many cases they're different. The difference is that the market is driven by fear and greed, while the economy is driven by fundamentals. Our "Trade Triangle" technology allows us to analyze the market... leaving the fundamentals and our own emotions at the door. Let's look at some of the major markets and see which direction the trend is headed.

* The equity markets are still in a negative trend.

* Crude oil is still in a negative trend.

* Gold is in an erratic upward trend.

* The dollar is also in an erratic upward trend.

All of these markets are still in entrenched trends and there is no reason to suggest that they will be reversing anytime soon.

We have just finished a short video on crude oil (NYMEX:CL). This market is making moves, which we will tell you all about using the "Trade Triangle" technology.

We recently received a trading signal in this market which I think is an important one. You will also get a chance to see several of the previous signals that were issued. The video is definitely worth watching for that benefit alone.

The silly season which we talked about in December is rapidly coming to a close. We would expect that the volume and liquidity will return to the markets by the 15th of January. So get ready... cause there is money to be made.

Click Here To Enjoy The Video

Trade the market and not the economy.