Crude oil's rebound from 72.43 extends further to as high as 78.04 so far today an breaks mentioned first target of 38.2% retracement of 83.95 to 72.43 at 76.83. At this point, intraday bias remains on the upside as long as 75.44 minor support holds and further rally could be seen towards 61.8% retracement at 79.55 next. On the downside, though below 75.44 will suggest that rebound from 72.43 has completed and will flip intraday bias back to the downside.
In the bigger picture, crude oil managed to hold above medium term trend line support and rebounded strongly from 72.43. The development argues that medium term rise from 33.2 might not be over yet even though upside momentum is clearly diminishing. Another high above 83.95 might still be seen. Nevertheless, as rise from 33.2 is treated as a correction to down trend from 147.27, we'd continue to look of reversal signal as crude oil approaches 50% retracement of 147.27 to 33.2 at 90.24, which is close to 90 psychological level. On the downside, break of 72.43 will now be an important signal that crude oil has topped out and will turn focus to 68.59 support for confirmation.....Nymex Crude Oil Continuous Contract 4 Hours Chart.
Get Started Trading Now....With 10 FREE Trading Lessons
Share
Wednesday, February 3, 2010
Tuesday, February 2, 2010
Your Closing Numbers.....Oil, Natural Gas, Heating Oil and Gasoline
Crude oil closed up $2.88 at $77.31 a barrel today. Prices closed near the session high today and hit a fresh two week high on more short covering and fresh speculative buying interest following recent bullish U.S. economic data and cold weather gripping much of the U.S. A steep three week old downtrend on the daily bar chart was negated today. Bulls gained fresh upside near term technical momentum today as it now looks like a big double bottom reversal pattern has formed on the daily bar chart.
Heating oil closed up 804 points at $2.0353 today. Prices closed near the session high again today on more short covering and fresh speculative buying. The bulls' next upside price objective is closing prices above solid technical resistance at $2.1500.
Unleaded gasoline (RBOB) closed up 888 points at $2.0209 today. Prices closed near the session high on short covering and fresh speculative buying. A steep three week old downtrend on the daily bar chart was negated today.
Natural gas closed up 3.1 cents at $5.464 today. Prices closed near mid range today and were supported on more short covering in a bear market and some cold weather in the U.S. forecast. Bears still have the overall near term technical advantage. The next upside price objective for the bulls is closing prices above solid technical resistance at $5.80.
The U.S. dollar index closed down 24 points at 79.18 today. Prices closed near the session low on more profit taking. No chart damage has occurred. Bulls still have some upside near term technical momentum.
Check out the new "Trend TV"
Share
Where is Crude Oil Headed Wednesday?
CNBC's Sharon Epperson discusses the day's activity in the commodities markets, and looks ahead to where oil is likely headed tomorrow.
New Video: Crude Oil…What Does the Chart Say?
It appears as though crude oil has an amazing cyclic quality that can be timed quite accurately with MarketClub’s “Triangle” technology. In this new short video, I showcase this cycle and how you can take advantage of it.
Just click here to watch the new video and as always our videos are free to watch and there are no registration requirements. All we ask for is that you comment on this video if you find it interesting and informative.
Enjoy the video and let us know what you think.
Crude Oil....What Does the Chart Say?
Share
Is a Short Term Low In For Crude Oil? Here's the Numbers
Crude oil was higher overnight due to short covering as it consolidates some of last week's decline. Stochastics and the RSI are oversold and are turning bullish hinting that a short term low might be in or is near.
Closes above the 10 day moving average crossing at 74.82 would confirm that a short term low has been posted. If March extends this year's decline, the 75% retracement level of the September-January rally crossing at 71.70 is the next downside target.
Crude oil's pivot point for Tuesday, our line in the sand is 73.95
First resistance is the overnight high crossing at 75.44
Second resistance is the 20 day moving average crossing at 78.13
First support is last Friday's low crossing at 72.43
Second support is the 75% retracement level of the September-January rally crossing at 71.70
How To Spot Winning Futures....Watch Video NOW
Natural gas was higher due to short covering overnight as it extends the rebound off last week's low crossing at 5.060. Stochastics and the RSI are oversold and are turning bullish signaling that additional short covering gains are possible near term.
Closes above the 20 day moving average crossing at 5.535 are needed to confirm that a short term low has been posted. If March extends the decline off January's high, the 75% retracement level of the December-January rally crossing at 4.919 is the next downside target.
Tuesday's pivot point for natural gas is 5.373
First resistance is overnight high crossing at 5.491
Second resistance is the 20 day moving average crossing at 5.535
First support is last Thursday's low crossing at 5.060
Second support is the 75% retracement level of the December-January rally crossing at 4.919
Just click here for your FREE trend analysis of natural gas ETF UNG
The U.S. Dollar was lower due to profit taking overnight as it consolidates below resistance marked by the 38% retracement level of the 2009 decline crossing at 79.71. Stochastics and the RSI are overbought but remain neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near term.
If March extends this winter's rally, the 50% retracement level of the 2009 decline crossing at 81.32 is the next upside target. Closes below the 20 day moving average crossing at 78.13 would confirm that a short term top has been posted.
First resistance is Monday's high crossing at 79.76
Second resistance is the 50% retracement level of the 2009 decline crossing at 81.32
First support is the 10 day moving average crossing at 78.88
Second support is the 20 day moving average crossing at 78.13
Just click here for your FREE trend analysis of the U.S. Dollar ETF UUP
Share
Crude Oil Daily Technical Outlook For Tuesday
Break of 75.04 resistance argues that a short term bottom is formed at 72.43 on bullish convergence condition in 4 hours MACD. Intraday bias is flipped back to the upside and stronger rebound should be seen towards 38.2% retracement of 83.95 to 72.43 at 76.83 first. On the downside, though, a break below 72.43 will indicate that fall from 83.95 has resumed for 68.59 key support.
In the bigger picture, the case of medium term reversal continued to build up with fall from 83.95 extended. As noted before, whole medium term rise from 33.2 is viewed as a correction to fall from 147.27 only. Break of trend line support (now at 71/72) level will be the first signal that such rise has completed. Further break of 68.59 will support will confirm this bearish case and will target a retest on 33.2 low as correction down trend from 147.27 resumes. On the upside, though, in case of another rise, crude oil we'd continue to look of reversal signal as crude oil approaches 50% retracement of 147.27 to 33.2 at 90.24, which is close to 90 psychological level.....Nymex Crude Oil Continuous Contract 4 Hours Chart.
Get Started Trading Crude Oil Now....With 10 FREE Trading Lessons
Share
Monday, February 1, 2010
Crude Oil Rises for a Second Day on Increase in U.S. Manufacturing
Crude oil rose for a second day in New York after manufacturing in the U.S. increased at the fastest pace since August 2004, signaling that fuel use in the world’s biggest energy consuming country may gain.
Oil advanced the most in four weeks yesterday after the Institute for Supply Management’s factory index climbed to a higher than anticipated 58.4 in January, from December’s 54.9. European manufacturing also increased as companies raised output to meet reviving global demand, a separate report showed. Energy Department data tomorrow may show a drop in U.S. distillate fuel inventories.
“We can see that manufacturing is improving,” said Jonathan Barratt, managing director at Commodity Broking Services Pty in Sydney. “We now want to see that number backed up with good fundamentals in the inventory data.”
Crude oil for March delivery gained as much as $1.01, or 1.4 percent, to $75.44 a barrel in electronic trading on the New York Mercantile Exchange. It was at $74.83 at 11:59 a.m. Singapore time. Yesterday, the contract rose 2.1 percent to settle at $74.43, the biggest one day increase since Jan. 4.
The U.S. manufacturing figure exceeded the median forecast of 55.5 from 67 economists surveyed by Bloomberg News. Readings higher than 50 signal an expansion. Manufacturing accounts for about 12 percent of the economy.
European companies raised production in January as a global economic recovery spurred exports. An index of manufacturing in the 16 nation euro region climbed to 52.4 from 51.6 in December, London based Markit Economics said yesterday. Asian shares climbed, driving the MSCI Asia Pacific Index up the most in more than two weeks.....Read the entire article.
Check out the new "Trend TV"
Share
New Video: Oil May Have Seen Short Term Bottom
Crude prices may have seen a short term bottom and keep an eye on indium as the metal has potential for sky high prices, says John Licata, chief investment strategist at Blue Phoenix. He speaks to Bill Evans of Westpac, Kumar Palghat of Kapstream Capital and CNBC's Karen Tso.
Crude Oil High Range Close Brings Out The Over Confident Bulls
Crude oil closed higher due to short covering on Monday as it consolidated some of the decline off January's high. The high range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening on Tuesday. Stochastics and the RSI are oversold but remain neutral to bearish signal that sideways to lower prices are possible near term.
If March extends the decline off January's high, the 75% retracement level of the September-January rally crossing at 71.70 is the next downside target. Closes above the 20 day moving average crossing at 78.47 are needed to confirm that a short term low has been posted.
Crude oil Pivot point for Monday evening is 74.16
First resistance is the 10 day moving average crossing at 75.23
Second resistance is the 20 day moving average crossing at 78.47
First support is last Friday's low crossing at 72.43
Second support is the 75% retracement level of the September-January rally crossing at 71.70
Just click here for your FREE trend analysis of crude oil ETF USO
Natural gas closed higher on Monday as it rebounds off the 62% retracement level of the December-January rally crossing at 5.114. The high range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening on Tuesday. Stochastics and the RSI are oversold and are turning neutral to bullish hinting that a low might be in or is near.
Closes above the 20 day moving average crossing at 5.555 are needed to confirm that a low has been posted. If March extends the decline off January's high, the 75% retracement level of the December-January rally crossing at 4.919 is the next downside target.
Natural gas pivot point for Monday evening is 5.377
First resistance is the 10 day moving average crossing at 5.434
Second resistance is the 20 day moving average crossing at 5.555
First support is last Thursday's low crossing at 5.060
Second support is the 75% retracement level of the December-January rally crossing at 4.919
Just click here for your FREE trend analysis of natural gas ETF UNG
The U.S. Dollar closed lower due to profit taking on Monday after testing resistance marked by the 38% retracement level of the 2009-2010 decline crossing at 79.71. The low range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening on Tuesday. Stochastics and the RSI are overbought but remain neutral to bullish signaling that sideways prices are possible near term.
If March extends this winter's rally, the 50% retracement level of the 2009-2010 decline crossing at 81.32 is the next upside target. Closes below the 20 day moving average crossing at 78.06 would confirm that a short-term top has been posted.
First resistance is today's high crossing at 79.76
Second resistance is the 50% retracement level of the 2009-2010 decline crossing at 81.32
First support is the 10 day moving average crossing at 78.71
Second support is the 20 day moving average crossing at 78.06
Get Started Trading Energy Stocks Today....With 10 FREE Trading Lessons
Share
New Video: Hot Stocks in The Energy Sector
Stocks in the sector kick off the month with gains, based on higher oil prices and bullish economic data, as well as on Exxon Mobil's earnings. A joint venture in ethanol also is drawing attention. Steve Gelsi reports.
Get 4 FREE Trading Videos from INO TV!
Share
Get 4 FREE Trading Videos from INO TV!
Share
Subscribe to:
Posts (Atom)
