Wednesday, September 18, 2013

The Next Bakken?

Just a few days ago, a hastily assembled team including Chief Energy Investment Strategist Marin Katusa and Casey Research Managing Director David Galland were preparing to fly to a secret location. A location where a small oil company is about to drill the first oil well into what appears to be a massive new oil bonanza.

But at the last minute, the oil company's lawyers canceled the trip and imposed a total communication blackout. They did so out of concern that regulators would think having the Casey Research team on site gave Casey Energy Report subscribers an unfair advantage.

While disappointed that the site visit was canceled, the Casey energy team has already extensively researched the company and are now free to tell their subscribers about it.

And that's why I'm writing to you today: the Casey energy analysts believe this company may have as much or even more potential than those companies that made billions in the now legendary Bakken formation.

To put that assertion into perspective, let me tell you a little bit about the Bakken. In case you're unfamiliar with it, it's a monster oil and gas deposit covering almost 15,000 square miles across North Dakota, Montana, and Alberta, Canada.

The latest US Geological Survey estimates that the Bakken contains upwards of 7.4 billion barrels of recoverable oil - and that is considered on the low end of the range. An executive of a company deeply involved in the Bakken recently estimated that the basin will ultimately yield 20 billion barrels.

And those who discovered the Bakken's tremendous potential ahead of the crowd are now very well off indeed....When It Rains, It Pours... Cash

Until 2005, the Bakken had been largely written off as uneconomic. Then leapfrogging advances in horizontal drilling technologies changed everything, triggering a land rush that made multimillionaires out of landowners and explorers.

Take Harold Hamm, for example. The founder and CEO of Continental Resources (CRL), Hamm, as Forbes magazine puts it, "is responsible for cracking the code of the Bakken."

In 2007, the same year that Continental was listed on the NYSE, the company was the first to complete lateral, multi-stage drilling over 1,280 acres in North Dakota.

One year later, Hamm was the first to demonstrate that the Three Forks formation, which was initially believed to be part of the Bakken, was a separate reservoir and might hold more oil than the Bakken itself.

The rest, as they say, is history. Hamm is now worth $11.3 billion, which makes him the 90th richest person on the planet.

But it's not just the wildcatters themselves that rake in the big money: Early bird investors in Continental Resources made gains of up to 459% within 14 months after the company's NYSE listing. And those who held on were looking at gains of 549% when CRL's stock peaked in February 2012.

In other words, had you trusted in Hamm's genius when he started out drilling in the Bakken, an investment of just $10,000 would have turned into $64,900 for you.

There's no question about it: The use of new technologies to unlock the Bakken, the Eagle Ford Shale, and other huge oil deposits previously considered uneconomic has been a game changer for North American energy supplies.

And you could be the beneficiary of the next Bakken-type windfall....The Next Bakken - But Even Better?

As I said before, the Casey energy analysts believe that the small company they've uncovered could be the next Continental Resources, sitting on unimaginable riches.

Over the last year this little company has quietly assembled a 2-million-acre concession in a region whose geological conditions for the production of oil and gas are actually far more promising than those in the Bakken.

And about one week from now, these resources could finally be proven to be in place. You can imagine what that could do to the company's share price.

The company's top executives appear to have a similar vision: Many of them have personally invested millions of dollars to fund the company and its current drill program.

In July, one director of the company, who is also the CEO of a major Canadian oil player, bought 200,000 shares at the market – bringing his holdings of the company's stock to a total of 1,235,237 shares.

I think his optimism is well placed, considering that the company's management includes seasoned Bakken veterans who not only recognize the potential of the "new Bakken," but also have the skills to get the oil out of the ground.

If the initial well now being drilled meets management's expectations, this small-cap company will be on the fast track for explosive shareholder returns, potentially for years on end. Be There When the Truth Is Unveiled - for a Chance at Staggering Returns

Best of all, so far only a handful of research firms have been paying attention to this virtually unknown company. Therefore, we are uniquely positioned to take advantage of the news released once the well data have been compiled.

In fact, within minutes of the company breaking the silence imposed by its lawyers, Casey’s analysts will be standing by to share their on the spot analysis with subscribers to the Casey Energy Report....even if it's the middle of the night.

To be fair, though, I have to remind you that this is a speculation, not a slam dunk investment. Drilling is always a risky business, so we have to keep our enthusiasm in check until the first well is completed and the initial flow data are logged.

If, however, the initial well test confirms that the company is sitting on the "next Bakken," the investment returns from its 2 million acre concession should be nothing less than spectacular. And the odds for that happening are excellent. Be Ready: Initial Drilling Results Are Expected on or Around Monday, September 16

Until the company has completed its flow tests and made a public announcement, Casey can't share any details about the company, or even the country where the next potential Bakken is located.

But once the company issues its own press release, everyone who is an active subscriber to the Casey Energy Report will receive our alert with an up-to-the-minute analysis and specific recommendation on how to invest.

In addition, to ensure that Energy Report readers get the full picture of this exciting new play, the Casey Energy team is now preparing a comprehensive report about the "next Bakken" and the small-cap company already supremely positioned to profit from it.

While no one can say exactly when the drill will reach the pay zone and the subsequent well flow test will be completed, the last estimate provided by the company before the lawyers instituted the communications blackout was mid September.

Based on Casey’s own analysis of the processes involved, they anticipate the company will be ready to release news on or about Monday, September 16. Of course, due to the nature of any drill program, this is only an estimate.

Regardless, once the testing is completed and the company issues its public press release, Casey Energy Report subscribers will immediately receive an Alert with our analysis - and their special report on the next Bakken.

Of course, it would be massively unfair (and poor business ethics) to release this information to non paying subscribers.

Not to worry, though. If you subscribe today, you can still participate in the earliest phase of what could become a flood of investment into the "next Bakken." Make a Bundle or Pay Nothing for Your Subscription

How much does it cost to get in on what could be the next Bakken? Thousands of subscribers to the Casey Energy Report pay $248 per quarter, an amount that may seem high to some.

However, that they were prepared to send an executive team to the secret well site - involving international flights and almost 11 hours in a car - should make it clear just how much potential we believe this investment has for our subscribers. If they're right, the potential returns will make the cost of your subscription pale by comparison.

But what if they're wrong, and the first well is a bust? What then?

It's simple: thanks to Casey’s 3-month, no-questions-asked, 100% money-back guarantee, if you don't make a bundle off this exciting new play within the first three months of your subscription, simply drop them an email and they'll promptly return every penny you paid.

It's a completely straightforward proposition that works entirely in your favor.

Of course, they're pretty confident you won't cancel your subscription.

Because they believe that they are about to make a lot of money on this stock, and that it will continue to provide exceptional returns for years (or until it is taken over by a larger company hungry for the 2-million-acre concession it has assembled on the next Bakken – and if that happens, it'll be just as good for us).

In a May 2010 interview broadcast on Business News Network, Chief Investment Strategist Marin Katusa spoke about Africa Oil, another early Casey energy pick. In that interview, he said, "This stock has a realistic potential to give you 10 to 15, even 20, times your money."

He was right: Africa Oil handed early investors a profit of over 1,200%.

In a recent email, Marin wrote, "Since that interview on Africa Oil, I have never made a similar forecast about a company, but I have no reservations saying that this new company easily has as much or more potential."

You do not want to miss out on this opportunity.

Getting in on the ground floor is as simple and easy as clicking here to sign up for the Casey Energy Report now.

Remember, Casey’s ironclad 100% money back guarantee means you've got nothing to lose to give the Casey Energy Report a try. With the drill turning and their energy team hard at work preparing its comprehensive report on the "next Bakken," now is definitely the time to act.

Sincerely,

Ray @ The Crude Oil Trader

P.S. It's important to highlight that members of the Casey Research team own shares in investment funds that have invested capital in this firm back from the time it was just an idea. That the company appears to have made good use of its capital to build its position on this potentially huge new oil play is all to the good and the only reason we are bringing this stock to the attention of our readers. To avoid a conflict of interest, Casey’s corporate policies (correctly) require them to provide advance notice to subscribers before they sell, which we don't see happening until the company has unlocked its full potential and its shares are trading at many multiples of where they are now.

If you, too, want to join in on this early stage play, be sure to sign up today - or at the latest before Monday, September 16. And don't forget: you either make a bundle or you simply cancel within 3 months for your money back. Even after three months, you can still cancel anytime and receive a prorated refund.

Don't miss this rare opportunity to get in on the ground floor.

Here again is the secure link to join Casey Energy Report.




Tuesday, September 17, 2013

Getting Shocked by Utility Stocks

By Dennis Miller

Retirees' portfolios need to be defensive, meaning they minimize risk but still have the potential for growth and income. Historically, this meant including a few widow-and-orphan stocks in your retirement portfolio....public utilities with nice dividends.


Utilities experience little volatility, their dividends are solid, and the demand for their product is constant, regardless of how well the economy is doing. Government regulation also gives them a leg up, since utilities face little competition. They set their rates, consumers pay up with little fuss because they have few alternatives, and the utilities turn a profit.

So, we at Miller's Money Forever wondered, is it time to add one or two utilities to our own portfolio? As I talked through the idea with our chief analyst, I could hear him clicking away on his keyboard in the background. A little research on a couple of utilities quickly put things in perspective. Had we bought in to Exelon (EXC) in early May at the wrong time, we almost would have been stopped out by a 20% trailing stop, since the stock fell as far as 19%. We were both shocked.

But that's only one utility. What about the sector as a whole? With a few more clicks, we learned that the Utilities Select Sector SPDR (XLU), a $5.4-billion exchange-traded fund of utilities, had fallen as far as 11% since the beginning of May. That's an enormous move in such a short period of time for what many consider a staple sector for retirement portfolios.

Wait a minute here! Utility stocks are supposed be the ultimate safe investment. They didn't earn the nickname "widow and orphan stocks" for being volatile, so what the heck happened?

History Does Not Guarantee Future Performance

 

We ran an in-depth analysis and came up with a bit of a history lesson for me to pass along. Let's start with where defensive stocks stood prior to the rapid rate increase in Treasuries. With yields near record lows, investors piled in to dividend stocks in search of income. But they didn't pick just any type of stock—they specifically chose defensive stocks with a beta of less than one. For a quick review, a beta of one means a 10% move in the stock market should theoretically move the stock 10%. A beta of 0.5 means a 10% move in the market should move the stock only 5%.

In addition to retail investors, more sophisticated analysts suggested moving in to these stocks as well. One of the most common Wall Street valuation models examines three primary factors: dividends, beta, and the US Treasury rate. When the beta and Treasury rates are low and the dividend is high, a stock is shown to be more valuable. Based on this model, a stock's value is more dependent on Treasury rates and the dividend than what often drives value: cash flows and growth.

In a nutshell, because there are no safe, decent interest-bearing investments available, many billions of dollars went into utility stocks. In some sense, utilities began to act like bonds. And when interest rates rise, bond prices fall. As a result, what was once considered the definitive stable investment is now interest-rate sensitive, just like long term bonds.

In order to get a better visual of what's been happening, we tracked XLU's performance since May 1—a period of rapidly rising rates—and compared it to a theoretical beta-based utility performance as well as the S&P 500. With a beta of 0.63, XLU should move 6.3% whenever the market moves 10%. In many situations beta works well, but unfortunately, it doesn't capture every risk, including interest-rate risk.


The blue line traces the return on the S&P 500. The green line depicts how XLU theoretically should have moved based on its beta. The red line shows how it actually performed. Note the enormous difference, bottoming out as far as 11.2% down.

Although beta is typically used as a back-of-the-envelope measure of risk, it's not doing a particularly good job for utilities in a rising-rate environment. And while the S&P 500 has recovered from June's turbulence, utilities are still down for this period.

After I saw the data, I asked what we should expect in the future. While I suppose it makes little difference if a retiree is holding utility stocks for the dividends, utilities will likely lose value as interest rates rise. That could be a bit unnerving.

This could be a real problem for retirees, as it's common practice for investment advisors at major brokerage firms to put their more conservative investors in utilities. A seasoned veteran once told me that no broker ever got sued for putting clients' money into utilities. I wonder how many brokers and investment advisors have noticed the shift happening in utilities with higher rates.

In light of rising interest rates, we have refined our criteria for selecting solid and safe investments for the Money Forever portfolio. Unfortunately, not everyone was has caught on. Take a look at your portfolio to see whether you need to trim down your utilities exposure. Should the market crash, I'd rather be holding a utility than General Motors, but at the same time, if interest rates keep going up utilities will feel the pain.
I discussed this issue—as well as others facing retirees—in a very recent and timely online event called America's Broken Promise: Strategies for a Retirement Worth Living. This free event’s all-star cast explains the unique challenges retirees face today—challenges far different from what we were raised to expect.

The presentation is hosted by my colleague, David Galland of Casey Research, and features John Stossel, formerly on ABC's 20/20 and now with Fox Business Network, David Walker, former Comptroller General of the United States, Jeff White, President of American Financial Group, and me of course.

This is the one event you must see to ensure you retire on your own terms. Use this link to find out more and to sign-up.





COT Market Summary for Tuesday Sept. 17th - Crude Oil, Natural Gas, SP 500 and Gold

October crude oil closed lower on Tuesday. The low range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when Wednesday's night session begins. Stochastics and the RSI are bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near term. Today's closes below last Tuesday's low crossing at 106.39 confirms that a short term top has been posted while opening the door for additional weakness near term. Closes above the 10 day moving average crossing at 107.93 would temper the near term bearish outlook. First resistance is the 10 day moving average crossing at 107.93. Second resistance is the reaction high crossing at 110.70. First support is the reaction low crossing at 104.21. Second support is the 38% retracement level of the April-August rally crossing at 102.43.

October Henry natural gas closed slightly lower due to light profit taking on Tuesday. The low range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening on Wednesday. Stochastics and the RSI are diverging but remain bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near term. If October extends the rally off August's low, the 50% retracement level of the May-August decline crossing at 3.842 is the next upside target. Closes below the 20 day moving average crossing at 3.598 would confirm that a short term top has been posted while opening the door for additional weakness near term. First resistance is the 50% retracement level of the May-August decline crossing at 3.841. Second resistance is the 62% retracement level of the May-August decline crossing at 4.003. First support is the 20 day moving average crossing at 3.598. Second support is the reaction low crossing at 3.483.

The December S&P 500 closed higher on Tuesday and the high range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when Wednesday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are overbought but remain neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near term. If December extends the rally off August's low, weekly resistance crossing at 1705.00 is the next upside target. Closes below the 20 day moving average crossing at 1653.39 would confirm that a short term top has been posted. First resistance is Monday's high crossing at 1702.80. Second resistance is weekly resistance crossing at 1705.00. First support is the 10 day moving average crossing at 1670.96. Second support is the 20 day moving average crossing at 1653.39.

October gold closed lower on Tuesday and the low range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when Wednesday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are oversold but remain neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near term. If October extends this month's decline, August's low crossing at 1272.10 is the next downside target. Closes above the 20 day moving average crossing at 1374.40 would temper the near term bearish outlook. First resistance is the 20 day moving average crossing at 1374.40. Second resistance is August's high crossing at 1432.90. First support is Monday's low crossing at 1302.90. Second resistance is August's low crossing at 1272.10.

Our eMini Mentoring Program is up and running. Sign up while there are still spaces available.


Sunday, September 15, 2013

Free....The Complete 30 Minute eMini Breakout Strategy Guide

Todd Mitchell and the staff at Trading Concepts are making available to the public the same system they teach fund managers and professional traders. This is a very predictable and reliable trading strategy for scalping 1-3 points out of the market within the first 30 minutes of the day. Yes, only 30 minutes.

You'll get all the entry rules, where to set up your stop and how to take a profit - everything 100% fully disclosed. Get the free strategy now. Paper trade it and see for yourself tomorrow.

Watch "The 30-Minute E-Mini Breakout Strategy"

100% fully disclosed. Nothing held back. Watch Todd trade using this strategy LIVE. Don't worry, there are no sneaky tricks, risky gimmicks, expensive software, or fancy indicators. After watching Todd's demostration please feel free to leave us a comment and let our readers know what you think about Todd's trading strategy.

See you in the markets tomorrow as you put this to work in your own trading.

Ray @ The Crude Oil Trader


Download this free strategy guide and video now

 


COT Week Ending Market Summary - Crude Oil, Natural Gas, SP 500 nad Gold

October crude oil closed lower on Friday. The high range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when Monday's night session begins. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bearish hinting that sideways to lower prices are possible near term. Multiple closes below Tuesday's low crossing at 106.39 are needed to confirm that a short term top has been posted. If October renews this summer's rally, weekly resistance crossing at 114.83 is the next upside target. First resistance is August's high crossing at 112.24. Second resistance is weekly resistance crossing at 114.83. First support is Tuesday's low crossing at 106.39. Second support is the reaction low crossing at 103.50.

Get Todd's free strategy now...paper trade it and see for yourself tomorrow.

October Henry natural gas closed higher on Friday. The high range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening on Monday. Stochastics and the RSI are turning neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near term. If October renews the rally off August's low, the 50% retracement level of the May-August decline crossing at 3.842 is the next upside target. Closes below the 20 day moving average crossing at 3.568 would confirm that a short term top has been posted while opening the door for additional weakness near term. First resistance is the 38% retracement level of the May-August decline crossing at 3.680. Second resistance is the 50% retracement level of the May-August decline crossing at 3.842. First support is the 20 day moving average crossing at 3.568. Second support is August's low crossing at 3.154.

Ready to start trading crude oil? Start right here....Advanced Crude Oil Study – 15 Minute Range

The December S&P 500 closed higher on Friday. The high range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when Monday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are overbought but remain neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near term. If December extends the rally off August's low, the reaction high crossing at 1684.40 is the next upside target. Closes below the 20 day moving average crossing at 1648.00 would confirm that a short term top has been posted. First resistance is Thursday's high crossing at 1683.00. Second resistance is the reaction high crossing at 1684.40. First support is the 10 day moving average crossing at 1657.60. Second support is the 20 day moving average crossing at 1648.00.

Advanced Swing Trading methods from one of my favorite hedge fund managers. For free!

October gold closed sharply lower on Friday extending the decline off August's high. The low range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when Monday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI remain neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near term. If October extends this week's decline, August's low crossing at 1272.10 is the next downside target. Closes above the 20 day moving average crossing at 1380.40 would temper the near term bearish outlook. First resistance is the 20 day moving average crossing at 1380.40. Second resistance is August's high crossing at 1432.90. First support is today's low crossing at 1304.60. Second resistance is August's low crossing at 1272.10.

Get Todd's Secret Weapon....Watch his "30 Minute Breakout Strategy"


Friday, September 13, 2013

Coffee Holds Above 20 Day Moving Average....you in?

Coffee prices sold off 60 points this Friday afternoon at 120.00 but up about 200 points for the week still stuck in a 17 day extremely tight consolidation with very little bullish news to prop up prices as massive supplies worldwide are keeping prices right at 4 year lows.

However we are sticking our neck out here and are advising traders to get long this market placing a stop loss at 114 risking around $2000 per contract as coffee is now trading above its 20 day moving average but below its 100 day moving average with outstanding chart structure & extremely low volatility.

Some of the best markets I’ve ever seen have been the ones that have no reason to go up or down and this market has absolutely no reason to move higher with massive supplies across the globe & crops doing extremely well at this time, but this news is already priced into the market and one day this market will start to turn to the upside it’s just a matter of when.

TREND: MIXED – CHART STRUCTURE: EXCELLENT

Don't miss the second video in this weeks series "The Truth about Trading the Trend"


Thursday, September 12, 2013

COT Market Summary for Thursday Sept. 12th - Crude Oil, Natural Gas, SP 500, Gold, Coffee

October crude oil closed higher due to short covering on Thursday as it consolidates some of this week's decline. The high range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when Friday's night session begins. Stochastics and the RSI are bearish hinting that sideways to lower prices are possible near term. Multiple closes below the 20 day moving average crossing at 107.54 are needed to confirm that a short term top has been posted. If October renews this summer's rally, weekly resistance crossing at 114.83 is the next upside target. First resistance is August's high crossing at 112.24. Second resistance is weekly resistance crossing at 114.83. First support is the 20 day moving average crossing at 107.54. Second support is the reaction low crossing at 103.50.

Ready to start trading crude oil? Start right here....Advanced Crude Oil Study – 15 Minute Range 
 
October Henry natural gas closed higher on Thursday. The high range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening on Friday. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near term. Closes below the 20 day moving average crossing at 3.556 would confirm that a short-term top has been posted while opening the door for additional weakness near term. If October renews the rally off August's low, the 50% retracement level of the May-August decline crossing at 3.842 is the next upside target. First resistance is the 38% retracement level of the May-August decline crossing at 3.680. Second resistance is the 50% retracement level of the May-August decline crossing at 3.842. First support is the 20 day moving average crossing at 3.556. Second support is August's low crossing at 3.154.

Make sure to watch "The Simple Truths About Trends"
 
The December S&P 500 closed lower due to light profit taking on Thursday. The mid range close sets the stage for a steady opening when Friday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are overbought but remain neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near term. If December extends the rally off August's low, the reaction high crossing at 1684.40 is the next upside target. Closes below the 20 day moving average crossing at 1646.44 would confirm that a short term top has been posted. First resistance is today's high crossing at 1683.00. Second resistance is the reaction high crossing at 1684.40. First support is the 20 day moving average crossing at 1646.44. Second support is August's low crossing at 1621.00.

Day Trading History of 16 Major Candlestick Patterns
 
October gold closed sharply lower on Thursday extending the decline off August's high. The low range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when Friday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI remain bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near term. If October extends this week's decline, August's low crossing at 1272.10 is the next downside target. Closes above the 20 day moving average crossing at 1382.20 would temper the near term bearish outlook. First resistance is the 20 day moving average crossing at 1382.20. Second resistance is August's high crossing at 1432.90. First support is today's low crossing at 1322.40. Second resistance is August's low crossing at 1272.10.

Get started trading commodities today. Here's your Free trading videos!
 
December coffee closed slightly lower on Thursday but remains above the 20 day moving average. The high range close set the stage for a steady to higher opening on Friday. Stochastics and the RSI are bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near term. If December extends Wednesday's rally, August's high crossing at 12.70 is the next upside target. If December renews this summer's decline, monthly support crossing at 10.21 is the next downside target.

Get Michelle "Mish" Schnieders new free eBook. Download now, and get "Mish's Daily" insight to the next moves! 
 

Trading the Trend....Is Your Strategy Working?

This week our trading partner Todd Mitchell is sharing his unique trading strategies and we are finding they aren't for everyone. And, especially not for those people who like to use complicated software or get handcuffed to some "black box" trading system.

But it's a great insight into how professional E-Mini traders place winning trades everyday. You have to watch Todd's free presentation "The Simple Truth About Trends"

Todd proves that the key to pulling money of the markets - whether you're trading stocks, Forex, E-Mini futures or Options - is to trade with the prevailing trend. Yet, most people doing it all wrong. They're missing critical clues in price, getting in too late and not exiting their trade before the trend turns.

However, after watching this free video you'll have more knowledge about the trend than 90% of other traders.

Inside this presentation you'll discover:

- 3 Critical Bullish Patterns in Price
- 3 Important Bearish Patterns in Price
- 3 Little-Known Truths in Trend That Apply in all Markets in all Timeframes
- How to Spot Reversals Before They Happen
- How to Determine the Strength of the Market


There's over 1,000 comments of people raving about this content and I'm certain you'll agree it's one of the best presentations you've watched all year.

Watch "The Simple Truth About Trends" now!

Ray @ The Crude Oil Trader


Wednesday, September 11, 2013

COT Market Summary for Wednesday Sept.11th - Crude Oil, Natural Gas, SP 500, Gold and Coffee

October crude oil closed higher due to short covering on Wednesday as it consolidates some of this week's decline. The high range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when Thursday's night session begins. Stochastics and the RSI are turning neutral to bearish hinting that sideways to lower prices are possible near term. Multiple closes below the 20 day moving average crossing at 107.45 are needed to confirm that a short term top has been posted. If October renews this summer's rally, weekly resistance crossing at 114.83 is the next upside target. First resistance is August's high crossing at 112.24. Second resistance is weekly resistance crossing at 114.83. First support is the 20 day moving average crossing at 107.45. Second support is the reaction low crossing at 103.50.

Here's why the eMini is fast becoming our favorite market

October Henry natural gas closed lower on Wednesday. The mid range close sets the stage for a steady opening on Thursday. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near term. Closes below the 20 day moving average crossing at 3.543 would confirm that a short term top has been posted while opening the door for additional weakness near term. If October renews the rally off August's low, the 50% retracement level of the May-August decline crossing at 3.842 is the next upside target. First resistance is the 38% retracement level of the May-August decline crossing at 3.680. Second resistance is the 50% retracement level of the May-August decline crossing at 3.842. First support is the 20 day moving average crossing at 3.543. Second support is August's low crossing at 3.154.

Ready to start trading crude oil? Start right here....Advanced Crude Oil Study – 15 Minute Range

The December S&P 500 closed higher on Wednesday as it extends the rally off August's low. The high range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when Thursday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are overbought but remain bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near term. If December extends the rally off August's low, the reaction high crossing at 1684.40 is the next upside target. Closes below the 20 day moving average crossing at 1646.12 would confirm that a short term top has been posted. First resistance is today's high crossing at 1680.70. Second resistance is the reaction high crossing at 1684.40. First support is the 20 day moving average crossing at 1646.12. Second support is August's low crossing at 1621.00.

Advanced Swing Trading methods from one of my favorite hedge fund managers. For free!

October gold closed lower on Wednesday extending yesterday's breakout below the 20 day moving average. The high range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when Thursday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI remain bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near term. If October extends this week's decline, the reaction low crossing at 1351.60 is the next downside target. Closes above the 10 day moving average crossing at 1390.00 would temper the near term bearish outlook. First resistance is the reaction high crossing at 1432.90. Second resistance is May's high crossing at 1489.00. First support is the reaction low crossing at 1351.60. Second resistance is August's low crossing at 1272.10.

How to Trade Small Cap Stocks and 3x ETF's Current

And we just can't help ourselves.....December coffee closed higher on Wednesday and above the 20 day moving average crossing at 118.88 confirming that a low has been posted. The high range close set the stage for a steady to higher opening on Thursday. Stochastics and the RSI are bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near term. If December extends today's rally, August's high crossing at 12.70 is the next upside target.

Subscribe to our Free Market Technical Analysis and Commentary


Trading the eMinis....a lot easier then you think - New Video


Many traders are CRUSHING it in the eMinis right now! At the same time, far more traders are gripped with fear and struggling just to break even. The difference?

Trade with confidence and consistency

As you know, you build both when you understand the best times of the day to trade, and how to avoid the common mistakes and 'hidden' pitfalls that prevent consistent profits.

Trading veteran Todd Mitchell of Trading Concepts just came out with a video training that shows the hurdles holding back most traders from making money (using his actual charts!)

Watch closely as he shows you how to pull predictable profits from the eMinis while only using a single chart! The knowledge he shares will shortcut your learning curve and help you avoid falling victim to shady advice.

When you watch the video, I'm almost certain you'll uncover several nuggets of wisdom for eliminating mistakes that will cost you profits. This is not just about gain, it's about acting prudently to prevent and avoid financial pain!

Watch "eMini Trading Strategies, Tips and Techniques"



Stock & ETF Trading Signals