Showing posts with label BP. Show all posts
Showing posts with label BP. Show all posts

Friday, October 8, 2010

Crude Oil Technical Outlook For Friday Morning Oct. 8th

Crude oil was lower due to profit taking overnight as it consolidates some of the rally off August's low. Stochastics and the RSI are overbought and are turning bearish signaling that a short term top might be in or is near.

Closes below the 20 day moving average crossing at 78.16 would confirm that a short term top has been posted. If November extends the rally off last week's low, the 62% retracement level of May's decline crossing at 84.65 is the next upside target.

First resistance is Wednesday's high crossing at 84.09
Second resistance is the 62% retracement level of May's decline crossing at 84.65

Crude oil pivot point for Friday morning is 82.37

First support is the 10 day moving average crossing at 80.19
Second support is the 20 day moving average crossing at 78.15


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Tuesday, September 28, 2010

Georgian President: No Problem Getting Oil Financing

Georgia President Mikhail Saakashvili says the country is having no difficulties getting financing for energy projects.




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Monday, September 20, 2010

Phil Flynn: Ding Dong The Well Is Dead, Finally!

The BP Macondo Well has been officially declared dead over the weekend. The Financial Times says that US authorities pronounced BP’s blown out Macondo well in the Gulf of Mexico “effectively dead” on Sunday, 152 days after the explosion on the Deepwater Horizon drilling rig that caused the world’s largest accidental offshore. The announcement ends the 5m barrel leak, which sparked fury among the US public and politicians, but may eventually be seen to have had only a marginal effect on the global oil industry.” Marginal?

BP opponents of drilling will a rallying point. Yet at the same time the industry has learned a lot and will be better prepared to respond to this type of disaster in the future. So there will be some bad and good that will come from this disaster. Oil is rallying a bit on a weak dollar. Of course the main factor for oil and most other markets will be the impact from this week’s FOMC meeting. If I have said it once I think I have said it a thousand times that the Fed is one of the major driver of oil prices as well as other commodities.....Read the entire article.

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Tuesday, September 14, 2010

Crude Oil Support, Resistance and Pivot Point Numbers For Tuesday Morning

Crude oil was lower overnight as it consolidates some of the rally off August's low. Stochastics and the RSI remain bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near term.

If October extends the rally off August's low, the 62% retracement level of the decline off August's high crossing at 78.58 is the next upside target. Closes below the 20 day moving average crossing at 74.48 would confirm that a short term top has been posted.

First resistance is Monday's high crossing at 77.50
Second resistance is the 62% retracement level off August's high crossing at 78.58

Crude oil pivot point for Tuesday morning is 77.20

First support is the 20 day moving average crossing at 74.48
Second support is the reaction low crossing at 72.63



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Monday, September 13, 2010

Crude Oil Technical Outlook For Monday Morning

Crude oil was higher overnight as it extends the rally off August's low. Stochastics and the RSI remain bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near term.

If October extends the rally off August's low, the 62% retracement level of the decline off August's high crossing at 78.58 is the next upside target. Closes below the 20 day moving average crossing at 74.43 would confirm that a short-term top has been posted.

First resistance is the overnight high crossing at 77.50
Second resistance is the 62% retracement level of August's high crossing at 78.58

First support is the 20 day moving average crossing at 74.43
Second support is the reaction low crossing at 72.63

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Thursday, September 9, 2010

Crude Oil Extends Trading Range of the Past Eight Days, Here's Thursdays Numbers

Crude oil was higher overnight as it extends the trading range of the past eight days. Stochastics and the RSI remain neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near term.

Closes above the reaction high crossing at 75.58 are needed to confirm that a short term low has been posted. If October renews the decline off August's high, May's low crossing at 70.35 is the next downside target.

First resistance is the reaction high crossing at 75.44
Second resistance is the reaction high crossing at 75.58

Crude oil pivot point for Thursday morning is 74.48

First support is the reaction low crossing at 70.76
Second support is May's low crossing at 70.35

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Wednesday, September 8, 2010

Crude Oil Daily Technical Outlook Wednesday Morning

Crude oil was lower overnight as it consolidates some of the rally off August's low. Stochastics and the RSI remain neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near term.

Closes above the reaction high crossing at 75.58 are needed to confirm that a short term low has been posted. If October renews the decline off August's high, May's low crossing at 70.35 is the next downside target.

First resistance is the 20 day moving average crossing at 74.52
Second resistance is the reaction high crossing at 75.58

Crude oil pivot point for Wednesday morning is 73.78

First support is the reaction low crossing at 70.76
Second support is May's low crossing at 70.35

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Friday, August 27, 2010

Sorry BP, No One Wants You Drilling In The Arctic

BP has been dissuaded not to join in on oil drilling operations in the Arctic region around Greenland, according to The Guardian. BP was persuaded not to join in the bidding process by the country of Greenland, which felt that the company's involvement in the project might make a bad PR situation worse.

A Greenpeace ship is already stationed off the coast of Greenland, protesting Cairn Energy's exploration activities there. Cairn announced on Tuesday that it had found natural gas in the area, but not any oil.

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Friday, August 6, 2010

Crude Oil Daily Technical Outlook For Friday Morning

Crude oil was lower due to profit taking overnight as it consolidates some of the rally off July's low. Stochastics and the RSI are overbought and are turning neutral to bullish signaling that a short term top might be in or is near.

Closes below the 20 day moving average crossing at 78.70 would confirm that a short term top has been posted. If September extends the aforementioned rally, the reaction high crossing at 84.50 is the next upside target.

First resistance is Wednesday's high crossing at 82.97
Second resistance is the reaction high crossing at 84.50

Crude oil pivot point for Friday morning is 82.02

First support is the 10 day moving average crossing at 80.09
Second support is the 20 day moving average crossing at 78.70

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Tuesday, June 29, 2010

Phil Flynn: Is BP Too Big To Fail?

Get ready for the latest BP stress test and a new BP thing to worry about. Reuter’s reports that the U.S. Federal Reserve's New York branch has been investigating the exposure of major financial firms to BP to make sure that if BP can't meet the costs of its spill in the Gulf of Mexico, it won't put Wall Street or the world's financial system at risk. Reuters says that the New York fed, after two weeks of reviewing documents and asking banks about their BP exposure, found no systemic risk, and it hasn't asked firms to alter their credit relationships with BP, the sources said. The New York fed and BP officials declined to comment. Banks that trade with BP wouldn't comment publicly. You are entering a new dimension.

The dimension not only of sight and sound but of the mind and imagination, you are entering land and borrowing and illusion of cutting deficits. Beware you have entered the Euro Zone. The oil market seemed to have one eye on the storm had another eye on the Euro. The Euro really saw some pressure during the session as uncertainty about EU member nations ability to pay back debt became an issue. Dow Jones said the euro fell broadly Monday as worries mounted about financial system strains ahead of the expiry of a large scale European Central Bank lending facility later investors fear a liquidity shortfall. The euro fell to a fresh all time low against the Swiss franc and its worst level since November2008 versus the U.K. pound. It's clear now that.....Read the entire article.


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Thursday, June 10, 2010

Phil Flynn: BP Means Bad Policy

Bashing BP is in. While Obama is trying to figure out whose "ass to kick", politicians are acting like jilted lovers falling all over themselves to try to lash out and hurt BP while our global reputation as the world’s best and most fair place to do business is at risk. This goes far beyond BP and what they could have or should have to avoid this disaster or how they are handling the aftermath but really comes down to the credibility of this country in the global market place.

BP stock got hammered again in part because the Obama administration wants to make BP cover all the damages from the Gulf oil spill even the millions of dollars in salaries of the laid off oil industry workers let go because of their Federal moratorium on deepwater drilling. This is a concept that has no basis in our rule of law and is trying to change the law after the fact. In other words, they want BP to pay for their own bad policy. At the same time members of Congress are trying to retroactively lift the 75 million dollar liability cap on punitive damages and possibly have no cap at all.

Yet revenge and emotion always makes bad policy. The truth is that eliminating or raising the liability cap for oil companies will cost us thousands of jobs in the oil industry. Small oil companies and drillers will go out of business and insurance rates for companies will skyrocket faster than health care costs. US domestic oil and gas production would fall, maybe dramatically. It would add dollars to the cost of a gallon of gasoline and higher costs would prolong the recession. Higher energy costs would hurt small businesses across the country and would.....Read the entire article.





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Wednesday, June 2, 2010

Dan Dicker: BP Stock Is Bad News

Dan Dicker, TSC senior contributor, says he got the BP stock call wrong and is looking for a micro rally to sell his shares. Follow Dan on Twitter at Dan_Dicker.



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Tuesday, June 1, 2010

Crude Oil Daily Technical Outlook For Tuesday Morning

With 4 hours MACD crossed below signal line, intraday bias in Crude oil is turned neutral. Break of 71.23 minor support will indicate that rebound from 64.23 is finished and will flip intraday bias back to the downside for retesting this low first. On the upside, above 75.72 will bring another rise, but after all, upside should be limited by 61.8% retracement of 87.15 to 64.23 at 78.39 and bring fall resumption.

In the bigger picture, prior break of 68.59/69.50 support zone affirms our view that whole medium term rebound from 33.2 has completed at 87.15 already, just ahead of 50% retracement of 147.27 to 33.2 at 90.24. Further decline should be seen to 50% retracement of 33.2 to 87.15 at 60.18 at least. Also, as rebound from 33.2 is viewed as as a correction to the whole correction that started at 2008 at 147.27, we'd anticipate a break of 33.2 low in the longer term. On the upside, break of resistance at 78 level is needed to be indicate that fall from 87.15 is completed. Otherwise, we'll stay bearish.....Nymex Crude Oil Continuous Contract 4 Hours Chart.

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Saturday, May 29, 2010

Crude Oil Weekly Technical Outlook

Crude oil's rebound extended further to as high as 75.72 last week. Though, there is no change in the view that such rebound is a correction in the larger decline. While some more rise might be seen, upside should be limited by 61.8% retracement of 87.15 to 64.23 at 78.39 and bring fall resumption. Below 71.23 minor support will indicate that rebound from 64.23 is finished and will flip intraday bias back to the downside for retesting this low first.

In the bigger picture, prior break of 68.59/69.50 support zone affirms our view that whole medium term rebound from 33.2 has completed at 87.15 already, just ahead of 50% retracement of 147.27 to 33.2 at 90.24. Further decline should be seen to 50% retracement of 33.2 to 87.15 at 60.18 at least. Also, as rebound from 33.2 is viewed as as a correction to the whole correction that started at 2008 at 147.27, we'd anticipate a break of 33.2 low in the longer term. On the upside, break of resistance at 78 level is needed to be indicate that fall from 87.15 is completed. Otherwise, we'll stay bearish.

In the long term picture, current development suggests that rebound from 33.2 is finished at 87.15, inside 76.77/90.24 fibo resistance zone as expected. Our view is that fall fro 87.15 would develop into the third falling leg of the whole correction from 147.27 and hence, we'd anticipate an eventual break of 33.2 low in the long term as such correction extends.....Nymex Crude Oil Continuous Contract 4 Hours Chart.

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Monday, September 28, 2009

BP, Kuwait to Build Refinery in China

Energy giant BP (BP) is collaborating with Kuwait to build a $9 billion refinery venture in southern China. The facility, in China's Guangdong province, would have a refining capacity of 300,000 barrels per day.

The facility would be 30 percent owned by KPI, Kuwait's state run oil company. Chinese refiner Sinopec (SHI) would have a 50 percent stake, while Dow Chemical (DOW) and Shell (RDS.A) (RDS.B) would each take a ten percent stake. Work on the refinery is expected to commence by March of 2010.



Monday, September 7, 2009

BP: Best in Class

Stephanie Link, director of research for Action Alerts Plus Portfolio, argues that BP's recent oil discovery provides much needed growth potential.



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Tuesday, July 28, 2009

BP Says ‘Little Evidence’ of Recovery After Net Falls


BP, Europe’s second biggest oil company, said profit fell 53 percent on lower energy prices and there is “little evidence” of a recovery in demand. Second quarter net income fell to $4.39 billion, or 23.16 cents a share, from $9.36 billion, or 49.23 cents, in the year earlier period, London based BP said today in a statement. Excluding one time items and inventory changes, earnings beat analyst estimates. Almost two years into a turnaround led by Chief Executive Officer Tony Hayward, BP said estimated cost cuts would exceed an earlier target as it increased production to more than 4 million barrels a day.....Complete Story

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Monday, July 27, 2009

Daily Oil Prices with Anna Coulling

A year after the peak in the commodity cycle, and an all time high for crude oil prices, this week sees all seven of the world's largest private sector oil groups reporting half year results, starting with BP on Tuesday. Although the main focus for oil investors will be to see how successful these companies have been in coping with the subsequent dramatic fall in crude, the recent, and equally dramatic, recovery in daily oil prices will determine the scope that oil companies (and producer countries) will have to fund future investment plans.....Complete Story

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Sunday, July 19, 2009

Iraqi Parliament Declares it Can Halt Oil Contracts

Iraq's parliament has the authority to block a contentious oil deal with BP and China's CNPC, despite the oil ministry's insistence lawmakers can do nothing to derail the agreement, a top lawmaker said. "The government believes that such a subject is included in its authorities, according to existing law, but if parliament finds these contracts or this (bidding) round ... are not beneficial, parliament can prevent the government," parliament speaker Ayad al-Samarai said in an interview on Sunday.....Complete Story
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