Showing posts with label commodities. Show all posts
Showing posts with label commodities. Show all posts

Tuesday, May 5, 2020

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Founder of The Technical Traders 



Stock & ETF Trading Signals

Thursday, April 23, 2020

Our MarketClub Members Bailed Before Crude Oil Went Negative

If the world wasn't strange enough right now, the crude oil market just took it up a notch. On Monday, April 20, 2020, the May contract for WTI Crude Oil fell to negative $37/barrel, bizarre territory after a record breaking price drop.

Futures traders are rightfully concerned about decreased demand, overproduction, and limited storage space. MarketClub members were thankfully sitting on the sidelines (or were riding the move down) after getting an exit signal for this liquid energy fund.


What’s the Next Move for USO?

MarketClub members have the Chart Analysis Score at their fingertips. If and when the USO trend reverses, members will see the score increase and will receive Trade Triangle signals as the ETF establishes new short term, intermediate, and long-term bullish trends.

Want the score and signals for USO or any other energy stock or ETF?

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Wednesday, March 11, 2020

Revisiting Our July 2019 Crude Oil Predictions & Our 2020 Forecast

When it comes to our Adaptive Dynamic Learning (ADL) predictive modeling system, we get asked questions from our friends and followers about how it could predict a virus event or how it could predict a price event so far out into the future. The truth of the matter is the ADL predictive modeling system doesn’t predict unknown virus, banking or other types of events.

What it does do, quite well we might add, is identify historically accurate price events (almost like unique DNA markers) and attempts to identify future price events that align with recent price bar (DNA) setups. In other words, it maps the markets highest probability outcomes by studying past price activity and using a unique DNA like mapping system. Once this analysis is complete for any chart, we can ask it what is likely to happen in the future.

On July 8, 2019, our researchers did exactly that and posted an article regarding our findings that many people continue to write us about. Some, at first, in total disbelief that Crude Oil could fall to levels below $40 ever again and others that wanted to know how we came up with these numbers. We set our ADL system to show us what is expected on a Monthly Crude Oil chart going forward and it draws the likely outcome and volatility (highs & Lows).

Here is a link to the original article....Just Visit Here

This Screen Capture From The Original July 2019 Article Clearly States

If our ADL predictive modeling is correct, we will see rotation between $47 and $64 over the next 3+ months before a breakdown in price hits in November 2019. This will be followed by two fairly narrow price range months (December 2019 and January 2020) where oil prices will tighten near $45 to $50. After that tightening, we believe an extremely volatile price move will happen in February through April 2020 that could see oil prices trade as low as $22 and as high as $51 over a two to three-month span.

The most critical component of this early research is the statement we have timed perfectly with our system was “we believe an extremely volatile price move will happen in February through April 2020” and the following price predictions.

The ADL predictive modeling system provided us with a hint that volatility would skyrocket throughout this time in Crude Oil. And, as we all know, this next Daily Crude Oil chart highlights the incredible collapse from early January 2020 (near $65.00) to levels just below $50 in early February. After that, the high price level was near $54.50 and the current low price level is $27.34. We believe this downward price rotation in Crude Oil completely validates our earlier ADL predictive analysis.



Imagine having this type of forecast for our trading and investing! Be sure to opt-in to our free market trend signals newsletter before closing this page so you don’t miss our next special report!

What's Next With The Price of Crude Oil?

Based on short term Fibonacci price momentum targets we could see fall as low as $17 per barrel, but this price target will change dramatically over the next few days depending on if oil bounces higher from here it is now.



If our research is correct, Crude oil may find a bottom somewhere near $17 to $24, the potential rally back up to somewhere above $37 - $41 ppb before staging another massive selloff. The massive volatility suggested by the ADL system also suggests a broad price range over the next 60+ days.

Thus, we believe crude oil will attempt to form a bottom below $30, then attempt a brief rally to “fill the gap” (or partially fill the gap). After that, supply side economics will take over and crude oil should begin to move back towards the to $30 price level again – just as our ADL predictive modeling system suggested.

As of today, we are getting dozens of emails asking about what we see for the US major markets and global markets with our systems. Everyone wants to know “what’s next?”. Most of that research is delivered to our active subscribers/members and you can gain access to that information simply by visiting my website. You really don’t want to miss these next huge moves.

As a technical analysis and trader since 1997, I have been through a few bull/bear market cycles. I believe I have a good pulse on the market and timing key turning points for short term swing traders.

Visit my ETF Wealth Building Newsletter and if you like what I offer, and ride my coattails as I navigate these financial markets and build wealth while others lose nearly everything they own during the next financial crisis.

Chris Vermeulen
The Technical Traders



Stock & ETF Trading Signals

Saturday, February 22, 2020

Gold Rallies as Fear Take Center Stage

Gold has rallied extensively from the lows near $1560 over the past 2 weeks. At first, this rally didn’t catch too much attention with traders, but now the rally has reached new highs above $1613 and may attempt a move above $1750 as metals continue to reflect the fear in the global markets.

We’ve been warning our friends and followers of the real potential in precious metals for many months – actually since early 2018. Our predictive modeling system suggests Gold will rally above $1650 very quickly, then possibly stall a bit before continuing higher to target the $1750 range.

The one thing all skilled traders must consider is the longer term fear that is building in the markets. Many traders are concerned about the global economy with the Coronavirus spreading economic worries throughout Asia, Japan, and Europe. We believe this fear will push precious metals continually higher over the next 24+ months with a real upside target above $2100 eventually.

Right now, skilled traders need to understand that wave after wave of higher price rotation will continue to happen in Gold and Silver. If you missed the $1450 level and missed the $1550 level, this is your time to attempt to find your entry point near $1650 or below that level. Ultimately, real fear has yet to result in a parabolic rally in Gold and Silver – but it is likely going to happen within the next 24+ months.



As skilled traders, our Fibonacci price modeling system is suggesting that any price rotation below $1550 would be an excellent buying opportunity. These levels really depend on where the current rally ends and what happens in the global markets over the next 60+ days.

Less than 7 days ago, we published this research article suggesting that our ADL predictive modeling system was telling us that Gold would rally above $1650 within 15 to 30 days. It is very likely this rally will start a multiple leg upside price advance in precious metals where Silver will finally breach the $20 to $21 level as Gold advances higher.

February 13, 2020: Predictive Modeling Suggests Gold Will Break Above $1650 Within 15 - 30 Days



Once fear really enters the markets, we’ll see huge sector rotation and a massive price reversion event take place. Historically, Gold and Silver will react to this move, but the parabolic price move in precious metals will come 4 to 6+ months after the reversion event in the global markets. So, from a historical standpoint, any entry-level near current price levels is exceptional.

Trust us, you really don’t want to miss this next move in precious metals. Our Fibonacci price modeling system and Adaptive Dynamic Learning modeling system are suggesting price levels above $2400 as an ultimate upside price target for Gold.

Join my Swing Trading ETF Wealth Building Newsletter if you like what you read here and ride my coattails as I navigate these financial markets and build wealth while others lose nearly everything they own.

Chris Vermeulen
The Technical Traders



Stock & ETF Trading Signals

Saturday, January 18, 2020

Energy Continues Basing Setup - Next Breakout Expected Near January 24th

After watching crude oil fall from the $65 ppb level to the $58 ppb level (-10.7%) over the past few weeks, we still believe the energy sector is setting up for another great trade for skilled investors/traders.

We are all keenly aware that winter is still here and that heating oil demands may continue to push certain energy prices higher. Yet winter is also a time when people don’t travel as much and, overall, energy prices tend to weaken throughout Winter.

Over the past 37 years, the historical monthly breakdown for crude oil is as follows....

December: Generally lower by -$0.33 to -$0.86. Averages to the downside: -3.65 to +3.08
January: Generally lower by -$4.57 to -$6.72. Averages to the downside: -2.68 to +2.27
February: Generally higher by +$8.41 to +13.73. Averages to the upside +3.07 to -2.54
March: Generally higher by +7.33 to +$15.62. Averages to the upside by +2.84 to -2.14

Over the past 25 years, the historical monthly breakdown for natural gas is as follows....

December: Generally lower by -$2.34 to -$5.26. Averages to the downside: -0.81 to +0.69
January: Generally lower by -$5.14 to -$7.97. Averages to the downside: -0.69 to +0.45
February: Generally lower by -$1.48 to -$3.62. Averages to the downside -0.50 to +0.49
March: Generally higher by +0.63 to +$1.88. Averages to the upside by +0.41 to -0.70

Over the past 35 years, the historical monthly breakdown for heating oil is as follows....

December: Generally lower by -$0.16 to -$0.37. Averages to the downside: -0.14 to +0.09
January: Generally lower by -$0.52 to -$0.96. Averages to the downside: -0.09 to +0.10
February: Generally higher by +$0.48 to +$1.06. Averages to the upside +0.11 to -0.08
March: Generally higher by +0.03 to +$0.11. Averages to the upside by +0.09 to -0.10

This data suggests an extended winter in the U.S. may prompt further contraction in certain segments of the energy sector that may prompt an exaggerated downside price move in crude oil and natural gas. heating oil may rise a bit if the cold weather continues well past March/April 2019.

Conversely, if an early spring sets up in the U.S., then crude oil may begin to base a bit as people begin to traveling more, but heating oil and natural gas may decline as cold weather demands abate.

Heating oil has almost mirrored crude oil in price action recently. Our modeling systems are suggesting that crude oil may attempt to move below $40 ppb. This move would be a result of a number of factors – mostly slowing global demand and a shift to electric vehicles. We authored this research post early in January 2020 – please review it.

January 8, 2020: Is The Energy Sector Setting Up Another Great Entry?

We believe any price level below $40 in ERY is setting up for a very strong basing level going forward. We have identified two “pullback zones”. The first is what we call the “Deep Pullback Zone”. The second is what we call the “Deeper Pullback Zone”. Any upside price move from below $40 to recent upside target levels (above $50) would represent a 25%+ price rotation.



Historically, February is a very strong month for ERY. The data going back over the past 12 years suggests February produces substantially higher upside price gains (+1899.30 to -394.28) – translating into a 4.8:1 upside price ratio over 12 years. Both January and March reflect overall price weakness in ERY over the past 12 years. Thus, the real opportunity is the setup of the “February price advance”.

We believe any opportunity to take advantage of this historical technical price pattern is advantageous for skilled traders/investors.



This is a pure technical pattern based on price bar data mining. This is something you may not have ever considered unless you had the tools to search for historical price anomalies and rotation patterns. We have created a suite of tools and price modeling systems we use to help our members find incredible opportunities – this being one of them.

Get ready, February will likely prompt a very nice rally in ERY if historical price triggers confirm future price activity. The price pattern in February suggests a large upside price move is likely in ERY and we believe these low price basing patterns are an excellent opportunity for skilled traders.

Join my Wealth Building Newsletter if you like what you read here and ride my coattails as I navigate these financial markets and build wealth while others lose nearly everything they own.

Chris Vermeulen
The Technical Traders



Stock & ETF Trading Signals

Friday, July 26, 2019

Energy Sets Up Two New Trades - Here They Are

Before we discuss these incredible trade setups in the Energy sector, we have to discuss the continued shifting global economy and how that relates to these setups. Nearly three weeks ago, we posted a research article suggesting Crude Oil would call to levels near $50 over the next 30+ days, then stall for about 45 days before falling further and potentially attempting new lows near $40 ppb. It is important to understand certain aspects of the global economy, economic demand and how it relates to seasonal patterns for Energy.

We believe the move lower is Crude Oil is related to a supply glut that continues to plague the global markets while global economic trade, shipping, and activity continue to weaken. Too much oil supply with weakening global economic activity means Crude Oil will likely waffle lower until this dynamic changes.

Please read our recent research post to know where Crude Oil is likely to head next. Also this crude oil, prediction uses our oil price DNA algorithm to show us the future price range of oil.

Other energy related symbols, like Natural Gas and ERY, are set up for a different type of price move.

The reality of the situation is that once Crude Oil reaches to levels near $50 ppb, it is very likely that a support level will push Crude back higher (as we suggest in our research) which will align with a seasonal pattern for Natural Gas and early Winter demand for heating oil. September, October, and November are typically a ramp up period for winter demand and end of year holiday travel. People tend to take advantage of the last bit of Summer to seek out vacation spots, prepare for winter and push the cold back as long as possible.

Future contracts may move higher, in preparation of this seasonal trend, many months before the season actually starts. This is the reason we believe the energy sector is setting up some incredible opportunities for skilled technical traders.

The Weekly Chart of Natural Gas 

This first Weekly chart of Natural Gas highlights a basing pattern that we’ve been following for months. We believe any move below $2.30 is a strong bottoming/basing setup for skilled traders and our predictive modeling systems suggest we are just weeks (3 to 5+) away from a big upside move in NG.

We believe natural gas will continue to fall and base. Once a bottom has been made the upside potential for NG over the next 60+ days is quite substantial. We believe an in initial upside move after it bottoms will be to levels above $3.15 will take place before October 10 and that potential for an extreme breakout upside move above $4.00 is quite likely before the end of November 2019.

Please read this article to learn more about our research into NG and the opportunities that are setting up now. Also, this post we shared Natural Gas Moves Into Basing Zone.



ERY – Bear Energy Sector Chart

Keeping in mind that the setup within the energy sector is two fold. First, Oil and NG will continue to fall and base/bottom (moving slightly lower over the next few weeks). This is why ERY is such a great setup right now. Any breakdown in energy commodity prices over the next 3-5 weeks will push ERY 15% to 25% higher from current levels – which is exactly what we are expecting to happen.

Then, as Crude Oil and Natural Gas base in their support zones, ERY will peak which is when we want to pull profits from ERY and watch other bullish energy ETFs for long side setups.

From current levels, we believe ERY will target $50 to $52.50 fairly quickly as Crude Oil and NG continue to move lower and setup a momentum base within the basing zone/support range. Remember Crude Oil should move to levels near $50 (a full 10% lower than current price levels) before basing.



Concluding Thoughts

As we’ve been suggesting for months, 2019 and 2020 are setting up to be incredible years for skilled technical traders. These moves in commodities, energy, and metals are providing us with trade after trade of 10%, 20% or more. Almost every month, the markets are setting up 10 to 15+ incredible trading opportunities and all we have to do is time our entries and run these trades as we do any other trade. Not all trade setups are the kind we like and we only enter the ones that we think have the highest opportunity and lowest risk.

Get ready because these incredible setups in Metals and Energy should keep you busy pulling the trigger to create profits over the next 5+ months or longer with my Wealth Building & Global Financial Reset Newsletter.

Join me with a 1 or 2 year subscription to lock in the lowest rate possible and ride my coattails as I navigate these financial market and build wealth while others lose nearly everything they own during the next financial crisis.

Join Now and Get a 1oz Silver Round or Gold Bar Shipped To You Free. Follow our research and visit The Technical Traders to learn how we can help you find and execute better trades.

Chris Vermeulen
The Technical Traders


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Stock & ETF Trading Signals

Tuesday, May 7, 2019

U.S. Stock Markets Could Rally Beyond Expectations

Late Sunday afternoon, President Trump surprised the global markets with the announcement of increased trade tariffs with China relating to the ongoing trade negotiations and delayed trade talks between the two global superpowers. The global markets reacted immediately upon the open Sunday night (Asian open). The VIX short position puts quite a bit of professional traders at risk of big losses today while those of us that were prepared for an increase in volatility and price rotation is poised for some incredible opportunities.

The U.S. stock market is set up for a price move that will likely make many people very wealthy while frustrating many others over the next few months. We’ve recently posted many articles regarding the 2020 U.S. Presidential election cycle and the fear cycle that comes from these major political events. In November 2016, we remember watching Gold rally $60 early in the election night, then fall $100 as news began reporting the surprise winner. There is so much capital, and future capital expectations that ride on these election cycles – it can actually drive the markets in one direction or another.

Get Our Free Market Research Right Here

Right now, we have two things we want to alert you to regarding our proprietary Fibonacci price modeling utility. First, the current trend is Bullish and the chance of a downside price move is still valid. Remember, one of the primary price rules within Fibonacci price theory is that price must ALWAYS attempt to seek out new highs and new lows – at all times. This means that once price establishes new price highs, any failure to continue establishing new price highs, through standard price rotation, will result in its price attempting to establish new price lows.

So, as we continue with our expectations, remember that any failure of price to continue the push higher means it WILL rotate lower and attempt to establish new price lows.

Taking a look at this IWM Monthly chart shows a very clear price rotation near the end of 2018 and that the current price has yet to rally above the October 2018 highs. In this instance, we have a FAILURE to establish new price highs within the current price move. We also have a new price low established in December 2018. This high and low sets up the range of $173.99 and $125.80. Fibonacci price theory tells us that PRICE WILL attempt to establish a new price high or new price low from within this range. Therefore, the price WILL either continue to rally higher and break the $173.99 level or price WILL reverse lower, without reaching the $173.99 level and target the $125.80 level.

Our modeling system is currently telling us that price and trend is bullish and that the current price level has clearly rallied above the Fibonacci price trigger levels near $143.50. Should price rotate lower and breach these Fibonacci price trigger levels, then we would expect the price to move much lower. Right now, we don’t expect that to happen based on a strong U.S. economy, employment and earnings.



This Monthly SPX chart shows a similar setup – yet the main difference is that the current HIGH PRICES are clearly above the October 2018 previous highs. Thus, in this instance the SPX has reached “new price highs” as a component of Fibonacci price theory and, because of this fact, must continue to strive for new price highs or risk failing and rotating lower to establish new price lows.

In fact, the past three trading sessions are proprietary SP500 index trading system issued two quick winning trades for members. The two trades pulled 2.5% and 2% out of the market in less than 24 hours from the entry prices. This momentum and trend trading system are going to be a new trading weapon for us to follow and trade the markets once we implement this into the member’s area for viewing the charts and signals at any time.

Take a look at last weeks trade and today’s trade which both hit T1 (Target 1).



Take a look at the chart below then consider what that last statement really means. It suggests that we have already reached into new price high territory. Fibonacci theory suggests that “once new price highs are established, the trend MUST continue to attempt to establish new higher price highs – OR FAIL and attempt to establish a new price low. Well, a failure at this level could mean a price move all the way back towards recent lows near December 2018 – near $2346.58. Therefore, it is critical that we see other markets, like the IWM, continue to push higher in an attempt to support this broader upside price move for all the U.S. major stocks.

The most important factor going forward is to be prepared to think and react very quickly to price rotations, news, and the election cycle process. Take a look at how volatile the market has become over the past 12 months and consider the fact that we could continue to see this type of volatility in the markets for the next 15+ months – at least through the election cycle process.

Remember also that the US economy is operating on very strong fundamentals, employment, and outputs. Disruption of future expectations could lead to a massive displacement of capital in the global markets. Watch crude oil, gold, silver and other commodities for any signs of weakness. And pay attention to the levels we are suggesting in this research post. If the SPX falls below $2600 – be prepared. If the IWM falls below $142 – be prepared. Price is always seeking out new price highs and new price lows. If it can’t get one side, it will attempt to get the other.



The global market “Shake out” that we wrote about weeks ago is just starting. Our expectations are that an increase in price volatility, as well as a minor price rotation, will take place in the U.S. markets before a continued upside price bias will drive prices higher again. There are two main drivers that will become leaders of any bigger rotation in the global markets – Metals and Commodities. If we begin to see a collapse in commodity prices, pretty much across the board, while metals breakout into a rally, then we are setting up for a bigger downside price move. Until that happens, continue to expect an upside price bias to continue in the U.S. stock market.

Secondly, should a massive currency revaluation event take place, where global currencies weaken as the U.S. Dollar stays strong, then we could be setting up for a “slow unraveling” of foreign debt markets and foreign equity markets. This would be almost like a “slow bleed out” as a currency devaluation event prompt incredible pricing pressures on local foreign governments to support their economies. These devaluation events, if they happen, could prompt a hyper inflation type of event that could disrupt weaker nations to such a degree that they could weaken world leading economies that have exposure to these foreign nations – Think China/Russia.

Our advice continues to be to look for opportunities as the volatility increases and continue to expect an upside price bias in the U.S. stock market – at least until we have any strong evidence that price trend has changed. Don’t buy into the doom-sayers just yet. In our opinion, this U.S. upside price move is not over yet.

If you want to become a technical trader and pull money from the markets during times when most others cannot be sure to join the Wealth Trading Newsletter today. Plus, for a few days only I’m giving away and shipping Free Silver Rounds to subscribers who join our select membership levels.

Chris Vermeulen @ The Technical Traders



Stock & ETF Trading Signals

Thursday, April 11, 2019

Are You Ready For The Next Move in Natural Gas?

Historically, April has been a pretty consistent upside opportunity in Natural Gas for over 20 years. Over the past 24+ years, the upside opportunity in Natural Gas has been accurate over 68% of the time with the average upside potential ranging from $0.60 to $0.85. With Natural Gas sitting down near recent lows and seeing as though we are still fairly early in the month of April, our researchers believe the opportunity still exists for some quick profits in UNG with an upside move from below $23.95 to a target level of $26 to $28 (roughly +9 to +18%).

The downside risk is rather limited with clear support visible below the recent lows (near $22.75) and a historical likelihood of any further downside price swing being below 33%. Our research team believes an opportunity to establish new longs in UNG below the current Daily price gap (below $23.50) would be ideal.



Historical data mining shows that average upside rallies at this time of the year are typically ranging just below $1. Thus, the upside potential for this move being about +9 to +12% should be sufficient for quick profits. Skilled traders can hold a small portion of the trade for any potential run beyond these initial target levels, but we caution traders that $28.50 to $29.00 is an area of strong resistance. Our last trade in natural gas with subscribers netted us 30% profit in UGAZ within 10 days back in February.

Our research team is still waiting for the Daily Upside Gap to fill with prices below $23.50 before we look to enter any new trades. We have been patiently waiting for the bottom in Natural Gas to form knowing that we have this trade setup with a relatively high success rate. Keep an eye on Natural Gas and look for any good entries below $23.50 in UNG – the deeper the better. Our Fibonacci modeling systems are already suggesting a bottom has set up and any upside price move above $24.30 will likely prompt a bigger rally towards $26 to $28.

Are you ready for this next move? Want to know how we can help you find and execute better trades? 55 years of combined experience in researching and trading makes analyzing the complex and ever-changing financial markets a natural process. We have a simple and highly effective way to provide our customers with the most convenient, accurate, and timely market forecasts available today. Our stock and ETF trading alerts are readily available through our exclusive membership service via email and SMS text.

Our newsletter, Technical Trading Mastery book, and Trading Courses are designed for both traders and investors. Also, some of our strategies have been fully automated for the ultimate trading experience.

Chris Vermeulen



Stock & ETF Trading Signals



Tuesday, April 9, 2019

Crude Oil Nearing Resistance - Could a New Top Form Here?

The recent recovery in Crude Oil has, partially, been based on increasing expectations of a global economic recovery taking place and the continued news that the US/China will work out a trade deal. Crude inventories. Just last week U.S. Crude Oil inventories came in at +7.2 million barrels vs. expectations of -425,000 barrels. Additionally, concerns in Syria and Libya are pushing prices a bit higher as well. Whenever there are supply concerns or uncertainty out of this region, prices tend to rise.

The facts remain very dynamic for Oil. The U.S. is continuing to produce more and more oil and is expected to become a “net exporter” of oil this year. Economic issues will, eventually, resolve themselves, yet we don’t know the final outcome of these trade deals or how the economy will react to any milestones that are required within the final settlement. And, again, these continuing issues in Libya, Syria and near this region are likely to cause some increased levels of uncertainty over the next 60+ days.

Our researchers, at The Technical Traders, believe the $65.00 level will act as resistance to this current upswing. We believe the upside price move may continue to levels near $67.50 before weakening and beginning a topping formation. We believe our expectation that precious metals will bottom near April 21~24 is key to understanding the dynamics of this move in oil. As long as FEAR does not enter the market, then Oil will likely react to impulse factors exclusively related to oil. Once Gold breaks out above $1500 per ounce, our belief is that oil will react to fear factors related to some broader economic event driving investors into precious metals.

Therefore, we are urging traders to be cautious of the upside price swing in Oil at the moment. Yes, we believe the upside will continue for at least another 10~15 days (possibly changing direction near April 21~24). Yes, we believe current global dynamics support moderately higher Oil prices. Yet, we feel these factors may change within the next 20~45 days as we believe some increased fear levels are about to hit the global markets.



At this point, we would urge Bullish Oil traders to start to become more cautious of any downside risks and begin to prepare for increased volatility. We don’t have any real clue as to how this move will setup, but we do believe our other research support increased volatility within the Crude Oil markets and the potential for a new downside price swing before any further upside move sets up.

Please take a minute to review this research post from January 31, 2019 > Learning From our SP500, Gold and Oil Research & Profit.

We’ve recently launched a new technology solution for our members that delivers our incredible research and trading solutions. You can also visit The Technical Traders Free Research to learn more about our research team and past article. 20129 is going to continue to be an incredible year for skilled traders – you won’t want to miss these big moves that are setting up.

Chris Vermeulen


Stock & ETF Trading Signals

Thursday, March 28, 2019

Natural Gas Sets Up Another Buying Opportunity

Recently, we warned that Natural Gas may set up another opportunity for traders to buy into a support zone below $2.70 with a selling range near or above $3.00. Our upside target zone is between $3.25 and $3.45. The price of Natural Gas has recently fallen below $2.69 and we believe this could be the start of a setup for skilled traders to identify key buying opportunity in preparation for a quick +8% to +15% upside swing.

Historically, March and April have been pretty solid months for Natural Gas. Let’s go over the historical data using three different seasonality charts which all point to higher prices.



Taking a look at the data, above for both March and April it appears we should have a positive price outcome over the next 20+ trading sessions. Thus, we can determine that the likelihood of a positive price swing between now and the end of April is highly likely.

When we take a look at the chart data to see how our BUY and SELL zones are setting up, it becomes clear that any opportunity to BUY into the lower support channel, with a moderate degree of risk, could result in a very nice profit potential of between $0.35 to $0.70 on data that supports the Bullish potential as a 200%~220% advantage over downside potential.



Take a look at the data that we are presenting and try to understand that these types of historical price triggers are not foolproof, yet they do provide a clear advantage. They allow us to see if and when there is any type of advantage to our decision making and if we can identify any real opportunity for future success. We believe any further downside price activity in Natural Gas will result in additional opportunities for Long trades with $2.45 being our absolute low entry target. Our upside exit target would be any level above $2.95, or higher, and our ultimate target objective would be $3.15 or higher. Our last trade in natural gas (UGAZ) gave us 30% return in just two weeks in February!

This could be another opportunity for a trader to target a quick 8% to 15% swing trade in Natural Gas over the next 20+ days. Time to put Natural Gas on your radar again!

Are you ready for this next move? Want to know how we can help you find and execute better trades? Visit The Technical Traders Right Here to get our, technical indicators, market analysis, daily videos and trade alerts.

Chris Vermeulen
Technical Traders Ltd.

Stock & ETF Trading Signals



Monday, January 14, 2019

How We Will Play this Potentially Massive Short Squeeze in Natural Gas

Our proprietary Fibonacci predictive modeling system is suggesting Natural Gas is about to break down below the $4.30 level and move aggressively toward the $3.05 - 3.25 level. This could be an incredible move for energy traders and a complete bust for existing longs.

This Weekly Natural Gas chart is showing our Fibonacci Predictive modeling system and highlighting the lower support price targets just above $3.00. We believe price weakness will break the $4.30 level very quickly and drive prices well below the $3.40 level – very likely towards support near $3.25 over the next few weeks.



Our Advanced Adaptive Dynamic Learning predictive price modeling system is showing similar results. It suggests a major price anomaly is setting up in Natural Gas that will prompt a massive downside price move over the next 2 - 3 weeks before an equally incredible price recovery takes place. The total of this predicted price swing is nearly $2.00 ($1.00 down and then $0.85 back to the upside). If this move takes place as our modeling systems are suggesting, this will drive a massive “washout move” pushing the long traders out of their positions on the way down and then pushing a massive short squeeze on the way back up to near $4.00.



This is the type of price swing that makes for incredible success stories if traders can play this move properly. Pay attention to the fact that the lower predicted levels of our ADL system (shown near $3.20) may not be reached in this downward price swing. Our predictive modeling system is suggesting these are the highest probability price outcome based on its internal price and technical analysis. Still, when one takes a good hard look at this chart, it is easy to see the “price anomaly” setup where the current price of Natural Gas is nearly $0.80 above the currently predicted price levels (shown as YELLOW DASHES) and how the ADL Predictive modeling system is suggesting a big downward move is about to unfold.

Want to keep receiving incredible trade setups like this one and learn how our research team and specialized price modeling systems can help you find and execute better trades? Then please visit Technical Traders Ltd. to learn more about our services and tools. We have been helping traders find and execute better educated trading decisions with our specialized tools and research for years. Visit The Technical Traders Free Research to read all of our most recent public research posts and to see how we’ve been calling these market moves over the past few months.

Chris Vermeulen



Stock & ETF Trading Signals

Tuesday, January 8, 2019

Gold Hits Our $1,300 Price Target - What’s Next?

Early trading on January 4, 2019 saw Gold trade just above $1300 per ounce. Confirming our price target from our research and posts on November 24, 2018. The importance of this move cannot be underestimated. Traders and investors need to understand the recent rally in the metals markets are attempting to alert us that FEAR is starting to re-enter the market and that 2019 could start the year off with some extended volatility.

Our research has shown that Gold will likely rotate between $1270 - $1315 over the next 30 - 60 days before attempting to begin another rally. Our next upside price target is near $1500. We will continue to post articles to help everyone understand when and how this move will happen. We expect Gold to rotate near the $1300 level for at least another 30 days before attempting another price rally.

Pay attention to the Support Zone on this Daily Gold chart and understand that price rotation is very healthy for the metals markets at this point. A reprieve in this recent Gold rally would allow the start of 2019 to prompt a moderate rally in the U.S. stock market as well as allow a continued capital shift to take place. As capital re-enters the global equities markets, investors will be seeking the best investment opportunities and safest environments for their capital. Our belief is that the U.S. stock market will become the top tier solution for many of these investments.



This Weekly Gold chart shows our Adaptive Fibonacci price modeling system and why price rotation is important at this time. The highlighted GREEN Fibonacci price target levels on the right side of this chart are projecting upside price objectives for the move that started near mid-November. We can see that $1325 (or so) is the highest target level and that $1273 to $1288 are the lower levels. This suggests that we have already reached the upper resistance range and a mild price rotation would allow for the price to establish a new fractal low rotation that would establish NEW upside Fibonacci price targets. In other words, we much have some price rotation to support the next leg higher in the Metals markets



If you’ve been following our research and comments on the past 90+ days. You’ll already know that we’ve nailed many of these market moves. The SPY, Natural Gas, Oil, Gold, Small Caps and so many more. We’ve been calling for a massive price bottom in the U.S. stock market since well before the November 6th U.S. Elections. Our proprietary predictive modeling systems called the huge moves in Oil, Natural Gas, Gold/Silver, and many others. If you were not profiting from these moves, then you need to visit The Technical Traders to learn how we can help you in 2019. Our memberships are very inexpensive and the support we provide you is incredible for skilled traders.

 Want a team to help you create success in 2019, then visit The Technical Traders and get started creating success.

Chris Vermeulen



Stock & ETF Trading Signals

Thursday, December 6, 2018

Renewed Economic Optimism Will Hold Metals Near Recent Lows

The U.S. stocks are already up 1.5%, and gold 1.1% or more on news originating from Argentina from the G20 meeting. The commitment from the U.S. and China to restore talks and hold off on new trade tariffs for a 90 day period of time allows the markets some breathing room and some time to digest future expectations. Combine that with the U.S. Fed talking about taking a more dovish approach to rates and that rates are near “neutral” and we have a perfect setup for the global equity markets to rally back towards recent all time highs.

This type of equity opportunity will push the metals markets towards recent price ranges/lows with almost no attempt at upward price activity. In our opinion, we are looking for the next 14 days to be quite explosive in the equities markets and quite mute in the metal’s markets.

Gold will likely stay below $1250 for the next 10 - 14 days as a renewed global equities rally takes hold. This is an excellent time to establish new long positions as our predictive modeling systems are suggesting that the metals markets should start to move higher near the end of 2018 and into early 2019.



Silver will likely stay below $14.40 for the next 10 - 14 days with the possibility of falling below $14 on a washout low price rotation near Dec 10th or 11th. This would be an excellent time to look for and set up positional long trades in metals miners or SIL in preparation for the late December and early Jan price pop that our predictive modeling system is suggesting will happen.



The initial upswing price activity in the metals will push prices above recent price peaks ($1260 for Gold and $15.00 for Silver). Our modeling systems suggest this price move will stall in late Jan 2019 and continue to stay muted till April or May of 2019. At that point, a new upside price advance will push metals prices much higher.

This may be the last time you see prices near these lows, so be aware of the risks that are ahead of the markets. Remember, the EU and the Brexit deals will likely play a role in the rise of the metals prices over the next few months, so take advantage of these setups before they vanish.

Follow our analysis to stay on the right side of this move. Our predictive modeling systems have been calling these market moves 30 - 60+ days in advance. Visit The Technical Traders to learn how we can help you find and execute better trades.

Chris Vermeulen

Check out Chris' 3 Hour Trading Strategy Mastery Video Course Right Here


Stock & ETF Trading Signals

Monday, October 29, 2018

Where's the Capitulation in Precious Metals?

Over the past 20+ years of research and trading in the markets, our team of traders and researchers know one thing is certain, when fear hits the global markets, precious metals react by rocketing higher. We’ve seen this happen over and over again – even when non-US geopolitical concerns spark some true fear in the markets.

If you’ve followed our research this week, we’ve been warning about how we believe this move is purely price and technical based and not really a fear based global price collapse. In other words, our technical systems, price modeling systems, and other advanced price analysis tools are suggesting this move is nearing an end and was likely a function of price rotation and less a function of true fear in the global markets.

Yes, there were a couple of key factors the precipitated this price move; the Fed, Earnings, Housing Data, Trade, and Geopolitical concerns and the US Elections. Yet the biggest concern for traders was the “deja vu” feeling that Housing could present another massive crash near an election. We’ve been through that and we know how ugly that can be if it were to unfold again.

Our researchers, at The Technical Traders, spent quite a bit of time going over the data and we continue to believe this downside price rotation in the global stock markets was nothing more than a technical price correction WITHOUT any real capitulation from other commodities. If the recent downside price collapse sowed any real fear into investors, then precious metals should have skyrocketed higher over the past 3+ weeks.

This Weekly Gold chart shows how prices advanced moderately over the past few weeks and failed to originate any real broad upside move as equity prices collapsed. Weeks ago, we predicted Gold would climb to near $1235, the CYAN line on this chart, before weakening to near $1200 again near the US mid term elections. After the elections, we believe that Gold will begin another price advance toward a price target near $1310 headed into 2019.

The YELLOW arrow showing the massive upside projections are based on our Fibonacci price modeling system and suggest that Gold may ultimately have an upside potential near $1435 or $1565 eventually. These upside targets, if reached, would be the result of REAL FEAR entering the global markets associated with a much greater contagion/capitulation event taking place. This may be something that happens in the future, as some point, but we don’t believe this is taking place now.



This Weekly Silver chart further illustrates the weakness in the precious metals sector throughout this recent global stock market collapse. The price of Silver actually fell slightly over the past few weeks and stayed near $14.75. A recent double bottom formation in Silver near $13.95 is a very strong indication that Silver is establishing a long-term base near the $14.00 level. You can see from our draws arrows that we believe Silver will continue to contract headed into the US mid-term elections, then begin a moderate advance higher.

We are actively searching for new trades within the precious metals sector that present clear opportunities for our members/subscribers as we believe this upside move in the metals will be one of the best trades in 2019. Although, right now, these trades are “set up trade” in the sense that we don’t expect any true fear to change price at the moment. We do expect investors to continue to look towards the precious metals markets as a form of protection from global events in the future and we believe that when the dam breaks and fear really does enter the markets, traders need to already be positioned within the precious metals sector – not chasing after the move.



Overall, our question still remains valid – where’s the capitulation in the precious metals? If this downside price movement within the global markets was “the top”, we have yet to see any real capitulation in precious metals, which we believe would be the first place to reflect this true fear. Without this capitulation, our researchers continue to believe this is a technical “reversion” move where price is moving lower to re-establish support for another upside price advance.

In conclusion, we do expect moderate price advances in the precious metals sector over the next 4~6+ months. We believe this sector will continue to attract investors as a means of protection against a sudden and more structural price collapse event in the future. Right now, though, we just don’t see the capitulation that would need to be in place if the downside equities move instilled any real fear in traders. It’s just not there – yet. Therefore, this recent downside swing appears to be a capital shift or reversion event where price will quickly attempt to find support, based (headed into the US mid-term elections – as we’ve been suggesting) and begin to move higher after November 12th.

Please visit The Technical Traders here for our Free Research to see all of our recent research posts and to help you understand what our researchers believe is really transpiring within the global markets.

Additionally, please visit The Technical Traders to learn how we can help you find and execute better trades and stay ahead of these market moves. Learn how we help our subscribers by delivering specialized content, video, research, trading signals and more. The next few years are going to be full of fantastic trading opportunities. Now is the time to start to take advantage of these setups and create greater success for your future.

Chris Vermeulen

Stock & ETF Trading Signals

Friday, October 5, 2018

Our New Target Levels for the Coming Gold and Silver Rally

Our modeling systems are suggesting that Gold and Silver will begin a new upside rally very quickly. We wrote about how our modeling systems are suggesting this upside move could be a tremendous opportunity for investors over 2 weeks ago. Our initial target is near the $1245 level and our second target is near the $1309 level. Recent lows help to confirm this upside projection as the most recent low prices created a price rotation that supports further upside price action. What is needed right now is a push above $1220 before we begin to see the real acceleration higher.

The Daily Gold chart, below, shows our Fibonacci modeling system suggesting that $1235 to $1250 are the upside target ranges. Near these levels, we should expect some price rotation before another leg higher begins. Currently, support near $1180 is the floor in Gold.



If you are a fan of the shiny metals and want to know what we believe is likely to happen over the next 8+ months, then please take a moment to join the Wealth Building Newsletter to learn how we can help you find and execute better trades. We provide even more detailed research and predictive price modeling for our subscribers and we believe this bottom setting up in Gold may be the last time you see $1200 prices for a while. Check out The Technical Traders today.

Chris Vermeulen



Sunday, September 23, 2018

Is Gold and the Miners About to Explode Upward?

After many weeks of pricing pressure as the U.S. Dollar extended a rally delivering nearly unending devaluation pricing in most commodities, Gold is setting up for a big upside rally and is likely to extend beyond $1240 in this initial run higher. We believe the immediate bottom has formed in Gold and we believe the upside move will consist of two unique legs higher. The first leg is likely to run to near $1240 - 1250 and end near the middle of November 2018. The second leg of this move will likely run to near $1310 and end near May 2019.

This move is the precious metals and miners will likely coincide with some moderate U.S. Dollar weakness as well as extended global market concerns related to the trade war with China, economic factors originating from China and the EU as well as concerns stemming from the existing emerging market issues. The bottom line is that all of these global concerns are setting up a nearly perfect storm for Gold, Silver and the mining sector to see some extended rallies over the next 6+ month – possibly longer.

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This Weekly Gold chart shows our proprietary Fibonacci price modeling system and we’ve highlighted key price points that are currently being predicted as targets. The CYAN colored line on this chart (near $1245) shows a number of key Fibonacci projected price levels align near this level. These coordinated price targets usually result in key price levels that price will target. So, $1240 - 1250 is setting up as our first upside target.

The second key level is the MAGENTA level near $1300. This lone target well above the other aligns with historical support going back to October/November 2017.



Ultimately, our Fibonacci price modeling system is showing projected price targets as high as $1435 and $1570 – see the YELLOW ARROWS on the chart below. These levels are valid targets given the current price rotation and the potential for these levels to be reached, eventually, should not be discounted. Our Fibonacci price modeling systems are adaptive and learns from price activity as it operates. It identifies these levels based on price activity, relational modeling and active learning of Fibonacci price structure and price theory. We believe these levels will become strong upside targets over the next 12+ months which indicates we have a potential for a massive 18% to 30% upside potential in Gold.



Please take a moment to read some of our other research posts at The Technical Traders to learn how we keep our members keenly aware of these market moves before they happen and help our members find profits with strategic trading signals. Our most recent trade has already gained over 8% in less than 2 days.

Our team of researchers are dedicated to helping you find and execute greater success and our advanced proprietary price modeling solutions are some of the best in the industry. Isn’t it time you decided to invest in your future by finding a solid team of professionals to help you create greater success?

Monday, September 17, 2018

See How Our Predictive Model Suggest a Massive Market Rotation During the U.S. Elections

Just in time for what appears to be a potentially massive market price rotation, our researchers have put together this post to highlight what we believe will become a surprise price correction in the US Equities markets. Our team of researchers believes the correlation of our predictive modeling tools, predictive cycle tools, and other indicators are set up for what may become a massive 5 - 8% price rotation over the next 60 days.

We were expecting this rotation to start unfolding around mid-September (now) but at this time the technical are still bullish so we are not betting against the market just yet.

The combination of new US tariffs ($200 Billion about to hit in the China trade war), as well as a combination of technical issues with regards to Technology Stocks and retail expectations, could jolt the market if a correction does take place as our predictive modeling tools suggest. A simple rotation of 2 - 3% is fairly common in the markets. These predictive modeling solutions are suggesting we are just 4 - 5 days away from the start of a much bigger correction in the US Equities and Indexes.

We believe the coming US elections in combination with the other aspects of the global economy are going to drive a downward price correction that many people are not expecting right now. But there is one pocket of stocks that could benefit from this tariff stuff which members or our Wealth Building Newsletter just got long today!

Anyway, Let’s take a look at some of our index charts to see how this will likely play out.

This first chart is a Daily ES chart showing our Adaptive Dynamic Learning (ADL) predictive price modeling tool. The YELLOW/CYAN dashed lines over the price bars and into the future show the highest probable outcome from the ADL predictive modeling analysis. This instance that predicts a 5 - 6 day price advance before a price peak sets up consisted of 105 unique instances of correlative price data making up this predictive analysis. In other words, 105 unique instances of similar predictive price patterns and predicts future price moves based on the highest likely outcome of all instances of data.

In this case, the ADL modeling system is suggesting we have about 4 - 6 more days of moderately higher price activity before a price top/peak will setup – prompting a new downward price trend.



This ES Weekly ADL price chart correlates with the Daily chart almost perfectly. The Weekly chart predicts one additional week of upward price action before a massive 5 - 6% price decline drives prices lower. This massive price rotation executes over a 1 to 2 week span before briefly stalling, then an additional price decline of about 2% sets up driving prices to a predicted low near $2670 (-8.58%) on November 1, 2018 (just before the US elections).

This ADL analysis was generated by 112 unique instances of similar price data and the combined highest probability outcome is shown by the YELLOW and CYAN dashed lines on the chart. Simply put, we have a very high probability of a 5 - 8% price correction setting up over the next 20+ days in the U.S. Equities markets with a projected bottom setting up near $2670.


This last Weekly Transportation Index chart displaying the ADL predictive modeling system paints a very interesting picture when you combine it with the two earlier charts. The Transportation index typically leads the major markets by about 3 to 6 months. We have seen continued upside price advances in the Transportation Index over the past 6 months which leads us to think the US equities markets will continue to push higher overall.

Yet, this Weekly ADL predictive modeling chart shows two massive price rotations are likely to unfold before the end of 2018. The first one is set up for a downside price rotation, ending near $10,800, starting the week of September 17, 2018, and lasting about 3 - 4 weeks. Then, the ADL predicts the Transportation Index will rocket higher, near $11,800, for about 5 - 6 weeks before falling again to retest the $10,800 lows near early December 2018.

We believe critical global news and expectations regarding global trade, banking and credit may become the catalysts for these moves. The US is expected to enact over $200 billion in trade tariffs this week with China. We believe the ADL predictive modeling system is capable of identifying these massive price rotations and predicting the future rotations simply because of the massive amounts of data that it is capable of crunching. This Weekly ADL prediction consisted of 112 unique price instances and displays only the highest probable outcome. In other words, our predictive modeling system is suggesting these price moves are likely to happen based on its analysis with a greater than 50% probability.


Please pay close attention to our research posts and other articles throughout the end of this year and early into 2019. As we have been attempting to warn our followers, expect increased volatility and wider price rotation throughout the end of this year.

We expect to find a number of incredible opportunities for our members over the next few months and we have already been incredibly successful throughout this recent price rally. Our ADL systems predicted this upside price move in February of 2018 and we have stuck with it. Now, the ADL is predicting a massive rotation is about to take place – somewhat similar to February 2018. If you want to learn how to profit from these moves, visit The Technical Traders to learn how we help our members stay ahead of these types of market moves.

Chris Vermeulen
The Technical Traders Ltd.



Stock & ETF Trading Signals