How You Can Prepare for a Bear Market/Economic Reset

Virus cases are starting to show up in other countries with Brazil spiking this week and China warning the virus is mutating quickly and in a very bad way.

We are expecting terrible retail sales for another quarter, they are currently worse than 1992, and manufacturing numbers will be horrible again as well. More negatives are starting to show up again for stock prices and investors hence the recent correction.

It does not matter what the markets do going forward. A new bull market or bear market won't catch us off gauge as technical traders. Why? Because we follow price, not predict and bet on predictions. If you want to learn how follow the markets to trade and invest with a simple step by step strategy we provide that here in this 30 page guide and show you what charts and indicators to follow.

Don't get me wrong, I would actually prefer a bear market because so much more money can be made in a short period of time, plus we would have the opportunity to re-invest our money into companies with high growth potential and dividends for pennies on the dollar.

We had a big reversal candle on the weekly chart after the stock indexes hit both price and Fibonacci resistance, and the Fed trimmed back on market stimulus last week. This is a Fed induced rally, which, if you ask me, is a dead cat bounce before things get really ugly once this bounce fizzles out.

My research team issues a major "Black Swan" warning on February 21, 2020 – just four days before the start of the current market collapse. Now, we are issuing a "bottom" call near a specific date in the future. This means incredible opportunities for skilled technical traders/investors that know how to trade in this increased volatility.

When is the bottom supposed to happen, and where will it be priced? Those answers are only available to my members as it is specialized proprietary research. Still, even if you know when and where the bottom would likely be in the markets – what would you do differently today to attempt to profit from this incredible setup?

• We called the gold bull market for nearly six months in advance last year.
• We called for $17 Crude oil four months ago.
• Recent 35% rally call, and what is next for the SP500 near term

I've been trading the markets since 1997, and I've never seen anything like what is happening right now. Sure, I've seen numerous market events where risks appeared to be excessive, and there were incredible opportunities for traders using our market research and trade signals – but nothing compares to what is happening right now.

My research team has poured through months of data and run our advanced predictive modeling systems. We've mapped out various cycle events 200+ years into the future and can identify price/trend events based on our proprietary research tools. The alignment of major super cycles, minor cycles, global economic credit expansion, and the COVID-19 virus event, has created a once in a lifetime opportunity for all skilled traders and investors. I'm simply amazed that some of the best analysts on the planet continue to miss these big setups.

The bottom will happen, and we believe we've pinpointed a date range and price for the bottom in the global markets. After that, there is a specific process that the global markets will begin that will set up a once in a lifetime opportunity for skilled traders and investors. Trust us, very few people are prepared for these super cycle events or the associated price trends that are about to unfold.

Right now is when you want to start preparing for these events and these super cycles. This is truly a once in a lifetime event if you understand what is really happening to the global markets. The opportunities for you and your family are incredible – if you know how to play these cycle events. If you don't, then you will likely experience extreme difficulty in navigating the next 15+ years successfully.

Please visit The Technical Investor to learn more about our us and our investing portfolio newsletter. We are attempting to help you create massive opportunities from these major cycle/economic events and to help you preserve and protect your wealth.

Protect and Grow Your Wealth Made Simple - Click Here

Chris Vermeulen
Chief Market Strategist
The Technical Traders

I Truly Think This is the Best $149 You Will Ever Spend

If you have been following me for a while, then you know my analysis and trades are the real deal. You also would know that I made over $1.9 million from the financial markets during the 2008 crash and recover into 2010. I have been semi-retired since the age of 27. I continue to follow, predict, and trade the markets because its the ultimate business and my passion.

A bear market and its recovery can make your rich in a very short period. I believe this is about to happen again, so why not follow my super simple SP500 ETF investing strategy? Trade with your investment account and become a stock market success with me!

I'm offering my investing signals for the next few years to those who want to know their investment capital is in the asset. Let face it, there is a time to be 100% long stocks, to own an inverse fund, and when to sit in cash. Your financial advisor would NEVER recommend a cash position, why because he is not allowed, he and his firm will not make money. Instead, they will keep you long stocks, with some bonds, and you will have to ride out the bear market rollercoaster again.

During the March Market crash, the BEST position was cash for short term trades. EVERY asset fell in value (stocks, bonds, gold, commodities) two months ago. Only one asset rallied, guess what it was? The USD dollar (CASH), moving to USD cash, gained a whopping 11% while most indexes and sectors fell 35-80+%. All you had to do was close all positions in your portfolio, and you would have looked like a hero, and that's what I did with my account and members of my swing trading newsletter.

Follow me to success. Trade my most simple single ETF strategy and know when to own stocks, when to own an inverse ETF, or be in cash. For only $149 you can have the keys to the kingdom during a time when we are going to experience more historical price swings. This is as good as it gets, in my opinion.

Even if we don't enter a new bear market this year, my investing signals will still nail the bull market and make you a ton of money. This is the most affordable insurance plan for your retirement account, so you don't lose it - Period!

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Sincerely,
Chris Vermeulen
Founder of The Technical Traders 

We Adjusted Our Retirement Account Positions with This Major Signal Issued - Did You Get The Signal?

Our trading partner Chris Vermeulen, who are readers have followed for a while now, is loving what is happening in the markets for the last three weeks. He wants a big bounce here because it is going to set us up with a huge long-term investment position once price confirms this next entry signal.

Last week Chris issued a trade alert to members of his long-term investing newsletter. This allows you to protect your wealth and assets while continuing to take advantage of opportunities generated by the U.S and global markets over the next several months and possibly into next year. This is the first trade alert issued in 2020 of this kind, and he may have another very soon, but it's not too late to take advantage of the first signal.

If you are a trader or investor, with a retirement account of any type, or have assets in the stock market, then you need to take action and sign up to get these important investment trade signals.

We all have trading accounts, and while our trading accounts are important, what is even more important are our long-term investment and retirement accounts. Why? Because they are, in most cases, our largest store of wealth other than our homes.

If they are not protected during a time like this, you could lose another 25-50% or more of your entire net worth. The good news is we can preserve and even grow out long term capital when things get ugly like they are now and Chris shows us how.

Check It Out Here

Sincerely,

Chris Vermeulen
Founder of The Technical Traders

Three Charts Every Trader and Investor Must See

Understanding the stock market and its potential through the use of technical analysis and historical price events has been proven repeatedly to outperform all forms of fundamental trading styles. The following is a story that walks you through my experience, the shift in my mindset and how I came to the conclusion that the three charts I share in this article are critical to your understanding of to make money in today’s market!

When I first learned to trade, I got all caught up with researching companies and finding the ones with the best earnings and future growth. I did that for several years after studying and following many “professional traders” who said it was the best way to trade and invest long term. We lost our shirts during the 2000 bear market by continuing to trade on fundamentals as stocks fell in value week after week. Even the companies that showed quarterly earnings growth fell in value – none of it seemed to make any sense to me, and it was very frustrating.

Losing money when buying the best companies made no logical sense, making me step back from the markets and ask myself, ‘what am I doing wrong here‘. People today are asking themselves the same question given today’s dizzying markets:

· Telsa shares fell from $971 a share down to $347, whopping 63% drop, in only a few weeks and then rebounded again too xx

· Netflix is down 30%, even though people are stuck at home desperately trying to find things to watch)

· Amazon has fallen 26% in the past couple of weeks despite soaring demand for their delivery services

· GDXJ, the gold miners sector that is typically a safe haven during times of volatility, crashed 57% even though gold is usually a safe haven during times of volatility.

So, what was I doing wrong? I started calling and visiting traders who were making money during the bear market to see what they were doing, and 100% of them were doing the same thing – Trading with Technical Analysis. I wasn’t doing anything wrong, per se. I was simply using the wrong tools and analysis for success!

What is Technical Analysis? In short, it’s the study of price, time, and volatility of any asset using price charts and indicators. Traders use technical analysis to find cycles and patterns in the market and trade on the analysis of preferred indicators as opposed to the fundamentals of a company and/or the economy in general.

When you start studying technical traders, you will notice every trader has a particular time frame, a preferred set of indicators, and trading frequency that fits their unique personality and lifestyle. Their brains can see the charts in ways you and I may not see them to predict future price direction over the next few hours, days, weeks, or months ahead. I quickly learned there are infinite ways to trade using technical analysis.

I was very surprised by how much these pro traders allowed me. While standing over their shoulders, I was looking at their charts to try to divine their high-level strategies and learn how they think, analyze, and trade. It was amazing how different each of them traded the market. Some traded currencies; others traded stocks, indexes, options, futures, etc. Most were day traders, swing traders, or a mix of the two. But none of them gave me their secret sauce. That is why I turned 100% of my focus to technical analysis. I was excited at the prospect of being able to profit from both rising and falling prices and no concern for anything other than price action reduced my research time dramatically. It was and is the biggest AH-HA moment of my life and a turning point for my career as a trader.

The year was 2001, when I made the shift to technical analysis. I unsubscribed from everything fundamental based. I canceled my CNBC, stopped listening to news, and stopped reading other people’s reports altogether. My goal was to create my own technical trading strategy that best suited my personality and lifestyle. I would have to discover the securities I was most comfortable trading, the frequency I would trade, and the type and amount of risk I was prepared to take.

I traded options, covered-calls, currencies, stocks, ETFs, and futures. From day trading to position trading (holding several months), I tried it all, hoping something would click for me to pursue at a much deeper level. Day trading, momentum, and swing trading were my sweet spots. Having three of them was a bonus as I know some traders only ever master one in their lifetime if they are lucky. I grew a liking for trading the major indexes like the DJIA, S&P 500, and Nasdaq… great liquidity with big money always at play.

Along my journey, I realized that if I could predict the overall market trend direction for the day or week, then I could day trade small cap stocks in the same direction as the index, knowing 80+% of the stocks follow the general stock market trend. I could generate much larger gains in a very short period of time. As time went on, I became comfortable predicting, trading, and profiting from the indexes, and my new trading strategy began to emerge.

I was fortunate enough to start learning about the markets and trading in college with a $2,000 E-Trade account, and then retiring (kinda) in 2009 at the age of 28. I built my dream home on the water, bought cars and boats, and spent time traveling with my growing family. I love trading and sharing my analysis with others – it is better than I had ever imagined and why I continue to help thousands of traders around the world every day with these video courses Trading System Mastery, and Trading As Your Business.

I contribute 100% of my trading success and lifestyle to the fact that I embraced technical analysis, where my strategy involves nothing more than price movement, position-sizing, and trade risk management techniques. All these allow me to easily reduce exposure, drawdowns, and losses with proper position sizing and protective strategies. If you want quick and simple, read about my journey and core trading tools in my book Technical Trading Mastery – 7 Steps to Win with Logic. My strategy is represented by human psychology and historical trading, as expressed in the three charts below.

Chart 1 – Human Psychology is What Drives Price Action

This chart is my favorite as it explains trader and investor psychology at various market stages. It also includes a simplified market cycle in the upper right corner, letting you know where the maximum financial risk is for investors and the highest opportunity for a trade.

Chart 2 – 2000 Stock Market Top & Bear Market That Followed

The chart may look a little overwhelming, but look at each part and compare it to the market psychology chart above. What happened in 2000 is what I feel is happening this year with the stock market sell-off.

In 2000, all market participants learned of at the same time was that there were no earnings coming from their darling .com stocks. Knowing they were not going to make money for a long time, everyone started selling these terrible stocks, and the market collapsed 40% very quickly.

What is similar between 2000 and 2020? Simple really. COVID-19 virus has halted a huge portion of business activity, travel, purchases, sporting events, etc. Everyone knows earnings are going to be poor, and many companies are going to go bankrupt. It is blatantly clear to everyone this is bad and will be for at least 6-12 months in corporate earnings; therefore, everyone is in a rush to sell their stock shares and are in a panic to unload them before everyone does.

Chart 3 – The 2020 Stock Market Top Looks to Be Unfolding

As you can see, this chart below of this year’s market crash is VERY similar to that of 2000 thus far, it’s based on a similar mindset, which is the fear of losing money, which causes everyone to sell their positions.

I am hopeful that we get a 25-30% rally from these lows before the market starts to fall and continue the new bear market, which I believe we are entering. Only the price will confirm the direction and major trend to follow, and since we follow price action and do not pick tops or bottoms, all we have to do is watch, learn, and trade when price favors new low risk, high reward trade setups.

It does not matter which way the market crashes from here, we will either profit from the next leg down, or will miss/avoid it depending on if we get a tradable setup. Either cause is a win, just one makes money, while the worst case scenario just preserves capital in a cash position, you can’t complain either way if you ask me.

Before you continue, be sure to opt-in to our free market trend signals before closing this page, so you don’t miss our next special report!

Concluding Thoughts

In short, is if you lost money during the recent market crash, then you likely have not mastered a technical trading strategy and do not have proper trade management rules in place. All traders must manage risk and trades to be sure you lock in profits and limit losses when prices start pullback or collapse. Without either of these, you will not be able to achieve long term success/gains, and that’s a fact.

While we can all make money during a bull market when stocks are rising, if you cannot retain or grow your account during market downturns, then you may as well be a passive buy and hold investors. You are better at riding the emotional investor rollercoaster without wasting your time and effort as a trader if you are not going to spend the time and money to learn to follow someone to become a successful trader. Without proven trading strategies or someone to follow, you are more likely to underperform a long term passive investor.

I get dozens of emails from people every week trying to trade this wild stock market and use leveraged ETFs, which doing so during these unprecedented market conditions is absolute craziness if you ask me.

These people think that because there are big moves in the market, they should be trading. That big money should be made trading them, which drives me crazy because it could not be further from the truth unless you are a scalp or day trader. To me, in this market condition, it’s about preserving capital, not risking it, in my opinion.

A subscriber to my market video analysis and ETF trading newsletter said it perfectly:

“Always intrigues me how many amateur surfers get to the north shore beaches in Hawaii, take one look at monster waves and conclude it’s way too dangerous. Yet the amateur trader looks at treacherous markets like these and wants to dive right in!!” Richard P.

I have to toot my own horn here a little because subscribers and I had our trading accounts close at a new high watermark for our accounts. We not only exited the equities market as it started to roll over we profited from the sell off in a very controlled way.

I hope you found this informative, and if you would like to get a pre-market video every day before the opening bell, along with my trade alerts, visit my ETF swing trading visit my website at The Technical Traders.

Chris Vermeulen
Founder of The Technical Traders 

Revisiting Our July 2019 Crude Oil Predictions & Our 2020 Forecast

When it comes to our Adaptive Dynamic Learning (ADL) predictive modeling system, we get asked questions from our friends and followers about how it could predict a virus event or how it could predict a price event so far out into the future. The truth of the matter is the ADL predictive modeling system doesn’t predict unknown virus, banking or other types of events.

What it does do, quite well we might add, is identify historically accurate price events (almost like unique DNA markers) and attempts to identify future price events that align with recent price bar (DNA) setups. In other words, it maps the markets highest probability outcomes by studying past price activity and using a unique DNA like mapping system. Once this analysis is complete for any chart, we can ask it what is likely to happen in the future.

On July 8, 2019, our researchers did exactly that and posted an article regarding our findings that many people continue to write us about. Some, at first, in total disbelief that Crude Oil could fall to levels below $40 ever again and others that wanted to know how we came up with these numbers. We set our ADL system to show us what is expected on a Monthly Crude Oil chart going forward and it draws the likely outcome and volatility (highs & Lows).

Here is a link to the original article....Just Visit Here

This Screen Capture From The Original July 2019 Article Clearly States

If our ADL predictive modeling is correct, we will see rotation between $47 and $64 over the next 3+ months before a breakdown in price hits in November 2019. This will be followed by two fairly narrow price range months (December 2019 and January 2020) where oil prices will tighten near $45 to $50. After that tightening, we believe an extremely volatile price move will happen in February through April 2020 that could see oil prices trade as low as $22 and as high as $51 over a two to three-month span.

The most critical component of this early research is the statement we have timed perfectly with our system was “we believe an extremely volatile price move will happen in February through April 2020” and the following price predictions.

The ADL predictive modeling system provided us with a hint that volatility would skyrocket throughout this time in Crude Oil. And, as we all know, this next Daily Crude Oil chart highlights the incredible collapse from early January 2020 (near $65.00) to levels just below $50 in early February. After that, the high price level was near $54.50 and the current low price level is $27.34. We believe this downward price rotation in Crude Oil completely validates our earlier ADL predictive analysis.

Imagine having this type of forecast for our trading and investing! Be sure to opt-in to our free market trend signals newsletter before closing this page so you don’t miss our next special report!

What's Next With The Price of Crude Oil?

Based on short term Fibonacci price momentum targets we could see fall as low as $17 per barrel, but this price target will change dramatically over the next few days depending on if oil bounces higher from here it is now.

If our research is correct, Crude oil may find a bottom somewhere near $17 to $24, the potential rally back up to somewhere above $37 - $41 ppb before staging another massive selloff. The massive volatility suggested by the ADL system also suggests a broad price range over the next 60+ days.

Thus, we believe crude oil will attempt to form a bottom below $30, then attempt a brief rally to “fill the gap” (or partially fill the gap). After that, supply side economics will take over and crude oil should begin to move back towards the to $30 price level again – just as our ADL predictive modeling system suggested.

As of today, we are getting dozens of emails asking about what we see for the US major markets and global markets with our systems. Everyone wants to know “what’s next?”. Most of that research is delivered to our active subscribers/members and you can gain access to that information simply by visiting my website. You really don’t want to miss these next huge moves.

As a technical analysis and trader since 1997, I have been through a few bull/bear market cycles. I believe I have a good pulse on the market and timing key turning points for short term swing traders.

Visit my ETF Wealth Building Newsletter and if you like what I offer, and ride my coattails as I navigate these financial markets and build wealth while others lose nearly everything they own during the next financial crisis.

Chris Vermeulen
The Technical Traders

Gold Rallies as Fear Take Center Stage

Gold has rallied extensively from the lows near $1560 over the past 2 weeks. At first, this rally didn’t catch too much attention with traders, but now the rally has reached new highs above $1613 and may attempt a move above $1750 as metals continue to reflect the fear in the global markets.

We’ve been warning our friends and followers of the real potential in precious metals for many months – actually since early 2018. Our predictive modeling system suggests Gold will rally above $1650 very quickly, then possibly stall a bit before continuing higher to target the $1750 range.

The one thing all skilled traders must consider is the longer term fear that is building in the markets. Many traders are concerned about the global economy with the Coronavirus spreading economic worries throughout Asia, Japan, and Europe. We believe this fear will push precious metals continually higher over the next 24+ months with a real upside target above $2100 eventually.

Right now, skilled traders need to understand that wave after wave of higher price rotation will continue to happen in Gold and Silver. If you missed the $1450 level and missed the $1550 level, this is your time to attempt to find your entry point near $1650 or below that level. Ultimately, real fear has yet to result in a parabolic rally in Gold and Silver – but it is likely going to happen within the next 24+ months.

As skilled traders, our Fibonacci price modeling system is suggesting that any price rotation below $1550 would be an excellent buying opportunity. These levels really depend on where the current rally ends and what happens in the global markets over the next 60+ days.

Less than 7 days ago, we published this research article suggesting that our ADL predictive modeling system was telling us that Gold would rally above $1650 within 15 to 30 days. It is very likely this rally will start a multiple leg upside price advance in precious metals where Silver will finally breach the $20 to $21 level as Gold advances higher.

February 13, 2020: Predictive Modeling Suggests Gold Will Break Above $1650 Within 15 - 30 Days

Once fear really enters the markets, we’ll see huge sector rotation and a massive price reversion event take place. Historically, Gold and Silver will react to this move, but the parabolic price move in precious metals will come 4 to 6+ months after the reversion event in the global markets. So, from a historical standpoint, any entry-level near current price levels is exceptional.

Trust us, you really don’t want to miss this next move in precious metals. Our Fibonacci price modeling system and Adaptive Dynamic Learning modeling system are suggesting price levels above $2400 as an ultimate upside price target for Gold.

Join my Swing Trading ETF Wealth Building Newsletter if you like what you read here and ride my coattails as I navigate these financial markets and build wealth while others lose nearly everything they own.

Chris Vermeulen
The Technical Traders

ADL Gold Prediction Confirms Our Targets

The Gold rally we predicted to happen in late 2018 took place, almost perfectly, based on our ADL predictive modeling systems results. This rally took place in May through September 2019 and pushed Gold up to levels near $1600. The rest of the year, Gold consolidated near $1500 as a strong US Stock Market rally took hold in Q4 of 2019.

Our original prediction was that Gold would rally to levels near $1750 before the end of 2019 based on our Adaptive Dynamic Learning predictive modeling system (ADL). This did not happen in 2019 as out ADL modeling systems suggested, but it appears Gold is setting up for another massive upside rally in 2020.

Taking a look at our ADL predictive modeling systems on Monthly charts for Gold and Silver, we see two very interesting suggestions setting up :

• First, Gold may attempt a rally to a level above $1700 before March/April 2020 and potentially extend this rally to well above $1850 by August/September 2020.

• Second, Silver appears to lag behind this Gold rally by about 7 to 8 months. Silver does not appear to want to start a rally until well after July or August 2020.

If we consider what happened in 2008/09 with the global credit market crisis, both Gold and Silver contracted lower near the start of this crisis (in late 2008). Eventually, Gold began to move higher in August/September 2009 (well into the crisis event). Silver didn’t really start to accelerate higher will August 2010 – a full 12 months after the Gold rally started.

Our ADL system is suggesting that the Silver rally will lag behind the gold rally by about 10 to 14 months given the ADL predictions for price activity in 2020. Thus, Gold may continue to rally much higher fairly early in 2020, yet we won’t see much upside movement in Silver till after July 2020.

Monthly Gold ADL Chart

This first Monthly Gold ADL chart highlights the ADL predictive modeling systems suggestion related to future price targets. We can see the upside move in Gold should begin with an upside target near $1600-1625 over the next 60+ days. After that, the rally should accelerate higher in April/May 2020 with another move higher towards $1700-1725. By August/September 2020, Gold should attempt a rally to levels above $1800-1850 and then begin to consolidate above $1800 for a few months.

Silver Monthly ADL Chart

This Silver Monthly ADL chart suggests that Metals will react very similar in 2020 to what happened in 2008-09. While Gold began to rally in August 2009, Silver did not begin to accelerate higher till August/September 2010. This delay in the understanding that Silver presents valid protection against risk may take place in this current upside rally in Gold. If the ADL predictions are accurate, then Silver will continue to provide buying opportunities for many months near $17.50-$18.00 before a major upside price advance begin.

By July 2020, Our ADL predictive modeling system is suggesting Silver will advance to levels above $18.25, then begin a major price advance to levels above $19-20 fairly quickly. Please keep in mind the scope of these predictions related to the global markets and the U.S. Presidential elections. We read into this that a lot of chaos/turmoil may be taking place in the US/World after June/July 2020.

Weekly Gold Chart

This last chart is a Weekly Gold chart highlighting our Fibonacci Price Amplitude Arcs and the major resistance level that has just been broken in Gold. The heavy GREEN arc and the BLACKLINE that we’ve drawn on this chart represent massive resistance originating from the lows near August 2018 in Gold. We believe this resistance level, once broken, will prompt a major upside price move in Gold to levels closer to or above $1700. If this price advance in Gold aligns well with our ADL predictions, then we believe fear will continue to drive future a future price advance in Gold and that fear may be related to continued Global stock market concerns and the U.S. elections.

2020 may be a very good year for precious metals traders who are able to identify solid entry trades for these moves. If our ADL predictions are accurate, Gold should rally over 25% before the end of 2020. Silver may rally as much as 15% before the end of 2020. The timing of these moves suggests Gold traders will have opportunities for bigger price advanced early in 2020 and will begin a larger upside price move after February/March 2020. Silver will begin an upside price move after basing near the March/April 2020.

2020 is going to be a fantastic year for skilled technical traders. Join us and our valued members in finding great trades and incredible opportunities in the markets by joining The Technical Traders.

Chris Vermeulen
The Technical Traders Ltd.

Seven Year Cycles Can Be Powerful and Gold Just Started One

Our research and predictive modeling systems have nailed Gold over the past 15+ months. We expected Gold to rally above $1750 before the end of this year, but the global trade wars and news cycles stalled the rally in Gold over the past 2 months. Now, it appears Gold is poised for another rally pushing much higher.

But wait, if you’re thinking I’m just another one of those traders who is always bullish on gold, just know I have been telling the truth about where gold was headed (lower) for years, but finally, the tide has changed!

Gold broke down from a bull market in 2012/2013 – nearly 7 years ago. Now, Gold has broken resistance near $1375 and is technically in a full fledged Bull Market. The importance of this is the seven year cycle and how the rotation in Gold, between the high near $1923 and the low near $1045 represent an $878 price range. The upside (expansion) rally in Gold may very well move in expanding Fibonacci price structures – just like it did in 2005 through 2012. If this is the case, then we may expect to see an ultimate peak price in Gold well above $3500.

The rally that started in the last 2015 and ended in July 2016 totaled +$331.1 (+31.67%). The next price rally that started in August 2018 and ended in September 2019 totaled +$399.4 (+34.22%). If we take the current rally range (399.4) and divide it by the previous rally range (331.1), we end up with an expansion range of 121%. The two unique rallies that happened just before the 2009 parabolic rally in Gold represented (+315.8: 2006) and (394.8: 2008). The ratio of these two rallies is 125%. Could Gold have already set up for another parabolic rally well beyond the $1923 target level?

Before finding out what is next quickly join our free trend signals email list.

Monthly Price of Gold Chart – Bull and Bear Market Trends

Our research team believes Gold has already entered a technically valid Bullish Market trend. We believe Gold miners will follow higher as Gold begins this next move higher. The reason we have not engaged in Miners, yet, is because we have not received any technically valid signals related to the Gold miners indicating they have also entered a new Bullish Market trend.

Gold is the safe haven for the global market. It is a store of value and offers price appreciation when the global market risks are excessive. Because of this, the sentiment across the global markets appears to be weakening in regards to forward expectations and valuation appreciation within the investment/asset classes. If Gold continues to rally higher, consider it a strong indicator that the foundation of the global market valuation levels is weakening considerably.

U.S. Dollar Will Start to Support Higher Gold Prices

Should the U.S. Dollar retrace lower, Gold will see a price increase based on the renewed weakness of the U.S. Dollar. This would also assist in re-balancing global trade and economic issues with the US Dollar moving moderately lower as weakening global markets contract.

Gold Mining Stocks – Monthly Chart

Miners are set up much like Gold was in early 2018. Resistance has been set up with multiple price tops and any momentum rally above this level would technically qualify as a new Bullish Market trend for miners.

At this point, we believe the bottom in miners has already formed and we are simply waiting for the qualifying technical confirmation of the bullish trend to begin. Jumping into this trade too early could result in unwanted risks as the price could still waffle around within the Stage 1 Base range.

If you want to learn more about market stage analysis I will be covering it a new article shortly. Once you grasp the basic concept you will see these stages on every chart no matter the time frame and know when to focus on trading and when to ignore the charts.

If you like new fresh big trend trades then check out this real estate article I just posted and how the real estate ETF could allow your to profit from home prices but you don’t even need to own or buy a home!

Concluding Thoughts

The recent weakness in the US and global markets has prompted a moderately solid upside move in Gold and Silver over the past few days. We still need to see a Gold move above recent resistance to qualify as a new upside rally though. Miners are set up for a breakout technical move which we must also wait for. We believe these two may move somewhat in unison if the global markets continue to contract throughout the end of 2019 and into 2020.

Stay tuned for more updates and alerts when all these key sectors and asset classes start new trends because that is when you want to get involved for immediate oversized gains. See my stock, index, and commodity trade alerts here.

Chris Vermeulen
The Technical Traders

100% Measured Moves May Signal a Top

One type of Fibonacci price structure we use to attempt to measure price trends and identify potential tops/bottoms is the “100% Measured Move” structure. This is a price structure where a previous price move is almost perfectly replicated in a subsequent price trend after a brief period of retracement or price correction. These types of patterns happen all the time in various forms across multitudes of symbols to create very solid trading signals for those that are capable of identifying trends and opportunities using this technique. If you want my daily analysis and trade ideas, be sure to get my updates by joining my free trend signals email list.

The first thing we look for is a strong price trend or the initially confirmed reversal of a price trend. We find that these trending price ranges and initial “impulse trends” tend to prompt 100% measured moves fairly accurately. The explosive middle trend is where one can’t assume any type of Fibonacci 100% measured move will happen. Those explosive moves in a trend that tend to happen in the middle of a price trend are what we call the “expansion wave” of a trend and will typically be 160% or more the size of the initial impulse trend.

These trade setups we call the “100% measured moves” are naturally occurring price rotations that skilled traders can use to identify strong trade potential setups. They are more common in rotating markets where a moderate trend bias is in place (for example in the current YM or ES chart).

First, let’s take a look at this YM Weekly Chart to highlight the most recent 100% Measured Move. The original upside price move between June 2019 and July 2019 resulted in a 2787 point price rally that replicated between August 2019 and November 2019 – after a brief price retracement. Currently, price is rotating near the peak of this 100% measured price move near 27,875 while attempting to set up a new price trend.

In this ES Weekly example chart, we see a 100% Measured Move that originated in June 2019 and ended in July 2019 – just like on the YM chart. Although the completion of the 100% measured move didn’t originate until the low that formed before price rallied to take out the previous high near 3029.50. Remember, the other facets of Fibonacci price theory are also still at play in the markets while these 100% Measured Moves are taking place. Thus, rotation between a previous price peak and valley (without establishing any new price highs or new price low) are considered “price rotation” – not trending. The 100% Measured Move that did take place recently did complete a full 100% advancement and is now stalling near the 3040 level peak.

If you are not familiar with some of my forecasting and trading strategies for trading the S&P 500, or my gold trading signals be sure to click those links to see some pretty interesting charts like these.

SP500 Index Trend Identification and Trade Signal System

Cycle and Price Prediction System

Concluding Thoughts

Once these 100% measured moves complete, price usually attempts to stall or wash out a bit before attempting to establish a new price trend. At this point, given the examples we’ve illustrated, we believe the US market will enter a period of rotation and moderate volatility as these 100% measured moves have completed the upside price advance for now. Some level of price rotation after these 100% measured moves have completed will potentially allow for another attempt at a future 100% price advance after setting up a new price leg.

These techniques don’t always work, we recently got stopped out on a TVIX (vix/volatility trade for a loss) but we just close out our thirst natural gas trade for a quick 7% profit. The previous UGAZ trade netted 20%, and the one before that was 7.95%.

I can tell you that huge moves are about to start unfolding not only in metals, but stocks, and currencies. Some of these supercycles are going to last years. Brad Matheny goes into great detail with his simple to understand charts and guide about this. His financial market research is one of a kind and a real eye-opener. PDF guide: 2020 Cycles – The Greatest Opportunity Of Your Lifetime

As a technical analysis and trader since 1997, I have been through a few bull/bear market cycles. I believe I have a good pulse on the market and timing key turning points for both short term swing trading and long term investment capital. The opportunities are massive/life changing if handled properly.

I urge you to visit my Wealth Building Newsletter and if you like what I offer, join me with the 1 or 2 year subscription to lock in the lowest rate possible with our BLACK FRIDAY offer, PLUS get a FREE BAR OF GOLD and ride my coattails as I navigate these financial markets and build wealth while others lose nearly everything they own during the next set of crisis’.

Chris Vermeulen
The Technical Traders

Revisiting Black Monday 1987

Back in the day, for those of you that are old enough to remember and have experienced one of the most incredible trader psychology driven stock market decline in recent history. The difference between “Black Monday” and most of the other recent stock market declines is that October 19, 1987, was driven by a true psychological panic, what we consider true price exploration, after an incredible price rally.

It is different than the DOT COM (2001) decline and vastly different than the Credit Market Crisis (2008-09) because both of those events were related to true fundamental and technical evaluations. In both of those instances, prices have been rising for quite some time, but the underlying fundamentals of the economics of the markets collapsed and the markets collapsed with future expectations. Before we get too deep, be sure to opt-in to our free market trend signals newsletter.

Our researchers believe the setup prior to the Black Monday collapse is strangely similar to the current setup across the global markets. In 1982, Ronald Reagan was elected into his second term as the US President. Since his election in 1980, the US stock market has risen over 300% by August 1987.

Reagan, much like President Trump, was elected after a long period of U.S. economic malaise and ushered in an economic boom cycle that really began to accelerate near August 1983 – near the end of his first term. The expansion from the lows of 1982, near 102.20, to the highs of 1987, near 337.90, in the S&P 500 prompted an incredible rally in the US markets for all global investors.

This is very similar to what has happened since 2015/16 in the markets and particularly after the November 2016 elections when the S&P500 bottomed near 1807.5 and has recently set hew highs near 3026.20 – a 67.4% price rally in just over 3 years.

One can simply make the assumption that global investors poured capital in the US markets in 1983 to 1986 as the US markets entered a rally mode just like we suspect global investors have poured capital into the US markets after the 2016 US elections and have continued to seek value, safety, and returns in the US markets since. These incredible price rallies setup a very real potential for “true price exploration” when investors suddenly realize valuations may be out of control.

So, what actually happened on October 19th, 1987 that was different than the last few market collapse events and why is it so similar to what is happening today?

On October 19, 1987, a different set of circumstances took place. This was almost a perfect storm of sorts for the markets. The US markets had risen nearly 44% by August 1987 from the previous yearly close – a huge rally had taken place. Computer trading, which some people suspected may have been a reason for the price decline on October 19, was largely in its infancy.

Floor traders were running the show in New York and Chicago. The London markets closed early the Friday, October 16, because of a weather event that was taking place. The “setup” of these events may have played a roll in the liquidity issues that became evident on Black Monday and pushed the US markets down 22.61% by the end of trading.

The US markets had set up a top near 2,722 in early August 1987 after rising nearly 44% from the 1986 end of year closing price level of 1,895. The SPX rotated lower from this peak to set up a sideways price channel near 315 throughout the end of August and through most of September. On October 5, 1987, the SPX started a downward price move that attempted to test the lower support channel near 312. On October 12, one week later, the SPX broke below this support channel and closed at 298.10 (below the psychological 300 level). The very next weekend was October 17 & 18 – the weekend before Black Monday.

Sunday night, October 18, in the US, the Asian markets opened for trading and a price sell-off began taking place in Hong Kong. Because the London markets has closed early on the 16th due to the storm, by the time they opened the UK markets began tanking almost immediately. Early in the day on Monday, October 19, the FTSE100 had collapsed over 136 points.

Our researchers believe the declines in the US markets in early October 1987 set up a breakdown event that, once support was broken, prompted a collapse event where liquidity issues accelerated the price decline volatility – much like the “flash crash”. Global investors were unprepared for the scale and scope of the price decline event and panicked at the speed of the price collapse.

In fact, at the height of the 1987 crash, systemic problems (mostly solvency and brokerage house operations) continued to threaten a much larger financial market collapse. Within days of Black Monday, it became evident that margin accounts and solvency issues related to operating capital, large scale risks and continued fear that the markets may continue to collapse presented a very real problem for the US and for the world. Have we re-entered another Black Monday type of setup across the global markets?

As new economic data continues to suggest the global markets are economically contracting and stagnating, the US Federal Reserve has started buying assets again while the foreign central banks continue to push negative interest rates while attempting to spark any signs of real economic growth. The US stock market has continued to push higher – almost attempting new all-time highs again just recently. The US stock market is up nearly 68% over the past 3.5 years since Trump was elected and as of Friday, October 18, 2019, the US stock markets fell nearly 0.75% on economic fears.

In Part II of this article, we’ll explore the potential of another Black Monday type of setup that may be playing out before our very eyes right now in the US stock market.

As a technical analysis and trader since 1997, I have been through a few bull/bear market cycles. I believe I have a good pulse on the market and timing key turning points for both short term swing trading and long-term investment capital. The opportunities are massive/life changing if handled properly.

I urge you visit my ETF Wealth Building Newsletter and if you like what I offer, join me with the 1-year subscription to lock in the lowest rate possible and ride my coattails as I navigate these financial market and build wealth while others lose nearly everything they own during the next financial crisis.

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Chris Vermeulen
The Technical Traders

Our ADL System Predicts Crude Oil Prices Will Fall Below $40.00

There are times when our research team interprets our advanced predictive modeling systems so well that we call a move in the markets 3 to 10+ months in advance of the move actually happening. It has happened for our team of research so often lately that we are somewhat used to the accolades we receive from our followers and members. Our October 2018 Gold price predictions are still playing out accurately and continue to amaze people – even though we made these predictions over 12 months ago.

Today, we wanted to highlight our Adaptive Dynamic Learning (ADL) predictive modeling systems expectations for Crude Oil, but before we get into the details be sure to opt-in to our free market trend signals newsletter. The research post we made on July 10, 2019 (see below). At that time, we warned that Crude Oil was about to head much lower and that our ADL modeling system was suggesting that Oil prices would rotate between $47 and $64 before breaking much lower in November 2019. Ultimately, Oil prices will fall below $40 ppb following our timeline and could begin a broader downside move before the end of October 2019. Read our full prediction/research report from the link below.

Source: July 10, 2019: Predictive Modeling Suggest Oil Headed Much Lower

We believe the support level near $50.50 will act as a temporary support level over the next 3 to 10+ days before a moderate price breakdown below this level begins. Our expectations for November 2019 are that oil prices may fall to levels below $45 ppb on a deeper downward price move, yet will recover to levels near $47 near December 2019/January 2020.

We do believe the ultimate target for Crude Oil prices are to levels below $40 ppb and that price may attempt to make a move towards these level as early as January 2020. Our ADL predictive modeling system has shown us the path for oil prices and, so far, the real price has mirrored this expectation almost perfectly – even the high price in September aligned with our expected high price near $60.

Weakness should dominate in late October and early November – carrying all the way through most of November. Pay attention to the ADL chart above and our July 10th predictions. Oil will target levels below $40 by late December 2019 or early January 2020.

All it is going to take is for this $50.50 support level to be tested and breached for the next price move to begin. Be prepared for the volatility that may hit oil prices near this critical support level and be prepared for the next move to levels near $44~47.

As a technical analysis and trader since 1997, I have been through a few bull/bear market cycles. I believe I have a good pulse on the market and timing key turning points for both short-term swing trading and long term investment capital. The opportunities are massive/life-changing if handled properly.

Be sure to ride my coattails as I navigate these financial markets and build wealth while others lose nearly everything they own during the next financial crisis.

Join Now and Get a Free 1 oz Silver Round or Gold Bar and Special Offer – Click Here

I can tell you that huge moves are about to start unfolding not only in metals, or stocks but globally and some of these supercycles are going to last years. This quick and simple to understand guide on trading with technical analysis will allow you to follow the markets closely and trade with it. Never be caught on the wrong side of the market again and suffer big losses. PDF guide: Technical Trading Mastery

Chris Vermeulen
The Technical Traders

Is Silver About to Become the Super Hero of Precious Metals?

If you’ve been following our research, you already know how accurately we’ve been nailing the precious metals price moves. We’ve been calling Gold and Silver accurately since early 2018 and continue to focus a good portion of our efforts in studying these incredible setups. Let’s have a little fun and start with two charts from near July 20, 2019, to help our followers understand what we’ve been expecting, but first, be sure to opt-in to our free market research newsletter.

This first Monthly Silver chart highlights what we believed would be the approximate wave structure of the silver price advance going forward. We did not attempt to accurately time these peaks of valleys, we simply used our Fibonacci Price Amplitude Arcs to allow price to tell us where these peaks may form. From those levels, we used our best “guess” to identify the trough bottoms.

You can see a “Started Here” line near the bottom of this chart. This highlights where we created this chart and where the price was when we first posted it in our research (near $16.39). As of today, the price of Silver is near $18.75 and climbing. We’ve drawn in the missing data on this chart and highlighted the endpoint with a “NOW Here!” message. Once the price of silver breaks above that BLUE Fibonacci Price Amplitude Arc, it should rally up to $23 to $25 before finding new resistance.

SILVER WEEKLY CHART

This next Silver Weekly chart was shared with our members near July 25, 2019. Pay very close attention to the arrows we drew on the chart at that time. Guess what the price of Silver actually did after this chart was shared with our readers? Yup, Silver shot up to $19.75 in early September, rotated back to the $17.50 level near the middle of September, and is starting a new rally towards the $23 to $25+ level right now. Does that look familiar to you on this chart (below)?

If this seems amazing to you because we were able to see these moves so accurately into the future and had such a keen insight into the future metals price rotation – don’t be alarmed. Our proprietary research tools are second to none. Our team of researchers have more than 54 years of experience in the markets and have studied almost all types of price theory, technical analysis, and other types of market price, technical, and fundamental analysis techniques. We put our skills to the test every day in order to help our clients find and execute the best trades. If you want to see more of our trading indicators and tools click here.

WHAT NEXT?

What next? Well, the charts above actually show you what’s next. The new charts, below, highlight new charts and new triggers that we believe will drive the current rally in Silver even higher.

Take notice of the HEAVY MAGENTA Fibonacci Price Amplitude Arc. The reason we highlight this MAGENTA level and the GREEN level in heavier line drawn is because these levels tend to become the major price inflection points within the arcs. In other words, these levels are where the price will either stall/reverse or breakout of a trend and possibly explode into a bigger price trend. The current Magenta line has just been crossed and the price is already exploding to the upside. If this continues as we expect, this Weekly Custom Metals Index could rally another 25% higher – which would put Gold well above $1800 per ounce and Silver well above $24 per ounce.

SILVER DAILY CHART

This last Silver Daily chart is our Silver Cycle chart. It shows that we expect Silver to reach levels above $23 to $25 before early November 2019. That means Silver could rally 20~25% from current levels within the next 30+ days to reach our current upside targets. Are you ready?

If you’ve missed any of our past analysis, please take a minute to visit our site to learn how our team of skilled researchers can help you find and execute better trades. This move in the metals markets is going to be an incredible opportunity. We’ve been alerting our members of this opportunity for months. If you are not prepared for this move and/or want to learn how we can help you, please review our trade signal Wealth Building Newsletter today.

Chris Vermeulen
The Technical Traders

NOTICE : Our free research does not constitute a trade recommendation, or solicitation for our readers to take any action regarding this research. It is provided for educational purposes only. Our research team produces these research articles to share information with our followers/readers in an effort to try to keep you well informed. Visit our website (The Technical Traders) to learn how to take advantage of our members-only research and trading signals.

Can Crude Oil Stay Above $50 to Support Producers Expectations

Recent news suggests that oil producers are attempting to increase production levels after failing to attempt to push prices higher by cutting production levels. Globally, oil producers want to see oil prices rise above $65 ppb in an effort to support profit and production cost expectations. The real issue for the nation/states that rely on oil production/sales is that the global economy may not cooperate with their expectations over the next 24+ months.

On August 6th, 2019, we posted this article suggesting that Natural Gas and Crude Oil were setting up diverging trades.

August 6th, 2019: Natural Gas and Crude Oil – Diverging Setups for Technical Traders

At that time, we wrote that we expected Crude oil to break lower from the $62 ppb level and target $55, then $49 based on our original Crude Oil research from May 21, 2019.

Additionally, on July 29, 2019, we authored and posted this article suggesting that Crude Oil would begin a downside move from $55 to levels near $50 :

All of this research was related to our Adaptive Dynamic Learning (ADL) research post from July 10, 2019: Predictive Modeling Suggest Oil Headed Much Lower by Early 2020

This incredible predictive modeling research suggested that Oil would move dramatically lower towards the $50 level, then stall near $50 to $55+ through September and October. Ultimately breaking lower in late October/November to levels near or below $40.

Crude Oil Daily Chart Analysis

Our researchers believe Crude Oil could become very volatile as price nears the apex of the Pennant/Flag formation that is setting up. This Daily chart highlights the attempted “scouting party” price rotation above the price resistance channel. The news over the past holiday weekend suggests the global economy may not see any real bump in activity over the next 12+ months and we believe this aligns with our longer-term research that Oil should target the sub $40 price level before the end of 2019 and potentially fall to levels below $30 in early 2020.

Crude Oil Weekly Chart Analysis

We believe the key to all of this price rotation is the $50.50 level and what price does over the next 30 to 60+ days. There is a potential that price may attempt a brief upside move over this span of time, but the true intent of price is to move lower based on our ADL price modeling system. Therefore, we believe the downside potential is the most opportunistic for traders. The next price target based on our Fibonacci bearish price trigger level is the $45 price range.

Concluding Thoughts

This move could take place quickly, over the next 2 to 3 weeks on a breakdown move, or over many months. Watch the $50.50 level as that is the key. If the price falls to any level below $50.50, then we could be moving towards the $45 level or even the $40 on a big move related to global economic expectations. Otherwise, expect the price to move towards the $50.50 level over the next few weeks as this support level is key to all future moves.

As we wait for the next leg to start to move prices lower, pay attention to any upside price activity as that may present a very clear entry point for skilled technical traders.

We believe our super-cycle research and other proprietary modeling systems are suggesting that price weakness will dominate the markets for the next few months. Ride my coattails as I navigate these financial market and build wealth while others lose nearly everything they own during the next financial crisis and recession.

In short, you should be starting to get a feel of where commodities and asset class is headed for the next 8+ months. The next step is knowing when and what to buy and sell as these turning points take place, and this is the hard part. If you want someone to guide you through the next 12-24 months complete with detailed market analysis and trade alerts (entry, targets and exit price levels) join my ETF Trading Newsletter.

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Chris Vermeulen
The Technical Traders