Countdown to the Precious Metals Breakout Rally - Here is Our Targeted Entry Levels

If you have been following our research over the past few months, you already know that we’ve called just about every major move in Gold over the past 14+ months. Recently, we called for Gold to rally to $1300 area, establish a minor peak, stall and retrace back to setup a momentum base pattern. We predicted this move to take place back in January 2019 – nearly 30+ days before it happened.

Now, we are publishing this research post to alert you that we are about 15~30 days away from the momentum base setup in Gold which will likely mirror in Silver. Thus, we have about 20+ days to look for and target entry opportunities in both Gold and Silver before this momentum bottom/base sets up.

This Monthly Gold chart, below, shows you the historic peaks that make up a current resistance level near 1370. This level is critical in understanding how the momentum base and following breakout will occur. This resistance level must be broken before the upside rally can continue above $1400, then $1500. Ultimately, the momentum base we are expecting for form before April 21st is the “last base” to setup before a much bigger upside price move takes place. In other words, pay attention over the next 30 days before this move happens.

This next Monthly Silver chart is the real gem of the precious metals world. The upside potential for Silver is actually much bigger than Gold currently. Any breakout move will likely see Silver push well above $30 per ounce and we just need to watch the $18.90 level for signs the breakout is beginning. Silver will follow a similar basing patter as Gold. We expect only about 30 days of buying opportunity left before this basing pattern is completed. Again, watch the April 21st date as the key date for the breakout move to begin.

Palladium has reached our initial Fibonacci upside price targets. We expect price to consolidated and potentially rotate near the $1500 price level. Ideally, price could fall below the $1300 price level and target the $1100 area before finding any real support. As long as industrial demand continues for Palladium, we expect to see continued upside price activity over the long run. Right now, we are expecting a price contraction as global industrial demand may falter a bit.

Please consider the research we are presenting to you today. Our predictive modeling systems have been calling the metals markets quite accurately over the past 14+ months. If our prediction of a momentum base on or near April 21st is correct, then we should begin to see an incredible upside price swing in Gold and Silver shortly after this date. You won’t want to miss this one – trust us. There will be time to catch this move when it starts – it could be an extended upside move.

Pay attention and put April 21st on your calendar now.

If you like our research and our level of insight into the markets, then take a minute to visit our site to learn how we help our clients find and execute for success. We’ve been calling these market moves almost perfectly over the past 18+ months. Learn how our research team can help you stay ahead of these swings in price and find new opportunities for skilled traders. Take a minute to see how we can help you find and execute better trades by visiting The Technical Traders today.

Chris Vermeulen
Technical Traders Ltd.

Saudi Arabia's "Mini Oil Embargo" May Backfire

On October 20, 1973, Saudi King Faisal announced KSA was joining in an oil embargo against the United States and Europe in favor of the Arab position in the Yom Kippur War. In an interview with international media, King Faisal said:

“America's complete Israeli support against the Arabs makes it extremely difficult for us to continue to supply the United States with oil, or even remain friends with the United States."

The price of oil quadrupled in short order, a few months. The oil shortage in America was managed by gasoline rationing by President Nixon. Drivers could buy gasoline on “odd” or “even” days, depending on the last digit of their license plate. There was also a maximum dollar amount set on purchases of $10. Motorists often had to wait in line for an hour to buy gas.

The economic impact on the U.S. and the world economy was devastating. It caused a massive recession in 1974-75, even though the embargo was lifted in March 1974. The Saudis and other OPEC producers learned how “inelastic” (i.e., non-responsive to price) gasoline demand was and their ability to stuff their coffers even with small cuts to production.

However, this episode led to legislation to build the Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR) as a means to offset future supply disruptions and even deter them. At present, the SPR contains roughly 650 million barrels of crude oil located in underground salt domes across the Gulf Coast.

The drawdown capacity is rated at 4.4 million barrels per day. And supplies can begin flowing into the pipeline system with 13 days of a presidential order to commence.

Saudi’s Mini Oil Embargo 

Saudi Arabia appears to be attempting to starve the US of oil supplies in a “mini-embargo.” The idea would be to signal to the world that oil supplies are lower than otherwise would be reported internationally.

In the week ending February 22nd, imports from Saudi Arabia totaled 346,000 b/d, the lowest one-week level in the data series going back to 2010. The four-week trend of 491,000 b/d was also the lowest, and 23 percent lower than a year ago. This level does not even meet the requirements of Saudi Aramco’s Motiva refinery at Port Arthur, Texas, which has a capacity of 636,500 b/d.

Despite the lack of Saudi barrels, U.S. crude stocks have nevertheless built by 4.4 million barrels since the end of December. That is because crude production is 1.9 million barrels per day higher in the year-to-date v. last year. “Other supplies,” primarily natural gas liquids are 536,000 b/d higher in that same comparison. Meanwhile, net crude imports, including exports, were 1.877 million barrels per day lower in the year-to-date v. last year. Crude inputs to refineries were 89,000 b/d higher in that same comparison.

Trump Tweet

President Trump warned OPEC on February 25th: “Oil prices getting too high. OPEC, please relax and take it easy. World cannot take a price hike - fragile!”

The Saudi mini-embargo to the U.S. may backfire by angering him. It would be a simple matter to replace Saudi imports altogether with a drawdown from the SPR until U.S. production rises another 500,000 b/d. Furthermore, the U.S. could replace Saudi barrels with imports from other sources, Iraq for example.

Conclusions

The Saudi ploy to drain U.S. crude inventories in support of oil prices is doomed to failure. U.S. domestic supply has risen greatly, and the net import need has dropped dramatically in the past year. The demand for OPEC’s oil is projected to drop by 1.0 million barrels per day in 2019. In 2020, the EIA projects that the U.S. will be a net oil exporter.

Furthermore, it could backfire if Trump calls for the NOPEC legislation – No Oil Producing and Exporting Cartels Act - to be passed. The House Judiciary Committee approved the bill. America's vulnerability to Saudi embargoes has long passed.

Check back to see my next post!

Robert Boslego
INO Contributor - Energies

Gold and Silver Prepare for a Momentum Rally - Here’s our Call on the Next Price Rotation

Today we warn of a potential downside price rotation in precious metals that may last 3 - 5+ weeks as metals set up for a massive breakout rally which we believe will start in late April or early May. Our custom indicators are suggesting that precious metals, and the general U.S. stock markets, may be setting up for a bit of a reprieve rotation after a very impressive recovery. Be patient as we believe this pullback in prices will provide an excellent buying opportunity for the eventual momentum rally setting up in about 30+ days.​

Let’s start by looking at our Custom Market Volatility indicators. The Weekly chart below highlights the recent recovery in the U.S. stock market since the December 24th, 2018 lows and also shows that the current recovery level is sitting right at a 61.8% Fibonacci level. It is our belief that a period of general price weakness will begin to unfold over the next 10 - 15+ days in the U.S. stock market. This rotation is very healthy for the next leg higher – the momentum rally we have been suggesting will take place in the near future.

We believe the downside rotation in the U.S. stock market will be the result of renewed calm from expectations that the global economy may begin a recovery process as the US/China trade issues and other geopolitical issues seem to become more resolved. We believe the recent upside move in the US stock markets were a flight to safety for many foreign investors fearing that US/China trade issues would result in very harsh outcomes near March 1st. If the trade issues appear to be close to a resolution, this flight to safety trade may wane a bit over the next 10 - 20+ days as emerging markets may see a dramatic upside bounce in valuations.

How does this relate to Gold and Silver? It is very likely that the upside pricing pressure in precious metals will stall a bit as the global equities markets take center stage. If our analysis is correct, the developed markets will contract while the emerging markets take focus. This falls right into line with our analysis that the US stock markets will pause/rotate over the next 10~20+ days in preparation for a larger upside price swing.

Our custom Gold/Silver Index is showing that precious metals are trading in a sideways Pennant/Flag formation near levels that have historically been resistance. We still believe the upside in the precious metals market over the long term is substantial, yet we believe the news of a US/China trade resolution and the resulting rally in the emerging markets will remove much of the upside pricing pressure in the precious metals markets for about 15+ days before momentum support is found.

Our researchers believe the timing of this move is right for a short term swing trade. Be prepared for rotation in nearly all the global markets and be prepared for emerging markets to see an upside price rally as a result of positive news from the U.S. and China over the next 2+ weeks.

Are you ready for these moves? Do you value the research we share with you and the insight we provide? Please take a minute to visit The Technical Traders to learn how we can help you find and execute better trades. Support our work – become a member. We dedicate our efforts to providing you with more detailed and intuitive market research available anywhere else. Isn’t it time you invested in a team that can really help you make 2019 a great success?

Chris Vermeulen
The Technical Traders

Has Gold Reached Upside Resistance Near $1340 - 1360?

Our research has indicated that precious metals should be setting up for a period of rotation and sideways trading over the next 20-30 days. We issued a research post on January 28, 2019 warning that precious metals would be consolidated over a 30-45 day period before setting up for a massive upside price move, here. This research was based on our Adaptive Dynamic Learning price modeling system and from our Adaptive Learning Cycles system. We believe this research is still very valid and want to alert metals traders that resistance in GOLD can be easily identified near $1340-1360.

The Weekly gold chart, below, highlights the resistance channel that originates in 2016 and continues with multiple peaks in 2017, 2018 and now. We believe this resistance will act as a price ceiling over the next few weeks before metals prices attempt an upside breakout as we suggested in our January 28 research post.

Pay attention to the Fibonacci downside projected price targets near $1270-1295. These levels are very likely to be retested if the current resistance level holds. In other words, gold prices rotate back to below $1300 on moderate price rotation over the next 30 days before attempting to break resistance and move higher. Be prepared for a potential “washout high” price pattern setting up early this week.

We are still actively seeking a deeper price rotation/retracement in Gold/Silver before we initiate any new trades. We believe the upside pricing pressure has reached a level that will prompt a move back to below $1300 on healthy price rotation. If we are wrong, we will know soon enough. If we are right, then the momentum rally setup that will occur near or below $1300 will be a great trading opportunity for all investors. Follow our research to stay informed of this future price movement.

We believe 2019 and 2020 will be incredible years for skilled traders and we are executing at the highest level we can to assist our members. In fact, we are about to launch our newest technology solution to better assist our members in creating future success.

Visit The Technical Traders to learn more.

Chris Vermeulen
Technical Traders Ltd.

Here We Go - Get Ready for the Breakout Pattern Setup

We are writing this post today with a few forward-looking expectations while attempting to warn traders that some extended rotation is likely to enter the markets over the next 30+ days. If you’ve been following our research, you’ll know that we’ve been calling these move months in advance of other researchers and analysts. Our September 17, 2018 research post highlighting our Adaptive Dynamic Learning predictive modeling system suggested the U.S. stock markets were poised for a massive price rotation followed by a very unique price setup that we are experiencing now.

Currently, the YM (Dow Futures Contracts) are leading the pack on a dramatic upside breakout move. This is likely a result of the US government spending bill that is recently working its way towards approval and the fact that this new spending bill clears the way for at least 8+ months of uninterrupted market optimism (or at least we hope). This 300+ point upside move clearly breaks price highs and puts the U.S. stock market, at least the Dow/Blue-Chips, back into “new high trending mode”. As many of you are likely aware, our Fibonacci price study teaches us that price must ALWAYS seek to establish new price highs or new price lows AT ALL TIMES. Thus, these new price highs are a very strong indication that the upside trend is dominant and should continue for a while.

Additionally, we want to highlight what we believe will be a similar price pattern to 2015/2016 in the U.S. markets – a multiple Price Wedge formation that could ultimately set up another price leg (which we believe will be higher, to the upside, at this time).

In the next article “PART II” pay close attention to the charts and images as we are attempting to clearly illustrate how and why price rotation is about to hit the US markets and why you need to be prepared for this move.

We continue to read that large amounts of capital are sitting on the sidelines or have been pulled from the markets over the past 12+ months. We understand this as the rotation in early 2018 frightened many investors and the continued sideways price action, global market concerns and geopolitical issues have caused international investors to want to protect their investments from risk – thus they move their capital into cash. We get it. But we also believe the next breakout in the U.S. markets will be a great opportunity for skilled traders to identify and prepare for an incredible profit potential no matter which way the market breaks up or down because technical analysis allows us to closely follow the direction of the market.

The amount of capital that is sitting on OUTSIDE the markets, currently, represents a massive amount of resources that could re-enter the markets when traders/investors decide the timing is right. We’ve termed this a “Capital Shift”.

In simple terms, it reflects capital/cash moving from one market to another or from actively invested to cash, then back to actively invested. Our belief is that capital operates in a manner to always protect itself from risk while attempting to identify suitable returns. The best environment for capital is always a relatively safe investment with protective values and a high probability of decent returns. Therefore, this massive amount of capital not being deployed in the global markets will, at some time, re-enter the markets and will likely increase pricing valuations.

How and when will this capital re-enter the markets? What will price activity look like and how will we know when the timing is right for our own strategic deployment of our trading capital? Continue reading to learn why we believe we are only 30~45 days away from an incredible trading setup. You won’t want to miss this one.

Please take a minute to visit The Technical Traders to learn how we can help you find and execute better trade in 2019 and stay ahead of these market moves. We are confident that you will find our Daily Video, Detailed Market Research, Proprietary Research Tools and Detailed Trading Signals will help you make 2019 an incredibly successful year.

Chris Vermeulen
Technical Traders Ltd.

Gold Prices Continue to Breakdown

On January 28, 2019, our research team issued a research post indicating we believed that Precious Metals would rotate lower over the next 45+ days in preparation for a momentum base/breakout that would initiate sometime near the end of April or early May. Recent price weakness in Gold has begun to confirm our analysis and we believe this price weakness will continue for the next 2~4 weeks while traders identify a price bottom and hammer out a momentum base/support level.

Gold is currently down another -1% this week and testing the $1307 level after rotating back to near $1320. Our analysis continues to suggest price weakness in the Precious Metals markets going forward for at least 2~3 more weeks. We are expecting the price of Gold to fall below $1290 and ultimately, potentially, test the $1260 level where we believe true support will be found.

If you’ve been following our analysis, you were alerted the day of when we signaled the top as it formed near $1330 and to close out our GDXJ position for a quick 10.5% profit as we had been preparing for this top and rotation for a couple weeks.

This 240 minute Gold chart highlights our Adaptive Fibonacci price modeling system and suggests the $1295~1302 could become immediate support for this current downside price move.

Please take a minute to review some of our most recent research by visiting The Technical Traders Free Research and to learn why our team of researchers, software developers, and traders provide insight and knowledge that you just can’t get anywhere else on the planet.

The link to our research post, above, highlights our ADL predictive modeling system that is capable of identifying price moves many months in advance. Our most recent U.S. stock market forecast highlights the power and capabilities of our proprietary price modeling tools. As a member of our newsletter, you gain insights, training, daily market videos and many more resources that will help you identify and execute for greater success in 2019.

Chris Vermeulen
Technical Traders Ltd.

Two Winning Trade Setups - GDXJ and ROKU

We are not always correct in our calls about the market. Professional researchers and analysts must understand that attempting to accurately predict the future outcome of any commodity, stock, index or ETF is impossible to be 100% accurate. Yet, we are pleased that our proprietary price modeling and analysis tools continue to provide us with very clear triggers and alert us to price moves before they happen.

Today, we are sharing two recent trades we executed with our members that resulted in some decent profits. The first example is our GDXJ trade. We had been in a Long position since before the beginning of 2019 expecting Gold and Miners to rally. Our price modeling systems suggested that after price reached $1300, we may experience a brief price pause over the next 45 days or so. Thus, we pulled the profits in this trade recently to lock in 10.5% profit and to allow us to re-enter when our modeling systems suggest the price pullback has ended.

The second example is our ROKU trade. We recently pulled 8.1% profit on a partial profit target execution for our members after a nice upside momentum move. This type of trade falls into our MRM (Momentum Reversal Method) trade trigger category and is supported by a momentum resurgence price move that can typically prompt prices to move +8~30% over fairly quick periods of time (under 20 days).

For almost all traders, we’ve found that understanding general market conditions, finding suitable trading triggers/setups and staying aware of the market dynamics at play in the global markets is very hard to accomplish. This is why we offer our members a very quick and easy way for them to accomplish all of these essential components for success with their membership to Technical Traders Ltd. Wealth Trading Newsletter.

•  Our Daily Market Video, which is typically under 10 minutes in length, covers all of the major markets, most commodities, the US Dollar, Bitcoin and many other elements of the markets.

• Combine this video content with our detailed market research posts, which you can read by visiting The Technical Traders Free Research, allows our members to not only learn from our video content but also to begin to understand and formulate their own conclusions based on our content.

• Lastly, we add our trading trigger/alerts feature to alert our members to superior trading setups that we find while running our proprietary trading models. We don’t post 40 trades a day hoping our members will find one or two they can make profits from. We are highly selective in our posts and attempt to only post the best opportunities for success.

Over the past couple of months, we have been developing a new members area application. It will allow you to have live access to our morning spike and gap trades and traders chatroom, our SP500 index momentum, and swing trades, plus our special MRM (Momentum Reversal Method) stock picks on small/mid-cap stocks which also all trade options so if you want to you can trade options on your own around our stock trades.

Last week we made huge progress and this week’s goals are to implement the instant and automated SMS and email alerts sent to you every time there is a new trade, stop, target hit, or we close a position. This will give you more time to see and execute the trades as needed. Keep in mind most swing trades can be entered 1-3 days after the trade alert at the same price or better price simply because we are not that perfect at timing the markets every move.

If you take a minute to review these example REAL TRADES (above) and review the information at The Technical Traders, we believe you will understand the value and resources we offer our members. Isn’t it time you found the right team of professionals to help you make 2019 an incredibly successful year?

Chris Vermeulen

Will Crude Oil Find Support Above $50 Dollars?

Recent global news regarding Venezuela, China, and global oil supply/production have resulted in the price of crude oil pausing over the past few weeks near $53 to $55 ppb. We believe the continued supply glut and uncertainty will result in oil prices falling, briefly, back below $50 ppb before any new price rally begins. Our researchers at The Technical Traders believe historical resistance near $54 - $55 is strong enough to drive prices lower before new momentum picks up for a renewed price rally.

Eventually, yes, oil will rally above $55 and attempt to target the $65+ price level. Yet we don’t believe that move is going to happen right now. We believe the global uncertainty, the slowing Chinese economy and the global supply glut will result in a fundamental price decrease before any momentum for an upside price move begins. Our analysis suggests a price move back below $50 ppb, likely targeting the $46 - $47 level, where basing may occur.

Uncertainty in Venezuela and other oil producing nations may result in a disruption in supply at some point in the future. We must be cautious of unknown situations that could result in dramatic price shifts. Yet, overall, with supply levels still high and slowing global economic expectations, it makes sense that oil would attempt to base and find support near recent lows – between $46 - $48.

Visit The Technical Traders here to learn how we can help you find and execute better trades in 2019. Learn how our proprietary predictive modeling systems have called these moves in the past and how our research team can assist you in finding great opportunities in the future.

Chris Vermeulen

Why You Should Be Paying Attention to the Russell and Financial Sectors

For those that still believe the U.S. markets are weak and poised for a total collapse, we want to bring something to your attention. Throughout weeks of uncertainty about China trade deals, the US government shutdown, continued Brexit issues and who knows what else… oh yeah US Q4 Earnings data, guess what has been taking place in some US sectors?

That’s right, a rather solid price recovery.

Two of our favorite sectors to watch for signs of strength and weakness have been rocketing higher over the past few weeks after setting up a very deep price low near Christmas 2018. The Russell 2000 ETF (IWM) and the Financial Sector ETF (XLF). While the ES, NQ, and others are still waffling around trying to find the momentum to break out to the upside, pay attention to the other sectors that could be leading the way.

Weekly IWM (Russell 2000) Chart

This first Weekly IWM (Russell 2000) chart clearly shows the support zone that was set up in early 2018 after the February 2018 price collapse. Yes, the recent October 2018 price collapse drove price below that support level, but it appears this is a “wash out” low price reversal where traders panicked on the news and other events. The fact that this recovery has taken place may cause some to consider this a “dead cat bounce”, but we’re not seeing that in our research. This could/should be the start of something that pushes prices sideways/higher for a few months, at which time we will need to see to these sectors and the rest of the markets are performing to determine if the overall market is still I a bull market or about to drop into its first bear market leg down.

Weekly XLF (Financial Sector) Chart

This next chart is a Weekly XLF (Financial Sector) ETF showing our Fibonacci price modeling system and a similar Support Zone. One thing that is rather interesting about these charts is that they are both moving substantially higher this week while recently breaking above our Fibonacci bullish trigger level (shown near the right side of the chart as a GREEN LINE). The XLF chart also shows that the current price is well above the BLUE and CYAN Fibonacci projected target levels. This indicates that price may be attempting to move back into the earlier Fibonacci price range (retracement range) to establish more rotation. This new price rotation will set up new Fibonacci modeling system trigger points and tell us where the next move is likely to target.

Yes, we do expect some downside rotation near current levels. We don’t expect this rotation to be very deep or concerning. Price must move in waves, up and down, to support future momentum higher or lower. Our Fibonacci modeling system is suggesting any current downside rotation will likely result in a new momentum move to the upside. Still, these sectors are on fire right now and we urge traders to be cautious of any longs because we are expecting some downside price rotation over the next week or two before the next rally.

Pay attention to these markets moves. 2019 is poised to be a very exciting and profitable year for skilled traders and wise investors. Visit The Technical Traders to get our daily and weekly analysis forecast complete with long term investing swing trading, and index day trade signals.

53 years experience in researching and trading makes analyzing the complex and ever changing financial markets a natural process. We have a simple and highly effective way to provide our customers with the most convenient, accurate, and timely market forecasts available today.

Our index, stock and ETF trading alerts are readily available through our exclusive membership service via email and SMS text. Our newsletter, Technical Trading Mastery book, and 3 Hour Trading Video Course are designed for both traders and investors. Also, some of our strategies have been fully automated for the ultimate trading experience.

Chris Vermeulen

Crude Oil Will Find Strong Resistance Between $52 - $55

Our Adaptive Fibonacci modeling system is suggesting Crude Oil may have already reached very strong resistance levels just above $50 ppb. It is our opinion that a failed rally above $55 ppb will result in another downward price move where prices could retest the $42 low – or lower.

You can see from this Daily Crude oil chart that price has formed a consolidated price channel between $50 and $53 ppb. This price channel aligns with a November 2018 price consolidation zone. It is our belief that any advance above $55-56 ppb, will result in a new upward price move to $64-65 ppb.

This Weekly crude oil chart highlights the Fibonacci projected price zones that represent the incredibly strong resistance level currently setup in Crude. The Weekly chart shows a zone between $50-56 as a critical resistance zone. One key element of Fibonacci price theory is that price must always attempt to seek out new highs or new lows as it rotates. Thus, if this current upside move fails to establish new highs above this resistance zone, then it must move lower to attempt to establish new lows. This means the $40 price target is a very viable immediate objective.

Global demand for oil, as well as global economic data, could be key to understand the future demand and price for oil. At this point, a new upper fractal top formation will generate new Fibonacci price targets to the downside. If our opinion proves to be correct, we will learn of these new price targets within a few weeks.

Want to learn how we called the move in Oil from $76 to $43?

Visit The Technical Traders Free Research Right Here to read all of our recent research posts.

We help traders find and execute better trade by using our proprietary tools to keep them informed and to alert them to new trade opportunities. Visit The Technical Traders to learn how we can help you make 2019 a fantastic year.

Chris Vermeulen

How We Will Play this Potentially Massive Short Squeeze in Natural Gas

Our proprietary Fibonacci predictive modeling system is suggesting Natural Gas is about to break down below the $4.30 level and move aggressively toward the $3.05 - 3.25 level. This could be an incredible move for energy traders and a complete bust for existing longs.

This Weekly Natural Gas chart is showing our Fibonacci Predictive modeling system and highlighting the lower support price targets just above $3.00. We believe price weakness will break the $4.30 level very quickly and drive prices well below the $3.40 level – very likely towards support near $3.25 over the next few weeks.

Our Advanced Adaptive Dynamic Learning predictive price modeling system is showing similar results. It suggests a major price anomaly is setting up in Natural Gas that will prompt a massive downside price move over the next 2 - 3 weeks before an equally incredible price recovery takes place. The total of this predicted price swing is nearly $2.00 ($1.00 down and then $0.85 back to the upside). If this move takes place as our modeling systems are suggesting, this will drive a massive “washout move” pushing the long traders out of their positions on the way down and then pushing a massive short squeeze on the way back up to near $4.00.

This is the type of price swing that makes for incredible success stories if traders can play this move properly. Pay attention to the fact that the lower predicted levels of our ADL system (shown near $3.20) may not be reached in this downward price swing. Our predictive modeling system is suggesting these are the highest probability price outcome based on its internal price and technical analysis. Still, when one takes a good hard look at this chart, it is easy to see the “price anomaly” setup where the current price of Natural Gas is nearly $0.80 above the currently predicted price levels (shown as YELLOW DASHES) and how the ADL Predictive modeling system is suggesting a big downward move is about to unfold.

Want to keep receiving incredible trade setups like this one and learn how our research team and specialized price modeling systems can help you find and execute better trades? Then please visit Technical Traders Ltd. to learn more about our services and tools. We have been helping traders find and execute better educated trading decisions with our specialized tools and research for years. Visit The Technical Traders Free Research to read all of our most recent public research posts and to see how we’ve been calling these market moves over the past few months.

Chris Vermeulen

How To Consistently Make Money Day/Swing Trading

This has been the best week in a long time for intraday trades. The last 4 days the SP500 gave us 8 trades and all 8 turned into winners. Each days turning generating between $300 a $1250 per ES mini contract, although these can be traded using the SPY or 3X index ETFs.

Subscribers who day trade are taking this pre-market analysis and setups and making a weeks wage within 1 – 3 hours in the morning before lunch.

What makes these trade triggers is that they are the BROAD market SP500 so if you day trade other stocks knowing the short term market direction each morning add so much power to your other day trades for timing entries and exits.

SPY ETF 10 MINUTE CHART

This chart focuses on today’s spike higher and gap lower. both these played out once again and are based strictly on technical analysis and statistical analysis.

If you want to be notified of these types of trades each week 

subscribe to our Wealth Building Trading Newsletter Today!

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Simple Day Trades - Gap Windows and Price Spikes

IMPORTANT NOTE: Pre-market trades like these are posted in our morning update and video only. We don’t want to blanket all our longer term traders with day trades. So if you are an active trader be sure you read our morning update and watch the video with your morning coffee.

The morning gap has filled and our spike targets are being reached as well. Keep in mind, these are short term trade setup which will be implemented into our member’s area in the near future that auto update and post for those of you who want to take advantage of early day trades and be done by 11 am most trading sessions. Once we have things implemented there will be a detailed PDF on how trading these along with a video.

For you longer term traders we are also working on having our swing trade charts and signal post and update automatically in the member’s area as well. Each trading strategy, chart, and signals will run in a separate member’s area page and you will be able to follow and trade the strategies that fit your personality and trading style.

This is going to take us 30 - 60+ days to get things fully set up and running and it’s going to add a lot of value and opportunities for you – Subscribe Now!

Chris Vermeulen
Chief Investment Strategist

How to Spot a Tradable Market Top

If you are a long term investor, swing trader, or day trader, then you could find one or all of the charts below interesting. What I am going to briefly cover and show you could make you think twice about how you are investing and trading your money. I will be the first to admit you should not, and cannot, always pick market tops or bottoms, but there are certain times when it’s worth betting on one.

Below I have shared three charts, each with a different time frame using daily, 30 minutes, and a 10-minute chart. Each chart also has a different technical analysis technique and strategy applied. Each shorter time frame chart as we work down the page zooms in closer to more imminent price action that should take place over the next few days.

DAILY CHART SIGNALS MARKET TOP – INVESTING/SWING TRADING

The daily chart below shows a clear overall trend which is to the downside. Trends are more likely to continue than they are to reverse, hence the saying “The Trend Is Your Friend.”

A key piece of data on this chart is the blue investing cycle line at the bottom. If this is trending down or below the 50 level, then money should be focused on profiting from falling prices via inverse ETF’s, short selling, or put options.

Equally important are the yellow and baby blue cycle lines at the bottom. When these enter the upper reversal zone, we should expect sellers to step into the market and for the price to fall.

30 MINUTE CHART SIGNALS MARKET TOP – SWING/MOMENTUM TRADING

I apologize for the noisy chart below, a lot is going on there, but if you focus on the yellow text and drawings, it will help keep things simple. This chart shows several reasons why we expect the price to fall. Based on technical and statistical analysis this chart points weakness over the next 1 - 3 trading days.

10-MINUTE CHART SIGNALS MARKET TOP – MOMENTUM/DAY TRADING

Monday night (Jan 7th) after the closing bell the SPY ETF chart generated a sizable price spike to the downside. Those of you who follow our spikes and or at least know about these setups then you know we expect the price to reach at least one if not all spike targets which are 30%, 50%, and 100% of the spike within 36 hours.

So far in 2019 we have has six price spikes five winners, one loser which is an 83% win rate thus far. Today’s spike is abnormally large not sure what that means regarding this one being a success but it is another spike signal, and the odds favor a move down once you see the other analysis supporting this setup.

CONCLUSION

If you are boring long term investor and have been stuck having to ride the stock market roller coaster with your life savings my trading newsletter can help you with your long term portfolio to not only avoid losses but profit from the collapse with one simple inverse exchange traded fund which trades like a stock and you buy and sell it at anytime! Knowing when you put your nest egg to work, and when to back away and protect it is crucial if you want to become wealthy or become wealthy.

On the flip side, if you are an active trader looking for monthly trades then be sure to join the Wealth Building Newsletter today and receive my daily pre-market video analysis, so you understand what took place yesterday, during overnight trading, and what to expect when the market opens.

Subscribe today and become part of our trading community and prosper from the coming market correction and real estate downturn.

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Gold Hits Our $1,300 Price Target - What’s Next?

Early trading on January 4, 2019 saw Gold trade just above $1300 per ounce. Confirming our price target from our research and posts on November 24, 2018. The importance of this move cannot be underestimated. Traders and investors need to understand the recent rally in the metals markets are attempting to alert us that FEAR is starting to re-enter the market and that 2019 could start the year off with some extended volatility.

Our research has shown that Gold will likely rotate between $1270 - $1315 over the next 30 - 60 days before attempting to begin another rally. Our next upside price target is near $1500. We will continue to post articles to help everyone understand when and how this move will happen. We expect Gold to rotate near the $1300 level for at least another 30 days before attempting another price rally.

Pay attention to the Support Zone on this Daily Gold chart and understand that price rotation is very healthy for the metals markets at this point. A reprieve in this recent Gold rally would allow the start of 2019 to prompt a moderate rally in the U.S. stock market as well as allow a continued capital shift to take place. As capital re-enters the global equities markets, investors will be seeking the best investment opportunities and safest environments for their capital. Our belief is that the U.S. stock market will become the top tier solution for many of these investments.

This Weekly Gold chart shows our Adaptive Fibonacci price modeling system and why price rotation is important at this time. The highlighted GREEN Fibonacci price target levels on the right side of this chart are projecting upside price objectives for the move that started near mid-November. We can see that $1325 (or so) is the highest target level and that $1273 to $1288 are the lower levels. This suggests that we have already reached the upper resistance range and a mild price rotation would allow for the price to establish a new fractal low rotation that would establish NEW upside Fibonacci price targets. In other words, we much have some price rotation to support the next leg higher in the Metals markets

If you’ve been following our research and comments on the past 90+ days. You’ll already know that we’ve nailed many of these market moves. The SPY, Natural Gas, Oil, Gold, Small Caps and so many more. We’ve been calling for a massive price bottom in the U.S. stock market since well before the November 6th U.S. Elections. Our proprietary predictive modeling systems called the huge moves in Oil, Natural Gas, Gold/Silver, and many others. If you were not profiting from these moves, then you need to visit The Technical Traders to learn how we can help you in 2019. Our memberships are very inexpensive and the support we provide you is incredible for skilled traders.

 Want a team to help you create success in 2019, then visit The Technical Traders and get started creating success.

Chris Vermeulen

Natural Gas Trades Through Our $3.20 Target – What Next?

Our trading partner Chris Vermeulen and his research team at the Technical Traders have been nailing the market moves with their proprietary price modeling tools. Our December 12, 2018 call that Natural Gas would collapse nearly 30% after reaching a price peak was a very bold call. Who would have thought that predictive price modeling could be so accurate and could identify a move like this – or call for what is expected to happen next?

Back when Natural Gas breached the $4.60 - 4.80 range, our ADL predictive modeling system was suggesting a massive price anomaly was setting up. These types of triggers are becoming more common as volatility in the general markets increases. The ADL system suggested that a massive -30% downside price move would happen before the end of February 2019.

Now, as that trade has completed and our targets have been reached, we are alerting our followers that natural gas should begin to consolidate between $2.80 and $3.30 before attempting to rocket back above $4.00 near April or May 2019. Read our original analysis of Natural Gas to learn why these moves provide an incredible opportunity for traders and visit The Technical Traders Free Research page to read up on our early 2019 market predictions.

Join our other members in making 2019 an incredibly successful year. We believe 2019 will provide exceptional opportunities for skilled traders and we’ll be happy to share our proprietary research and analysis with you as a member of Technical Traders Ltd. You really don’t want to miss these moves and this incredible opportunity. Think about it, one trade like this with a -30% selloff followed by a 24% price rally could make your entire year. Imagine being able to find trades like this every week or month for success. Visit The Technical Traders and get ready to make 2019 a fantastic year of success no matter if we have a bull market or bear market.

Chris Vermeulen

What to Expect Within the First 3 to 5 Months of 2019

As we put an end to 2018 we watched the incredible price rotation in the U.S. stock market. Now it is time for traders to take stock of the incredible opportunities that are set up for early 2019 and beyond. Our research team, at The Technical Traders, has put together some truly incredible longer term Adaptive Dynamic Learning (ADL) predictive price modeling system charts that will help you understand and identify incredible opportunities that should play out in early 2019. We know you will not find this type of analysis anywhere else on the planet and we know just how valuable these charts are too skilled traders. So, get ready for some incredible moves – as impossible as they may seem.

Let’s get started with crude oil. This Monthly chart of Crude showing our ADL price modeling system is clearly indicating the first few months of 2019 will include increased price volatility. One thing to pay attention to as we review these charts are the BLUE TRIANGLES, which is where we asked the ADL predictive modeling system for a detailed analysis, and the CYAN, YELLOW, and WHITE DASHED LINES, which is where the ADL system is showing us the highest probability price outcome into the future. On this chart, we can see that the predicted price levels of the past have been relatively close to where the price has closed on each monthly price bar.

Going into the future, we can see 3 to 4 months of price volatility between $50 and $65 (roughly) with rotating higher/lower price objectives. We interpret this as greatly increased price volatility with the potential of supply events disrupting global expectations in oil. These could be intermediate term price rotations that keep the price within our $50-65 price range, or they could be large range, very dramatic price rotations as a result of massive global supply events.

What we can suggest to you, today, is that early 2019 should provide some very interesting short to intermediate term price triggers in oil before price settles back below $50 near June or July 2019.

Next, the Financials/Banks appear to be setting up a very deep “price anomaly” pattern that could become one of the biggest price reversals of early 2019. It is not very often that a 90%+ price move sets up in the markets and this could be just such an event. The ADL predictive price modeling system identifies the highest probability price outcomes by mapping and tracking price and technical setups. You can see from this chart we are asking the ADL modeling system to show us what to expect from the February 2018 price bar.

This price bar is critical because it was a wide range price rotation setup that should be very unique in the ADL DNA mapping. This bar only had 5 similar DNA markers and projected some of the predicted price level, the ones drawn in WHITE, as 50/50 outcomes. The last few outcomes, drawn in YELLOW, reported as 100% probabilities for these predicted target price levels. Therefore, we consider this a very high probability outcome of a very deep “price anomaly” setup that should result in some incredible upside opportunities for skilled traders.

Additionally, if this analysis is correct, the U.S. stock market may, very quickly, rally to attempt to establish new all time highs again in early 2019. This move could happen well before May or June 2019. Be prepared for this move because, currently, there are a bunch of shorts that are predicting a 1929 style market crash. Those shorts are going to get crushed in a massive short squeeze if our ADL predictive modeling results are accurate.

Next, we’ll review the SPY Monthly chart. And, as you can likely see, this chart is similar to the FAS chart above with a very deep price anomaly setup. In fact, you are going to see a few of these types of price anomaly trigger setups in this research post because the very deep downside price move, recently, has prompted these types of price triggers. One thing to consider about price rotation and the recent downside price move is that these types of price swings are very healthy for the overall markets. They act as a method of re-confirming value, support and future expectations by devaluing/deleveraging over extended price levels and shaking up the markets. We think of these types of moves as a “healthy price rotation” that allows the markets to re-establish value and future expectations vs. a type of crisis event.

In addition to this being a very healthy price rotation, we also believe, fundamentally, very little has changed in the past 4+ months in regards to global market events. Europe and China/Asia are still working through their own issues. Credit cycles and global market valuations have been decreasing since early 2018. Overall, the global markets have decreased in value by over 27% since January 2018.

What many traders have failed to understand is that the U.S. markets broke lower on a reaction to the U.S. Fed’s recent rate raises while the rest of the global markets had already experienced a 24% valuation decline. In other words, the U.S. markets broke lower in “capitulation” of expectations that the U.S. Fed may have pushed rates beyond expected boundaries. Now that the U.S. markets have revalued near these recent lows and 2019 is about to start, new expectations are settling into traders minds regarding the current market values and future expectations.

Back to our ADL chart of the SPY, you can see the predicted levels of the ADL system matching with price bars fairly accurately. The current bar, the big red one, is reported as a “neutral probability” (WHITE) target price level which means the ADL system could not determine any viable probability for this price target. The following YELLOW price targets range from 57% probability to 94% probability going out 8+ months. Our interpretation of this is that the current price bar, being a neutral price target near $279.60 reports as a “basis price” in the range of previous price rotation. We believe this level, $279.60, will quickly be recovered in early 2019 before a continued rally pushes prices above $300 sometime around April or May 2019.

Next, one of our favorite charts to gauge the markets and the future expectations of market sectors, the Transportation Index. And, again, you can see a similar price anomaly setup on this chart. The one thing that is very interesting on this chart is that the current price target level for the December 2018 bar has a relatively high ADL probability (68.373%) and the next targeted price level (Jan 2019, near 11,210) has a very high 88.25% probability.

It is our opinion that the Transportation Index will rocket higher in early 2019 and reach levels above 10,800 before the end of March 2019 (possibly much earlier). The ADL predictive modeling system is suggesting that the Transportation Index will stay near 11,500 for much of 2019 and we believe the U.S. stock market and major indexes will reach new all time highs near the start of Q2 2019 and continue to push a bit higher through the middle of 2019.

It is very likely that the U.S. market continues to outperform many other global markets throughout much of 2019 and beyond. We’ve read many expectations that the U.S. markets may fall into some level of “complacency” in 2019, but we are not seeing that in our research. We are seeing the US markets continue to report pricing strength in comparison to other global markets and we believe the US economy will continue to stay strong throughout at least the first 2 to 3 quarters of 2019 – possibly much longer.

Again, this incredible opportunity for skilled traders is showing a potential +23% upside rally that should start in early 2019. Be prepared for some great trades in 2019.

Lastly, the US Dollar. With so many people expecting the US markets to push lower in 2019 and the resulting pressures on the U.S. Dollar (as some analysts expect the Yuan to strengthen while the US Dollar weakens), our ADL predictive modeling systems is suggesting that the US Dollar is currently undervalued by nearly 8%. The early 2019 ADL price targets are near or above $27.50 with the current price being near $25.50. This represents a 7.8% to 8.3% upside price anomaly if our ADL predictive price targets are accurate. This ADL trigger bar, where the BLUE TRIANGLES are on this chart, was a fairly rare price/technical pattern, or DNA marker. It is predicting a 100% probability of these price levels being accurate based on this rare DNA marker. We interpret that outcome as a breakout above $26 in UUP would help to confirm this ADL analysis and the potential that $27.50 to $28.00 is a viable longer term price objective.

Overall, we don’t see any reason to be bearish the U.S. Dollar at the moment. Our ADL predictive modeling system is suggesting the U.S. Dollar is currently undervalued by about 8% and is predicting early 2019 upside potential which indicates the potential for greater global currency volatility in the Euro, the Yuan, and other widely held currencies. If out ADL predictive pricing levels are accurate, it would indicate that we are going to see global currency pricing pressures hit many global currencies fairly early in 2019. Possibly, this could be related to some geopolitical event or some type of isolated credit market event (Italy, Spain, EU, China, Asia). Again, we don’t know what the event will be, but we can assure you that our ADL predictive modeling system is suggesting the U.S. Dollar will increase in value by about 8% in early 2019.

These incredible setups and opportunities for skilled traders can only be found with our proprietary Adaptive Dynamic Learning (ADL) predictive modeling tool. Call it a New Year’s gift or whatever you want to call it. Within this research article, we’ve shown you what we believe are some of the most incredible trading setups to start 2019 and we’re confident in our model’s ability to accurately find and call these moves. Want to learn what other setups our predictive cycle, Fibonacci and ADL systems are showing us? Want to know what the metals are going to do in 2019? Want to know which sectors are going to move and when? Visit The Technical Traders to learn how we help our members find and execute better trades.

Visit The Technical Traders Free Research to review some of our earlier research posts and to see how we’ve been calling these moves accurately for months.

Want to make 2019 a great year with incredible opportunities for success? Join our other members at The Technical Traders today and make 2019 an incredibly successful year.

Chris Vermeulen

Silver Starts a Breakout Move Higher

Watch Silver, folks. This quiet shiny metal is starting a move that could be very foretelling of global market concerns and risks. Early on December 26, 2018, Silver broke through recent resistance, to the upside, with a relatively large 2.8%+ upside move. Why is this so important to traders? Because Silver is the “sleeper metal” that is typically the last to react to global economic concerns. Once Silver starts to move to the upside with a renewed bullish trend, we believe this move would indicate that bigger players are starting to accumulate Silver as a safe haven for future economic concerns/crisis events.

This Daily chart of Silver shows the December 26 upside breakout move. We can clearly see the breakout above $15.00 and the historical resistance just below $15.00. This move is extremely important in the context of the total risk play that has recently played out through the past two months. Take a look as how quiet the Silver market has been over the past few months. Take a look at how Silver reacted only moderately to the recent market selloff and Fed statements. There was no real “fear” exhibited in the metals markets or in Silver over the past 60+ days. Yet, today, there is some real fear that is playing out in the price of Silver.

This next Weekly Silver chart helps us to understand the total scope of this move and what we could expect to see as an immediate upside price target. Our Adaptive Fibonacci Price modeling system is suggesting that $16.00 is an immediate upside price target and is showing us the current trend is bullish and that price volatility is increasing. Overall, we could see a move well above $17.00 on an extended run in the metals.

Watch how this “sleeper metal” plays out over the next few weeks and months. This upside breakout is very important to investors for the simple reason that it indicates a renewed level of “fear” is entering the markets and we could be starting a very big upside move in the metals markets again. The last time Silver entered a massive bullish phase it shot up over 400%. If a similar move happens again in the near future, Silver could reach a price level near $60-65 per ounce.

Want to know how to position your investments to take advantage of these types of moves and learn how to capture greater opportunities in the markets? 2019 is setting up to be an incredible year for traders with the skills and insight to find and execute these types of trades. We have already been positioning our members for this move and we believe 2019 will provide incredible opportunities for all skilled traders. Take a minute to visit The Technical Traders to learn how we can help you in 2019 and join our other members in finding greater success.


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