Wednesday, July 29, 2009

Energy Markets Fall as Oil Majors Report Earnings


Crude oil was lower overnight due to profit taking as it consolidates some of the rally off this month's low. Stochastics and the RSI are overbought and are turning neutral to bearish hinting that a short term top might be in or is near.

Closes below the 20 day moving average crossing at 64.54 would temper the near term friendly outlook in the market. If September extends the rally, the reaction high crossing at 74.25 is the next upside target.

Wednesday's pivot point for crude oil is 67.52

First resistance is Monday's high crossing at 68.99
Second resistance is the reaction high crossing at 74.25

First support is the 20 day moving average crossing at 64.54
Second support is the reaction low crossing at 63.76

Create a FREE Stock Portfolio, And get your stocks trend analysis in your inbox…..Daily!

Natural gas was lower overnight and trading below the 20 day moving average crossing at 3.676. Stochastics and the RSI are turning bearish hinting that a short term top might be in or is near.

Closes below the 20 day moving average crossing at 3.676 would temper the near term friendly outlook in the market. If September extends the rally off this month's low, the reaction high crossing at 4.261 is the next upside target.

Natural gas pivot point for Wednesday is 3.71

First resistance is last Wednesday's high crossing at 4.05
Second resistance is the reaction high crossing at 4.26

First support is Tuesday's low crossing at 3.61
Second support is this month's low crossing at 3.37

4 FREE Videos from INO TV!

Tuesday, July 28, 2009

Oil Prices Set to Fall

Crude oil prices are set for a dramatic downturn as huge stockpiles of fuels and heating oil accumulate in U.S. storage facilities, analysts say. The Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries is prepared for drastic declines in crude prices as suppressed demand translates to a buildup of oil based fuel reserves. "Inventories are at just ridiculously high levels," says Kevin Rooney, chief executive at the Oil Heat Institute of Long Island trade group. "I would imagine that just about every available barrel of storage is full".....Complete Story

4 FREE Videos from INO TV!

Crude Oil's Low Range Close Sets The Stage For Lower Open on Wednesday


Crude oil closed lower due to profit taking on Tuesday as it consolidated some of the rally off this month's low. The low range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening on Wednesday. Stochastics and the RSI are overbought but remain neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near term.

If September extends this month's rally, the reaction high crossing at 74.25 is the next upside target. Closes below the 20 day moving average crossing at 64.74 would confirm that a short term top has been posted.

First resistance is Monday's high crossing at 68.99
Second resistance is the reaction high crossing at 74.25

First support is the 20 day moving average crossing at 64.74
Second support is the reaction low crossing at 63.76

Our Favorite of Predictor of Inflation or Deflation.

Natural gas closed lower on Tuesday as it extended Monday's decline. The low range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening on Wednesday. Stochastics and the RSI have turned bearish hinting that a short term top might be in or is near.

Multiple closes below the 20 day moving average crossing at 3.690 would temper the near term friendly outlook. If September extends the rally off this month's low, the reaction high crossing at 4.261 is the next upside target.

First resistance is last Wednesday's high crossing at 4.05
Second resistance is the reaction high crossing at 4.26

First support is today's low crossing at 3.61
Second support is this month's low crossing at 3.23

The Fibonacci Tool Fully Explained

Supporters of Offshore Drilling Eyeing Area Off Florida's Coast

Two senators from oil producing states have introduced legislation that would bring oil drilling to within 45 miles of Florida's Gulf coast. The bill sponsored by Sens. Lisa Murkowski, R-Alaska, and Mary Landrieu, D-Louisiana, would effectively void a 2006 law crafted by Florida's congressional delegation, which put a massive swath of federal waters close to the state off limits until at least 2022. The sponsors said Monday the legislation would benefit states by giving them a cut 37.5 percent of the revenue from offshore oil and gas exploration off their coasts.....Complete Story

Is it true...You could learn to trade crude oil in just 90 seconds?

Goldman Sachs Closes Position in December 2011 Crude

Goldman Sachs Group Inc. closed its recommendation to buy crude futures for December 2011 delivery after long dated oil prices approached the bank’s target of $85 a barrel.

Oil’s rally to a three week high has been driven by distillate fuel demand from emerging markets, Goldman said today in its Energy Weekly. This reliance on distillates, which include diesel and heating oil, “may limit further near term upside,” the bank said.

“It is still too early to argue that distillate has comfortably turned the corner,” Jeffrey Currie , a London based analyst at Goldman, said in the report. “The recent crude rally has been anomalous led by rising long-dated prices rather than by improving time spreads.”

Goldman recommended in a July 15 report that investors buy crude for December 2011 delivery and short the call options on the same contract at $100 a barrel and short put options at $65 a barrel. The combined return on that strategy is 16.2 percent, the bank said. December 2011 oil futures traded as high as $81.31 today in New York .

“We will look for future pullbacks to reinstate this position,” Currie said in the note.

4 FREE Videos from INO TV!

BP Says ‘Little Evidence’ of Recovery After Net Falls


BP, Europe’s second biggest oil company, said profit fell 53 percent on lower energy prices and there is “little evidence” of a recovery in demand. Second quarter net income fell to $4.39 billion, or 23.16 cents a share, from $9.36 billion, or 49.23 cents, in the year earlier period, London based BP said today in a statement. Excluding one time items and inventory changes, earnings beat analyst estimates. Almost two years into a turnaround led by Chief Executive Officer Tony Hayward, BP said estimated cost cuts would exceed an earlier target as it increased production to more than 4 million barrels a day.....Complete Story

Get your favorite symbols' FREE Trend Analysis TODAY!

Why Weekly Charts Are so Important


Today we are looking into why weekly charts are so important. We will use the EUR/USD as an example and deeply investigate the buy signal we received on this cross on Monday, July 27th.

Although it’s too early to tell if this signal will be profitable, it is certainly a signal you must take if you are a disciplined follower of MarketClub’s “Trade Triangle” technology.

You can watch this video with our compliments and there is no registration requirements.


How To Spot Winning Futures....Watch Video NOW

Crude Oil Bulls Set to Challenge $70 Level

September crude oil was steady to slightly lower overnight as it consolidates some of the rally off this month's low. Stochastics and the RSI are overbought but remain bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near term.

If September extends the rally, the reaction high crossing at 74.25 is the next upside target. Closes below the 20 day moving average crossing at 64.81 would temper the near term friendly outlook in the market.

Crude oil's pivot point for Tuesday is 68.25

First resistance is Monday's high crossing at 68.99
Second resistance is the reaction high crossing at 74.25

First support is the 20 day moving average crossing at 64.81
Second support is the reaction low crossing at 63.76


Get your favorite symbols' Trend Analysis TODAY!


Natural gas was higher overnight as it consolidates above the 20 day moving average crossing at 3.696. Stochastics and the RSI are turning bearish hinting that a short term top might be in or is near. Closes below the 20 day moving average crossing at 3.696 would temper the near term friendly outlook in the market.

If September extends the rally off this month's low, the reaction high crossing at 4.261 is the next upside target.

First resistance is last Wednesday's high crossing at 4.05
Second resistance is the reaction high crossing at 4.26

First support is the 20 day moving average crossing at 3.70
Second support is this month's low crossing at 3.37

Today’s Stock Market Club Trading Triangles

Monday, July 27, 2009

Waiting for Crude Oil to Reverse to the Downside


My optimal pullback target zone for the PowerShare DB Double Short Oil ETN (NYSE: DTO) is 82.00-79.00, which has been met today. However, so far the inability of the DTO to turn up with sustainability and leave little doubt that the correction off of the 7/13 high at 99.50 is complete is bothersome, and suggests perhaps that more corrective weakness is forthcoming ahead of my anticipation of a powerful upside pivot reversal.
Let’s notice that there is an unfilled gap from July 2 between 77.70 and 76.15 which might have to be satisfied.....Complete Story

4 FREE Videos from INO TV!

Daily Oil Prices with Anna Coulling

A year after the peak in the commodity cycle, and an all time high for crude oil prices, this week sees all seven of the world's largest private sector oil groups reporting half year results, starting with BP on Tuesday. Although the main focus for oil investors will be to see how successful these companies have been in coping with the subsequent dramatic fall in crude, the recent, and equally dramatic, recovery in daily oil prices will determine the scope that oil companies (and producer countries) will have to fund future investment plans.....Complete Story

How To Spot Winning Futures....See Video NOW

Where is Crude Oil Likely Headed For Tuesday

CNBC's Rebecca Jarvis discusses the day's news in the commodities markets, and looks ahead to where oil is likely headed tomorrow.




For a FREE online tour of the MarketClub....a risk FREE 30 day test drive...Just Click Here

Oil Rises, But Will Rally Continue?

Crude oil on the New York Mercantile Exchange Monday rose again continuing its recent rally. Closing above $68 today, the increase in the price of oil was spurred by positive economic news about US home sales. Settling 33 cents above Friday's close, the price of crude oil rose to $68.38 a barrel in trading Monday on the NYMEX. Just two weeks ago, the price of oil was below $60 in a correction that brought prices down from a high of near $73.....Complete Story


A Good Trading Education = a Good Trader = Good Profits….Watch INO TV

Oil Majors Appear Poised to Test Mid Term Neutral Resistance Levels


Oil majors appear poised to test mid term neutral resistance levels as we move into a week loaded with earnings reports from the major oil companies. Crude oil closed higher on today extending the rally off this month's low. Profit taking tempered early gains and the mid range close sets the stage for a steady opening on Tuesday. Stochastics and the RSI are becoming overbought but remains bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near term.

If September extends today's rally, the reaction high crossing at 74.25 is the next upside target. Closes below the 20 day moving average crossing at 64.94 would confirm that a short term top has been posted.

First resistance is today's high crossing at 68.99
Second resistance is the reaction high crossing at 74.25

First support is the 20 day moving average crossing at 64.94
Second support is the reaction low crossing at 63.76

Today’s Stock Market Club Trading Triangles

Natural gas closed lower on Monday due to light profit taking but remains above the 20 day moving average crossing at 3.706. The mid range close sets the stage for a steady opening on Tuesday. Stochastics and the RSI are turning bearish hinting that a short term top might be in or is near. Closes below the 20 day moving average crossing at 3.706 would temper the near term friendly outlook.

If September extends the rally off this month's low, the reaction high crossing at 4.261 is the next upside target.

First resistance is last Wednesday's high crossing at 4.05
Second resistance is the reaction high crossing at 4.26

First support is the 20 day moving average crossing at 3.71
Second support is this month's low crossing at 3.23

4 FREE Videos from INO TV!

Gasoline Extends Rally to 10 Days, Longest Since at Least 2005


Gasoline futures rose a 10th straight day, the longest rally in the history of the contract, on refinery shutdowns and a weaker dollar, which increases the investment appeal of commodities. Total SA has shut units at its 240,000 barrel a day refinery in Port Arthur, Texas. The dollar fell as low as $1.4298 per euro, the lowest level since June 3. “It seems as if all of a sudden the gasoline market is leading the way and it looks as if nothing is really stopping the rally,” said Gene McGillian, an analyst and broker at Tradition Energy in Stamford, Connecticut.....Complete Story


How To Spot Winning Futures....See Video NOW

Every So Often......You Get The Key to The Market


Every so often something comes along in the financial world that is very special. Today is one of those days.

The good news is it’s coming from a world class company that has being on the web since 1995, so you know it’s valid.

Here’s what all the buzz is about. We call it INO TV, you may call it your key to profits. Now I don’t say that lightly, making money in the market is serious business and requires specific skills. Arming yourself with these skills is your key to success.

That’s where INO TV comes in.

For a limited time only, we are offering a complimentary pass to INO TV. Why are we doing this? Here’s the reason, we know that you will benefit from all these great skill making trading videos and want to share them with your friends.

If you don’t tell your friends right away they will end up having to pay for the service. That’s where we are going to our make our money. Your friends will have to pay for this service in the future if you don’t tell them about it today.

Here’s the link to the latest trading skills video, you won’t want to miss this one.

California Nixes PXP's Offshore Tranquillon Ridge Project


Plains Exploration & Production Company ("PXP") has announced an update on its Tranquillon Ridge (T-Ridge) project. On July 24, 2009, despite support of California Governor Schwarzenegger and bipartisan approval by the California State Senate, the California State Assembly failed to approve legislation authorizing a path forward for PXP's T-Ridge project. Support for T-Ridge has come from Santa Barbara County, the California State Senate, the Governor and a large environmental coalition, including the Environmental Defense Center, Trust for Public Land, and "Get Oil Out", as well as firefighters and peace officers throughout the state.....Complete Story

Trade Signals Remain Bullish For Crude Oil, Natural Gas SignalsTurning Bearish


Crude oil was higher overnight as it extends the rally off this month's low. Stochastics and the RSI remain bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near term.

If September extends the rally, the reaction high crossing at 74.25 is the next upside target. Closes below the 20 day moving average crossing at 64.95 would temper the near term friendly outlook in the market.

Crude oil's pivot point for Monday is 67.57

First resistance is the overnight high crossing at 68.99
Second resistance is the reaction high crossing at 74.25

First support is the 20 day moving average crossing at 64.95
Second support is the reaction low crossing at 63.76

Today’s Stock Market Club Trading Triangles

Natural gas was lower overnight due to profit taking as it consolidates above the 20 day moving average crossing at 3.706. Stochastics and the RSI are turning bearish hinting that a short term top might be in or is near. Closes below the 20 day moving average crossing at 3.706 would temper the near term friendly outlook in the market.

If September extends the rally off this month's low, the reaction high crossing at 4.261 is the next upside target.

The natural gas pivot point for Monday is 3.64

First resistance is last Wednesday's high crossing at 4.05
Second resistance is the reaction high crossing at 4.26

First support is the 20 day moving average crossing at 3.71
Second support is this month's low crossing at 3.37


Get your favorite symbols' FREE Trend Analysis TODAY!

Sunday, July 26, 2009

Crude Oil Rises as Asian Equity Gains May Spur Demand for Fuels

Crude oil rose to the highest in more than three weeks on expectations that gains in Asian equity markets are the precursor to a recovery in the global economy that will spur fuel demand. Oil also gained after investors sought commodities as a hedge against inflation as the dollar traded near a seven week low against the euro. The MSCI Asia Pacific Index climbed 1 percent today, the 10th straight increase and the longest winning streak since January 2004.....Complete Story


Can You Learn to Trade Crude Oil in Just 90 Seconds?

Iraq to Auction Rights to Develop 10 Crude Oil Areas

Iraq said it will auction rights to develop 10 crude oil areas and withdrew the Siba natural gas field from the country’s second bidding round this year, as the Persian Gulf state seeks foreign investors to increase energy production. Potential bidders can receive information on the fields during a one day roadshow in Istanbul on Aug. 25, Abdul Mahdy Al-Ameedi, deputy director general at the Petroleum Contracts and Licensing Directorate, said by telephone today. Iraq, owner of the world’s third largest oil reserves, aims to boost oil output to 6 million barrels a day by 2015 from about 2.4 million barrels now.....Complete Story

Get your favorite symbols' Free Trend Analysis TODAY!

Saturday, July 25, 2009

SP 500 Update: Trade Triangle Video Analysis


With the S&P 500 making new highs and as world equity markets following suit, the question becomes how high can we go?

In this short video on the S&P 500, we outline some mathematical upside target zones that we am looking at for this market.

You can watch this video with our compliments and there is no registration requirements. We would love to get your feedback so please feel free to leave a comment and let our readers know how high you think the S&P can go.

Here is 4 more FREE Videos from INO TV!

How to Use Money Management Stops Effectively


Stops are enormously important part of a traders arsenal of trading tools. Some traders confirm that stops are the most important part of their trading armour.

So here are three ways to use stops to protect your capital and lock in profits from a trade. These three money management techniques can be used in stock, futures and forex trading.

Click Here For A Video Version of This Lesson

The important rule is that you do use a real stop in the marketplace. A friend of mine joked with me that that he had never seen a “mental stop” filled electronically or in the pits.

If the market is good your stop will not be hit. If the market is bad or changing direction then you’ll want to be out of it anyway. That is why stops are so crucial to trading success.

Here are the three most commonly used types of stops. Which one do you use?
(1) Dollar stop.
(2) Percentage stop.
(3) Chart stop.
If you chose (1) you’d be correct, but, you would also be correct if you had chosen 2 or 3. All three are money management stops and are used to either lock in profits or protect capital.
————————————————–
1) A dollar stop, is when you set a predetermined dollar amount to a trade. Let’s say you want to risk $500 on a grain trade or $750 on a stock trade. Once you get your fill back from your broker or electronically online you simply figure from your fill price where to put your stop.

Pros: Easy to implement and use.
Cons: Can place stops too close in a volatile market
————————————————–
2) Percentage stop, is a very simple way for you to place a stop on a position. Here’s how it works. Let’s say your trading account is 100,000 dollars and let’s say you only want to risk 1% of your total portfolio on any one trade. You simply take a $1,000 risk which represents 1% of your over all portfolio. This can help enormously in avoiding taking BIG LOSSES. A 1% loss is easy to absorb. A 30% or 40% loss in a trade is an account killer, and should be avoided at all costs.

Pros: Easy to implement and use.
Cons: Can place stops too close.
————————————————–
3) Chart stop, a chart stop is where you place a stop that is either above or below a crucial chart level. The good thing about a chart stop is that this level is often used by other traders. That can both be a good thing and a bad thing, here’s why. Using either one of our first two examples only you know where the stop is. With a chart stop, a great many traders/brokers know that is where the stops are. In an illiquid market this type of stop should not be used, as many times brokers gun for the stops. In a highly liquid and active market this is a good stop to use.

Pros: Very easy to implement and use.
Cons: Can’t be used in thinly traded markets.
————————————————–
So there you have it. Now you have all three ways to manage your money and protect your profits in the future.

Use stops.....let them work for you.

Click Here For A Video Version of This Lesson

A special thanks goes out to guest blogger Adam Hewison

Friday, July 24, 2009

Where is Oil Headed Next Week

CNBC's Sharon Epperson discusses the day's activity in the commodities markets, and looks at where oil is likely headed next week.





How To Spot Winning Futures

High Range Crude Oil Close Sets Stage For Higher Open Monday

Crude oil closed higher on Friday extending Thursday's breakout above the 20 day moving average crossing at 65.13. The high range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening on Monday. Stochastics and the RSI are bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near term.

If September extends this week's rally, the reaction high crossing at 74.25 is the next upside target. Closes below the 10 day moving average crossing at 64.25 would confirm that a short term top has been posted.

First resistance is today's high crossing at 68.18
Second resistance is the reaction high crossing at 74.25

First support is the 20 day moving average crossing at 65.13
Second support is the 10 day moving average crossing at 64.25

Free trade school video "Using Volatility In Your Market Analysis"

Natural gas closed higher on Friday as it consolidates above the 20 day moving average crossing at 3.721. The high range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening on Monday. Stochastics and the RSI remain neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near term.

If September extends the rally off last week's low, the reaction high crossing at 4.261 is the next upside target. Closes below the 10 day moving average crossing at 3.721 would temper the near term friendly outlook.

First resistance is Wednesday's high crossing at 4.05
Second resistance is the reaction high crossing at 4.26

First support is the 10 day moving average crossing at 3.72
Second support is last Monday's low crossing at 3.23

Free trade school video "How to Use Money Management Stops Effectively"

Schlumberger Profit Falls as Clients Slash Budgets

Schlumberger Ltd., the world’s largest oilfield-services provider, said second-quarter profit fell 57 percent after a plunge in energy prices prompted petroleum producers to cut spending. Net income dropped to $613 million, or 51 cents a share, from $1.42 billion, or $1.16, a year earlier, Schlumberger, based in Houston and Paris, said today in a statement. Excluding costs for job cuts, profit was 68 cents a share, 4 cents higher than the average of 24 analyst estimates compiled by Bloomberg. Sales fell 18 percent to $5.53 billion.....Complete Story



Futures ALERT's Everyday In your Inbox

Occidental Moves Fast, Keeps Mum on Oil Discovery


As new details emerged Thursday about Occidental Petroleum Corp.'s discovery of a large new oil field in Kern, local oilmen voiced optimism that the find could stimulate local drilling work -- including among independents hoping to strike it rich.
Oil producers anxious to learn the field's location still had little to go on, though a spokesman for Chevron, indicated late Thursday that it's in western Kern County. Chevron owns a 20 percent stake in the find. Earlier in the day, Los Angeles-based Oxy suggested that it plans to move quickly to tap the field, drilling an additional 17 wells (costing roughly $4 million apiece) this year.....Complete Story

Can you learn to trade crude oil in 90 seconds?

Daily Oil Prices From Master The Markets

The positive correlation between the price of crude and equity markets continues apace with the Dow finally breaching and holding above the 9000 level for the first time since January. This mutual admiration seems determined to ignore the weak oil market fundamentals which has seen gasoline and distillate stocks in the US increasing for a straight sixth week and with unemployment in the US still rising it is difficult to see how quickly this surplus is likely to be consumed. From a technical perspective yesterday's candle on the daily oil prices chart.....Complete Story

A Good Trading Education = a Good Trader = Good Profits….Watch INO TV

Crude Oil Bulls Still Have Near Term Advantage, Natural Gas May Be Topping

Crude oil traded higher overnight as it extended Thursday's breakout above the 20 day moving average crossing at 65.10. Stochastics and the RSI remain bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near term.

If September extends this week's rally, the reaction high crossing at 74.25 is the next upside target. Closes below the 10 day moving average crossing at 64.19 would temper the near term friendly outlook in the market.

Crude oil's pivot point for Friday, our line in the sand is 66.20

First resistance is the overnight high crossing at 67.68
Second resistance is the reaction high crossing at 74.25

First support is the 20 day moving average crossing at 65.10
Second support is the 10 day moving average crossing at 64.19

Free Trade School Video:The #1 Predictor of Inflation or Deflation.

Natural gas was higher overnight due to short covering as it consolidates some of Thursday's decline. Stochastics and the RSI are turning neutral to bearish hinting that a short term top might be in or is near.

Closes below the 10 day moving average crossing at 3.711 would temper the near term friendly outlook in the market. If September extends the rally off this month's low, the reaction high crossing at 4.261 is the next upside target.

Friday's pivot point for natural gas is 3.65

First resistance is Wednesday's high crossing at 4.05
Second resistance is the reaction high crossing at 4.26

First support is the 10 day moving average crossing at 3.71
Second support is this month's low crossing at 3.37

A Good Trading Education = a Good Trader = Good Profits….Watch INO TV

Thursday, July 23, 2009

Oil Falls From a Three Week High on Faltering Economic Recovery


Crude oil fell from a three week high after U.S. stock futures eased on weaker than expected company earnings, renewing concern the recovery from the global recession may falter. Oil has increasingly moved in tandem with the Dow Jones Industrial Average. The two are showing a correlation of 0.7 in the past month, up from 0.06 in the month to Dec. 31, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. U.S. gasoline and distillate fuel inventories climbed for a sixth week, signaling demand in the world’s largest energy user has been slow to rebound.....Complete Story

Get your favorite symbols' Trend Analysis TODAY!

Sharon Epperson: Where is Oil Headed on Friday

CNBC's Sharon Epperson discusses the day's activity in the commodities markets, and looks to where oil is likely headed tomorrow.





How To Spot Winning Futures, Watch Video NOW

Halliburton to Drill 170 Chicontepec Wells for $169MM


Oilfield services giant Halliburton Co. has won a $169 million contract to drill 170 wells Mexico's Chicontepec region, its first major project in the area, Petroleos Mexicanos said Thursday. Pemex, as the state oil company is known, has also awarded four contracts for about 140 wells each to local drillers, expanding its pool of suppliers for the expensive project. The new contracts underscore Pemex's efforts to accelerate spending and stabilize falling oil production, down by a fifth since peaking in 2004......Complete Story

4 FREE Videos from INO TV!

Scaling Into the Natural Gas UNG ETF


After this morning’s marginal new recovery high at 14.00, the U.S. Natural Gas Fund ETF (NYSE: UNG) reversed to the downside in reaction to “in-line” inventory data, which pressed indices to an intraday low so far at 13.25. We initiated a 25% long position in our model portfolio at 13.32. If the UNG is unable to consolidate and lift off from the 13.30/25 area, then I will be looking for another loop down towards 13.00, where we will add another 25% long position.....Complete Article

Today’s Stock Market Club Trading Triangles

Crude Oil Bulls Gain Technical Upside Momentum

Crude oil closed up $1.82 at $67.23 a barrel today. Prices closed near the session high and hit a fresh three week high today as bulls did gain some fresh upside technical momentum amid a rallying U.S. stock market. Bulls have the near term technical advantage. A two week old uptrend is in place on the daily bar chart.

Natural gas closed down 21.3 cents at $3.727 today. Prices closed nearer the session low. The bears are still in technical control and gained fresh downside momentum today. The fact that natural gas could not rally amid a general commodity market rally today is a bearish clue.

The U.S. dollar index closed up 9 points at 78.95 today. Prices closed nearer the session high in quieter trading. Short covering in a bear market was featured. Prices hit a fresh nine month low again today. Bears still have the overall near term technical advantage.

Trade School Video "The Fibonacci Tool Fully Explained"

Technical Analysis From Barclays: Oil Set to Fall on Spreads

Brent crude oil is likely to fall below $63 a barrel “in the next few weeks” as the spread between long term contracts widens, according to technical analysts at Barclays Capital. The discount for buying Brent contracts for delivery in December 2009 compared with December 2010 increased today to the most in more than two months. The spread, expressed as a negative number when the market is in contago, is now beneath a trend line connecting the low points during 2009. That may trigger further selling of Brent futures, analysts at the investment bank of Barclays Plc said yesterday in a report.....Complete Story

Oil Stays Above $65, Natural Gas Continues to Rise

Crude oil for September delivery fell slightly to settle above $65 Wednesday on the New York Mercantile Exchange. The price of oil today was tempered by less than stellar numbers coming out of the EIA. Crude oil for September delivery closed at $65.40 Wednesday on the NYMEX, a drop of 21 cents from yesterday’s close. While August deliveries expired yesterday, closing at $64.72, the price of September deliveries closed higher on Tuesday at $65.61.....Complete Story

Crude Oil Declines a Second Day After Fuel Inventories Increase

Crude oil for September delivery declined a second day in New York as rising U.S. fuel inventories dampened optimism for a swift rebound in demand. Gasoline and distillate fuel inventories in the U.S. rose in the week to July 17, the sixth consecutive
increase, while crude supplies fell, according to an Energy Department report yesterday. Japan’s oil imports fell for an eighth month in June. “Demand is weak, and spare capacity is the largest it’s ever been,” said Eugen Weinberg, an analyst at Commerzbank AG in Frankfurt.....Complete Story

Today’s Stock Market Club Trading Triangles

Wednesday, July 22, 2009

Energy Market Commentary For Wednesday Evening

September crude oil closed down $0.36 at $65.25 a barrel today. Prices closed nearer the session high. Bulls still have the near term technical advantage. A two week old uptrend is in place on the daily bar chart.

September natural gas closed up 11.6 cents at $3.962 today. Prices closed nearer the session high and hit a fresh three week high today. Short covering in a bear market was featured. The bears are still in technical control.

September (RBOB) unleaded gasoline closed up 191 points at $1.8150 today. Prices closed nearer the session high today. A two week old uptrend is in place on the daily bar chart.

The September U.S. dollar index closed down 18 points at 78.91 today. Prices closed nearer the session low. Prices hit a fresh nine month low again today. Bears still have the overall near term technical advantage.

Complimentary Trend Analysis For Stock, Futures, And Forex

NYMEX Crude Steadies Above $65

Gaining on the New York Mercantile Exchange for the sixth day in a row, crude oil rallied above $65 on Wednesday as earnings reports continue to beat Wall Street's expectations and government data released today shows crude oil supplies were down last week. U.S. crude oil futures for September delivery settled at $65.40, or 68 cents higher than Tuesday's close. Also gaining, London Brent crude climbed above $65 in seesaw trading, finally closing at more than $67 per barrel.....Complete Story

New Video: What's the best strategy for USO?

In today's video we analyze the popular crude oil ETF USO. We want to look at how you could have made money if you relied on the Market Club "Trade Triangle" technology. The video is free and requires no registration.

Just click here to enjoy the video!

Please feel free to leave a comment and let our readers know what you think the direction of the USO is. You are also welcome to join the discussion at our new Facebook Group the Crude Oil Trader.

Natural Gas Futures Gain on Signs of Small Stockpile Increase Share

Natural gas futures advanced in New York on speculation a report tomorrow will show a slowing pace of U.S. stockpile gains. Gas inventories probably rose 66 billion cubic feet last week, based on the median of eight analyst estimates compiled by Bloomberg. An increase of that amount would be the smallest since April 17. Stockpiles normally rise between April and November as utilities prepare for higher demand in the winter.
“This week it’s a very different number,” said Teri Viswanath, director of commodities research at Credit Suisse Securities USA in Houston.....Complete Story

Can you learn to trade Crude Oil in just 90 seconds?

Citigroup Recommends Investment in Mexican Oil Giant

Banking giant Citigroup recommends investment in Mexican state run oil company Petroleos Mexicanos (Pemex) via its dollar denominated bonds. The firm urged investors to "hold" the bonds, reversing a previous recommendation to sell, Mexican media reported on Monday. However, the Citigroup did not give its highest rating of "overweight" to Pemex because of some negative operating data, the bank said in a report. Pemex's biggest oil field, Cantarell, has now had five consecutive years of production declines, bringing the company's overall production to its lowest level in 16 years.....Complete Story

Oil Headed Lower on Major Bank Earnings Reports

Crude oil was higher overnight as it extended the rally off last week's low and was challenging the 20 day moving average crossing at 64.67. But is now headed lower as worse then expected earnings from the major banks are giving traders concerns over future demand. Stochastics and the RSI are bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are still possible near term.

Closes above the 20 day moving average crossing at 64.67 are needed to confirm that a short term low has been posted. Closes below the 10 day moving average crossing at 61.54 would temper the near term friendly outlook in the market. If August renews the decline off June's high, the 62% retracement level of the February-June rally crossing at 54.97 is the next downside target.

Crude oil's pivot point, our line in the sand is 65.41

First resistance is the 20 day moving average crossing at 64.67
Second resistance is the overnight high crossing at 65.53

First support is the 10 day moving average crossing at 61.54
Second support is the reaction low crossing at 58.32

Free Trade School Video "How to Use Money Management Stops Effectively"

Natural gas was steady to slightly higher overnight as it consolidates above the 20 day moving average crossing at 3.62. Stochastics and the RSI remain bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near term.

If August extends the rally off this month's low, the reaction high crossing at 4.138 is the next upside target. Closes below the 10 day moving average crossing at 3.520 would temper the near term friendly outlook in the market.

Wednesday's pivot point for natural gas is 3.68

First resistance is last Friday's high crossing at 3.79
Second resistance is the reaction high crossing at 4.14

First support is the 20 day moving average crossing at 3.62
Second support is the 10 day moving average crossing at 3.52

Complimentary Trend Analysis For Stock, Futures, And Forex

Tuesday, July 21, 2009

Where Is Oil Headed on Wednesday

CNBC's Sharon Epperson discusses the day's activity in the commodities markets, and looks ahead to where oil is likely headed on Wednesday.




Great Educational Video "Double Tops and Pivot Points Explained"

Natural Gas Ready To Rebound

Kent Croft, co-manager of the Croft Value Fund, says natural gas is too cheap to ignore. His favorite stocks include Southwestern Energy, Ultra Petroleum and Williams Cos.



New Video: UNG, An ETF That Closely Tracks Natural Gas

Oil Gains for 5th Day, Natural Gas Sees Potential

After choppy trading Tuesday, crude oil was able to make gains again on the New York Mercantile Exchange. With intra-day trading topping $65, oil prices eventually settled just below that. Crude oil settled at $64.72 a barrel in trading on the NYMEX Tuesday, a bump of 74 cents from Monday's close. Despite some volatile trading during the day and the expiration of the August deliveries, crude oil was able to continue its recent rally for the fifth day in a row."It seesawed pretty dramatically, and then the market did rebound strongly as we went into the last half-hour for expiration; and I think that helped boost oil prices to its fifth consecutive day gains,".....Complete Story

Complimentary Trend Analysis For Stock, Futures, And Forex

Profit Taking Tempers Early Gains in Crude Oil, Natural Gas Closes Higher


Crude oil closed higher on Tuesday and above the 20 day moving average crossing at 64.67. Profit taking tempered early gains and the mid range close sets the stage for a steady opening on Wednesday. Stochastics and the RSI are bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near term.

Multiple closes above the 20 day moving average crossing at 64.67 would confirm that a short term low has been posted while opening the door for a larger degree rebound during the last half of July. Closes below the 10 day moving average crossing at 61.54 would temper the near term friendly outlook in the market.

First resistance is today's high crossing at 65.53
Second resistance is the reaction high crossing at 73.38

First support is the 10 day moving average crossing at 61.54
Second support is last Monday's low crossing at 58.32

Learn To Trade Crude Oil in Just 90 Seconds

Natural gas closed higher on Tuesday as it consolidates above the 20 day moving average crossing at 3.627. The high range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening on Wednesday. Stochastics and the RSI remain bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near term.

If August extends the rally off last week's low, the reaction high crossing at 4.138 is the next upside target. Closes below the 10 day moving average crossing at 3.483 would temper the near term friendly outlook.

First resistance is last Friday's high crossing at 3.79
Second resistance is the reaction high crossing at 4.14

First support is the 10 day moving average crossing at 3.48
Second support is last Monday's low crossing at 3.23

4 FREE Trading Videos from INO TV!

Crude Oil, Gasoline Rise as Earnings Signal Recession Is Easing


Crude oil rose and gasoline climbed a sixth day, the longest stretch since January, as better than expected earnings at Caterpillar Inc. signaled the recession may be easing in the world’s biggest fuel consuming country. Oil increased as stimulus programs and improved credit markets bolstered profits at the biggest maker of earth moving equipment. Per share earnings beat projections by an average of 14 percent for the 70 companies in the S&P 500 that reported quarterly results since July 8. U.S. crude oil supplies probably fell last week.....Complete Story

New Video: UNG, An ETF That Closely Tracks Natural Gas

In today’s video we will be looking at an ETF that closely tracks the natural gas market. The United States Natural Gas Fund (PACF_UNG) is one of the more popular energy ETFs and a could be a great market to add to your portfolio as the “Trade Triangles” are catching profits from the spectacular moves.

In this short video I’m going to show you how our “Trade Triangle” Technology outperformed one of the smartest investors on the planet. I am of course referring to the legendary oilman T. Boone Pickens. I’m using his own results for his hedge fund BP Capital Management LP.

Check out his results here. Starting from March of 2008 with our results starting at the same time. I will let you draw your own conclusions on this one.

You can watch this video with our compliments Just Click Here!


Crude Oil Higher Overnight, Testing 20 Day Moving Average

Crude oil was higher overnight as it extends last week's rally but remains below the 20 day moving average crossing at 64.65. Stochastics and the RSI are bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near term.

Closes above the 20 day moving average crossing at 64.65 are needed to confirm that a short term low has been posted. If August renews the decline off June's high, the 62% retracement level of the February-June rally crossing at 54.97 is the next downside target.

Crude oil's pivot point for Tuesday is 65.17

First resistance is the 20 day moving average crossing at 64.65
Second resistance is Monday's high crossing at 64.90

First support is the 10 day moving average crossing at 61.49
Second support is the reaction low crossing at 58.32



Natural gas was lower due to profit taking overnight as it consolidates some of its recent gains but remains above the 20 day moving average crossing at 36.23. Stochastics and the RSI remain bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near term.

If August extends the rally off this month's low, the reaction high crossing at 4.138 is the next upside target. Closes below the 10 day moving average crossing at 3.476 would temper the near term friendly outlook in the market.

Tuesday's pivot point for natural gas is 3.65

First resistance is last Friday's high crossing at 3.79
Second resistance is the reaction high crossing at 4.14

First support is the 10 day moving average crossing at 3.48
Second support is last Monday's low crossing at 3.23

Monday, July 20, 2009

Oil to Rise Above $65 After Support Holds

Crude oil may extend gains above $65 a barrel as an indicator of technical momentum suggests the market has rebounded after failing to break support levels last week, according to National Australia Bank Ltd. The Moving Average Convergence-Divergence oscillator on the weekly continuation chart is “a whisker away” from turning positive, said Gordon Manning, a Sydney based technical analyst. Technical buyers usually step in when the MACD rises above its signal line, a so called bullish crossover.....Complete Story

4 FREE Videos from INO TV, Just Click Here!

Halliburton 2Q Earnings Plummet, Beat Expectations


Halliburton said Monday its second quarter profit tumbled 48 percent as sluggish exploration and production activity, particularly in North America, crimped results. Its earnings beat Wall Street forecasts, though the company offered little hope for an uptick in drilling before year's end. The oilfield services company, which has corporate headquarters in Houston and Dubai, said net income for the April-June period fell to $262 million, or 29 cents per share. That compared with $504 million, or 55 cents a share, a year ago.....Complete Story

Looking For Real Time Forex....Just Click Here