China, B of A News Drives Demand Concerns, Here's Your Numbers

Crude oil was lower overnight but remains above the 50% retracement level of the December-January rally crossing at 77.41. Stochastics and the RSI remain bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near term.

If February extends this month's decline, the 62% retracement level of the aforementioned rally crossing at 75.85 is the next downside target. Closes above the 10 day moving average crossing at 80.58 are needed to confirm that a short term low has been posted.

Wednesday's pivot point, our line in the sand is 78.62

First resistance is the 20 day moving average crossing at 79.41
Second resistance is the 10 day moving average crossing at 80.58

First support is Tuesday's low crossing at 77.07
Second support is the 62% retracement level of the December-January rally crossing at 75.85

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Natural gas was lower overnight as it extends Tuesday's decline. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near term. If February renews this month's decline, the 50% retracement level of the December-January rally crossing at 5.314 is the next downside target.

Closes above the 20 day moving average crossing at 5.721 would temper the near term bearish outlook in the market.

Natural gas pivot point for Wednesday is 5.563

First resistance is the 10 day moving average crossing at 5.671
Second resistance is the 20 day moving average crossing at 5.721

First support is last Tuesday's low crossing at 5.354
Second support is the 50% retracement level of the December-January rally crossing at 5.314

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The U.S. Dollar was overnight and trading above the 20 day moving average crossing at 77.78. Stochastics and the RSI are bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near term. Closes above the 20 day moving average crossing at 77.78 would confirm that a short term low has been posted while opening the door for a test of December's high crossing at 78.77.

If March renews the decline off December's high, the 50% retracement level of the November-December rally crossing at 76.66 is the next downside target.

First resistance is the overnight high crossing at 78.26
Second resistance is December's high crossing at 78.77

First support is Tuesday's low crossing at 77.09
Second support is last Wednesday's low crossing at 76.74

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