Monday, January 25, 2010

Crude Oil Pivot, Support and Resistance Numbers For Monday Morning


Crude oil was slightly higher overnight due to short covering as it consolidated some of last week's decline. Stochastics and the RSI are oversold but remain neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near term.

If March extends last week's decline, December's low crossing at 72.45 is the next downside target. Closes above the 10 day moving average crossing at 78.49 are needed to confirm that a short term low has been posted.

Monday's pivot point for crude oil is 75.02

First resistance is the 10 day moving average crossing at 78.49
Second resistance is the 20 day moving average crossing at 79.87

First support is last Friday's low crossing at 74.01
Second support is December's low crossing at 72.45

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Natural gas was lower overnight as it consolidated some of last Friday's rally. Stochastics and the RSI are turning bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near term.

If March extends last Friday's rally, the January's high crossing at 6.027 is the next upside target. Closes below the 10 day moving average crossing at 5.594 would temper the near term friendly outlook in the market.

Natural gas pivot point for Monday is 5.779

First resistance is last Friday's high crossing at 5.804
Second resistance is December's high crossing at 6.027

First support is the 10 day moving average crossing at 5.594
Second support is the reaction low crossing at 5.327

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The U.S. Dollar was lower due to profit taking overnight as it consolidates some of last week's rally. Stochastics and the RSI are diverging but remain neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near term.

If March extends last week's rally, the 38% retracement level of the 2009 decline crossing at 79.71 is the next upside target. Closes below the 10 day moving average crossing at 77.71 would confirm that a short term top has been posted.

First resistance is last Thursday's high crossing at 79.00
Second resistance is the 38% retracement level of the 2009 decline crossing at 79.71

First support is the 20 day moving average crossing at 77.80
Second support is the 10 day moving average crossing at 77.71

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