Precious Metals Life Cycle Nears an End – Final Stage of Denial

Today's post from our trading partner Chris Vermeulen.....

The life cycle of most things not matter what it is (living, product, service, ideas etc…) go through four stages and the stock market is no different. Those who recently gave in and bought gold, silver, mining stocks, coins will be enter this stage of the market in complete denial. They still think this is a pullback and a recover should be just around the corner.

Well the good news is a recovery bounce should be nearing, but if technical analysis, market sentiment and the stages theory are correct then a bounce is all it will be followed by years of lower prices and dormancy.

I really do hate to be a mega bear or mega bull on anything long term but the charts have painted a clear picture this year for precious metals and I want to share what I see. Take a look at the chart below which shows a typical investment life cycle using the four stage theory.

Read my entire article here > "The Four Stages Theory....Precious Metals Life Cycle Nears an End – Final Stage of Denial"


Enroll now for our “Spread Trading Strategies for Growing a Small Account” class this Saturday 1:00 – 5:00 p.m.

Enroll now for our “Spread Trading Strategies for Growing a Small Account” class this Saturday

Can you get the same training hedge fund managers get for their traders? Now you can. Whether you are trading stocks, crude oil, commodities or currencies John Carter of "Simpler Options" has put together an easy to understand course that will show you how you can use the same trading methods he teaches fund managers and it can be done in any size account. No matter how big or small.

In this comprehensive class John will teach us.....

*     How to use spreads to create low-risk high-probability trades
*     Basic to advanced spread trading strategies
*     How to make money, even when you’re wrong
*     How to steadily & consistently grow your small account through spreads
*     How to trade spreads “end of day” so you don’t go bug eyed looking at charts all day

And much more...

This course is being recorded, and you will receive a link to view it and download it the same day, and a DVD of the course within 3-4 weeks.

Just Click Here to Enroll Today!

Next webinar "Using Spreads with Maximum Success" featuring John Carter

Our trading partner John Carter of Simple Options notified us today that with the current market conditions we had better bring our clients up to speed on how to maximize their profits with spreads.

So John has scheduled a special webinar for this Tuesday, June 25th at 8 p.m. est, that will do just that. Hope you can make it to this special event where John is not only going to teach us how to use spreads but how it can be done in any size trading account. No matter how big or small your account is.

Just click here for details and to get your seat reservation

John's years of experience and success make all of his events 'can't miss'. Remember, there's no cost to attend, but make sure you take notes so you can apply what he teaches to your trading Wednesday morning, the very next trading day.

See you there,
Ray @ The Crude Oil Trader

Watch "Using Spreads with Maximum Success"

Could TPLM Be The Most Undervalued Bakken Producer

From Bret Jensen, Daily columnist for RealMoney at TheStreet.com. Chief Investment Strategist for Simplified Asset Management......

Earlier this month, I did a deep dive analysis on Triangle Petroleum (click here to get your free trend analysis for Triangle Petroleum). I argued based on recent acquisitions, this Bakken energy producer was tremendously undervalued compared to its acreage and production. I postulated that the stock could double over the next 18-24 months. The stock sold at $5.40 a share at the time of the article. TPLM has moved up more than 25% since then and I continue to see further upside ahead of this fast growing producer.

Today, I want to talk about quite possibly the most undervalued producer in the Bakken that I have in my own portfolio, Emerald Oil (EOX). I would have led with Emerald, except the company has been a serial disappointment to investors over the last couple of years. However, its production and acreage is significantly undervalued by the market. The company also appears to be picking up some positive catalysts and finally looks poised to enable a sustained rise in its equity price.

The company is a small ($160mm market capitalization) independent E&P concern. The company’s main production comes from the 54,000 net acres (23,500 operated acres/30,500 non-operated acres) it has in the Bakken shale region (Williston). It has tens of thousands of other net acres in other shale regions outside the Bakken. Emerald’s main production comes from its core Williston acreage and it has been in the process of selling off its other properties to raise capital to concentrate on developing its operated acreage in the Bakken

Read the Full Story Here 





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The Bible for Commodity Traders....Get our free eBook now!

New video.....How to Profit From Momentum by Trading Market Phases

Today Michelle "Mish" Schneider and the great staff at MarketGauge put their years of experience commodity trading and managing hedge funds to use for us. Showing us how when you define the market phases you put yourself at an advantage on how to approach your trading, because market phases help you determine which direction the market is headed next.
 

Come learn how professional traders apply specific  ‘trade rules’ depending on what phase the market is in to produce greater gains.

Follow the link below to watch a quick video from my friends at MarketGauge that highlights how you can ‘Trade With The Wind At Your Back’. It’s easier than you think to use market phases to gain momentum, and pack BIG gains in your portfolio.

See It Here

In the video you’ll discover how to:

·          Define the market phases to put yourself in a position of power when trading each day.

·          Apply specific ‘trend trade rules’ to current conditions that develop positive momentum for your trading.

·            Identify when the phases will change, leading to massive profit opportunities.

·            Pinpoint the most profitable time to trade for immediate gains.

·        Enter a trend trade before the big move starts, leading to greater gains.

·        Safely trade retracements with HUGE profit potential.
  
       And More…

Don’t just ride the ebbs and flows of the market, get in front of them for larger gain opportunities. Discover how to ‘trade with the wind at your back’ by watching this powerful video.
 

Watch This Video

After the video, be sure to register for special training event from MarketGauge where you will see the ‘Anatomy Of A Perfect Swing Trade’ and learn strategies used by a successful hedge fund manager to read the market, anticipate market swings and ride them with limited risk, and for maximum profit.

See It Here

Marin Katusa: The Global Race for Shale Development Is On

By Marin Katusa, Chief Energy Investment Strategist

Guess who the U.S. Energy Information Agency (EIA) says has 430% more proven gas reserves than the US?


Guess who has twice as much as the U.S. in shale gas technically recoverable?

Guess who has over twice as much proven oil reserves as the U.S.?

The EIA recently published a 730 page report which assesses the shale formations of 41 countries. The global race for shale development has started. Countries that are not now known for their oil and gas production are showing much shale oil and gas promise.

Would you be surprised to know that China has more proven oil reserves than the U.S.?

If you want to know the answers to the three questions we have at the beginning of this missive, then I believe you will be interested in the Casey Energy Report's plans on profiting from the global shale race. If you thought the U.S. was the king of shale, we are sorry to burst your bubble..… it no longer wears the crown.

A picture is worth a thousand words:

Now, do you know how to make money from the global shale race? Countries like China, Argentina, and Russia are starting to exploit their unconventional energy sources. The global race for shale development and exploitation is on, and fortunes will made. Make sure you are well informed before you place your bets on this global race, as fortune will favor the bold – but the informed will fare much better.

Casey Research was the first in the business to publish a report on the potential of the European shales, years before the EIA came out with this report. Our subscribers made over 600% gains on Cuadrilla Resources, which just recently completed a deal with Centrica that valued the company in the hundreds of millions. Been there, done that.

What's next? We are so sure that you will be absolutely satisfied with our Casey Energy Report that we have no hesitations in giving you a 100% money back guarantee.

Sign up Today for a Free Trial.

Welcome aboard Michelle "Mish" Schnieder

We here at the Crude Oil Trader are proud to introduce our newest contributor, Michelle "Mish" Schneider. Mish is well known from her 30 years as an oil/commodities trader as well as being an active hedge fund manager.

And we are lucky enough to have her on board to bring her daily calls to our readers. Make sure you click here to sign up for her "Mish's Market Minute". She will include trade alerts, watch lists, tools, training videos and so much more. Mish's Daily is a concise daily email which gives you insight into what to expect for upcoming short and long term trading opportunities in ETFs that cover the major markets and industry trends.

She is also making her new eBook on swing trading methods available to us.....free of charge.

Just some of the topics she covers in this great eBook are.....

*    Identify (And Trade) Current Market Phases
*    Pinpoint The Most Profitable Time to Trade a Trend
*    Overcome Big Losses And Create Consistent Returns
*    Define Enter And Exit Rules For Maximum Profit
*    Avoid The Common Trader Mistakes That Kill Profits
*     Identify "Super Trends" That Lead to Home Run Trade

And Much More!

So click here and download your copy and welcome Mish aboard!

See you in the markets,
Ray @ The Crude oil Trader

Weekly Energy Futures Recap with Mike Seery

Another week of trading under our belts and that means it's time to check in with Michael Seery of Seery Futures.com to give our readers a weekly recap of the Futures market. Seery has been a senior analyst for close to 15 years and has extensive knowledge of all of the commodity and option markets.....

The energy futures were higher across the board but off of session highs as the stock market is near session lows pushing several of the commodity markets lower for the trading session while crude oil finished up $1.10 at 97.85 a barrel still trading right near recent highs of the trading range but I’m becoming more bearish this sector because the longer prices stay up at these levels without moving higher improves the odd that a top might be in place.

The chart structure in crude oil is excellent at this point in time while it generally follows the S&P 500 due to the fact that the higher the stock market goes the higher the demand for gasoline in theory, however higher interest rates might be here to stay as the Federal Reserve might be running out of bullets to continue to prop up the economy. Heating oil futures for the July contract are breaking out of a 10 week consolidation moving above major resistance at 2.95 a gallon settling at 2.96 a gallon and I’m still somewhat pessimistic about heating oil as we enter the summer months demand should start to slow.

Unleaded gasoline futures which I’ve written about in many blogs and I stated that I was bullish during with the demand season which improving chart structure with prices still around 2.8950 a gallon hitting a 3 month high, however I am generally a trend follower but I still believe that crude oil is getting very toppy up at these levels and there could be a steep decline in the next couple weeks with many of the other commodity sectors across the board including the stock market which has been in a bullish run for 4 years.

The reason commodity prices are headed lower isn’t because the dollar is headed lower which generally is a bullish fundamental factor but the fact that interest rates continue to climb on a daily basis spooking investors thinking that the free money is finally ending which is a pessimistic indicator towards many commodities including the oil sector which has not been affected at this point but in my opinion could be very soon.

Trend: Higher
Chart Structure: Excellant


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Come Monday morning....will you be trading with us or against us?

Did you make it to John Carters webinars this week?

If not it's not to late to see what you missed, here is a replay of one of the webinars.

What's next? Some of us are starting John's training classes this Saturday. And we'll be putting these methods to work first thing Monday morning. Click here to sign today

The week got started when John showed us some live trades that proved that his methods of trading were working for anyone and everyone.....no matter how much money they had in their trading account.

Here's just a sample of what the webinars covered.......

*   The difference between trading for income vs. growth

*   Why attempt to double your account "before" it goes to zero in 12 months or less

*   How to control risk while being an aggressive trader

*   What Stops to use and when

*   The mindset of an aggressive trader

Click Here to Register for classes starting on Saturday

Come Monday morning.....will you be trading with us or against us?

See you in the markets!

Ray C. Parrish
President/CEO The Crude Oil Trader

While the Fed Parties, Gold & Crude Oil Have Left the Building

From guest blogger and trading partner J.W. Jones.....

Risk assets and financial markets around the world have been supported by central bank action for several years. Performing financial alchemy on a scale larger than has been seen in the history of mankind, central banks have hijacked global financial markets. Mountains of liquidity, artificially low interest rates, and the creation of future asset bubbles has been their calling card for the past few years.

Unfortunately, time is starting to run out and these great Keynesian minds are on the verge of encountering a series of problems. While central banks can create fiat currency out of thin air, they cannot create real wealth. In fact, central banks cannot print jobs, earnings growth, or an increase in wages.

Furthermore, in a paper put out by the New York Federal Reserve in 2012 and covered by zerohedge.com (“Fed Confused Reality Doesn’t Conform to Its Economic Models, Shocked Its Models Predict Explosive Inflation”) the Fed openly admits that forward outcomes cannot be predicted with accuracy by their economic models. Furthermore, one of the models known as the Smets and Wouters Model has predicted significant inflation if interest rates were held near zero for more than 8 quarters.

For inquiring minds, I would forward readers to the zerohedge.com article for a more in depth explanation. Ultimately the Federal Reserve is performing a gigantic experiment in real time while admitting their economic models do not accurately portray outcomes in the future. Nowhere can this be seen more than in recent price action in U.S. Treasury prices.

Since mid-November of 2012, the 30 Year Treasury Bond has seen prices go down by roughly 9% in value. When Treasury prices are falling, interest rates are rising as there is an inverse relationship between bond prices and yields. When longer term Treasury bonds are demonstrating rising interest rates it is a signal that the bond market is expecting higher inflation levels out into the future......

Let's look at the weekly chart of the 30 Year Treasury Bond and much more.


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