Statoils (NYSE:STO) second quarter 2013 net operating income was NOK 34.3 billion. Adjusted earnings were NOK 38.0 billion. "Statoil delivered an operationally solid quarter. We produced as planned, delivering record production from our portfolio outside Norway. We are on track and maintain our guidance for 2013," says Helge Lund, Statoil's president and CEO.
"Our financial results were impacted by lower prices for liquids and gas and weak trading results. However, we have maintained good cost control and delivered strong earnings, particularly from our international portfolio," says Lund.
In the quarter, Statoil ramped up several fields. The company continues to have a high activity level in projects on the Norwegian continental shelf, with major field developments ongoing such as Gudrun, Åsgard subsea compression and Valemon.
"The activity level on new field developments is high. We are executing our projects according to plan," says Lund.
Statoil continued its exploration progress with five discoveries in the quarter. The company has accessed attractive exploration acreage in Norway, Russia, Azerbaijan, Tanzania and Australia, further strengthening its position for profitable long term growth.
Second quarter results 2013
Statoil's net operating income was NOK 34.3 billion compared to NOK 62.0 billion in the second quarter of 2012. Adjusted earnings [5] were NOK 38.0 billion, compared to NOK 45.8 billion in the second quarter of 2012. Adjusted earnings after tax [5] were NOK 11.3 billion, compared to NOK 11.5 billion in the second quarter of 2012. Net income was NOK 4.3 billion compared to NOK 26.6 billion in the second quarter of 2012.
Key events since first quarter 2013:
Revitalising Statoil's legacy position on the Norwegian continental shelf (NCS) by progressing new projects as planned, including Gudrun, Åsgard subsea gas compression, Valemon and Aasta Hansteen. Two category- J rigs acquired by the licence partners of Gullfaks and Oseberg Area Unit to increase recovery and extend field life. Johan Castberg project postponed for review, due to updated project estimates and pending clarification in the fiscal framework.
Accessing attractive acreage in the Barents Sea, Brazil, Tanzania, Russia, Caspian and Australia. Oil discoveries announced offshore Newfoundland in Canada and in the Grane area in Norway. Important Johan Sverdrup appraisal completed, confirming the extent and characteristics of the reservoir.
Stepping up our activity in unconventional resources by assuming operatorship for all activities in the eastern part of our Eagle Ford asset in Texas. Statoil now has operational activities in all onshore assets in the US (Bakken, Marcellus and Eagle Ford).
Building offshore clusters by sanctioning the Julia and Heidelberg developments in the Gulf of Mexico.
Creating value from a superior gas position: The Shah Deniz consortium announced that it has selected the Trans Adriatic Pipeline (TAP) to deliver gas from the Shah Deniz Stage 2 project.
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Wednesday, July 24, 2013
Commodities Market Summary for Wednesday Evening
The September S&P 500 closed lower due to profit taking on Wednesday. The low range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when Thursday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are overbought but remain neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near term. If September extends the rally off June's low, upside targets will now be hard to project with the next trading into uncharted territory. Closes below the 20 day moving average crossing at 1648.65 would confirm that a short term top has been posted. First resistance is Tuesday's high crossing at 1695.50. Second resistance is unknown with September trading into uncharted territory. First support is the reaction low crossing at 1666.00. Second support is the 20 day moving average crossing at 1648.65.
September crude oil closed lower due to profit taking on Wednesday and below the 10 day moving average crossing at 106.29 signaling that a short term top is in or is near. The low range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when Thursday's night session begins. Stochastics and the RSI are overbought but are turning bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near term. Closes below the 20 day moving average crossing at 103.25 are needed to confirm that a short term top has been posted. If September renews the rally off April's low, weekly resistance crossing at 109.45 is the next upside target. First resistance is last Friday's high crossing at 108.93. Second resistance is weekly resistance crossing at 109.45. First support is today's low crossing at 104.79. Second support is the 20 day moving average crossing at 103.25.
August Henry natural gas closed lower on Wednesday. The low-range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening on Thursday. Stochastics and the RSI are turning bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near term. Closes below the 20 day moving average crossing at 3.672 would confirm that a short term top has been posted. If August renews last Thursday's rally, the reaction high crossing at 4.003 is the next upside target. First resistance is last Thursday's high crossing at 3.835. Second resistance is the reaction high crossing at 4.003. First support is the 87% retracement level of this year's rally crossing at 3.508. Second support is January's low crossing at 3.365.
August gold closed lower due to profit taking on Wednesday consolidating some of the rally off June's low. The low range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when Thursday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are overbought but remain neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near term. If August extend the rally off June's low, the reaction high crossing at 1394.00 is the next upside target. Closes below the 20 day moving average crossing at 1266.60 would temper the near term friendly outlook. First resistance is today's high crossing at 1348.70. Second resistance is the reaction high crossing at 1394.00. First support is the 20 day moving average crossing at 1266.70. Second support is June's low crossing at 1179.40.
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September crude oil closed lower due to profit taking on Wednesday and below the 10 day moving average crossing at 106.29 signaling that a short term top is in or is near. The low range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when Thursday's night session begins. Stochastics and the RSI are overbought but are turning bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near term. Closes below the 20 day moving average crossing at 103.25 are needed to confirm that a short term top has been posted. If September renews the rally off April's low, weekly resistance crossing at 109.45 is the next upside target. First resistance is last Friday's high crossing at 108.93. Second resistance is weekly resistance crossing at 109.45. First support is today's low crossing at 104.79. Second support is the 20 day moving average crossing at 103.25.
August Henry natural gas closed lower on Wednesday. The low-range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening on Thursday. Stochastics and the RSI are turning bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near term. Closes below the 20 day moving average crossing at 3.672 would confirm that a short term top has been posted. If August renews last Thursday's rally, the reaction high crossing at 4.003 is the next upside target. First resistance is last Thursday's high crossing at 3.835. Second resistance is the reaction high crossing at 4.003. First support is the 87% retracement level of this year's rally crossing at 3.508. Second support is January's low crossing at 3.365.
August gold closed lower due to profit taking on Wednesday consolidating some of the rally off June's low. The low range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when Thursday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are overbought but remain neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near term. If August extend the rally off June's low, the reaction high crossing at 1394.00 is the next upside target. Closes below the 20 day moving average crossing at 1266.60 would temper the near term friendly outlook. First resistance is today's high crossing at 1348.70. Second resistance is the reaction high crossing at 1394.00. First support is the 20 day moving average crossing at 1266.70. Second support is June's low crossing at 1179.40.
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EIA: Underground Natural Gas Working Storage Capacity
Natural gas working storage capacity increased by about 2 percent in the Lower 48 states between November 2011 and November 2012. The U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) has two measures of working gas storage capacity, and both increased by similar amounts:
* Demonstrated maximum volume increased 1.8 percent to 4,265 billion cubic feet (Bcf)
* Design capacity increased 2.0 percent to 4,575 Bcf
Maximum demonstrated working gas volume is an operational measure of the highest level of working gas reported at each storage facility at any time over the previous five years, according to EIA's monthly survey of storage operators. Working gas is the volume of natural gas in an underground natural gas facility available to be withdrawn, not including base gas.
The maximum demonstrated working gas volume is a practical measure of full storage. Filling storage, which requires compressors to inject the gas into the storage facility, becomes more difficult and expensive as storage volume nears its maximum and pressures inside the facility increase.
That's why the demonstrated maximum is generally less than the design capacity, averaging 93% over the past two measurement periods (see Table 1), and why any given week's storage inventory is generally less than the demonstrated maximum. The maximum demonstrated volume provides guidance to operators and market analysts on the economics of filling the system.
Last October, for example, when working gas in storage reached a record-high of 3,930 Bcf, a simple calculation using the then current maximum demonstrated volume (4,188 Bcf) showed storage to be 94% full.
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* Demonstrated maximum volume increased 1.8 percent to 4,265 billion cubic feet (Bcf)
* Design capacity increased 2.0 percent to 4,575 Bcf
Maximum demonstrated working gas volume is an operational measure of the highest level of working gas reported at each storage facility at any time over the previous five years, according to EIA's monthly survey of storage operators. Working gas is the volume of natural gas in an underground natural gas facility available to be withdrawn, not including base gas.
The maximum demonstrated working gas volume is a practical measure of full storage. Filling storage, which requires compressors to inject the gas into the storage facility, becomes more difficult and expensive as storage volume nears its maximum and pressures inside the facility increase.
That's why the demonstrated maximum is generally less than the design capacity, averaging 93% over the past two measurement periods (see Table 1), and why any given week's storage inventory is generally less than the demonstrated maximum. The maximum demonstrated volume provides guidance to operators and market analysts on the economics of filling the system.
Last October, for example, when working gas in storage reached a record-high of 3,930 Bcf, a simple calculation using the then current maximum demonstrated volume (4,188 Bcf) showed storage to be 94% full.
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Tuesday, July 23, 2013
Tuesday's Trading Gives Crude Oil Bulls Some Hope
Tuesday gives oil bulls some hope, but is this the short of a lifetime in crude oil?
September crude oil closed higher [107.38] on Tuesday. The high range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when Wednesday's night session begins. Stochastics and the RSI are overbought but remain neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near term.
If September extends the rally off April's low, weekly resistance crossing at 109.45 is the next upside target. Closes below the 20 day moving average crossing at 102.75 would confirm that a short term top has been posted.
First resistance is last Friday's high crossing at 108.93. Second resistance is weekly resistance crossing at 109.45. First support is the 10 day moving average crossing at 106.33. Second support is the 20 day moving average crossing at 102.75.
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September crude oil closed higher [107.38] on Tuesday. The high range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when Wednesday's night session begins. Stochastics and the RSI are overbought but remain neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near term.
If September extends the rally off April's low, weekly resistance crossing at 109.45 is the next upside target. Closes below the 20 day moving average crossing at 102.75 would confirm that a short term top has been posted.
First resistance is last Friday's high crossing at 108.93. Second resistance is weekly resistance crossing at 109.45. First support is the 10 day moving average crossing at 106.33. Second support is the 20 day moving average crossing at 102.75.
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Monday, July 22, 2013
Free Replay of "How to use Fibonacci Analysis in your Trading" with Carolyn "The Fibonacci Queen" Boroden
Our wildly popular webinar from last week was over subscribed so our trading partner John Carter at Simpler Options has decided to offer it one last time Tuesday July 23rd at 2 p.m. eastern standard time.
In this Free webinar replay Carolyn Boroden and John Carter will discuss:
Simply fill out this simple registration form and you will be automatically registered for the webinar.
See you on Tuesday!
Ray @ The Crude Oil Trader
Register for Free Replay of "How to use Fibonacci Analysis in your Trading"
In this Free webinar replay Carolyn Boroden and John Carter will discuss:
* How to identify Fibonacci support & resistance zones
* The simple way to manage your risk/reward using Fibonacci ratios
* The brain dead easy ways to set up your support & resistance zones
* How you can identify what markets to trade and when
* The secret to identifying high probability targets in stocks and ETFs
........ and much more
Simply fill out this simple registration form and you will be automatically registered for the webinar.
See you on Tuesday!
Ray @ The Crude Oil Trader
Register for Free Replay of "How to use Fibonacci Analysis in your Trading"
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Halliburton Announces Second Quarter Income and Earnings HAL
Halliburton (NYSE:HAL) announced today that income from continuing operations for the second quarter of 2013 was $677 million, or $0.73 per diluted share. This compares to income from continuing operations for the first quarter of 2013 of $624 million, or $0.67 per diluted share, excluding a $637 million charge, after-tax, or $0.68 per diluted share, to increase a reserve related to the Macondo litigation.
Halliburton's total revenue in the second quarter of 2013 was a company record of $7.3 billion, compared to $7.0 billion in the first quarter of 2013. Operating income was $1.0 billion in the second quarter of 2013, compared to operating income of $902 million in the first quarter of 2013, adjusted for the Macondo charge. For the first quarter of 2013, reported loss from continuing operations was $13 million, or $0.01 per diluted share, and reported operating loss was $98 million.
“I am pleased with our second quarter results, as total company revenue of $7.3 billion was a record quarter for Halliburton,” commented Dave Lesar, chairman, president and chief executive officer.
“Looking at our product lines, Baroid, Cementing, Completion Tools, Multi-Chem, and Testing set quarterly revenue records, while Baroid, Testing, and Artificial Lift all set quarterly operating income records.
“Relative to our primary competitors, we have delivered leading year-over-year international revenue growth for five consecutive quarters. Eastern Hemisphere operations grew revenue 11% sequentially, resulting from record revenues in both of our regions, and operating income was up 23%.
“Middle East / Asia, our fastest growing market, improved revenue 12% and operating income 17% sequentially. This across the board growth was led by higher stimulation, wireline, and fluids activity in Malaysia, and improved sales in China.
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Halliburton's total revenue in the second quarter of 2013 was a company record of $7.3 billion, compared to $7.0 billion in the first quarter of 2013. Operating income was $1.0 billion in the second quarter of 2013, compared to operating income of $902 million in the first quarter of 2013, adjusted for the Macondo charge. For the first quarter of 2013, reported loss from continuing operations was $13 million, or $0.01 per diluted share, and reported operating loss was $98 million.
“I am pleased with our second quarter results, as total company revenue of $7.3 billion was a record quarter for Halliburton,” commented Dave Lesar, chairman, president and chief executive officer.
“Looking at our product lines, Baroid, Cementing, Completion Tools, Multi-Chem, and Testing set quarterly revenue records, while Baroid, Testing, and Artificial Lift all set quarterly operating income records.
“Relative to our primary competitors, we have delivered leading year-over-year international revenue growth for five consecutive quarters. Eastern Hemisphere operations grew revenue 11% sequentially, resulting from record revenues in both of our regions, and operating income was up 23%.
“Middle East / Asia, our fastest growing market, improved revenue 12% and operating income 17% sequentially. This across the board growth was led by higher stimulation, wireline, and fluids activity in Malaysia, and improved sales in China.
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Friday, July 19, 2013
18.23% Return Produced During July Option Expiration Cycle
As we move through the July monthly option expiration which will
occur on July 19, 2013 at the close of business we can look back at the
expiration cycle that was. The end of the June monthly option expiration
nearly marked the recent market lows. Since the beginning of the July
expiration cycle we have seen the S&P 500 Index charge higher.
The recent performance in the Options Trading Signals portfolio has charged higher as well. There were 4 trades that were closed during the July expiration cycle. The 4 trades that were closed had a total gross gain of $169 per spread. The total risk assumed in the 4 closed trades was $927. Thus, the four trades produced a gross return on maximum risk of 18.23%.
A trader that risked roughly $2,500 per spread would have had a gross gain of $1,951 for the month of July. The table below demonstrates the trades that were closed during this expiration cycle.

In full disclosure, there were three trades that were rolled forward as price action did not accommodate trade expectations. However, the overall results of the OTS Portfolio since the beginning of the June expiration cycle have been outstanding. The full trade performance is shown below based on actual trading results from the portfolio.

Since the beginning of the June monthly option expiration cycle, the Portfolio has closed 15 total trades. In that time frame only 1 trade has produced a loss and that trade essentially was breakeven overall. The total recent trading results speak for themselves.
Since inception, the OTS Portfolio has taken 171 trades publicly that have been opened and closed. Of the 171 trades executed, 125 trades have produced gains. This equates to over a 73% success rate for all trades that have been opened and closed for the OTS Portfolio since late 2010. It is not a coincidence that the typical probability of success that I focus on for the service is between 60% – 80% probability at the time of trade entry.
Overall, the OTS Portfolio continues to generate strong trading returns while providing members with an opportunity to look over a professional trader’s shoulder to watch how trades are evaluated and when they are taken and why.
The OTS portfolio strategy is focused on a mathematical approach to trading options that gives traders a probability based edge. No more red and green arrows, no more charts with 500 indicators, and no more confusion. The system used is simple and has proven that strong trading results are possible when simple discipline is applied.
If you are looking for a mathematical and statistical based approach to trading, Options Trading Signals service may be a perfect fit to improve your option trading results.
Click here to give Options Trading Signals service a try today!
The recent performance in the Options Trading Signals portfolio has charged higher as well. There were 4 trades that were closed during the July expiration cycle. The 4 trades that were closed had a total gross gain of $169 per spread. The total risk assumed in the 4 closed trades was $927. Thus, the four trades produced a gross return on maximum risk of 18.23%.
A trader that risked roughly $2,500 per spread would have had a gross gain of $1,951 for the month of July. The table below demonstrates the trades that were closed during this expiration cycle.
In full disclosure, there were three trades that were rolled forward as price action did not accommodate trade expectations. However, the overall results of the OTS Portfolio since the beginning of the June expiration cycle have been outstanding. The full trade performance is shown below based on actual trading results from the portfolio.
Since the beginning of the June monthly option expiration cycle, the Portfolio has closed 15 total trades. In that time frame only 1 trade has produced a loss and that trade essentially was breakeven overall. The total recent trading results speak for themselves.
Since inception, the OTS Portfolio has taken 171 trades publicly that have been opened and closed. Of the 171 trades executed, 125 trades have produced gains. This equates to over a 73% success rate for all trades that have been opened and closed for the OTS Portfolio since late 2010. It is not a coincidence that the typical probability of success that I focus on for the service is between 60% – 80% probability at the time of trade entry.
Overall, the OTS Portfolio continues to generate strong trading returns while providing members with an opportunity to look over a professional trader’s shoulder to watch how trades are evaluated and when they are taken and why.
The OTS portfolio strategy is focused on a mathematical approach to trading options that gives traders a probability based edge. No more red and green arrows, no more charts with 500 indicators, and no more confusion. The system used is simple and has proven that strong trading results are possible when simple discipline is applied.
If you are looking for a mathematical and statistical based approach to trading, Options Trading Signals service may be a perfect fit to improve your option trading results.
Click here to give Options Trading Signals service a try today!
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Per Wullf to succeed Fredrik Halvorsen as Chief Executive Officer at SeaDrill SDRL
The Board of Seadrill has today announced that Per Wullf will succeed Fredrik Halvorsen as Chief Executive Officer of Seadrill Management Limited. Mr. Halvorsen has decided to leave Seadrill to join Ubon Partners, a technology venture.
Mr. Wullf has worked for Seadrill since February 2009 as Executive Vice President and Chief Operating Officer. Prior to Seadrill, he held several senior positions in Maersk, most recently as Managing Director of Maersk Contractors in Norway. He has 33 years of experience in the drilling industry, including 17 years in international and offshore operations.
John Fredriksen, Chairman of the Board of Directors said, "The Board would like to express its thanks to Fredrik Halvorsen for his contribution to the Fredriksen group of companies since he joined us in 2010. His track record of managing organizational change brought a much needed skillset to our businesses, including the successful transition of Seadrill Management from Norway to London this year. Mr. Halvorsen will leave the Company at the end of July, and we wish him all the best in the technology venture.
"Since joining Seadrill in 2009, Mr. Wullf's focus on operational performance during a period of phenomenal growth has allowed Seadrill to establish a track record of delivering safe and efficient operations for its customers. He has established strong relationships and an excellent reputation among our major customers and vendors.
"In his new position, Mr. Wullf will retain a strong focus on the operational performance of the fleet, and for the time being will also retain his position as the Company's Chief Operating Officer. Some functions which have previously been a part of the CEO's responsibilities such as investor presentations, corporate transactions, and financing will to a large extent be assumed by the CFO Rune Magnus Lundetrae and the CAO Rob Hingley-Wilson. This is being done in order for Mr. Wullf to maintain maximum focus on Seadrill's expansion and operation.
"The Board, including myself, will continue to be very actively involved in the strategic development of the Company as well as monitoring the Company's operation. With his strong track record, Mr. Wullf is a natural choice for the Board to ensure a smooth transition and bring Seadrill to the next level. Together with the support of his first class team and the industry's most modern equipment, we look forward to continued success and growth."
Seadrill has a versatile fleet comprising of 62 units, including newbuilds under construction. The fleet operates across five continents supported by over 7,500 employees worldwide.
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Mr. Wullf has worked for Seadrill since February 2009 as Executive Vice President and Chief Operating Officer. Prior to Seadrill, he held several senior positions in Maersk, most recently as Managing Director of Maersk Contractors in Norway. He has 33 years of experience in the drilling industry, including 17 years in international and offshore operations.
John Fredriksen, Chairman of the Board of Directors said, "The Board would like to express its thanks to Fredrik Halvorsen for his contribution to the Fredriksen group of companies since he joined us in 2010. His track record of managing organizational change brought a much needed skillset to our businesses, including the successful transition of Seadrill Management from Norway to London this year. Mr. Halvorsen will leave the Company at the end of July, and we wish him all the best in the technology venture.
"Since joining Seadrill in 2009, Mr. Wullf's focus on operational performance during a period of phenomenal growth has allowed Seadrill to establish a track record of delivering safe and efficient operations for its customers. He has established strong relationships and an excellent reputation among our major customers and vendors.
"In his new position, Mr. Wullf will retain a strong focus on the operational performance of the fleet, and for the time being will also retain his position as the Company's Chief Operating Officer. Some functions which have previously been a part of the CEO's responsibilities such as investor presentations, corporate transactions, and financing will to a large extent be assumed by the CFO Rune Magnus Lundetrae and the CAO Rob Hingley-Wilson. This is being done in order for Mr. Wullf to maintain maximum focus on Seadrill's expansion and operation.
"The Board, including myself, will continue to be very actively involved in the strategic development of the Company as well as monitoring the Company's operation. With his strong track record, Mr. Wullf is a natural choice for the Board to ensure a smooth transition and bring Seadrill to the next level. Together with the support of his first class team and the industry's most modern equipment, we look forward to continued success and growth."
Seadrill has a versatile fleet comprising of 62 units, including newbuilds under construction. The fleet operates across five continents supported by over 7,500 employees worldwide.
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Wednesday, July 17, 2013
Kinder Morgan Energy Partners (NYSE: KMP) today increased its quarterly cash distribution per common unit to $1.32 ($5.28 annualized) payable on Aug. 14, 2013, to unitholders of record as of July 31, 2013. This represents a 7 percent increase over the second quarter 2012 cash distribution per unit of $1.23 ($4.92 annualized) and is up from $1.30 per unit ($5.20 annualized) for the first quarter of 2013. KMP has increased the distribution 48 times since current management took over in February 1997.
Chairman and CEO Richard D. Kinder said, “KMP had a strong second quarter as our stable and diversified assets continued to grow and produce incremental cash flow. Our five business segments produced approximately $1.337 billion in segment earnings before DD&A and certain items, up 39 percent from the second quarter of 2012. Growth was spearheaded by the drop downs from Kinder Morgan, Inc. associated with its acquisition of El Paso Corporation last year, contributions from the midstream assets we recently acquired in the Copano Energy transaction, strong oil production in our CO2 segment and good results at our Products Pipelines business.
Looking forward, we see exceptional growth opportunities across all of our business segments, as there is a need to build additional midstream infrastructure to move or store oil, gas and liquids from the prolific shale plays in the United States and the oilsands in Alberta, along with increasing demand for CO2, which is used for enhanced oil recovery. We currently have identified approximately $13 billion in expansion and joint venture investments at KMP and we are pursuing customer commitments for additional projects.”
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Chairman and CEO Richard D. Kinder said, “KMP had a strong second quarter as our stable and diversified assets continued to grow and produce incremental cash flow. Our five business segments produced approximately $1.337 billion in segment earnings before DD&A and certain items, up 39 percent from the second quarter of 2012. Growth was spearheaded by the drop downs from Kinder Morgan, Inc. associated with its acquisition of El Paso Corporation last year, contributions from the midstream assets we recently acquired in the Copano Energy transaction, strong oil production in our CO2 segment and good results at our Products Pipelines business.
Looking forward, we see exceptional growth opportunities across all of our business segments, as there is a need to build additional midstream infrastructure to move or store oil, gas and liquids from the prolific shale plays in the United States and the oilsands in Alberta, along with increasing demand for CO2, which is used for enhanced oil recovery. We currently have identified approximately $13 billion in expansion and joint venture investments at KMP and we are pursuing customer commitments for additional projects.”
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Tuesday, July 16, 2013
Free Webinar: An evening with Carolyn "The Fibonacci Queen" Boroden Wednesday, July 17th at 8:00PM est
Time is running out to get your seat for Wednesdays webinar with Carolyn "The Fibonacci Queen" Boroden and John Carter of Simpler Options. So sign up now!
For years Carolyn Boroden has been using and teaching fund managers Fibonacci based market geometry and symmetry that provides the edge needed to succeed in choosing your entry and exits points for your biggest trades. And you can easily use these methods whether you are trading stocks, currencies, ETFs or commodities.
In this Free webinar Carolyn and John will show us......
* How to identify Fibonacci support & resistance zones
* The simple way to manage your risk/reward using Fibonacci ratios
* The brain dead easy ways to set up your support & resistance zones
* How you can identify what markets to trade and when
* The secret to identifying high probability targets in stocks and ETFs .... and much more
Simply click here and fill out your email address, click submit and you will be automatically registered for the webinar.
Get your seat now for "How to Use Fibonacci Analysis in Your Trading"
See you on Wednesday,
Ray @ The Crude Oil Trader
For years Carolyn Boroden has been using and teaching fund managers Fibonacci based market geometry and symmetry that provides the edge needed to succeed in choosing your entry and exits points for your biggest trades. And you can easily use these methods whether you are trading stocks, currencies, ETFs or commodities.
In this Free webinar Carolyn and John will show us......
* How to identify Fibonacci support & resistance zones
* The simple way to manage your risk/reward using Fibonacci ratios
* The brain dead easy ways to set up your support & resistance zones
* How you can identify what markets to trade and when
* The secret to identifying high probability targets in stocks and ETFs .... and much more
Simply click here and fill out your email address, click submit and you will be automatically registered for the webinar.
Get your seat now for "How to Use Fibonacci Analysis in Your Trading"
See you on Wednesday,
Ray @ The Crude Oil Trader
Monday, July 15, 2013
Why Great Stocks Drop Hard and Reverse
Institutional sell programs and bots cause disruptions with David Banister, Chief Strategist at the Active Trading Partners......
One thing that will always over rule charts and technical analysis is fundamentals in the long run. To be sure, I love technical analysis but I always combine my work there with fundamental research. I rarely if ever buy a stock just because the chart looks nice, that is almost always a recipe for disaster.
With that said, how many times have you seen a good company with strong fundamentals and a seemingly great looking chart break down over 1-2 weeks and take everyone out of the trade? Then for sure, the stock reverses right back up all the way back to where the decline began? To make matters worse, this happens without any real news or any bad news as it were. What is it that causes these crazy down the mountain and up the mountain moves anyways?
Insitutional Sell Programs— sometimes referred to as “Bots” or “Algo” program trading
How does it work?
In an apparently strong fundamental growth stock with no apparent issues, an institution will have a pre-defined price at which point instructions are triggered to liquidate the entire position almost at any price once that price point is hit. They protect themselves ahead of time with Puts, which give them profits if the targeted stock drops hard while they are selling out of the position, thereby locking in their targeted sell price.
Lets take several examples, here's the 3 month charts to show you exactly how they look on paper.
Free Webinar with Carolyn "The Fibonacci Queen" Boroden "How to Use Fibonacci Analysis in Your Trading" this Wednesday, July 17th at 8:00PM est
One thing that will always over rule charts and technical analysis is fundamentals in the long run. To be sure, I love technical analysis but I always combine my work there with fundamental research. I rarely if ever buy a stock just because the chart looks nice, that is almost always a recipe for disaster.
With that said, how many times have you seen a good company with strong fundamentals and a seemingly great looking chart break down over 1-2 weeks and take everyone out of the trade? Then for sure, the stock reverses right back up all the way back to where the decline began? To make matters worse, this happens without any real news or any bad news as it were. What is it that causes these crazy down the mountain and up the mountain moves anyways?
Insitutional Sell Programs— sometimes referred to as “Bots” or “Algo” program trading
How does it work?
In an apparently strong fundamental growth stock with no apparent issues, an institution will have a pre-defined price at which point instructions are triggered to liquidate the entire position almost at any price once that price point is hit. They protect themselves ahead of time with Puts, which give them profits if the targeted stock drops hard while they are selling out of the position, thereby locking in their targeted sell price.
Lets take several examples, here's the 3 month charts to show you exactly how they look on paper.
Free Webinar with Carolyn "The Fibonacci Queen" Boroden "How to Use Fibonacci Analysis in Your Trading" this Wednesday, July 17th at 8:00PM est
Labels:
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David Banister,
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reverses,
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Continuous Commodity Index Points to Rally in Gold & Silver
During the recent weeks we have seen commodities especially precious metals continue to drop in value. Market participant sentiment has become more bearish on commodities and couple that with a rising dollar it’s no wonder why we continue to see commodities as a whole fall in value.
Money has been flowing out of bonds at record levels this summer telling us most of market participants are feeling bullish on the stock market. This shift in sentiment of the masses are typical as they move their money from the risk on safer assets (bonds & commodities) and rotate into risk-on assets like stocks. While this is a bearish (contrarian sign) stocks could easily continue to rally for an extended period of time and possibly several more months before they actually top out.
Just click here and we'll take a look at the financial market business cycle diagram.
Don't miss this weeks Free Webinar with Carolyn "The Fibonacci Queen" Boroden. Just click here to attend "How to Use Fibonacci Analysis in Your Trading" Wednesday, July 17th at 8:00PM est
Money has been flowing out of bonds at record levels this summer telling us most of market participants are feeling bullish on the stock market. This shift in sentiment of the masses are typical as they move their money from the risk on safer assets (bonds & commodities) and rotate into risk-on assets like stocks. While this is a bearish (contrarian sign) stocks could easily continue to rally for an extended period of time and possibly several more months before they actually top out.
Just click here and we'll take a look at the financial market business cycle diagram.
Don't miss this weeks Free Webinar with Carolyn "The Fibonacci Queen" Boroden. Just click here to attend "How to Use Fibonacci Analysis in Your Trading" Wednesday, July 17th at 8:00PM est
Saturday, July 13, 2013
Free Webinar: How to Use Fibonacci Analysis in Your Trading Wednesday, July 17th at 8:00PM est
For years Carolyn Boroden has been using Fibonacci based market geometry and symmetry that provides the edge needed to succeed in choosing your entry and exits points for your biggest trades. And you can easily use these methods whether you are trading stocks, currencies, ETFs or commodities.
In this Free webinar Carolyn "The Fibonacci Queen" Boroden and "Simpler Options" John Carter will show us......
* How to identify Fibonacci support & resistance zones
* The simple way to manage your risk/reward using Fibonacci ratios
* The brain dead easy ways to set up your support & resistance zones
* How you can identify what markets to trade and when
* The secret to identifying high probability targets in stocks and ETFs .... and much more
Simply click here and fill out your email address, click submit and you will be automatically registered for the webinar.
Watch "How to Use Fibonacci Analysis in Your Trading"
See you on Wednesday,
Ray @ The Crude Oil Trader
In this Free webinar Carolyn "The Fibonacci Queen" Boroden and "Simpler Options" John Carter will show us......
* How to identify Fibonacci support & resistance zones
* The simple way to manage your risk/reward using Fibonacci ratios
* The brain dead easy ways to set up your support & resistance zones
* How you can identify what markets to trade and when
* The secret to identifying high probability targets in stocks and ETFs .... and much more
Simply click here and fill out your email address, click submit and you will be automatically registered for the webinar.
Watch "How to Use Fibonacci Analysis in Your Trading"
See you on Wednesday,
Ray @ The Crude Oil Trader
Labels:
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commodities,
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Friday, July 12, 2013
Weekly Precious Metals Market Recap with Mike Seery
The precious metals had one of the best weeks to the upside in quite some time because of statements from Ben Bernanke coming out basically stating he’s going to continue QE3 forever which put the fire under gold prices up 4 days in a row before Friday as profit taking set in down about $3 at 1,277 an ounce after settling last Friday 1,212 now trading at 1,278 above its 20 day moving average but below its 100 day moving average and now has started to form excellent chart structure with a possible bottom being formed in recent weeks hitting a 3 week high in yesterday’s trade.
I have been bearish gold and the precious metals for quite some time but I’m recommending to sit on the sidelines with a possible break out to the upside which is pretty amazing as I’ve been bearish forever but the trend can change very quickly so I’m looking at gold to the upside if it breaks out above 1300.
Silver futures for the September contract are right at their 20 day moving average but below their 100 day moving average also at a 3 week high also developing excellent chart structure settling last Friday at 18.73 up around $1.00 this week currently going out around 19.78 an ounce and if you’re looking to get long this market I would buy a futures mini contract and place a stop below the contract low risking around $1500 per contract.
Copper futures which I have been bearish for quite some time and now I’m neutral because it hit a 10 day high in yesterday’s trade also with excellent chart structure settling at 3.0650 last Friday currently going out around 3.17 a pound trading above its 20 day moving average with a possible short term bottom in place as the entire precious metal sector is starting to look bullish.
I’m still advising traders to sit on the sideline and wait for a 4 week high before entering and that could be next week especially if we have tighter trading ranges but the tide may have turned as Ben Bernanke refuses to let commodity, housing and stock prices to go down & he will do anything in is power to keep printing money and keep artificially inflating prices that should be much lower in my opinion.
This man has way too much power in my opinion there are 7 billion people on this planet with one person dictating everything & I think that is out of control & has never happened in the history of the world and I do believe one day this will end in a total disaster and I do mean total disaster.
Click here to check in with Mike on other weekly futures like the grains, sugar, orange juice, cotton, lumber and coffee.
How to Find Key Levels in Precious Metals to Take High Probability Trades
I have been bearish gold and the precious metals for quite some time but I’m recommending to sit on the sidelines with a possible break out to the upside which is pretty amazing as I’ve been bearish forever but the trend can change very quickly so I’m looking at gold to the upside if it breaks out above 1300.
Silver futures for the September contract are right at their 20 day moving average but below their 100 day moving average also at a 3 week high also developing excellent chart structure settling last Friday at 18.73 up around $1.00 this week currently going out around 19.78 an ounce and if you’re looking to get long this market I would buy a futures mini contract and place a stop below the contract low risking around $1500 per contract.
Copper futures which I have been bearish for quite some time and now I’m neutral because it hit a 10 day high in yesterday’s trade also with excellent chart structure settling at 3.0650 last Friday currently going out around 3.17 a pound trading above its 20 day moving average with a possible short term bottom in place as the entire precious metal sector is starting to look bullish.
I’m still advising traders to sit on the sideline and wait for a 4 week high before entering and that could be next week especially if we have tighter trading ranges but the tide may have turned as Ben Bernanke refuses to let commodity, housing and stock prices to go down & he will do anything in is power to keep printing money and keep artificially inflating prices that should be much lower in my opinion.
This man has way too much power in my opinion there are 7 billion people on this planet with one person dictating everything & I think that is out of control & has never happened in the history of the world and I do believe one day this will end in a total disaster and I do mean total disaster.
Click here to check in with Mike on other weekly futures like the grains, sugar, orange juice, cotton, lumber and coffee.
How to Find Key Levels in Precious Metals to Take High Probability Trades
Labels:
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Thursday, July 11, 2013
New video: Today's Crude Oil Trade....Key levels, entry and exit points, with John Carter
But the key isn't the oil trade example you'll see, it's the strategy someone taught John that makes the huge trade possible. That someone is none other then the Fibonacci Queen, Carolyn Boroden.
The short video makes available to you the same strategy John uses when he trades oil and how he identifies entry targets and when to take profits.
Click here to watch "Today's Crude Oil Trade....Key levels, entry and exit points, with John Carter"
Labels:
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Crude Oil,
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Platts: ICE Brent futures lose previous quarter's premium to NYMEX WTI, Dubai
After a strong performance at the beginning of the year, the forward Brent complex lost some of its strength to WTI and Dubai crude futures in the second quarter of 2013 on a combination of European demand woes and stronger East and West crudes.
The narrowing of the spread between the ICE Brent futures and NYMEX light sweet contract, known as Brent/WTI spread, was a notable change in the quarter.
Toward the end of June, the ICE Brent front-month futures contract narrowed its premium to front-month NYMEX crude to below $6/barrel, more than halving from the beginning of the quarter. (A trend which of course has continued, with the spread tumbling below $5/b and even $4/b in just the first three days of July.)
Here's a short video in which John Carter shows how he trades oil and how he identifies targets when to take profit.
The narrowing of the spread between the ICE Brent futures and NYMEX light sweet contract, known as Brent/WTI spread, was a notable change in the quarter.
Toward the end of June, the ICE Brent front-month futures contract narrowed its premium to front-month NYMEX crude to below $6/barrel, more than halving from the beginning of the quarter. (A trend which of course has continued, with the spread tumbling below $5/b and even $4/b in just the first three days of July.)
Here's a short video in which John Carter shows how he trades oil and how he identifies targets when to take profit.
Wednesday, July 10, 2013
New video: Carolyn Borodens "Secrets to Maximizng your Profits and Minimizing your Risk"
In today's new video from John Carter he shows us how the strategies taught to him by our very own Carolyn "The Fibonacci Queen" Boroden helped him make 93k because Carolyn made it clear how to use her secrets to know when to exit these big trades.
You may recognize Carolyn from CNBC, but she's trading with us now. If you have been following the Crude Oil Trader then you know John Carter has made us a lot of money in 2013. Bringing in HIS instructor, one of the real "hot hands" on Wall Street, is going to take all of us to another level whether you are trading commodities, equities, currencies or options.
Click Here to Watch Video
Here's what John will be covering in this video. You'll learn......
• How to Know When to Enter a Trade
• How to Know When to Take Profits
• How to Find Key Levels to Take High Probability Trades
• How to Time Your Trade for Maximum Profit
• How to Minimize Your Risk
Just click Here to Watch Carolyn Bordens "Secrets to Maximizng your Profits and Minimizing your Risk"
You may recognize Carolyn from CNBC, but she's trading with us now. If you have been following the Crude Oil Trader then you know John Carter has made us a lot of money in 2013. Bringing in HIS instructor, one of the real "hot hands" on Wall Street, is going to take all of us to another level whether you are trading commodities, equities, currencies or options.
Click Here to Watch Video
Here's what John will be covering in this video. You'll learn......
• How to Know When to Enter a Trade
• How to Know When to Take Profits
• How to Find Key Levels to Take High Probability Trades
• How to Time Your Trade for Maximum Profit
• How to Minimize Your Risk
Just click Here to Watch Carolyn Bordens "Secrets to Maximizng your Profits and Minimizing your Risk"
Labels:
Carolyn Boroden,
CNBC,
commodities,
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currencies,
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John Carter,
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video
Rigzone: Rail Delivery of Oil, Petroleum Products Continues to Increase
From Robin Dupre at Rigzone.....
With U.S. crude oil producing at record amounts and outstripping pipeline capacity, the country is relying heavily on railroads to move new crude oil to refineries and storage centers, reported the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) Wednesday.
The total amount of crude oil and refined products being transported by rail is close to 356,000 carloads during the first half of 2013, up 48 percent from the same period last year, according to Association of American Railroads.
“U.S. weekly car loadings of crude oil and petroleum products averaged nearly 13,700 rail tankers during the January to June 2013 period. With one rail carload holding about 700 barrels, the amount of crude oil and petroleum products shipped by rail was equal to 1.37 million barrels per day during the first half of 2013, up from 927,000 barrels per day during the first six months of last year. Crude oil accounted for about half of the 2013 daily volumes," reported AAR.
"Increases in rail transportation multifactor productivity can be traced to technical progress, such as improved capital inputs and technological changes in the form of improved methods of service delivery. Improved technology for locomotives, freight cars, and track and structures have increased reliability and reduced maintenance needs," added the United States Department of Transportation.
A large portion of the produced crude oil is from North Dakota where there is not enough pipeline capacity to move supplies, therefore dependency on delivery of oil by rail is substantial. North Dakota currently ranks as the second largest oil producing state after Texas, reported EIA.
"The roughly 700,000 barrels per day of crude oil, which includes both imported and domestic crude oil, moved by rail compares with the 7.2 million barrels of crude oil the United States produces daily," added EIA.
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With U.S. crude oil producing at record amounts and outstripping pipeline capacity, the country is relying heavily on railroads to move new crude oil to refineries and storage centers, reported the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) Wednesday.
The total amount of crude oil and refined products being transported by rail is close to 356,000 carloads during the first half of 2013, up 48 percent from the same period last year, according to Association of American Railroads.
“U.S. weekly car loadings of crude oil and petroleum products averaged nearly 13,700 rail tankers during the January to June 2013 period. With one rail carload holding about 700 barrels, the amount of crude oil and petroleum products shipped by rail was equal to 1.37 million barrels per day during the first half of 2013, up from 927,000 barrels per day during the first six months of last year. Crude oil accounted for about half of the 2013 daily volumes," reported AAR.
"Increases in rail transportation multifactor productivity can be traced to technical progress, such as improved capital inputs and technological changes in the form of improved methods of service delivery. Improved technology for locomotives, freight cars, and track and structures have increased reliability and reduced maintenance needs," added the United States Department of Transportation.
A large portion of the produced crude oil is from North Dakota where there is not enough pipeline capacity to move supplies, therefore dependency on delivery of oil by rail is substantial. North Dakota currently ranks as the second largest oil producing state after Texas, reported EIA.
"The roughly 700,000 barrels per day of crude oil, which includes both imported and domestic crude oil, moved by rail compares with the 7.2 million barrels of crude oil the United States produces daily," added EIA.
Join our FREE Newsletter Today!
The Bible for Commodity Traders....Get our free eBook now!
Tuesday, July 9, 2013
Shell Names Ben van Beurden as new CEO
Shell (RDS.A) has named Ben van Beurden, the head of its Downstream business, as CEO to replace Peter Voser, who had already announced he is leaving the company. Van Beurden will take over in January next year. He joined Shell in 1983 and has held a number of technical and commercial positions in the company's Upstream and Downstream operations.
A "solid Shell man," new CEO Ben van Beurden has worked for Shell [RDS.A] for 30 years, turning around the chemicals business and spending 10 years in its liquefied natural gas business. But Chairman Jorma Ollila's comment that the new CEO would "continue to... develop the strategic agenda we have set out" suggests there's no real change ahead - which leaves little for investors to get excited about.
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The Bible for Commodity Traders....Get our free eBook now!
A "solid Shell man," new CEO Ben van Beurden has worked for Shell [RDS.A] for 30 years, turning around the chemicals business and spending 10 years in its liquefied natural gas business. But Chairman Jorma Ollila's comment that the new CEO would "continue to... develop the strategic agenda we have set out" suggests there's no real change ahead - which leaves little for investors to get excited about.
Join our FREE Newsletter Today!
The Bible for Commodity Traders....Get our free eBook now!
Labels:
Ben van Beurden,
CEO,
Natural Gas,
Peter Voser,
RDS.A,
Shell
The 30 Second Technical Flash Chart Report on U.S. Equities
Chris Vermeulen shows us how U.S. Equities opened higher on Monday and are, in his opinion, setting up for a sharp pullback based on technical analysis using trends, cycles, momentum, volume, market breadth and key resistance zones.
Take a look at his chart work for a quick flash of what he thinks.
Entire article > "The 30 Second Technical Flash Chart Report on US Equities"
The Bible for Commodity Traders....Get our free eBook now!
Take a look at his chart work for a quick flash of what he thinks.
Entire article > "The 30 Second Technical Flash Chart Report on US Equities"
The Bible for Commodity Traders....Get our free eBook now!
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