Crude Oil Falls a Third Day on Forecast U.S. Shed More Jobs

Crude oil fell for a third day before a report forecast to show the U.S. unemployment increased last month, signaling the world’s largest energy user remains mired in recession. U.S. fuel demand in the four weeks ended June 26 fell 5.8 percent from a year earlier, while demand for distillate fuel including heating oil and diesel, fell 9.4 percent, according to a Department of Energy report yesterday. The Labor Department will likely report the U.S. shed an additional 365,000 jobs in June, a Bloomberg survey showed.....Complete Story

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Crude Oil Is Little Changed After Falling on Weak Fuel Demand

Crude oil traded little changed after falling in the past two days, as demand for gasoline and diesel in the U.S. remained weak during the recession. Fuel demand in the world’s largest energy user in the four weeks ended June 26 fell 5.8 percent from a year earlier, according to a Department of Energy report yesterday. Demand for distillate fuel including heating oil and diesel fell 9.4 percent to 3.4 million barrels a day during the period.....Complete Story

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Natural Gas Set Up For Lower Opening on Thursday

Natural gas closed lower on Wednesday as it extended the decline off June's high. The low range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening on Thursday. Stochastics and the RSI remain bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near term.

If August extends this week's decline, the reaction low crossing at 3.710 is the next downside target. From a broad perspective, August needs to close above 4.820 or below 3.520 to confirm a breakout of this spring's trading range and point the direction of the next trending move.

First resistance is the 10 day moving average crossing at 4.01
Second resistance is the reaction high crossing at 4.57

First support is today's low crossing at 3.76
Second support is the reaction low crossing at 3.71

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Crude Oil Closes Lower After Whipsaw Day of Trading

Crude oil closed lower due to profit taking on Wednesday as it extended Tuesday's decline. The low range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening on Thursday.

Despite today's setback stochastics and the RSI remain bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near term. Closes above the reaction high crossing at 72.85 are needed to confirm that a short term low has been posted.

If August crude oil renews last week's decline, the 38% retracement level of this spring's rally crossing at 62.25 is the next downside target.

First resistance is Tuesday's high crossing at 73.38
Second resistance is this month's high crossing at 73.90

First support is last Tuesday's low crossing at 66.37
Second support is the 38% retracement level at 62.25

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Oil and Gasoline Fall on Bigger Than Forecast Fuel Supply Increase

Crude oil and gasoline fell after a U.S. government report showed that fuel supplies in the world’s biggest energy consuming country rose more than forecast. Gasoline stockpiles increased 2.33 million barrels to 211.2 million in the week ended June 26, the Energy Department said. Inventories were estimated to rise by 2 million barrels, according to a Bloomberg News survey. Stockpiles of distillate fuel, a category that includes diesel and heating oil.....Complete Story

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BG Group Takes Billion Dollar Bite of US Shale

BG Group agreed to pay $1 billion for a stake in Dallas based Exco Resources Inc.'s shale gas properties in Texas and Louisiana, becoming the latest European oil major to move into U.S. unconventional natural gas. The deal follows similar moves by StatoilHydro ASA of Norway and the British oil major BP PLC, who both recently acquired interests in shale gas fields in the U.S., one of the hottest new hydrocarbon plays.....Complete Story

Crude Oil Stockpiles Drop

Crude inventories dropped again last week, though gasoline stockpiles continued to rise as refineries increased output, the government said Wednesday. Crude inventories fell by 3.7 million barrels, or 1 percent, to 350.2 million barrels, which is 18.3 percent above year ago levels, the Energy Department's Energy Information Administration said in its weekly report. Analysts had expected a drop of 2.2 million barrels for the week ended.....Complete Story

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Oil Companies Reject Iraq's Contract Terms

Iraq awarded a BP led consortium the right to develop the giant Rumaila oil field but failed to strike deals for seven oil and gas fields as companies balked at the country's contract terms. The outcome raised questions about how quickly Iraq could rehabilitate its oil sector, which has suffered from years of war and neglect. The country relies on oil sales for more than 90% of government revenue. Iraqi officials hailed the sole award for the Rumaila.....Complete Story

Oil to Rise After Averting Slide: Technical Analysis

Crude oil is set to extend gains amid this week’s volatility and may reach the $76 a barrel level last traded in mid October, said the head of Cameron Hanover Inc. The market’s ability today to stay close to the psychologically important $70 a barrel mark is keeping prices from slipping into a technical downtrend channel on the daily continuation chart, said Peter Beutel, president of the New Canaan, Connecticut, trading advisory firm.....Complete Story

Oil Rises Before Report Forecast to Show U.S. Supplies Shrank

Oil advanced before the release of a report predicted to show that U.S. crude supplies contracted for a fourth week, stoking optimism that fuel demand will recover as the recession abates. The Energy Department will probably report today that crude oil stockpiles dropped 2 million barrels last week, according to a Bloomberg survey. Yesterday the industry funded American Petroleum Institute said crude supplies fell by 6.8 million barrels.....Complete Story

Crude Oil Rebounds Overnight

Crude oil traded higher overnight as it consolidates above the 20 day moving average crossing at 70.53. Stochastics and the RSI are bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near term.

If August extends this week's rally, this month's high crossing at 73.90 is the next upside target. Closes below Monday's low crossing at 68.36 are needed to confirm that a short term top has been posted.

Wednesday's pivot point, our line in the sand is 70.72

First resistance is Tuesday's high crossing at 73.38.
Second resistance is this month's high crossing at 73.90.

First support is the 10 day moving average crossing at 69.94.
Second support is Monday's low crossing at 68.36.

Today’s Stock Market Club Trading Triangles

IEA Wary of Economic Impact on Energy

The lingering economic crisis and disputes between Russia and Ukraine create uncertainties in the oil and gas sector, the International Energy Agency reports. "The global financial crisis has turned the economic landscape upside down, with huge implications for the oil and gas sector," said Nobuo Tanaka, executive director of the IEA. Tanaka said modest recovery in prices may be a false front as reactionary increases could undermine optimism.....Complete Story

Oilfield Activity May Be Rebounding

After months of decommissioning drilling rigs to balance out lower energy prices and expensive well service costs, mass amputations appear to be over in the oilfield due to a rebound in prices. However, the natural gas sector continues to drown in oversupply. The national oil and gas rig count has been slashed in half since last summer's highs. But since June 5, the number of oil rigs in production has climbed from 179 to 219.....Complete Story

Trading Video > US Dollar Index and it’s affect on Crude Oil

Natural Gas Renews This Months Decline

Natural gas closed lower on Tuesday thereby renewing the decline off this month's high. The mid range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening on Wednesday. Stochastics and the RSI remain neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near term.

If August extends today's decline, the reaction low crossing at 3.710 is the next downside target. From a broad perspective, August needs to close above 4.820 or below 3.520 to confirm a breakout of this spring's trading range and point the direction of the next trending move.

First resistance is the 10 day moving average crossing at 4.08
Second resistance is the reaction high crossing at 4.57

First support is today's low crossing at 3.80
Second support is the reaction low crossing at 3.71

American Petro Hunter Plans Next Kansas Oil Well

American Petro Hunter has announced that the next prospective oil well in the Company's project development drilling schedule will be at the Brinkman Prospect in Clark County, Kansas and has been designated as the #1 Lee 18AB oil well. The well is currently undergoing permitting, and site surveys are ongoing for a spud date in approximately two weeks on or around July 15th dependent upon rig availability. The Brinkman Prospect is located.....Complete Story

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Oil Rises After Industry Report Shows Drop in Crude Inventories

Oil rose above $70 after an industry report showed the biggest decline in crude inventories since September in the U.S., the world’s largest user of the fuel. Crude supplies fell by 6.8 million barrels to 349.7 million last week, the industry funded American Petroleum Institute said yesterday. A U.S. Energy Department report today will probably show crude oil stockpiles declined 2 million barrels, according to the median of 15 estimates in a Bloomberg News survey.....Complete Story

Today’s Stock Market Club Trading Triangles

Sharon Epperson: Where Is Oil Headed For Wednesday

CNBC's Sharon Epperson discusses the day's activity in the commodities markets, and looks ahead to where oil is likely headed tomorrow.

Tuesday Proves To Be Consolidation Day For Crude Oil

Crude oil closed lower due to profit taking on Tuesday as it consolidated some of the rally off last week's low. The low range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening on Wednesday.

Despite today's setback stochastics and the RSI remain bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near term. Closes above the reaction high crossing at 72.85 are needed to confirm that a short term low has been posted.

If August renews last week's decline, the 38% retracement level of this spring's rally crossing at 62.25 is the next downside target.

First resistance is today's high crossing at 73.38
Second resistance is this month's high crossing at 73.90

First support is last Tuesday's low crossing at 66.37
Second support is the 38% retracement level at 62.25

Oil Plunges 3% to Just Over $69

Oil prices fell more than 3% to $69 a barrel on Tuesday, pressured by a stronger U.S. dollar and as weak consumer confidence data hit equities. Crude for August delivery traded $2.15 lower at $69.34 a barrel, off its earlier eight month high of $73.38. The U.S. dollar rose against the euro, adding pressure to oil prices. A stronger dollar makes commodities denominated in the currency more expensive for investors.....Complete Story

Petrobras Focuses on Costs Ahead of Rig, Platform Tenders

Brazilian state run energy giant Petrobras continues to take a hard line on cost cuts as it prepares to launch tenders for drilling rigs and production platforms. The tenders will likely come to market soon, Chief Financial Officer Almir Barbassa said at a meeting with reporters. "We're in the final phase of the concession process," Barbassa said. The company is hammering out details for financing drill rigs, a complex task, the executive added.....Complete Story

BP, CNPC Win Iraqi Rumaila Oil Field Development Deal

BP and China National Petroleum Corp. have won a contract for the development of Iraq's Rumaila oil field, the first of eight giant Iraqi oil and gas development projects for which Iraq began receiving bids Tuesday, Iraqi officials said. Selected foreign companies including international oil majors and Japanese companies are making bids. Iraq is offering contracts to foreign companies for the first time in around 40 years since its energy.....Complete Story

Oil Falls From Eight Month High on U.S., U.K. Economic Reports

Crude oil fell from an eight month high and gasoline slipped as reports showed that U.S. consumer confidence showed an unexpected decline in June and the U.K. economy shrank the most since 1958. Oil dropped more than $2 after the Conference Board’s sentiment index weakened to 49.3 from a revised 54.8 in May, the New York based research group said today. Gross domestic product in the U.K. decreased 2.4 percent in the first quarter from the final three months of 2008, the Office for National Statistics said today in London.....Complete Story

Oil Trades Little Changed on Forecast U.S. Fuel Stockpiles Rose

Crude oil traded little changed, poised for its biggest quarterly gain since 1990 before a report tomorrow expected to show an increase in U.S. gasoline stockpiles. Gasoline inventories in the U.S. probably climbed 2 million barrels in the week ended June 26 from 208.9 million the previous week as refineries increased production, a Bloomberg News survey showed. Oil fell back after climbing as much as 2.6 percent as a weaker dollar drove investors to commodities as a hedge against inflation and Nigerian rebels attacked oil installations.....Complete Story

Crude Oil Market Commentary For Tuesday Morning

Crude oil was slightly higher overnight as it extends Monday's rally above the 20 day moving average crossing at 70.41. Stochastics and the RSI have turned bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near term.

If August extends this week's rally, this month's high crossing at 73.90 is the next upside target. Closes below Monday's low crossing at 68.36 are needed to confirm that a short term top has been posted.

Tuesday's pivot point, our line in the sand is 70.60

First resistance is the overnight high crossing at 73.38
Second resistance is this month's high crossing at 73.90

First support is the 10 day moving average crossing at 70.15
Second support is Monday's low crossing at 68.36

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Light Trading Day as Market Eyes Oil

Monday's markets closed following a day of light trading. News of a pipeline attack boosted Exxon and Sallie Mae's SLM Corp. benefited from a government contract. Simon Constable reports after the closing bell.

IEA Cuts 5 Year World Oil Demand Outlook on Economy

The International Energy Agency, an adviser to oil consuming nations, cut five-year forecasts for global crude demand because of the economic slump, predicting consumption won’t regain last year’s levels until 2012. The IEA cut its oil demand estimates for every year through 2013 by about 3 million barrels a day, it said in its Medium Term Oil Market Report today. Consumption will average 86.76 million barrels a day in 2012, the first year it will.....Complete Story

Natural Gas Post an Inside Day

Natural gas posted an inside day with a lower close on Monday ending a two day short covering bounce off last week's low. The low range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening on Tuesday. Stochastics and the RSI remain neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near term.

If August extends last week's decline, the reaction low crossing at 3.710 is the next downside target. From a broad perspective, August needs to close above 4.820 or below 3.520 to confirm a breakout of this spring's trading range and point the direction of the next trending move.

First resistance is the 10 day moving average crossing at 4.12
Second resistance is the reaction high crossing at 4.57

First support is last Wednesday's low crossing at 3.87
Second support is the reaction low crossing at 3.71

China Increases Diesel, Gasoline Prices to Help Oil Refiners

China, the world’s second biggest energy consumer, will increase fuel prices by as much as 11 percent today, allowing the nation’s refiners to pass on climbing crude oil costs. Prices for gasoline and diesel will rise by 600 yuan ($87.80) a metric ton, the National Development and Reform Commission said yesterday, the third increase this year. Jet fuel costs will rise by 620 yuan a ton. China’s consumer prices fell for a fourth month in May.....Complete Story

Crude Oil Set For Higher Open on Tuesday

August crude oil closed higher on Monday as it extends the rebound off last week's low. The high range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening on Tuesday.

Stochastics and the RSI are turning bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near term. Closes above the reaction high crossing at 72.85 are needed to confirm that a short term low has been posted.

If August renews last week's decline, the 38% retracement level of this spring's rally crossing at 62.25 is the next downside target.

First resistance is today's high crossing at 71.92
Second resistance is the reaction high crossing at 72.85

First support is last Tuesday's low crossing at 66.37
Second support is the 38% retracement level of this spring's rally crossing at 62.25

Oil Settles Above $71, China to Boost Reserves

Oil prices settled above $71 a barrel Monday, as China said it would boost oil reserves and Nigerian militants partly shut down an offshore oil platform belonging to Royal Dutch Shell PLC. Benchmark crude for August delivery gained $2.33 to settle at $71.49 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange. Alaron Trading Corp. analyst Phil Flynn said China's plans to increase its strategic crude oil reserves by 60 percent should provide the market with some long term support.....Complete Story

Kurds Blame Baghdad For Oil Delays

The construction of four oil refineries in the Kurdish region of Iraq was delayed because of the failures of the Iraqi oil minister, Kurdish lawmakers say. Refineries in the cities of Kirkuk and Erbil, the Kurdish capital, would have produced nearly 200,000 barrels per day while another plant should have been slated at the Taq Taq field, the Kurdish Globe reports. Those projects were delayed due to the negligence of Iraqi Oil Minister Hussain al-Shahristani.....Complete Story

Enterprise Products to Buy Teppco for $3.3 Billion

Enterprise Products Partners LP agreed to buy Teppco Partners LP for about $3.3 billion, combining pipeline operators controlled by Houston billionaire Dan Duncan to create the biggest U.S. energy partnership. Teppco owners will get 1.24 units of Enterprise for each of their units, a deal worth 15 percent more than when an initial offer was made in March, according to a statement today by the partnerships. The transaction is worth $31.36 per unit.....Complete Story

Natural Gas Trading Below 20 Day Moving Average

Natural gas is trading slightly lower, under 4.00, as it consolidates below the 20 day moving average crossing at 4.10. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near term.

If August extends last week's decline, the reaction low crossing at 3.710 is the next downside target. Closes above the 10 day moving average crossing at 4.135 would temper the near term bearish outlook in the market.

Monday's pivot point for natural gas is 4.06

First resistance is the 20 day moving average crossing at 4.10
Second resistance is the 10 day moving average crossing at 4.14

First support is last Wednesday's low crossing at 3.87
Second support is the reaction low crossing at 3.71

Oil, Gasoline Rise as Nigerian Militants Attack Shell Field

Crude oil and gasoline rose after an attack by Nigerian militants shut a field operated by Royal Dutch Shell Plc, cutting output from Africa’s largest producer. Shell said it closed the Estuary field near the Forcados export terminal after the assaults. Hostilities in the Niger River delta have cut more than 20 percent of the country’s oil exports since 2006. The International Energy Agency, an adviser to 28 developed nations, lowered its five-year forecast.....Complete Story

U.S. States Consider Gas and Oil Levies

Cash strapped states are considering raising taxes on oil production to plug yawning budget gaps, but they face strong resistance from oil companies, which warn the moves could lead to lost jobs and higher energy prices. Lawmakers in Pennsylvania and California have proposed what are known as severance taxes on oil and natural gas produced in their states. A tax increase took effect in Arkansas at the beginning of the year, and Alaska last year raised its oil production tax.....Complete Story

Chevron's $27 Billion Problem

Sometime later this year a judge in the sleepy Ecuadoran town of Lago Agrio is likely to sock Chevron Corp. with as much as $27 billion in damages over pollution left over from oil drilling by Chevron's Texaco unit in the 1970s and 1980s. The funny part is, Chevron (CVX-news-people) wanted it this way. When the case was originally filed in New York in 1993, Texaco, then an independent company, argued it would be fairer to hear it in Ecuador.....Complete Story

Crude Oil Hints at Sideways Trading This Week

August crude oil was higher overnight due to light short covering but remains below the 20 day moving average crossing at 70.20. Stochastics and the RSI are turning bullish hinting that sideways to higher prices are possible near term.

Closes above the 20 day moving average crossing at 70.20 are needed to confirm that a short term low has been posted. If August renews last Monday's decline, the 38% retracement of this spring's rally crossing at 62.25 is the next downside target.

Mondays' pivot point, our line in the sand is 69.75

First resistance is the 20 day moving average crossing at 70.20
Second resistance is the reaction high crossing at 71.29

First support is last Tuesday's low crossing at 66.37
Second support is the 38% retracement level at 62.25

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In this new video we analyze the gold market in a way that "we've never divulged before." We will be talking about energy fields in the gold market and how you can put them to your advantage to make money. The video is short in duration, only four minutes, but I’ll give you specific levels to look at should certain events take place. I suspect that these events will occur and for the lucky few who are prepared the rewards will be great.

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Venezuela to Borrow to Pay Oil Debts

Venezuelan Oil Minister Rafael Ramirez' announcement that the state will borrow more money to help pay off national oil company debts follows the disclosure by President Hugo Chavez of a letter urging Moscow to cooperate in selling oil at $100 a barrel.
State petroleum company Petroleos de Venezuela has run up billions of dollars in debts to contractors since global oil prices began tumbling nearly a year ago. Although denying that PDVSA had cash-flow problems.....Complete Story

Green Bill's Biggest Test Awaits In The Senate

Following intense last minute wrangling among its members and lobbying from President Obama, the House of Representatives passed potentially landmark legislation Friday that seeks to reduce the release of carbon dioxide by making industry pay for its emissions. The Democrat sponsored American Clean Energy and Security Act of 2009 passed by a razor thin margin, with 219 votes in favor, including eight from Republicans just one more than the minimum needed.....Complete Story

Kentucky USA Energy Reports on Drilling at New Albany Shale Leasehold

Kentucky USA Energy has provided an update on the Company's drilling operation on its leasehold property in the New Albany Shale in western Kentucky. The Company's drilling contractor mobilized its rig to the Company's next drilling location, Jimmy Jackson #1, spudded-in, and is presently drilling at approximately 1,172 feet. The Hunter Wells #4 location has been acidized in the Dutch Creek formation at 2,610 to 2,625 feet and at 2,705 to......Complete Story

Using DBO, USO and Oil to Play Crude Oil

This article provides some straightforward insight as to how a retail trader/investor can implement a directional play on the price of crude oil. Included is a discussion of the manner in which the forward market for crude oil can cause crude oil ETF returns to deviate from spot market returns. This article is not intended to be authoritative, comprehensive, or highly technical. It is simply a compilation of previous discussions on the topic.....Complete Story

Iraq Warily Moving Ahead on Contracts With Oil Companies

On Monday, when Iraq puts development rights to some of its largest oil fields up for auction to foreign companies, the bidding will be a watershed moment, representing the first chance for petroleum giants like ExxonMobil to tap into the resources of a country they were kicked out of almost 40 years ago. Yet, there are widespread doubts about whether Iraq is ready for a sudden infusion of capital from international oil corporations.....Complete Story

Russia to Cooperate With Shell on Sakhalin 3 and 4

Russia is prepared to cooperate with Royal Dutch Shell Plc, Europe’s largest oil producer, on oil and gas projects in the Russian Far East known as Sakhalin-3 and Sakhalin-4, Russian Prime Minister Vladimir Putin said. Putin, speaking at his residence in Novo-Ogaryovo, outside Moscow, met with Shell Chief Executive Officer Jeroen van der Veer, and Peter Voser, who will become the next chief executive. Now is an “ideal time” to move quickly.....Complete Story

Oil Prices Hit Reverse as Wall Street Slips

Oil prices fell Friday, mirroring losses on Wall Street, as traders took profits after earlier jumping above 71 dollars per barrel on news of fresh unrest in key crude producer Nigeria. New York's main futures contract, light sweet crude for delivery in August, shed 94 cents to 69.29 dollars a barrel. In London, Brent North Sea crude for August dipped 86 cents to 68.92 dollars. Wall Street shares sank at the open on Friday, one day after a rally, as investors locked in profits and turned cautious ahead of the weekend.....Complete Story

USO : Oil's New Downtrend ?

One of my favorite sites is The ETF Corner. Great analysis, with easy to understand charts using simple channnels. I never make my daily trade set ups without a quick visit to The ETF Corner. Here is their post from Friday on the USO and crude oil......

If USO does not manage to break above $38.5 soon, I believe we will likely see USO trading down within this new red downtrend.

Oil Price Remains Supported As China's Urge For A New Reserve Currency Exerts Pressures On The Dollar

Crude oil price extends gain above 70 in European morning as USD's retreats further against major currencies and stock markets rally. However, the benchmark contract may only add modestly, by around 1-2%, over the week due to the sharp fall earlier this week. NNPC, Nigeria's state oil company said that the nation has already shut around 1.4M bpd of oil production out of its 1.67M bpd quota as MEND's attack has intensified. Managing director of the group said that crude supplies for refinery will finish in 15 days.....Complete Story

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Oil Hints Short Term Low Might be In, Natural Gas Looks to go Lower

Crude oil closed lower due to profit taking on Friday and the low range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening on Monday. Stochastics and the RSI have turned neutral hinting that a short term low might be in or is near.

Closes above last Friday's high crossing at 72.85 are needed to confirm that a short term low has been posted.

If August renews this week's decline, the 38% retracement level of this spring's rally crossing at 62.25 is the next downside target.

First resistance is today's high crossing at 71.29
Second resistance is last Friday's high crossing at 72.85

First support is Tuesday's low crossing at 66.37
Second support is the 38% retracement level at 62.25

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Natural gas closed higher due to short covering on Friday as it consolidated some of this week's decline. The high range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening on Monday. Stochastics and the RSI remain bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near term.

If August extends this week's decline, the reaction low crossing at 3.71 is the next downside target. From a broad perspective, August needs to close above 4.82 or below 3.52 to confirm a breakout of this spring's trading range and point the direction of the next trending move.

First resistance is the 10 day moving average crossing at 4.17
Second resistance is the reaction high crossing at 4.57

First support is Wednesday's low crossing at 3.87
Second support is the reaction low crossing at 3.71

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The U.S. Dollar closed lower on Friday as it extends this month's trading range. The low range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening on Monday. Stochastics and the RSI remain bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near term. Closes above 81.97 or below 79.62 are needed to clear up near term direction in the market.

First resistance is the reaction high crossing at 81.97
Second resistance is the reaction high crossing at 83.69

First support is Wednesday's low crossing at 79.90
Second support is the reaction low crossing at 79.62

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